Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2012 Elections => Topic started by: Stan on March 08, 2012, 12:52:05 PM



Title: Hawaii GOP Caucus - Who will win?
Post by: Stan on March 08, 2012, 12:52:05 PM
Who will win in GOP Caucus in Hawaii?


Title: Re: Hawaii GOP Caucus - Who will win?
Post by: Keystone Phil on March 08, 2012, 12:56:36 PM
I don't see why Mitt or Paul wouldn't win convincingly. Haven't heard anyone talk about Paul having a shot here though so I guess it's safe for Romney.


Title: Re: Hawaii GOP Caucus - Who will win?
Post by: RogueBeaver on March 08, 2012, 01:01:46 PM
Mittens. This is Hawaii, where the only Republican of note is pro-choice, anti-death penalty, anti-voucher. Not exactly Santorum country.


Title: Re: Hawaii GOP Caucus - Who will win?
Post by: tpfkaw on March 08, 2012, 01:02:23 PM
Did we ever learn the results from '08?


Title: Re: Hawaii GOP Caucus - Who will win?
Post by: Torie on March 08, 2012, 01:04:40 PM
Hawaii should be Mittens country.  Mittens will do well I would think both with the Asians (how many Asians are evangelicals?) and the upscale haoles - and there are a lot of upscale haoles in Hawaii who tend to be olds (Mittens does well with olds) to boot. The lagniappe is that Hawaii has a fair number of LDS adherents. The LDS missionaries have had pretty good success spreading the word in the Aloha State.


Title: Re: Hawaii GOP Caucus - Who will win?
Post by: tpfkaw on March 08, 2012, 01:05:56 PM
Hawaii should be Mittens country.  Mittens will do well I would think both with the Asians (how many Asians are evangelicals?)

Quite a few of the Republican ones.


Title: Re: Hawaii GOP Caucus - Who will win?
Post by: Eraserhead on March 08, 2012, 01:10:47 PM
It should go for Romney. We can always hope for a surprise though.


Title: Re: Hawaii GOP Caucus - Who will win?
Post by: RIP Robert H Bork on March 08, 2012, 01:11:11 PM
Mitt Romney, with Paul in second place.


Title: Re: Hawaii GOP Caucus - Who will win?
Post by: Wisconsin+17 on March 08, 2012, 01:14:19 PM
Amusingly there were polls showing Cain up in HI.


Title: Re: Hawaii GOP Caucus - Who will win?
Post by: Mr. Morden on March 08, 2012, 02:50:18 PM

I've been looking for them for years, and I suspect that Joe Republic knows the answer.  If only he'd been willing to post in this thread:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?;topic=127584.0


Title: Re: Hawaii GOP Caucus - Who will win?
Post by: Lief 🗽 on March 08, 2012, 02:53:27 PM
3.3% of Hawaiians are Mormon = safe Romney.


Title: Re: Hawaii GOP Caucus - Who will win?
Post by: J. J. on March 08, 2012, 03:11:34 PM
American Samoa also votes this day (9 Delegates).  High Mormon population as well.

Seriously, I expect these to be the only two pieces of good news Tuesday.



Title: Re: Hawaii GOP Caucus - Who will win?
Post by: They put it to a vote and they just kept lying on March 08, 2012, 03:16:15 PM
I hope Paul, but it'll likely go Romney.


Title: Re: Hawaii GOP Caucus - Who will win?
Post by: argentarius on March 08, 2012, 03:20:54 PM
Post super tuesday intrade seems to be taking a break. Paul is the only one listed there and is at 10%, but they also seem to think Newt is 3rd favourite in AL and 2nd in MS.


Title: Re: Hawaii GOP Caucus - Who will win?
Post by: TheGlobalizer on March 08, 2012, 04:12:51 PM
Romney, by a lot.


Title: Re: Hawaii GOP Caucus - Who will win?
Post by: morgieb on March 08, 2012, 04:25:43 PM
Safe Romney.


Title: Re: Hawaii GOP Caucus - Who will win?
Post by: Atlas Has Shrugged on March 08, 2012, 04:44:24 PM
Romney



Paul





Gingrich
Santorum


Title: Re: Hawaii GOP Caucus - Who will win?
Post by: Bacon King on March 08, 2012, 06:09:52 PM
Even the Paultards aren't bothering to hype up his chances here? It'd certainly be amusing if he ended up actually winning this one.


Title: Re: Hawaii GOP Caucus - Who will win?
Post by: RI on March 08, 2012, 06:37:25 PM

Precinct caucus had no presidential preference poll. McCain won the state convention.


Title: Re: Hawaii GOP Caucus - Who will win?
Post by: Rules for me, but not for thee on March 09, 2012, 05:01:17 AM
Even the Paultards aren't bothering to hype up his chances here? It'd certainly be amusing if he ended up actually winning this one.

It would just be another fracas like Maine.  I'm just hoping for the Romney/Paul ticket now, and glad the issues are changing to what RP has been talking about.


Title: Re: Hawaii GOP Caucus - Who will win?
Post by: RI on March 09, 2012, 11:38:27 AM
Doesn't Oahu have a fair number of Mormons?


Title: Re: Hawaii GOP Caucus - Who will win?
Post by: Matthew on March 09, 2012, 07:51:05 PM
Safe romney.


Title: Re: Hawaii GOP Caucus - Who will win?
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on March 09, 2012, 08:31:44 PM
Olds+Asians+military presence=Mittens.

Paul couldn't win Alaska. How does he win in a state which should be terrible for him?


Title: Re: Hawaii GOP Caucus - Who will win?
Post by: Queen Mum Inks.LWC on March 10, 2012, 06:58:35 AM
I don't see why Mitt or Paul wouldn't win convincingly. Haven't heard anyone talk about Paul having a shot here though so I guess it's safe for Romney.

From what I've heard, he's raised more money there than anybody else, but the same was the case in Alaska, and Alaska was a LOT more friendly ideologically, so I don't think it'll be Paul in Hawaii.