Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2012 Elections => Topic started by: Eraserhead on January 06, 2012, 09:05:48 AM



Title: Ron Paul over/under 21.45% in New Hampshire?
Post by: Eraserhead on January 06, 2012, 09:05:48 AM
?


Title: Re: Ron Paul over/under 21.45% in New Hampshire?
Post by: TheGlobalizer on January 06, 2012, 01:00:26 PM
Guessing over.  But, I was wrong about him in Iowa.


Title: Re: Ron Paul over/under 21.45% in New Hampshire?
Post by: © tweed on January 06, 2012, 01:26:52 PM
over would be a pretty serious shock, he's in freefall.  more likely he finishes third than >21.5%.


Title: Re: Ron Paul over/under 21.45% in New Hampshire?
Post by: TheGlobalizer on January 06, 2012, 03:04:40 PM
over would be a pretty serious shock, he's in freefall.  more likely he finishes third than >21.5%.

Where are you seeing a freefall?


Title: Re: Ron Paul over/under 21.45% in New Hampshire?
Post by: redcommander on January 06, 2012, 03:17:03 PM
Under. He underperformed polling in Iowa.


Title: Re: Ron Paul over/under 21.45% in New Hampshire?
Post by: Eraserhead on January 06, 2012, 05:37:57 PM
over would be a pretty serious shock, he's in freefall.  more likely he finishes third than >21.5%.

Where are you seeing a freefall?

Yeah, how is he in freefall?

I'd guess under too though. Probably 17-19% or so.



Title: Re: Ron Paul over/under 21.45% in New Hampshire?
Post by: Eraserhead on January 06, 2012, 05:55:59 PM
Looks like Newt is the only person in a freefall here:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nh/new_hampshire_republican_presidential_primary-1581.html


Title: Re: Ron Paul over/under 21.45% in New Hampshire?
Post by: © tweed on January 06, 2012, 06:39:55 PM
'freefall' is too strong a term.  but he has peaked and is probably flatlined at 16-18% max.  he had to win Iowa to become some sort of ironic right-wing alternative to Romney.


Title: Re: Ron Paul over/under 21.45% in New Hampshire?
Post by: California8429 on January 06, 2012, 07:29:36 PM
Under. He needed an Iowa win to jump up. Still possible though.


Title: Re: Ron Paul over/under 21.45% in New Hampshire?
Post by: TheGlobalizer on January 06, 2012, 07:52:03 PM
'freefall' is too strong a term.  but he has peaked and is probably flatlined at 16-18% max.  he had to win Iowa to become some sort of ironic right-wing alternative to Romney.

RCP average is currently at 20%.  Most recent polling is in the 17-21 range.


Title: Re: Ron Paul over/under 21.45% in New Hampshire?
Post by: Eraserhead on January 11, 2012, 07:36:14 AM
Congrats to everyone who said "over"!