Talk Elections

Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion => Gubernatorial/State Elections => Topic started by: RI on November 08, 2011, 07:09:51 PM



Title: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 08, 2011, 07:09:51 PM
I figured we should get one thread started for these elections today.

KY Governor: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/KY_Governor_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS (http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/KY_Governor_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS)

MS Governor: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/MS_Governor_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS (http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/MS_Governor_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS)

MS Initiatives: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/MS_Initiative_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS (http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/MS_Initiative_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS)

NJ Races: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/NJ_Page_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS (http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/NJ_Page_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS)

OH Issue 2: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/OH_Issue_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS (http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/OH_Issue_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS)

VA Races: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/VA_Page_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS (http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/VA_Page_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS)

WA Initiatives: http://vote.wa.gov/results/current/Measures-All.html (http://vote.wa.gov/results/current/Measures-All.html)


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 08, 2011, 07:10:40 PM
Beshear leads 56%-31%-14% with 15% in.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: JohnnyLongtorso on November 08, 2011, 07:18:46 PM
Alison L. Grimes is leading the Democrats in Kentucky; she's getting 66% of the vote right now. Looks like Farmer will be the only Democrat who doesn't win, though Hollenbach's race is kind of close.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 08, 2011, 07:22:18 PM
I find it ironic a guy named Farmer is losing the race for Agriculture Commissioner.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on November 08, 2011, 07:30:22 PM
Why is Knott County so much closer than it usually is? I'd expect Beshear to be breaking 70% there.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Kaine for Senate '18 on November 08, 2011, 07:30:54 PM
Only good news for republicans right now, they have not called the kentucky gubernatorial race.

Well that's idiotic.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 08, 2011, 07:41:09 PM
Called for Beshear. Currently up 58%-32%.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 08, 2011, 07:46:49 PM
Hollenbach is up by 7 for Treasurer. That's the tightest race in Kentucky right now. Across the board the Republicans have gained about two or three points.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Harry Hayfield on November 08, 2011, 07:49:09 PM
KY Governor's race called by the AP as a Dem HOLD

Full Tallies with 54% precincts in:
Beshear (D) 258,423 (57%)
Williams (R) 143,593 (32%)
Galbraith (I) 48,524 (11%)


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 08, 2011, 07:50:51 PM
Virginia has begun reporting results.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Sam Spade on November 08, 2011, 07:55:16 PM
Hollenbach is up by 7 for Treasurer. That's the tightest race in Kentucky right now. Across the board the Republicans have gained about two or three points.

What happened with Farmer in the Ag Commish race - getting completely demolished on this night is quite odd.  I thought only Eastern Kentucky hated him for his jokes.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 08, 2011, 08:00:08 PM
I find it interesting that Beshear is underperforming in the core coal counties of Breathitt, Floyd, and Knott but doing much better directly the the northwest of there. I've noticed something like that in a few other races from the recent past. Realignment or just Galbraith?


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: JohnCA246 on November 08, 2011, 08:01:31 PM
Ohio reporting. Issue 1 and 2 losing (big). 3 winning, probably due to ballot language, as it is even passing in Cuyahoga. Results less than 1% in.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on November 08, 2011, 08:08:43 PM
I find it interesting that Beshear is underperforming in the core coal counties of Breathitt, Floyd, and Knott but doing much better directly the the northwest of there. I've noticed something like that in a few other races from the recent past. Realignment or just Galbraith?

Galbraith.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 08, 2011, 08:11:08 PM
I find it interesting that Beshear is underperforming in the core coal counties of Breathitt, Floyd, and Knott but doing much better directly the the northwest of there. I've noticed something like that in a few other races from the recent past. Realignment or just Galbraith?

Galbraith.

I don't think so, as the Republican is getting a much higher % there than historically...


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on November 08, 2011, 08:12:54 PM
Ah, really? Maybe the more R precincts are reporting first. The results there seem to be somewhat incomplete.

On the other hand, it's possible that the hillbilly thing hurt Democrats there as a whole.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 08, 2011, 08:15:12 PM
Ah, really? Maybe the more R precincts are reporting first. The results there seem to be somewhat incomplete.

On the other hand, it's possible that the hillbilly thing hurt Democrats there as a whole.

I'm going off the 100% reporting counties.

Also, these were the same counties that swung hard against Obama. There is a chance they might not swing back.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Tender Branson on November 08, 2011, 08:19:54 PM
Good night !

Thought I could jump in this late at 2am.

Here are the Maine results on the same-day voter registration referendum:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/ME_Question_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on November 08, 2011, 08:20:44 PM
They're still voting for Beshear and the others. Obama has really hurt Democrats in the South, but he won't be in office forever (and he'll probably do better in a few of those counties in 2012).


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 08, 2011, 08:23:46 PM
They're still voting for Beshear and the others. Obama has really hurt Democrats in the South, but he won't be in office forever (and he'll probably do better in a few of those counties in 2012).

Yes, but not by the relative (to the state vote) margins that they have in the past.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Sam Spade on November 08, 2011, 08:24:54 PM
Based on the early results, things would have to change a lot in Ohio for the present results in these ballot issues to differ from the present outcomes.  Not that I wouldn't have expected it.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Tender Branson on November 08, 2011, 08:26:29 PM
What is the exact current partsian composition again in the VA State Senate for those who don't follow it ?

It currently looks Democratic incumbents are losing 3 seats or so, but not a lot is in so far.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 08, 2011, 08:27:02 PM
What is the exact current partsian composition again in the VA State Senate for those who don't follow it ?

It currently looks Democratic incumbents are losing 3 seats or so, but not a lot is in so far.

22-18 Dems.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Tender Branson on November 08, 2011, 08:30:03 PM
What is the exact current partsian composition again in the VA State Senate for those who don't follow it ?

It currently looks Democratic incumbents are losing 3 seats or so, but not a lot is in so far.

22-18 Dems.

Well, it certainly helps when you have a Governor with 70% approval ratings ... :P


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Tender Branson on November 08, 2011, 08:31:19 PM
KY Governor is exactly how I would have predicted it, based on the undecideds in the SUSA poll.

58-32-10


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Kaine for Senate '18 on November 08, 2011, 08:35:54 PM
When will Mississippi start reporting?


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Tender Branson on November 08, 2011, 08:36:43 PM
IA Senate District 18 Results should be here, starting in about 30 minutes:

http://elections.linncounty.org/results/results-1.htm


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Tender Branson on November 08, 2011, 08:41:11 PM
OR-01 US House Special Election - Primary Results are here:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/OR_Page_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: 7,052,770 on November 08, 2011, 08:44:17 PM

I'm sure it will be slow, as usual


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Tender Branson on November 08, 2011, 08:46:44 PM
Let's see who's voting in MS:

()

I wonder how she voted on the Personhood issue ...

I have no clue how this will play out, I'll predict it'll pass by 52-48 ...


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Sam Spade on November 08, 2011, 08:49:15 PM
Based on JLT's Virginia calls, it appears like:

#1 - TCTC, but Miller should have the edge with what's out.
#6 - Northam will win.
#10 - Watkins will win.  The state website is screwed up on this one.
#13 - Too early to call.
#17 - Too early to call.
#19 - Smith should win, though still too early.
#20 - Stanley probably has the edge here given what's out, but still TCTC.
#21 - Edwards should win, given what's out.  Not a 100% call yet, but close.
#22 - Garrett will win.
#29 - Too early to call.
#31 - Not close.  Favola dominating.
#33 - Too early to call.
#36 - Too early to call.
#37 - Too early to call.
#38 - TCTC, but given what's out, Puckett should have the edge.
#39 - Too early to call in my bookm but Barker looks good for now.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Tender Branson on November 08, 2011, 08:51:57 PM
Turnout in MS was reported to be "very good" ...


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: 7,052,770 on November 08, 2011, 08:55:02 PM
Turnout in MS was reported to be "very good" ...

Talk about a meaningless statement.  If the PPP was correct and it really was 45-44-11 Sunday, then I'm pretty confident:

Everyone knows whether they're pro-life or pro-choice.  And everyone who's pro-choice is a "no."  Thus, the 11% are almost entirely pro-life people who have given it some thought.  Since most "yes" voters are knee-jerk pro-life voters, the fact that the undecideds are giving it thought suggests that they will mostly break for "no."

Also, PPP noted that the undecided group was disproportionately female, black, and Democratic.

Of course, if the PPP poll is wrong, then who knows.  I won't be surprised either way.  But the one sliver of hard evidence we have says there's a good chance it fails.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Small Business Owner of Any Repute on November 08, 2011, 08:55:45 PM
Not sure where all the results are coming from, but the GOP looks good to hold LD11. Also, Republicans seem to have unusual strength in Cape May County. If that trend holds, the GOP could pick up a pair of Assembly seats in LD01.

Also, looks like Atlantic City has reported in LD02 while the more Republican territory has yet to check in -- Whelan is up by about 20.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Tender Branson on November 08, 2011, 08:59:05 PM
Same day voter registration in ME has a lead so far (60-40), which means the GOP-backed law is heading for failure. But only 8% in.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on November 08, 2011, 08:59:48 PM
That thing of underperforming in SE KY seems to be just in Knott County; Floyd is looking fine for Beashear.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: 7,052,770 on November 08, 2011, 09:01:19 PM
http://dashboard.nems360.com/returns/state.html

First MS results coming in


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 08, 2011, 09:02:30 PM
That thing of underperforming in SE KY seems to be just in Knott County; Floyd is looking fine for Beashear.

Beshear had over 80% in Floyd last time, for example, with a similar statewide %.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Tender Branson on November 08, 2011, 09:06:55 PM
How is the VA State Senate looking so far ? Will Republicans take it ?


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: 7,052,770 on November 08, 2011, 09:08:02 PM
The first 8 precincts to report were 64-36 Bryant and 55-45 no.  Not that it's in any way conclusive, since it's only 8 precincts, but I'd be really worried if I were the "Yes on 26" crowd.  Those are from 3 different counties.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on November 08, 2011, 09:12:19 PM
Are those wealthy white areas?


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Small Business Owner of Any Repute on November 08, 2011, 09:13:32 PM
Rep. Albano (D) is improving in NJ's LD01; Rep. Milam (D) appears to be running well behind Albano across the board in all three counties. Could be a GOP +1 situation.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: 7,052,770 on November 08, 2011, 09:14:23 PM
Attala and Walthall Counties are the ones with partial reporting, and No has the lead.  Good sign, but way too early.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: JohnCA246 on November 08, 2011, 09:18:11 PM
Issue 2 - SB 5 in Ohio has been defeated.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: JohnnyLongtorso on November 08, 2011, 09:20:34 PM
How is the VA State Senate looking so far ? Will Republicans take it ?

Too close to call now, but the Republicans have picked up one seat so far.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: 7,052,770 on November 08, 2011, 09:21:10 PM
I will now accept my accolades.  (Is that joke too long ago?)


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 08, 2011, 09:21:54 PM
I will now accept my accolades.  (Is that joke too long ago?)

That statement has a bad track record. :P


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Tender Branson on November 08, 2011, 09:24:25 PM
MS Gov. is now just 53-47 for Bryant ...

If DuPree could just somehow end up at abou 45% when everything's counted - it would be good.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Small Business Owner of Any Repute on November 08, 2011, 09:24:52 PM
Not much progress in New Jersey's results, though it does look like Republicans are going to pick up a Freeholder seat in Burlington County.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: 7,052,770 on November 08, 2011, 09:29:00 PM
Harrison County, with only a third of precincts in, is tilting toward No.  Fantastic news.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Tender Branson on November 08, 2011, 09:29:30 PM
So far, so good for PPP's track record ... :)

Makes me hopeful for Cain's chances in the primaries ...


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: tmthforu94 on November 08, 2011, 09:30:06 PM
Random Indiana facts few others probably care about...

Indianapolis incumbent Mayor Greg Ballard (R) won reelection tonight. He's currently around 51% of the vote.

In Terre Haute (this is where I campaigned today), Duke Bennett (R) was reelected Mayor, defeating his challenger 67-33%. Republicans also performed very strongly there downballot, and I believe we'll have the largest amount of city council seat we've had in years. Bennett has been a great mayor, so that's most of the reason he won, but I still think it's good for the GOP when we're winning a Terre Haute (a city that voted around 60% for Obama) with over two thirds of the vote.

Also...Republicans won the Mayor's race in Evansville - good news. For a lot of local elections, I will say, especially in these smaller communities around where I live, people often vote by the name, not the party I.D. For example, our new city clerk is technically a Democrat (for ballot purposes), but still won with 84% in a city that voted over 70% for McCain.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 08, 2011, 09:34:47 PM
Hinds County is really against I-26. Holy cow.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Thomas D on November 08, 2011, 09:36:35 PM
If there is a place in America that counts votes slower then Baltimore City, I'd like to know about it.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: tmthforu94 on November 08, 2011, 09:40:15 PM
If there is a place in America that counts votes slower then Baltimore City, I'd like to know about it.
It took a nearby city 2 and a half hours to report all of their precincts...they have 2.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: 7,052,770 on November 08, 2011, 09:45:03 PM
The Coast is killing 26.  Hooray.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: The world will shine with light in our nightmare on November 08, 2011, 09:45:35 PM
Buh-bye, Issue 2!

Now we wait on MS...


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 08, 2011, 09:46:51 PM
Anyone else think Kentucky looks like a fish? Maybe I've just been staring at it too long.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Sam Spade on November 08, 2011, 09:48:19 PM
Kinda fun to watch the racial voting creak on.  Bryant will probably break 60%, just FYI.  And No on 26 will go down.

Btw, I don't think the Pubbies are going to get that second seat in VA.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Tender Branson on November 08, 2011, 09:49:38 PM
The AP projects that the Maine same-day-voter-registration question has passed.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: JohnnyLongtorso on November 08, 2011, 09:51:20 PM
If there is a place in America that counts votes slower then Baltimore City, I'd like to know about it.

Montgomery County, Virginia (Blacksburg) still hasn't reported a single precinct, three hours after the polls have closed.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: FloridaRepublican on November 08, 2011, 09:52:28 PM
I don't get why it didn't pass in MISSISSIPPI of all places.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: ag on November 08, 2011, 09:53:00 PM
Kinda fun to watch the racial voting creak on.  Bryant will probably break 60%, just FYI.  And No on 26 will go down.

Btw, I don't think the Pubbies are going to get that second seat in VA.

Bryant is nearly at 60% already, but No looks to be getting a decisive lead and GOP looks pretty well-positioned to gain the second district. Have you looked at the most recent results?


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 08, 2011, 09:54:31 PM
I don't get why it didn't pass in MISSISSIPPI of all places.

They just wanted to reaffirm that they're still the worst state in the nation.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: 7,052,770 on November 08, 2011, 09:57:03 PM
I don't get why it didn't pass in MISSISSIPPI of all places.

Even in Mississippi, we don't believe in forcing 11-year-old rape victims to bear a child at the threat to their own life.  We don't believe in criminalizing miscarriages, and we don't believe that pregnant women with cancer should be denied treatment.

The votes aren't all in yet, but it's looking like Mississippians for Healthy Families did an outstanding job of getting the message out.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on November 08, 2011, 09:58:51 PM
So this:

()

deserves equal protection to a woman who wants to take a birth control pill. Okay.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Lief 🗽 on November 08, 2011, 09:58:57 PM
These results are pretty good, assuming the current votes hold in Virginia and we hold the Senate.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: 7,052,770 on November 08, 2011, 09:59:41 PM
I won't rest easy until DeSoto comes in, although there's enough black counties with 0 precincts to offset it.  Very proud of Mississippi right now.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Lief 🗽 on November 08, 2011, 10:00:14 PM
I won't rest easy until DeSoto comes in, although there's enough black counties with 0 precincts to offset it.  Very proud of Mississippi right now.

Are the black areas voting No?


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Small Business Owner of Any Repute on November 08, 2011, 10:00:29 PM
It looks like Democrats have held on to all their vulnerable State Senate seats tonight.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: 7,052,770 on November 08, 2011, 10:01:14 PM
I won't rest easy until DeSoto comes in, although there's enough black counties with 0 precincts to offset it.  Very proud of Mississippi right now.

Are the black areas voting No?

If the PPP poll was accurate (and it looks like it underestimated No support), yes.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: 7,052,770 on November 08, 2011, 10:03:00 PM
Harrison County, a large county on the coast that gave McCain over 60% of the vote is voting over 60% against 26.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: FloridaRepublican on November 08, 2011, 10:04:33 PM
I don't get why it didn't pass in MISSISSIPPI of all places.

Even in Mississippi, we don't believe in forcing 11-year-old rape victims to bear a child at the threat to their own life.  We don't believe in criminalizing miscarriages, and we don't believe that pregnant women with cancer should be denied treatment.

The votes aren't all in yet, but it's looking like Mississippians for Healthy Families did an outstanding job of getting the message out.

I'm not getting into this with you, but good for you if and when it doesn't pass.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: 7,052,770 on November 08, 2011, 10:09:04 PM
Amite County is the first county totally in.  "Yes" ran 10 points behind McCain's mark.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: JohnnyLongtorso on November 08, 2011, 10:09:54 PM
It's pretty bad when the perennial candidate (Joel Gill) is doing better than the legitimate candidates (Johnny DuPree and Connie Moran, both mayors).


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Tender Branson on November 08, 2011, 10:11:08 PM
Good job MS on the personhood thing, but electing a black Governor was probably a step too much ... :P


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: ag on November 08, 2011, 10:14:50 PM
With almost 14,000 votes counted, Arizona state senator Pearce is behind the recall challenger Lewis by about 53% to 45%


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Lief 🗽 on November 08, 2011, 10:15:19 PM
With almost 14,000 votes counted, Arizona state senator Pearce is behind the recall challenger Lewis by about 53% to 45%

awesome


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Tender Branson on November 08, 2011, 10:15:39 PM
BTW, Democrat Liz Mathis has a huge lead in IA-18 so far (72-28).

Overall, a good night so far for the Democratic cause (except for the OH health law, where voters obviously still want to get screwed over by the health insurance companies).


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: ag on November 08, 2011, 10:18:55 PM
With almost 14,000 votes counted, Arizona state senator Pearce is behind the recall challenger Lewis by about 53% to 45%

awesome

If this holds, as far as I am concerned, this makes the day.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Thomas D on November 08, 2011, 10:21:28 PM
BTW, Democrat Liz Mathis has a huge lead in IA-18 so far (72-28).

Hope it's still like that when I wake up in 8 hours.

G'night. Nerds. ;)


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: FloridaRepublican on November 08, 2011, 10:22:40 PM
Can't we just call it for Bryant already?


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on November 08, 2011, 10:22:59 PM
Bryant officially wins.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: 7,052,770 on November 08, 2011, 10:23:13 PM
It's going down hard in my home county (Madison), which voted 57% for McCain.  That makes me doubly happy.

And neither Lafayette, Forrest, nor Oktibbeha (the college counties) are in yet, and those will probably give the biggest % to No (other than Hinds, maybe)


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: FloridaRepublican on November 08, 2011, 10:24:42 PM
It's going down hard in my home county (Madison), which voted 57% for McCain.  That makes me doubly happy.

And neither Lafayette nor Oktibbeha (the college counties) are in at all yet, and those will probably give the biggest % to No (other than Hinds, maybe)

I think the horse is dead. You can stop beating it now.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Tender Branson on November 08, 2011, 10:26:04 PM

How surprising ...


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: The world will shine with light in our nightmare on November 08, 2011, 10:28:16 PM
Good job MS on the personhood thing, but electing a black Governor was probably a step too much ... :P


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Capitan Zapp Brannigan on November 08, 2011, 10:29:04 PM
Russel Pearce (author of the AZ anti-immigration law) losing recall! 52% - 45%.
http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/AZ/32585/49828/en/summary.html

Pretty good night so far.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: FloridaRepublican on November 08, 2011, 10:29:36 PM

You can't win 'em all.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: ag on November 08, 2011, 10:32:28 PM
Over half of De Soto came in, and, yes, it is 80% Yes, and statewide No share has fallen to 58%. Yep, this seems to be it.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: 7,052,770 on November 08, 2011, 10:33:06 PM
Actually, DeSoto is only 55-45 Yes as of now.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: ag on November 08, 2011, 10:34:05 PM
Actually, DeSoto is only 55-45 Yes as of now.

Yep, I looked at the wrong proposition. Anyway, it's over. AP has said that much.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 08, 2011, 10:34:32 PM
Here's a quick map of the Kentucky governor's race, now that all counties are fully in:

()


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: The world will shine with light in our nightmare on November 08, 2011, 10:35:04 PM
Prop 26 has been defeated!


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: FloridaRepublican on November 08, 2011, 10:35:34 PM

And the sky is blue! :D


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on November 08, 2011, 10:36:10 PM
KY map: Pretty much what I expected. I'd also like to see a map with all the Galbraith votes stuck with Beshear.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Capitan Zapp Brannigan on November 08, 2011, 10:36:25 PM
A week ago I would have given this no shot of happening.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: JohnnyLongtorso on November 08, 2011, 10:36:29 PM
At this point, I'd say if Barker holds on, Dems hold the Virginia Senate. All the other races are looking to be going their way. One will go to a recount, but as long as the Dem enters the recount with a lead, he'll hold on.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: 7,052,770 on November 08, 2011, 10:36:33 PM
YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: FloridaRepublican on November 08, 2011, 10:38:20 PM
Well, there goes a huge loss for the right to actually live. But what can you do?


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Beet on November 08, 2011, 10:38:29 PM
At this point, I'd say if Barker holds on, Dems hold the Virginia Senate. All the other races are looking to be going their way. One will go to a recount, but as long as the Dem enters the recount with a lead, he'll hold on.

Why is it so close? Are people getting name confused?


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: 7,052,770 on November 08, 2011, 10:40:40 PM
Well, there goes a huge loss for the right to actually live. But what can you do?
Do you not see the irony of your statement?  Victims of ectopic pregnancy retain their right to live thanks to Mississippi's vote today.

You do realize this wasn't an abortion ban, right?  It was FAR beyond that.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: JohnnyLongtorso on November 08, 2011, 10:41:01 PM
At this point, I'd say if Barker holds on, Dems hold the Virginia Senate. All the other races are looking to be going their way. One will go to a recount, but as long as the Dem enters the recount with a lead, he'll hold on.

Why is it so close? Are people getting name confused?

I have no idea; I could tell the Dems were panicking because they poured a quarter million dollars into the race over the past week.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Small Business Owner of Any Repute on November 08, 2011, 10:41:25 PM
Looks like no change in the New Jersey Senate. Democrats are currently up 1 in the State Assembly, but District 1 is still in the air and they look likely to lose a seat there.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: FloridaRepublican on November 08, 2011, 10:41:42 PM
Well, there goes a huge loss for the right to actually live. But what can you do?
Do you not see the irony of your statement?  Victims of ectopic pregnancy retain their right to live thanks to Mississippi's vote today.

You do realize this wasn't an abortion ban, right?  It was FAR beyond that.

Agree to completely disagree.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: The world will shine with light in our nightmare on November 08, 2011, 10:43:06 PM
CNN said there is no exact trend for tonight, but I think this is looking to be a very positive night for progressives.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: 7,052,770 on November 08, 2011, 10:44:13 PM
Well, there goes a huge loss for the right to actually live. But what can you do?
Do you not see the irony of your statement?  Victims of ectopic pregnancy retain their right to live thanks to Mississippi's vote today.

You do realize this wasn't an abortion ban, right?  It was FAR beyond that.

Agree to completely disagree.

Fair enough, but had Republicans put a simple abortion ban on the ballot, with exceptions for rape/incest/life of mother, it would have passed handily.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: JohnnyLongtorso on November 08, 2011, 10:44:23 PM
The anti-tax nutter won the special city council election here. Fffffuuuuu...


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: LastVoter on November 08, 2011, 10:45:26 PM
The anti-tax nutter won the special city council election here. Fffffuuuuu...
Well at least the democrats held the Senate.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Lief 🗽 on November 08, 2011, 10:46:04 PM
CNN said there is no exact trend for tonight, but I think this is looking to be a very positive night for progressives.

Yeah, wtf? How is this not a good night for Democrats and Democratic causes?


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: FloridaRepublican on November 08, 2011, 10:47:09 PM
Well, there goes a huge loss for the right to actually live. But what can you do?
Do you not see the irony of your statement?  Victims of ectopic pregnancy retain their right to live thanks to Mississippi's vote today.

You do realize this wasn't an abortion ban, right?  It was FAR beyond that.

Agree to completely disagree.

Fair enough, but had Republicans put a simple abortion ban on the ballot, with exceptions for rape/incest/life of mother, it would have passed handily.

Yeah, I REALLY wish they did that now. But then again, that wouldn't have gotten to the Supreme Court, so it would've been pointless anyway.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Tender Branson on November 08, 2011, 10:48:44 PM
CNN said there is no exact trend for tonight, but I think this is looking to be a very positive night for progressives.

Let's see:

* MS Gov: Republican easily elected, Republican measure fails - it's a wash
* KY Gov: Democrat easily re-elected
* NJ: Democrats hold House & Senate (?)
* VA: Democrats could hold House & Senate (?)
* ME: Republican measure strongly fails
* OH: Unions win, Health Care loses -  it's a wash
* IA: Democrat on track to win, State Senate likely remains Democratic


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Joe Republic on November 08, 2011, 10:51:17 PM
I'm late to the party, but Init 26 would have also made IVF virtually impossible in Mississippi; the same procedure that allowed 'Yes on 26' campaign director Brad Prewitt to become a father.

Quote from: http://www.salon.com/2011/11/08/personhoods_mississippi_moment_of_truth/
“It just seems so unfair that you got your two children and now you’re taking the rights (away) for others,” said Cristen Hemmins yesterday.

“Nothing’s fair,” Prewitt replied, according to a recording, and walked away.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Tender Branson on November 08, 2011, 10:52:13 PM
With half of the precincts in, Democrat Liz Mathis leads by 62-37 in Iowa-18.

PPP said Mathis by 52-46.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Frodo on November 08, 2011, 10:52:19 PM
CNN said there is no exact trend for tonight, but I think this is looking to be a very positive night for progressives.

Let's see:

* VA: Democrats could hold House & Senate (?)

The GOP currently controls the House 61:39 (the two independents caucus regularly with the House GOP), and unless you have information that I don't, we are not taking the House this year.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: The world will shine with light in our nightmare on November 08, 2011, 10:52:32 PM
CNN said there is no exact trend for tonight, but I think this is looking to be a very positive night for progressives.

Yeah, wtf? How is this not a good night for Democrats and Democratic causes?

They just pulled up the MS gubernatorial race and said "Durrhurr you guys didn't win this, you know."


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee on November 08, 2011, 10:52:51 PM
CNN said there is no exact trend for tonight, but I think this is looking to be a very positive night for progressives.

Let's see:

* MS Gov: Republican easily elected, Republican measure fails - it's a wash
* KY Gov: Democrat easily re-elected
* NJ: Democrats hold House & Senate (?)
* VA: Democrats could hold House & Senate (?)
* ME: Republican measure strongly fails
* OH: Unions win, Health Care loses -  it's a wash
* IA: Democrat on track to win, State Senate likely remains Democratic

The Republicans currently hold the House in VA, do they not?


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Tender Branson on November 08, 2011, 10:53:34 PM
CNN said there is no exact trend for tonight, but I think this is looking to be a very positive night for progressives.

Let's see:

* VA: Democrats could hold House & Senate (?)

The GOP currently controls the House 61:39 (the two independents caucus regularly with the House GOP), and unless you have information that I don't, we are not taking the House this year.

Ah, sry, my fault.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Tender Branson on November 08, 2011, 10:57:40 PM
What's up with DuPree ?

38%

Bradley effect ?

I wonder if he got more than 10% of Whites ...


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: 7,052,770 on November 08, 2011, 10:58:10 PM
DeSoto (!), Rankin (!!!!), Madison, Hancock, and Harrison all voted No.  That's stunning (in a good way)


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: 7,052,770 on November 08, 2011, 10:58:53 PM
I wonder what would have happened if DuPree had opposed 26.  Especially if he'd made it the focal point of his campaign.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Linus Van Pelt on November 08, 2011, 10:59:10 PM
CNN said there is no exact trend for tonight, but I think this is looking to be a very positive night for progressives.
* OH: Unions win, Health Care loses -  it's a wash

But the health thing (like the MS abortion law for that matter) is in fact symbolic since it is obviously overridden by federal law, whereas the union law is substantive, and is the most important ballot question of the night in the country.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Frodo on November 08, 2011, 10:59:28 PM
Amazing -even Mississippi has its limits with the pro-lifers.  


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Хahar 🤔 on November 08, 2011, 11:01:16 PM
CNN said there is no exact trend for tonight, but I think this is looking to be a very positive night for progressives.

Yeah, wtf? How is this not a good night for Democrats and Democratic causes?

That would be liberal bias.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Linus Van Pelt on November 08, 2011, 11:01:36 PM
The Ohio labor rights question map, by the way, will be very interesting when all the results come in. It seems to diverge from the typical areas of D strength in almost the opposite way from Obama; it's just getting killed in the small southeastern Appalachian counties, in a number of cases by higher margins than in Cuyahoga, Lucas or Franklin.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: JohnnyLongtorso on November 08, 2011, 11:02:35 PM
Arizona Senate President Russell Pearce lost his recall to fellow Republican Jerry Lewis.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 08, 2011, 11:03:22 PM
The Ohio labor rights question map, by the way, will be very interesting when all the results come in. It seems to diverge from the typical areas of D strength in almost the opposite way from Obama; it's just getting killed in the small southeastern Appalachian counties, in a number of cases by higher margins than in Cuyahoga, Lucas or Franklin.

I'm working on that map, btw, as the counties come in.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: CaDan on November 08, 2011, 11:04:55 PM
REEVES WON!!!!!!!!!!!!

REPUBLICANS TOOK THE VA SENATE!!!!!!!!!!!!


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Lief 🗽 on November 08, 2011, 11:05:02 PM
Arizona Senate President Russell Pearce lost his recall to fellow Republican Jerry Lewis.

hahahahahahahahahahahah


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Tender Branson on November 08, 2011, 11:05:13 PM
Iowa Senate Distric 18 is now fully counted:

55.8% - Liz Mathis (D)
43.5% - Cindy Golding (R)

PPP said 52-46 for Mathis.

Democrats retain control of the Iowa Senate.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Capitan Zapp Brannigan on November 08, 2011, 11:05:54 PM
Iowa Senate Distric 18 is now fully counted:

55.8% - Liz Mathis (D)
43.5% - Cindy Golding (R)

PPP said 52-46 for Mathis.

Democrats retain control of the Iowa Senate.
This and Pearce are icing on the cake to what is, overall, a pretty great night.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Sam Spade on November 08, 2011, 11:06:12 PM
CNN said there is no exact trend for tonight, but I think this is looking to be a very positive night for progressives.

Let's see:

* MS Gov: Republican easily elected, Republican measure fails - it's a wash
* KY Gov: Democrat easily re-elected
* NJ: Democrats hold House & Senate (?)
* VA: Democrats could hold House & Senate (?)
* ME: Republican measure strongly fails
* OH: Unions win, Health Care loses -  it's a wash
* IA: Democrat on track to win, State Senate likely remains Democratic

The Republicans currently hold the House in VA, do they not?

Republicans are basically on the path to having a 2/3rds super-majority in the House of Delegates, for what that's worth.  They've won basically every seat they could.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: nclib on November 08, 2011, 11:06:42 PM
Very relieved about the Miss. "personhood" amendment not passing. Hopefully this will be a blow to the fringe anti-abortion movement if they can't even win in Mississippi. This bill is far more anti-choice than pro-life.

realistic, if you have time, it would be great to see the Miss. 26 county map.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Marokai Backbeat on November 08, 2011, 11:06:50 PM
Pretty good results overall. I may not like referenda, but I'm fairly pleased!


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: CaDan on November 08, 2011, 11:07:41 PM

That last precinct came in big for Reeves, with his win and Stanley's win, THE GOP takes the VA SENATE!


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Capitan Zapp Brannigan on November 08, 2011, 11:08:34 PM

That last precinct came in big for Reeves, with his win and Stanley's win, THE GOP takes the VA SENATE!
Wait, seriously?


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: JohnnyLongtorso on November 08, 2011, 11:09:23 PM
It was a fucking tabulation error. Houck was up by 124 votes, now Reeves is up by 166.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Capitan Zapp Brannigan on November 08, 2011, 11:09:50 PM
Well, tonight just became much sh**ttier.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 08, 2011, 11:10:45 PM
realistic, if you have time, it would be great to see the Miss. 26 county map.

Yes, I'm working on that one too.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Frodo on November 08, 2011, 11:11:31 PM
I figured we should get one thread started for these elections today.

KY Governor: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/KY_Governor_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS (http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/KY_Governor_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS)

MS Governor: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/MS_Governor_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS (http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/MS_Governor_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS)

MS Initiatives: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/MS_Initiative_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS (http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/MS_Initiative_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS)

NJ Races: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/NJ_Page_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS (http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/NJ_Page_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS)

OH Issue 2: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/OH_Issue_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS (http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/OH_Issue_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS)

VA Races: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/VA_Page_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS (http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/VA_Page_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS)

WA Initiatives: http://vote.wa.gov/results/current/Measures-All.html (http://vote.wa.gov/results/current/Measures-All.html)

For Virginia races, I would also like to suggest the Virginia State Board of Elections website (https://www.voterinfo.sbe.virginia.gov/election/DATA/2011/EB178FD6-875D-4B0D-A295-900A0482F523/Unofficial/7_s.shtml).  


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Tender Branson on November 08, 2011, 11:11:51 PM

That last precinct came in big for Reeves, with his win and Stanley's win, THE GOP takes the VA SENATE!

The AP has the Democrat ahead though in SD-17 (and with more votes than the VA SOS site).

Weird.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: JohnnyLongtorso on November 08, 2011, 11:12:31 PM
It's now 22,536 Reeves, 22,450 Houck on the SBoE, with all precincts reporting.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Sam Spade on November 08, 2011, 11:12:40 PM

That last precinct came in big for Reeves, with his win and Stanley's win, THE GOP takes the VA SENATE!
Wait, seriously?

The VA website reads differently for Spotslyvania than the AP.  I presume the former is right, but who knows at this point.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on November 08, 2011, 11:13:48 PM
That thing of underperforming in SE KY seems to be just in Knott County; Floyd is looking fine for Beashear.

Beshear had over 80% in Floyd last time, for example, with a similar statewide %.

I don't know how much of a factor it was on any patterns or anything but, for the record, Beshear's running mate last time round was from Eastern Kentucky. This time round he's from Louisville.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: ilikeverin on November 08, 2011, 11:20:47 PM
Congrats, Harry, and, well, Mississippi in general! ;D *hughughug*


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Frodo on November 08, 2011, 11:21:39 PM
Does anyone have any links that show the real-time election results for the Mississippi legislature?  Because it seems clear that the Mississippi SOS (http://www.sos.ms.gov/elections4.aspx) has no intention of providing it.  


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: The_Texas_Libertarian on November 08, 2011, 11:22:45 PM

That last precinct came in big for Reeves, with his win and Stanley's win, THE GOP takes the VA SENATE!
Wait, seriously?

The VA website reads differently for Spotslyvania than the AP.  I presume the former is right, but who knows at this point.

Either way the result is so close it is likely going to be a recount before we know


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 08, 2011, 11:23:42 PM
Washington reporting finally.

I-1125 down 52-48
I-1163 up 66-34
I-1183 up 61-39
SJR 8206  up 67-33

The Eyman map is hilarious, btw.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on November 08, 2011, 11:24:09 PM
Oh, and the Ohio thing is good, of course. I look forward to the map.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Lief 🗽 on November 08, 2011, 11:26:30 PM
What are TWEENS?


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: JohnnyLongtorso on November 08, 2011, 11:26:55 PM
Whatever the final margin (after all the adjustments are made) is in Virginia is the final margin. Recounts don't change anything; there was a House of Delegates election in '09 where the margin was something like 12 votes, and a recount only changed the margin by 2 or 3 votes.

Democrats will have to stack the committees in the Senate; Republicans will have control on the floor (with Bill Bolling as a tie-breaking vote), but committees will be split 50/50.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Shilly on November 08, 2011, 11:28:48 PM
Here's all of the Kentucky races.
()


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Sam Spade on November 08, 2011, 11:30:13 PM
Also, the VA DEMOCRAT HOUSE MINORITY LEADER was destroyed.

Yet, not a post mentioning it here... wonder why?

Yes, this is a Democrat-leaning forum.  Thanks for pointing that out to us.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Tender Branson on November 08, 2011, 11:30:32 PM
Bonamici and Cornilles easily win the OR-01 primaries.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Reaganfan on November 08, 2011, 11:31:12 PM
Let's see who's voting in MS:

()

I wonder how she voted on the Personhood issue ...

I have no clue how this will play out, I'll predict it'll pass by 52-48 ...

I'd cross party lines for her...


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on November 08, 2011, 11:31:45 PM
Here's all of the Kentucky races.
()


Harlan county :)

Anyways, I'm wondering if Beshear has maybe done something to irritate people in Knox county, as that pattern doens't really show up elsewhere. Odd.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on November 08, 2011, 11:32:33 PM
Also, the VA DEMOCRAT HOUSE MINORITY LEADER was destroyed.

Yet, not a post mentioning it here... wonder why?

Sounds painful. Anyways, any details on that? Or on the VA House elections in general.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: rbt48 on November 08, 2011, 11:33:49 PM
I made a quick count of the Mississippi State Senate based on preliminary results.  It looks like 29R, 23D or 30R, 22D.  I'm too lazy to count up the seats in the 122 House districts to see if the GOP picked up the 8 needed for a majority.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 08, 2011, 11:34:35 PM
Here's the preliminary Ohio Issue 2 map. All but 15 counties are all the way in, but most of those 15 are mostly in. The only county I'd worry about maybe changing on this map is Delaware County. I'll update it if it does.

()


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Frodo on November 08, 2011, 11:35:21 PM
I made a quick count of the Mississippi State Senate based on preliminary results.  It looks like 29R, 23D or 30R, 22D.  I'm too lazy to count up the seats in the 122 House districts to see if the GOP picked up the 8 needed for a majority.

Where did you get these figures?


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Marston on November 08, 2011, 11:35:34 PM
Here's the preliminary Ohio Issue 2 map. All but 15 counties are all the way in, but most of those 15 are mostly in. The only county I'd worry about maybe changing on this map is Delaware County.

()

That is beautiful.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: FloridaRepublican on November 08, 2011, 11:36:54 PM
Is there an Ohio Issue 3 Map?


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Sam Spade on November 08, 2011, 11:37:32 PM
Also, the VA DEMOCRAT HOUSE MINORITY LEADER was destroyed.

Yet, not a post mentioning it here... wonder why?

Sounds painful. Anyways, any details on that? Or on the VA House elections in general.

As was already pointed out here, Dems got crushed. 66-32-1 GOP (the one Indy caucuses with the GOP), with one race still outstanding.  Was 59-39-2 GOP.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: tmthforu94 on November 08, 2011, 11:37:34 PM
Well, thankfully the GOP was able to win Ag Commisioner, one of the most powerful positions in the state, responsible for millions of dollars.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: JohnnyLongtorso on November 08, 2011, 11:37:56 PM
Also, the VA DEMOCRAT HOUSE MINORITY LEADER was destroyed.

Yet, not a post mentioning it here... wonder why?

Sounds painful. Anyways, any details on that? Or on the VA House elections in general.

Republicans picked up six seats (or seven if you count a Republican-caucusing independent retiring and being replaced with a Republican), with one still outstanding. The House will either be 66-33-1 or 67-32-1.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Verily on November 08, 2011, 11:38:08 PM
Here's the preliminary Ohio Issue 2 map. All but 15 counties are all the way in, but most of those 15 are mostly in. The only county I'd worry about maybe changing on this map is Delaware County. I'll update it if it does.

()

Interesting. The strongly No counties along the Ohio River aren't even the traditionally Democratic counties. Gallia, Meigs, Lawrence and Jackson are all traditionally Republican. Meanwhile, traditionally Democratic Counties in the area like Jefferson, Belmont and Monroe were less strongly opposed.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: rbt48 on November 08, 2011, 11:38:14 PM
I just went to the AP results page http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/MS_Page_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS (http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/MS_Page_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS) and did the grunt work of counting up the leaders or winners for all 62 districts.  The actual final result will probably be a little different.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on November 08, 2011, 11:39:14 PM
Here's the preliminary Ohio Issue 2 map. All but 15 counties are all the way in, but most of those 15 are mostly in. The only county I'd worry about maybe changing on this map is Delaware County. I'll update it if it does.

()

Fascinating, really fascinating. The general pattern seems to be more about class than partisan identity - or even historical partisan identity. Diolch!


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Frodo on November 08, 2011, 11:40:17 PM
Well, thankfully the GOP was able to win Ag Commisioner, one of the most powerful positions in the state, responsible for millions of dollars.

You referring to Kentucky? 


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 08, 2011, 11:40:23 PM

Not yet, but I can make it.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: krazen1211 on November 08, 2011, 11:40:57 PM
VA-17...what the heck is going on?


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: CaDan on November 08, 2011, 11:42:04 PM
The interesting thing to point out is how well the GOP did in the races for State Senate. The DemocRATs HEAVILY gerrymandered the State Senate districts to increase their chances of holding the Senate, yet even with that it wasn't enough.

Strangely, everyone here was harping that holding the Senate was an amazing thing that showed HOW BLUE VA is now and how OBAMA is the dear leader again.

The Democrats SHOULD have won in a blowout with the gerrymandered districts that they created. So barely holding on or losing is actually a HUGE loss.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Tender Branson on November 08, 2011, 11:42:23 PM

AP and SBoE has different numbers in 1 county ...

AP has the Democrat ahead and the SBoE the Republican.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: FloridaRepublican on November 08, 2011, 11:42:34 PM

:)


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Frodo on November 08, 2011, 11:43:58 PM
If the GOP did indeed win the Virginia Senate, will there be a redo of the redistricting in that chamber?  I can't imagine them not at least trying to. 


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: ag on November 08, 2011, 11:44:39 PM

As an older chap who's been watching (and caring about) other races, I must say, that this is, actually, the behavior most similar to that of my (almost) tween daughter that I've observed on this forum in a while.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Marokai Backbeat on November 08, 2011, 11:45:05 PM
Here's the preliminary Ohio Issue 2 map. All but 15 counties are all the way in, but most of those 15 are mostly in. The only county I'd worry about maybe changing on this map is Delaware County. I'll update it if it does.

()

Fascinating, really fascinating. The general pattern seems to be more about class than partisan identity - or even historical partisan identity. Diolch!

Southern Ohio, making me damn proud for a change. :P


Title: GOP takes control of Westmoreland County Pennsylvania Board!
Post by: CaDan on November 08, 2011, 11:46:57 PM
This is the first time this has happened since the 1950s.

It looks like the GOP took every county row office as well. STUNNING!

http://westmorelandweb400.us/elect/2011UMECAND.HTM


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: rbt48 on November 08, 2011, 11:47:37 PM
The AP page has Houck up by 204 votes:
Total    62/62   Reeves, 22,391  50%   Houck, 22,595  50

while the VA SOS site has Reeves with 22,536 and Houck with 22,450.  Also 70 write-in votes.

If Reeves does win, the Senate would be tied 20-20.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 08, 2011, 11:55:11 PM
Ohio Issue 3:

()


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Marston on November 09, 2011, 12:00:16 AM
Ladies and gentleman, State Representative Paul Scott (R) has been recalled for his horrid anti-teacher bills. Rep. Paul Scott has been recalled, 12,358 (50.5%) to 12,126 (49.5%), a 232 vote margin.

http://www.freep.com/article/20111108/NEWS06/111108082/Rep-Paul-Scott-recalled-concedes-defeat?odyssey=tab|topnews|text|FRONTPAGE

He got what he deserved. Guy is a scumbag.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: tmthforu94 on November 09, 2011, 12:00:44 AM
What was the Ohio issue regarding the opt-out of Obamacare? I saw it passed, which is a surprise considering how tonight has gone.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: CaDan on November 09, 2011, 12:02:03 AM
The AP finally corrected their numbers. They are now showing the same thing that the State BOE is showing.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee on November 09, 2011, 12:02:10 AM
What was issue 3?


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: CaDan on November 09, 2011, 12:03:04 AM
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/VA_State_Senate_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: CaDan on November 09, 2011, 12:03:58 AM
There is a pattern with this in the AP's election results. They are in such a hurry to try to pad the democrat's numbers, that they make mistakes (or deliberately fabricate results to create controversy.)


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 09, 2011, 12:04:23 AM
Issue 3 was the health care mandate opt-out.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: TJ in Oregon on November 09, 2011, 12:04:56 AM
Here's the preliminary Ohio Issue 2 map. All but 15 counties are all the way in, but most of those 15 are mostly in. The only county I'd worry about maybe changing on this map is Delaware County. I'll update it if it does.

()

Fascinating, really fascinating. The general pattern seems to be more about class than partisan identity - or even historical partisan identity. Diolch!

Southern Ohio, making me damn proud for a change. :P

It does seem to be more about class than partisan identity, but there certainly is some partisan identity element to it as well. It carried Holmes, Mercer, Shelby Counties as well as the suburban Warren and Delaware Counties. It seems the Amish must have voted for it, as well as parts of the upper Miami Valley.

But yeah, it more or less went down in flames as expected. I don’t think anyone could honestly have said they expected this to pass. I have to wonder—what is the Ohio GOP thinking? They give us three issues to vote on this year: a judicial reform issue no one understands, a labor reform issue no one wants, and a symbolic healthcare issue that doesn’t do anything.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Frodo on November 09, 2011, 12:13:06 AM
Does anyone have any links that show the real-time election results for the Mississippi legislature?  Because it seems clear that the Mississippi SOS (http://www.sos.ms.gov/elections4.aspx) has no intention of providing it.  
--------------------

'Kay, I found what I was looking for (http://www.wapt.com/election-results/index.html), more or less.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: bullmoose88 on November 09, 2011, 12:30:28 AM
Republicans won every county office they could win...(per usual)...and held onto their supervisor seat in my corner of Bucks.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon on November 09, 2011, 12:39:14 AM
The Reform Party candidate appears to have won a county (Jefferson) in the MS Lt. Gov race and 2 counties in the Auditor race (where there was no Dem on the ballot)


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: ag on November 09, 2011, 12:47:25 AM
There is a pattern with this in the AP's election results. They are in such a hurry to try to pad the democrat's numbers, that they make mistakes (or deliberately fabricate results to create controversy.)

Any evidence of intent on the part of the AP? Or is it just another pre-teen fantasy?


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 09, 2011, 12:56:00 AM
Mississippi is really slow at reporting their results...there are still 6 counties without any results in.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 09, 2011, 12:58:53 AM
Here are the results so far:

()


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: FloridaRepublican on November 09, 2011, 01:00:31 AM
Where can I go for all the legislative elections?


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 09, 2011, 01:34:27 AM
There seems to be a fair correlation in Mississippi between %Yes and %Evangelical (using ARDA numbers).


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Wonkish1 on November 09, 2011, 02:12:15 AM
Does anyone have any links that show the real-time election results for the Mississippi legislature?  Because it seems clear that the Mississippi SOS (http://www.sos.ms.gov/elections4.aspx) has no intention of providing it.  
--------------------

'Kay, I found what I was looking for (http://www.wapt.com/election-results/index.html), more or less.

Here is what I've been using...
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_state/MS_State_House_1108.html?SITE=WMPNFMELN&SECTION=POLITICS


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Wonkish1 on November 09, 2011, 02:25:53 AM
Went into tonight knowing SB 5 was going down, Beshear winning, and Bryant winning.

So for me there were 3, maybe 4 things I wanted and were quite possible.

1) Virginia Senate--Cared about that the absolute control of all houses in Virginia and is way more valuable to me than the remaining 3 items.

2) Mississippi House--Looking pretty damn good so far

3) Iowa State Senate--To bad!

4) Cutting the Dem majorities in the NJ chambers by a few members--Didn't happen, but isn't as valuable as the top 3 items


So I'll say that I'm quite content so far, and if the GOP pulls the MS house I turn to very happy.



Otherwise issue 3 in Ohio was at least somewhat interesting in regards to the 2012 election, but I'm already quite sure Obama will lose Ohio anyway so I didn't really care. Of course I'm not happy that SB 5 is over, but for me I had my disappointment several months ago when it made it on the Ballot because I knew it would be thrown out.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Wonkish1 on November 09, 2011, 03:00:42 AM
For those that want an update on Mississippi.

Currently GOP Is Up From Dem
7

Currently GOP Has Won From Dem
3

Currently Close Dem Leads on Dem Seat
3

Currently Dem Up from GOP
3

Currently Dem win on from GOP


Currently Close GOP Leads on GOP Seat
1

I should point that most of the ones that have the particular side up on the other are like 100% reporting with like a 3-6% spread...I don't know why they are calling them yet.

There are also a couple races where the results appear to not be coming in at all.


Based on what I'm seeing here the absolute spread is probably GOP +6 to +11(counting 1 of 2 of the races that have no results).

Its looking like its going to be +7 to +9 which would result in the GOP picking up the house(in the case of 7 you have Reeves(R) as tie breaker).


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Хahar 🤔 on November 09, 2011, 03:22:01 AM
There is a pattern with this in the AP's election results. They are in such a hurry to try to pad the democrat's numbers, that they make mistakes (or deliberately fabricate results to create controversy.)

Any evidence of intent on the part of the AP? Or is it just another pre-teen fantasy?

The AP is part of the liberal media, no?


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Associate Justice PiT on November 09, 2011, 03:57:36 AM
     It seems that Prop 26 has failed in Mississippi. 58% no with 96% of precincts reporting.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: CARLHAYDEN on November 09, 2011, 05:52:21 AM
The AP page has Houck up by 204 votes:
Total    62/62   Reeves, 22,391  50%   Houck, 22,595  50

while the VA SOS site has Reeves with 22,536 and Houck with 22,450.  Also 70 write-in votes.

If Reeves does win, the Senate would be tied 20-20.

Well, even the Washington Post acknowledges that Houck is trailing.

Va. elections: GOP Senate takeover hangs on 86 votes

By Mike DeBonis, Susan Svrluga and Carol Morello, Published: November 8

Virginia Democrats’ hopes of maintaining its hold on the Commonwealth’s upper house were very much in doubt late Tuesday, hinging on a razor-thin count in a single Senate district.
When the ballot-counting ended for the night, longtime Spotsylvania incumbent Sen. R. Edward Houck (D) was 86 votes behind Republican challenger Bryce E. Reeves.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/va-elections-few-voters-turn-out-amid-confusion-over-redistricting/2011/11/08/gIQAfxHV1M_story.html?hpid=z1


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Small Business Owner of Any Repute on November 09, 2011, 07:15:47 AM
Democrats successfully fended off the GOP advance in New Jersey. There's no change in the State Senate. In the State House, the GOP lost a seat -- Assemblyman DiCicco, a victim of redistricting.

On a county-by-county basis, Democrats did well. Democrats held their remaining Freeholder seats in Bergen, and picked up the County Clerk's seat. Dems easily held on in Passaic and Gloucester. Essex County's lone competitive Freeholder seat, that of District 4, stayed Democrat (albeit by ~250 votes).

It wasn't all bad for the GOP however. Republicans picked up a Freeholder seat in Burlington (completing their sweep of county government there). They also picked up a Freeholder seat in Salem, giving them control of that county's government for the first time in 10 years.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Nichlemn on November 09, 2011, 07:56:58 AM
So how would the Republicans probably have done under the old VA Senate lines, as there was some discussion of redistricting waiting until after the election?


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: JohnnyLongtorso on November 09, 2011, 08:15:00 AM
So how would the Republicans probably have done under the old VA Senate lines, as there was some discussion of redistricting waiting until after the election?

SD-17 and 20 would definitely have been lost, along with maybe SD-29 and SD-33.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon on November 09, 2011, 08:25:01 AM

So the part of MS 1st Cong district that voted for Travis Childers (D) went "yes" and the part that went for the GOP candidates went "no".. LOL :)


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: smoltchanov on November 09, 2011, 09:21:08 AM

So the part of MS 1st Cong district that voted for Travis Childers (D) went "yes" and the part that went for the GOP candidates went "no".. LOL :)

And not surprising... Childers district was (and IS) mostly an extremely social conservative area (and Childers himself was so as well), while Republican areas are more (not all, but many) of "business conservative type with some social conservatism.."


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: nclib on November 09, 2011, 10:49:10 AM
Wasn't even that close--58% No with 96% of precincts in!


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: minionofmidas on November 09, 2011, 11:12:38 AM
Farmer. :(


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Reaganfan on November 09, 2011, 11:21:33 AM
A few notes on the Ohio results.

Issue 2 failed as expected, but the Obama-care Issue 3 that was thrown in there passed with more votes than No on Issue 2. :)


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: minionofmidas on November 09, 2011, 11:30:07 AM
So is Jerry Lewis a RINO, or just a non-foaming Republican that Democrats tactically voted for?


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Wonkish1 on November 09, 2011, 11:35:59 AM
Update here:

It looks like the GOP has taken the Mississippi house taking complete control of the government. For some reason they haven't called a bunch of races with all the precincts in and 4%+ spreads. There is still 1 D seat that hasn't had a single vote get posted yet.


But the number looks like its going to be GOP +9 plus or minus 1. Since 7 was all that was needed to take defacto control of the house I'd say the GOP has pulled it off.

I'm very pleased with last nights results that's all I can say. The two things I wanted most were Virginia and Mississippi and I got them. Iowa was a let down.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: rob in cal on November 09, 2011, 11:51:33 AM
It doesn't look like there were any No on 26 coattails in Mississippi as Dupree went down to defeat, and GOP gained seats in legislature.  In 1948 when Massachusetts voted down a law to legalize birth control in a referendum, it was the Democrats and President Truman who benefitted with the big Catholic no vote.  Kind of ironic that Dewey and the GOP were hurt by the huge anti-birth control vote then in 1948, but the parties and issues are a little different in 2011 I guess.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Verily on November 09, 2011, 12:05:19 PM
So is Jerry Lewis a RINO, or just a non-foaming Republican that Democrats tactically voted for?

The latter.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: 7,052,770 on November 09, 2011, 12:30:47 PM
It doesn't look like there were any No on 26 coattails in Mississippi as Dupree went down to defeat, and GOP gained seats in legislature.  In 1948 when Massachusetts voted down a law to legalize birth control in a referendum, it was the Democrats and President Truman who benefitted with the big Catholic no vote.  Kind of ironic that Dewey and the GOP were hurt by the huge anti-birth control vote then in 1948, but the parties and issues are a little different in 2011 I guess.

Dupree and almost every Democratic legislature candidate supported 26.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Torie on November 09, 2011, 12:33:43 PM
I believe the GOP took control of the Mississippi House with 62 seats in the bag, with one (District 3) up in the air, but last time when the Dem won 3-2, Alcorn County, which is not counted yet per AP, was carried by the Dem by about 250 votes, and with Arnold, the Pubbie, leading in Prentiss, which he lost last time by close to 3-2, he almost certainly will hold on and win, giving the GOP 63 seats per my count. In the other two seats out per the AP, I went to other sources for the results.  The local press states that the Dems won District 2 in Corninth (which has no votes shown on the AP).  The other seat the AP has out is District 83, where the Pubbie Snowden was leading, but his website has him claiming victory with 52%.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Wonkish1 on November 09, 2011, 12:38:37 PM
Torie you seem to have looked up the previous numbers from Alcorn county. Are we to expect anything remotely close in District 2(nothing reporting yet)?


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Torie on November 09, 2011, 12:42:59 PM
Torie you seem to have looked up the previous numbers from Alcorn county. Are we to expect anything remotely close in District 2(nothing reporting yet)?

The Dem won, and Chip Wood the Pubbie lost, per the Corinth newspaper (http://www.dailycorinthian.com/view/full_story/16338151/article-Nail-biters--Bain--Parks-take-legislative-seats?instance=main_story_left), so assuming, as is almost certainly the case, that the Pubbie Arnold won district 3, that gives the GOP 63 seats overall.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Meeker on November 09, 2011, 01:17:30 PM
I think there's something very wrong in one of the Spotsylvania precincts - Riverbend. It only has 8 total votes counted for the State Senate race but in the county races in the same precinct there are more than 1000 votes.

It looks like a pretty Republican precinct though so I'm not sure it'll help.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: memphis on November 09, 2011, 01:22:07 PM
It doesn't look like there were any No on 26 coattails in Mississippi as Dupree went down to defeat, and GOP gained seats in legislature.  In 1948 when Massachusetts voted down a law to legalize birth control in a referendum, it was the Democrats and President Truman who benefitted with the big Catholic no vote.  Kind of ironic that Dewey and the GOP were hurt by the huge anti-birth control vote then in 1948, but the parties and issues are a little different in 2011 I guess.

Dupree and almost every Democratic legislature candidate supported 26.
Which is hilarious in retrospect. Hindsight being 20/20, perhaps they could have benefitted by campaigning against it on an anti-big gov't angle. Also, what kind of birth control was available in 1948. I thought the pill wasn't invented until about 10 years later.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: CaDan on November 09, 2011, 01:49:37 PM
Quote
I think there's something very wrong in one of the Spotsylvania precincts - Riverbend. It only has 8 total votes counted for the State Senate race but in the county races in the same precinct there are more than 1000 votes.

It looks like a pretty Republican precinct though so I'm not sure it'll help.

If anything this will push Reeves margin up well outside of a recount range.

In 2006, Allen got 66% in this precinct.

In 2008, McCain got 63%

In 2009, McDonnell got 73%

And in 2007, Republican Chris J. Yakabouski split the precinct nearly 50-50 against Houck while losing Spotsylvania County as a whole 46%-54%

So the Precinct is more Republican than the County at large, which is already massively Republican to begin with.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: minionofmidas on November 09, 2011, 01:54:28 PM
It doesn't look like there were any No on 26 coattails in Mississippi as Dupree went down to defeat, and GOP gained seats in legislature.  In 1948 when Massachusetts voted down a law to legalize birth control in a referendum, it was the Democrats and President Truman who benefitted with the big Catholic no vote.  Kind of ironic that Dewey and the GOP were hurt by the huge anti-birth control vote then in 1948, but the parties and issues are a little different in 2011 I guess.

Dupree and almost every Democratic legislature candidate supported 26.
Which is hilarious in retrospect. Hindsight being 20/20, perhaps they could have benefitted by campaigning against it on an anti-big gov't angle. Also, what kind of birth control was available in 1948. I thought the pill wasn't invented until about 10 years later.
Condoms, diaphragms.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: krazen1211 on November 09, 2011, 02:13:47 PM
The GOP has the VA Senate.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Torie on November 09, 2011, 02:23:00 PM
I think there's something very wrong in one of the Spotsylvania precincts - Riverbend. It only has 8 total votes counted for the State Senate race but in the county races in the same precinct there are more than 1000 votes.

It looks like a pretty Republican precinct though so I'm not sure it'll help.

Meeker the rest of Riverbend is in another state senate district. The Dems didn't want this precinct in District 17 because it went about 2-1 McCain (called Grange Hall then).  So that is your answer. The Pubs will get their VA CD gerrymander. :)

()


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Meeker on November 09, 2011, 03:25:24 PM
Ah, thanks Torie.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: The world will shine with light in our nightmare on November 09, 2011, 05:20:04 PM
Ooh, I didn't know this.  Conservative/Tea Party Democrat-turned-Republican Mayor Mike Jarjura of Waterbury lost his bid for a sixth term to the liberal Democrat that beat him in the primary. :)

Apparently we took some other big cities held by incumbent Republicans, too.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: CaDan on November 09, 2011, 05:32:30 PM
Reeves margin went up in recanvassing. There were additional tabulation errors in Spotsylvania county that resulted in another 144 votes for him.

He's ahead by over 200 votes now. An 86 vote lead was virtually insurmountable as it was. 200+ is way, way too much for any recount. I doubt Houck even asks for one now.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: CaDan on November 09, 2011, 05:33:22 PM
New Totals:

Reeves 22,610
Houck 22,386

I think recanvassing is done now.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Hash on November 09, 2011, 05:34:08 PM
Wow, Beshear did pretty badly in the coal counties next to WV. Any particular reason?


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: FloridaRepublican on November 09, 2011, 05:40:26 PM
Ooh, I didn't know this.  Conservative/Tea Party Democrat-turned-Republican Mayor Mike Jarjura of Waterbury lost his bid for a sixth term to the liberal Democrat that beat him in the primary. :)

Apparently we took some other big cities held by incumbent Republicans, too.

Does that help you sleep at night?


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: nclib on November 09, 2011, 06:17:20 PM
These appear to be the best 'No' votes on 26:

Hinds 76.4%
Jefferson 76.3%
Claiborne 74.2%
Washington 72.9%
Bolivar 72.5%

Jackson and four black Delta counties.

Lauderdale (22/53 in), Wilkinson (0/9 in), and Hinds (all but one in) still outstanding.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Badger on November 09, 2011, 06:35:11 PM

Though others certainly act like one......

Why hasn't this purveyor of uniformly obnoxious posts been banned yet?

/s/ a guy in his 40's


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: CaDan on November 09, 2011, 06:40:20 PM
Of course, we can't stand to have those mean dissenting views in here... Much better to have an echo chamber...

This is a "democrat-'leaning'" board after all. ("Leaning" LOL!)


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Badger on November 09, 2011, 06:45:01 PM
What was the Ohio issue regarding the opt-out of Obamacare? I saw it passed, which is a surprise considering how tonight has gone.

The wording of the amendment was VERY benign sounding. Almost misleadingly so IMHO. If I didn't know what the issue was really about, I would've likely voted for it too at face value. But hey, the SoS is a Republican of course.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Badger on November 09, 2011, 06:55:25 PM
Of course, we can't stand to have those mean dissenting views in here... Much better to have an echo chamber...

This is a "democrat-'leaning'" board after all. ("Leaning" LOL!)

The issue is not "dissenting" views, but rather views of ANY political stripe that are persistently expressed in an immature, hysterical, belligerent, insulting, obnoxious, and above all, annoying manner. The problem with your posts isn't that you're conservative--look around you, you may be outnumbered but you are HARDLY alone there--but rather that your posts are almost invariably the intellectual equivalent of a temper tantrum.

Put down your cross, martyr. The antipathy to you stems not from excessive conservatism, but rather insufficient maturity.

Kindly and quickly either grow up or go away.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Dan the Roman on November 09, 2011, 06:57:03 PM
New Totals:

Reeves 22,610
Houck 22,386

I think recanvassing is done now.

No several counties still out. Though unless there is a data error in Albemarle, Houck is probably screwed.

https://www.voterinfo.sbe.virginia.gov/election/DATA/2011/EB178FD6-875D-4B0D-A295-900A0482F523/Unofficial/B44542DD-B889-4D86-8569-E5907567B9E5_cr_all_dt.shtml


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Frodo on November 09, 2011, 11:07:49 PM
I believe the GOP took control of the Mississippi House with 62 seats in the bag, with one (District 3) up in the air, but last time when the Dem won 3-2, Alcorn County, which is not counted yet per AP, was carried by the Dem by about 250 votes, and with Arnold, the Pubbie, leading in Prentiss, which he lost last time by close to 3-2, he almost certainly will hold on and win, giving the GOP 63 seats per my count. In the other two seats out per the AP, I went to other sources for the results.  The local press states that the Dems won District 2 in Corninth (which has no votes shown on the AP).  The other seat the AP has out is District 83, where the Pubbie Snowden was leading, but his website has him claiming victory with 52%.

GOP margins in the Mississippi legislature will increase within the coming weeks as more conservative Democrats follow the example set by their colleagues in Louisiana, Alabama, and Georgia by deciding they would rather be in the majority by switching parties.  So the final total would likely not be set until perhaps early next year.  


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: rbt48 on November 09, 2011, 11:22:48 PM
I've posted my latest State Legislature breakout at http://members.cox.net/rbt48/weather/Presidential_Elections/2011_State_Legislatures_post_election.pdf (http://members.cox.net/rbt48/weather/Presidential_Elections/2011_State_Legislatures_post_election.pdf) and I'm showing the Mississippi House at 62R, 60D.  I suppose it could end up a 61 - 61 tie, but we'll see how the final two races end up. 


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Miles on November 10, 2011, 12:10:02 AM
Wow, Beshear did pretty badly in the coal counties next to WV. Any particular reason?

I'm not sure why, but I agree. All things considered, I thought Beshear underperformed.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Reaganfan on November 10, 2011, 01:24:18 AM
What was the Ohio issue regarding the opt-out of Obamacare? I saw it passed, which is a surprise considering how tonight has gone.

The wording of the amendment was VERY benign sounding. Almost misleadingly so IMHO. If I didn't know what the issue was really about, I would've likely voted for it too at face value. But hey, the SoS is a Republican of course.

CLEVELAND, Ohio --  With more than 1.5 million votes tallied, Ohio Issue 3 is winning with more than 66 percent of voters saying "Yes" to the proposal to prevent Ohioans from being forced to participate in a health care system.

The official language says it is a proposal to "preserve the freedom of Ohioans to choose their health care."

In Cuyahoga County, the issue is passing by 105,000-71,000  according to the Ohio Secretary of State.

Issue 3 is being approved in nearly every Ohio county which has reported tallies so far -- except Lucas County, where it was failing 9,054-8,760.



Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Хahar 🤔 on November 10, 2011, 01:55:59 AM
The official language says it is a proposal to "preserve the freedom of Ohioans to choose their health care."

Yeah, that's completely meaningless.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: CaDan on November 10, 2011, 07:59:07 AM
Quote
The issue is not "dissenting" views, but rather views of ANY political stripe that are persistently expressed in an immature, hysterical, belligerent, insulting, obnoxious, and above all, annoying manner. The problem with your posts isn't that you're conservative--look around you, you may be outnumbered but you are HARDLY alone there--but rather that your posts are almost invariably the intellectual equivalent of a temper tantrum.

Put down your cross, martyr. The antipathy to you stems not from excessive conservatism, but rather insufficient maturity.

Kindly and quickly either grow up or go away.

This is nonsense, and you know it. When it looked like the Dems were going to hold the Virginia Senate, we had post after post cheering that development (virtually all written like a 12 year old cheering a scripted wrestling match) and mocking Republicans. Then when all of the sudden Reeves wins, its complete silence, crickets from the other side. I post a few rather mild posts from the other side, and the first response is BAN HIM BAN HIM!!!! (Kinda like BURN HER, BURN THE WITCH!)

This place has always been an echo chamber. You keep a few Romney-type Republicans around so that you can maintain the facade of impartiality and objectiveness and call yourselves "democrat-leaning," but the pattern has shown that every-time someone truly challenges the beliefs of the left on this site, there is a call for them to be banned.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Badger on November 10, 2011, 09:38:50 AM
Quote
The issue is not "dissenting" views, but rather views of ANY political stripe that are persistently expressed in an immature, hysterical, belligerent, insulting, obnoxious, and above all, annoying manner. The problem with your posts isn't that you're conservative--look around you, you may be outnumbered but you are HARDLY alone there--but rather that your posts are almost invariably the intellectual equivalent of a temper tantrum.

Put down your cross, martyr. The antipathy to you stems not from excessive conservatism, but rather insufficient maturity.

Kindly and quickly either grow up or go away.

This is nonsense, and you know it. When it looked like the Dems were going to hold the Virginia Senate, we had post after post cheering that development (virtually all written like a 12 year old cheering a scripted wrestling match) and mocking Republicans. Then when all of the sudden Reeves wins, its complete silence, crickets from the other side. I post a few rather mild posts from the other side, and the first response is BAN HIM BAN HIM!!!! (Kinda like BURN HER, BURN THE WITCH!)

This place has always been an echo chamber. You keep a few Romney-type Republicans around so that you can maintain the facade of impartiality and objectiveness and call yourselves "democrat-leaning," but the pattern has shown that every-time someone truly challenges the beliefs of the left on this site, there is a call for them to be banned.

Still others, like seed sown among thorns, hear the word; but the worries of this life, the deceitfulness of wealth and the desires for other things come in and choke the word, making it unfruitful.

Mark 4:18-19


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: krazen1211 on November 10, 2011, 10:35:28 AM
Aggregate vote totals.

The GOP Senate candidates appear to have gotten:

Fairfax: 44%
Prince William: 51%
Loudoun: 53%.

McDonnell got.

Fairfax: 51%
Prince William: 58%
Loudoun: 61%

So about 7% slippage.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: rbt48 on November 10, 2011, 11:13:30 AM
Aggregate vote totals.

The GOP Senate candidates appear to have gotten:

Fairfax: 44%
Prince William: 51%
Loudoun: 53%.

McDonnell got.

Fairfax: 51%
Prince William: 58%
Loudoun: 61%

So about 7% slippage.
I suppose this is positive news for the Obama campaign regarding his chances to carry Virginia in 2012.  Slightly off topic, I'd be curious to see the total party vote compilation for all for all 40 State Senate races.  I realize that because of the many uncontested races, the totals wouldn't tell the whole story, but it is just mind boggling that the House can be > 2 to 1 GOP and the Senate is 50-50.  Perhaps it is a stellar example of what can be accomplished through a high quality Gerrymander.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Verily on November 10, 2011, 11:17:20 AM
Aggregate vote totals.

The GOP Senate candidates appear to have gotten:

Fairfax: 44%
Prince William: 51%
Loudoun: 53%.

McDonnell got.

Fairfax: 51%
Prince William: 58%
Loudoun: 61%

So about 7% slippage.
I suppose this is positive news for the Obama campaign regarding his chances to carry Virginia in 2012.  Slightly off topic, I'd be curious to see the total party vote compilation for all for all 40 State Senate races.  I realize that because of the many uncontested races, the totals wouldn't tell the whole story, but it is just mind boggling that the House can be > 2 to 1 GOP and the Senate is 50-50.  Perhaps it is a stellar example of what can be accomplished through a high quality Gerrymander.

See also: The New York state legislature. When there are two competing gerrymanders (in VA, a Republican gerrymander in the House and a [rather ineffective] Democratic one in the Senate), you can get very disparate results.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Lief 🗽 on November 10, 2011, 11:34:23 AM
The official language says it is a proposal to "preserve the freedom of Ohioans to choose their health care."

Yeah, that's completely meaningless.

It's also technically anti-medicare, since seniors don't have the "freedom to choose their health care" but instead must be enrolled in medicare. Good job Ohio Republicans.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: ag on November 10, 2011, 12:11:11 PM
This is nonsense, and you know it. When it looked like the Dems were going to hold the Virginia Senate, we had post after post cheering that development (virtually all written like a 12 year old cheering a scripted wrestling match) and mocking Republicans.

Inability to distinguish normal, if opinionated, conversation and infantile obnoxiousness is also a sign of mental immaturity. You've been amply exhibiting it in every way imaginable since you started posting here. Either you grow up ASAP, or, please, post somewhere else.

PS Just to make clear: this has nothing to do w/ your views or the issue at hand. In fact, if you check up the thread, you'll discover that the only comment I had made in this conversation about VA (long before you started your stream of delighted monkey screams) was to mention that I believed Republicans would likely make it in the end. Nevertheless, I find your manner of conversation extremely irritating.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: rbt48 on November 10, 2011, 04:42:56 PM
Aggregate vote totals.

The GOP Senate candidates appear to have gotten:

Fairfax: 44%
Prince William: 51%
Loudoun: 53%.

McDonnell got.

Fairfax: 51%
Prince William: 58%
Loudoun: 61%

So about 7% slippage.
I suppose this is positive news for the Obama campaign regarding his chances to carry Virginia in 2012.  Slightly off topic, I'd be curious to see the total party vote compilation for all for all 40 State Senate races.  I realize that because of the many uncontested races, the totals wouldn't tell the whole story, but it is just mind boggling that the House can be > 2 to 1 GOP and the Senate is 50-50.  Perhaps it is a stellar example of what can be accomplished through a high quality Gerrymander.

See also: The New York state legislature. When there are two competing gerrymanders (in VA, a Republican gerrymander in the House and a [rather ineffective] Democratic one in the Senate), you can get very disparate results.
I do agree.  But aside from New York and Virginia, there are no other states with as dramatic a disparity in the partisan breakout of the two state houses.  In most states, the percentage of seats held by the respective parties in the upper and lower houses are quite close to eachother.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: CatoMinor on November 10, 2011, 05:45:56 PM
Is there a final map out yet for MS?


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Verily on November 10, 2011, 05:51:35 PM
Aggregate vote totals.

The GOP Senate candidates appear to have gotten:

Fairfax: 44%
Prince William: 51%
Loudoun: 53%.

McDonnell got.

Fairfax: 51%
Prince William: 58%
Loudoun: 61%

So about 7% slippage.
I suppose this is positive news for the Obama campaign regarding his chances to carry Virginia in 2012.  Slightly off topic, I'd be curious to see the total party vote compilation for all for all 40 State Senate races.  I realize that because of the many uncontested races, the totals wouldn't tell the whole story, but it is just mind boggling that the House can be > 2 to 1 GOP and the Senate is 50-50.  Perhaps it is a stellar example of what can be accomplished through a high quality Gerrymander.

See also: The New York state legislature. When there are two competing gerrymanders (in VA, a Republican gerrymander in the House and a [rather ineffective] Democratic one in the Senate), you can get very disparate results.
I do agree.  But aside from New York and Virginia, there are no other states with as dramatic a disparity in the partisan breakout of the two state houses.  In most states, the percentage of seats held by the respective parties in the upper and lower houses are quite close to eachother.

I don't think there are any other states with split-party gerrymanders, either.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Meeker on November 10, 2011, 06:44:43 PM
Democrats got about 420,000 votes in the State Senate races versus 661,000 for the Republicans (39% to 61%).

In other words, the Democrats had a very good map.

ETA: This is slightly misleading because far more Republican incumbents had no opponents than Democratic incumbents, but still.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 10, 2011, 07:27:42 PM
Mississippi I-26 and Governor Maps:

()


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: RI on November 10, 2011, 09:17:47 PM
Another map. This time the 2007-2011 swing for KY Governor. I calculated it the same way Dave does and used the same intervals. I don't see much correlation with Galbraith's vote at all:

()


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: fezzyfestoon on November 10, 2011, 11:37:46 PM
Only vaguely related yet still alarming: Tom effing Kean Jr is now my state Senator.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: rbt48 on November 10, 2011, 11:43:05 PM
OT:  I have dear friends who adore Tom Kean, Jr.

Democrats got about 420,000 votes in the State Senate races versus 661,000 for the Republicans (39% to 61%).

In other words, the Democrats had a very good map.

ETA: This is slightly misleading because far more Republican incumbents had no opponents than Democratic incumbents, but still.

Amazing.  But also adding to the disparity is the very low turnout in many Democratic (and minority) unopposed districts as compared with the turnout in Republican unopposed districts.  But still ...

I have to wonder what the party vote totals would be in the House of Delegates races.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Marokai Backbeat on November 11, 2011, 01:18:49 AM
Knew my county, and the general area more broadly, voted very strongly against Issue 2. I didn't know my county voted 75% against it. You can't ask for much more than that!


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Torie on November 11, 2011, 11:06:55 AM
Only vaguely related yet still alarming: Tom effing Kean Jr is now my state Senator.

Why are you down on him Fezzy?


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: Kaine for Senate '18 on November 11, 2011, 11:47:57 AM
Democrats got about 420,000 votes in the State Senate races versus 661,000 for the Republicans (39% to 61%).

In other words, the Democrats had a very good map.

ETA: This is slightly misleading because far more Republican incumbents had no opponents than Democratic incumbents, but still.

Amazing.  But also adding to the disparity is the very low turnout in many Democratic (and minority) unopposed districts as compared with the turnout in Republican unopposed districts.  But still ...

I have to wonder what the party vote totals would be in the House of Delegates races.

This is largely irrelevant, given how many more Republicans were unopposed.  I would be interested in seeing numbers from just the contested races.


Title: Re: 2011 Election Results Thread
Post by: fezzyfestoon on November 12, 2011, 09:57:44 AM
Only vaguely related yet still alarming: Tom effing Kean Jr is now my state Senator.
Why are you down on him Fezzy?

Well, he's not really that bad at all. But he's a bit of a doofus.