Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => 2008 U.S. Presidential Election Results => Topic started by: Nichlemn on March 16, 2012, 06:19:33 PM



Title: Did Obama win black Republicans?
Post by: Nichlemn on March 16, 2012, 06:19:33 PM
And what percentage of the vote did he get? Exit polls don't show it as far as I'm aware.


Title: Re: Did Obama win black Republicans?
Post by: tpfkaw on March 16, 2012, 06:48:12 PM
According to CNN, Bush won 11% of the black vote in '04, and McCain won 4% of the black vote in '08.  It can therefore be deduced that Obama probably won most black Republicans.


Title: Re: Did Obama win black Republicans?
Post by: Nichlemn on March 16, 2012, 06:55:33 PM
According to CNN, Bush won 11% of the black vote in '04, and McCain won 4% of the black vote in '08.  It can therefore be deduced that Obama probably won most black Republicans.

It's plausible that many of Obama's improved numbers came from turning out a lot more Democratic and Independent blacks, along with ratcheting up even larger margins among them.

But in any case, I'm intrigued as to how black Republicans vote in any elections.


Title: Re: Did Obama win black Republicans?
Post by: Bacon King on March 16, 2012, 07:17:01 PM
Anecdotally, the three black Republicans I know all voted for McCain.


Title: Re: Did Obama win black Republicans?
Post by: Gustaf on March 16, 2012, 08:22:16 PM
I'd imagine that the small minority of Blacks who are registered Republicans would be quite firm in their Republicanism and that Obama's increased voter share came from larger turnout rather than swinging that group.


Title: Re: Did Obama win black Republicans?
Post by: Mr. Morden on March 16, 2012, 08:23:32 PM
But in any case, I'm intrigued as to how black Republicans vote in any elections.

I want to know how they've voted in the 2012 primaries:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=142445.0


Title: Re: Did Obama win black Republicans?
Post by: minionofmidas on March 17, 2012, 07:42:07 AM
Who knows? Where are Black Republicans concentrated, anyways - the military officer corps? Blacks living in affluent lilywhite affluent suburbs? Obama did unusually well in the military in 2008. And in certain affluent suburbs too...


Title: Re: Did Obama win black Republicans?
Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on March 17, 2012, 07:47:34 AM
Where are Black Republicans concentrated, anyways

Has anyone ever looked into that?


Title: Re: Did Obama win black Republicans?
Post by: FEMA Camp Administrator on March 17, 2012, 08:18:25 AM
There was some black dude at a flea market who said he voted for Clinton, but that's about it. I'm not in the habit of asking "black folk" how they vote.


Title: Re: Did Obama win black Republicans?
Post by: Niemeyerite on March 17, 2012, 09:51:11 AM
Herman Cain's wife voted for Obama, IIRC. And JC Watts said he might vote for Obama in 2008.

 not being racist or annoying... is there any black, republican or democrat, in this forum?


Title: Re: Did Obama win black Republicans?
Post by: FEMA Camp Administrator on March 17, 2012, 10:36:14 AM
Herman Cain's wife voted for Obama, IIRC. And JC Watts said he might vote for Obama in 2008.

 not being racist or annoying... is there any black, republican or democrat, in this forum?

Simfan34, former Huntsman supporter, (R-NJ).


Title: Re: Did Obama win black Republicans?
Post by: I'm JewCon in name only. on March 17, 2012, 10:54:07 AM
J.C. Watts did consider Obama, but I believe he voted McCain.


I kinda wish I knew J.C. in real life, I feel like we'd agree on a lot.

I honestly think Obama won like 45%-50% of Black repubs. I actually know 3 black teenage republicans in my school.


Title: Re: Did Obama win black Republicans?
Post by: Bacon King on March 17, 2012, 01:59:36 PM
Who knows? Where are Black Republicans concentrated, anyways - the military officer corps? Blacks living in affluent lilywhite affluent suburbs? Obama did unusually well in the military in 2008. And in certain affluent suburbs too...

In my experience:
-US Military NCO's
-business owners
-financial sector employees

edit: and, in the south anyway, they tend to live on the "white side" of town in mixed-race communities.


Title: Re: Did Obama win black Republicans?
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on March 17, 2012, 02:43:59 PM
If we know the percentages of party affiliations and the percentages of the 2008 vote, it's easy to do some estimates.


Title: Re: Did Obama win black Republicans?
Post by: tpfkaw on March 17, 2012, 02:50:43 PM
Immigrants (from Africa) tend to be much more Republican than native-born blacks as well.


Title: Re: Did Obama win black Republicans?
Post by: Nhoj on April 01, 2012, 08:24:17 PM
Who knows? Where are Black Republicans concentrated, anyways
Cable news networks.


Title: Re: Did Obama win black Republicans?
Post by: All Along The Watchtower on April 07, 2012, 11:59:58 AM
Who knows? Where are Black Republicans concentrated, anyways
Cable news networks.

Or the RNC.


Title: Re: Did Obama win black Republicans?
Post by: CatoMinor on May 08, 2012, 02:47:40 PM
Who knows? Where are Black Republicans concentrated, anyways
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chester,_Pennsylvania


Title: Re: Did Obama win black Republicans?
Post by: ag on May 08, 2012, 04:37:07 PM
Who knows? Where are Black Republicans concentrated, anyways
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chester,_Pennsylvania

Pretty sure Obama won those.


Title: Re: Did Obama win black Republicans?
Post by: CatoMinor on May 08, 2012, 05:01:20 PM
Who knows? Where are Black Republicans concentrated, anyways
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chester,_Pennsylvania

Pretty sure Obama won those.
I have no doubt he won them, but that is a concentration of African Americans who appear to vote Republican locally.


Title: Re: Did Obama win black Republicans?
Post by: JoshPA on July 21, 2017, 07:35:20 PM
Who knows? Where are Black Republicans concentrated, anyways - the military officer corps? Blacks living in affluent lilywhite affluent suburbs? Obama did unusually well in the military in 2008. And in certain affluent suburbs too...
You get some in the intercity but you wouldnt know it they keep quiet