Talk Elections

Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion => Congressional Elections => Topic started by: zorkpolitics on January 02, 2012, 02:29:36 PM



Title: DCCC Frontline list of vulnerable incumbents
Post by: zorkpolitics on January 02, 2012, 02:29:36 PM
DCCC updated their list of the weakest Democratic incumbents (excluding Dem v Dem primaries due to redistricting).
http://dccc.org/blog/entry/dccc_chairman_steve_israel_announces_new_frontline_members/

Interestingly, Heath Shuler, rated by Cook and Rothenberg as endangered is not on the list, further supporting the rumor he will retire. 

The 18 most endangered Democratic incumbents are:

Ben Chandler (KY-06)
Betty Sutton (OH-16)
Bill Owens (NY-23)
Dave Loebsack (IA-02)
Gabby Giffords (AZ-08)
Gerry Connolly (VA-11)
Jerry McNerney (CA-11)
Jim Matheson (UT-04)
John Barrow (GA-12)
John Garamendi (CA-03)
Kathy Hochul (NY-26)
Kurt Schrader (OR-05)
Larry Kissell (NC-08)
Leonard Boswell (IA-03)
Lois Capps (CA-24)
Mike McIntyre (NC-07)
Tim Bishop (NY-01)
Tim Walz (MN-01)


Title: Re: DCCC Frontline list of vulnerable incumbents
Post by: I spent the winter writing songs about getting better on January 02, 2012, 03:10:58 PM
Walz should be fine. His seat will not change much and his only declared opponent is a nutter.


Title: Re: DCCC Frontline list of vulnerable incumbents
Post by: Miles on January 02, 2012, 04:55:35 PM
Last I heard, Shuler was still running.

I thought the VA Republicans were trying to give Connelly in a safer district so that they'd have a solid 8-3 delegation.


Title: Re: DCCC Frontline list of vulnerable incumbents
Post by: minionofmidas on January 02, 2012, 05:40:48 PM
This list has some strange entries on it.


Title: Re: DCCC Frontline list of vulnerable incumbents
Post by: You kip if you want to... on January 02, 2012, 05:43:31 PM
As if Gabby Giffords is vunerable...


Title: Re: DCCC Frontline list of vulnerable incumbents
Post by: krazen1211 on January 03, 2012, 11:13:53 AM
Also no Carnahan or Jim Cooper.


Title: Re: DCCC Frontline list of vulnerable incumbents
Post by: Small Business Owner of Any Repute on January 03, 2012, 03:49:48 PM

Would it be inappropriate to explain to you why a person with severe brain damage might find it hard to win re-election to a leadership position?


Title: Re: DCCC Frontline list of vulnerable incumbents
Post by: Хahar 🤔 on January 03, 2012, 05:11:20 PM
McNerney's not going to lose; I doubt Garamendi does, either.