Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: Tender Branson on February 25, 2012, 01:24:51 AM



Title: SD-Nielsen Brothers Polling: Republicans ahead of Obama in South Dakota
Post by: Tender Branson on February 25, 2012, 01:24:51 AM
45% Santorum
33% Obama

44% Romney
35% Obama

NBP released Friday the results of a poll it conducted between Feb. 15-17. Officials say they selected registered South Dakota voters are random. The question on choosing a GOP candidate drew 302 responses, with a margin of error of 5.64 percent. The question on a head-to-head race drew 559 responses, with a margin of error of 4.15 percent.

http://www.kdlt.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=15627&Itemid=57


Title: Re: SD-Nielsen Brothers Polling: Republicans ahead of Obama in South Dakota
Post by: Miles on February 25, 2012, 02:01:47 AM
I thought Obama floor would be higher than 33%...


Title: Re: SD-Nielsen Brothers Polling: Republicans ahead of Obama in South Dakota
Post by: Eraserhead on February 25, 2012, 03:34:06 AM
I thought Obama floor would be higher than 33%...

Obviously they really didn't push people at all.


Title: Re: SD-Nielsen Brothers Polling: Republicans ahead of Obama in South Dakota
Post by: I'm JewCon in name only. on February 25, 2012, 11:36:58 PM
If the Dakota's are even remotely close, it'll be a great night for Obama and co.


Title: Re: SD-Nielsen Brothers Polling: Republicans ahead of Obama in South Dakota
Post by: pbrower2a on March 13, 2012, 12:51:52 PM
If the Dakota's are even remotely close, it'll be a great night for Obama and co.

Split the difference 50-50 (which may be charitable for Republicans), and President Obama loses the state 55-45, which is little worse than he did in SD in 2008. I doubt that the President will make many appearances in South Dakota because it will have only one nationally-important  contested race (the at-large House seat -- and that is now tied). 


Title: Re: SD-Nielsen Brothers Polling: Republicans ahead of Obama in South Dakota
Post by: morgieb on March 13, 2012, 04:30:12 PM
Why the high undecided rate?


Title: Re: SD-Nielsen Brothers Polling: Republicans ahead of Obama in South Dakota
Post by: Alcon on March 13, 2012, 05:00:59 PM

Most pollsters ask undecided voters which way they're leaning, and include this in the top-line; it's called pushing.  A lot of crappy pollsters, especially university ones, do not, and end up with absurdly high undecided rates.


Title: Re: SD-Nielsen Brothers Polling: Republicans ahead of Obama in South Dakota
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on March 14, 2012, 08:34:10 AM
THIS CHANGES EVERYTHING


Title: Re: SD-Nielsen Brothers Polling: Republicans ahead of Obama in South Dakota
Post by: Queen Mum Inks.LWC on March 14, 2012, 06:14:30 PM
Database entry: https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=4620120217171