Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2012 Elections => Topic started by: Erc on March 21, 2012, 12:22:59 PM



Title: Who breaks 25% in Louisiana?
Post by: Erc on March 21, 2012, 12:22:59 PM
There is a 25% threshold to receive delegates in Louisiana, which is the highest in the country among all the 'proportional' states.

Which of the candidates will meet that threshold this Saturday?

Related question for discussion:  Does Newt Gingrich have any relevance in the race anymore if he fails to meet the threshold?


Title: Re: Who breaks 25% in Louisiana?
Post by: firennice on March 21, 2012, 12:31:26 PM
With the contests that are left, and becoming more and more a fringe candidate, I think he will only keep the diehards.
He is just hanging on hoping for some miracle, great speaking slot, or even to get his name out there as much as possible for the next election cycle.


Title: Re: Who breaks 25% in Louisiana?
Post by: politicus on March 21, 2012, 01:01:09 PM
There is a 25% threshold to receive delegates in Louisiana, which is the highest in the country among all the 'proportional' states.

Which of the candidates will meet that threshold this Saturday?
Santorum and Romney

Related question for discussion:  Does Newt Gingrich have any relevance in the race anymore if he fails to meet the threshold?
No, but he is already irrelevant.


Title: Re: Who breaks 25% in Louisiana?
Post by: WalterMitty on March 21, 2012, 01:26:50 PM
is roemer on the ballot?  (is he still 'in' the race?)


Title: Re: Who breaks 25% in Louisiana?
Post by: Eraserhead on March 21, 2012, 05:18:06 PM
Santorum and Romney will. Gingrich has a shot at it, but I'd bet against it.


Title: Re: Who breaks 25% in Louisiana?
Post by: Yelnoc on March 21, 2012, 06:43:49 PM
is roemer on the ballot?  (is he still 'in' the race?)
Yes, he is still on the ballot.  I highly doubt he will break 5%, however.  And Erc, Gingrich hasn't been relevant since he lost Alabama and Mississippi.


Title: Re: Who breaks 25% in Louisiana?
Post by: J. J. on March 22, 2012, 08:14:55 AM
etch n skecth comment will give louisanna to santorum.

He already had LA.  I think Santorum still does, but it will be close to a 60-40 delegate split.


Title: Re: Who breaks 25% in Louisiana?
Post by: ajb on March 22, 2012, 11:19:05 AM
Romney's almost bound to hit 25%, if Gingrich and Paul are non-factors. Santorum's best shot for a sweep of the at-large delegates would be something like
Santorum 40
Romney 24
Gingrich 24
Paul 12


Title: Re: Who breaks 25% in Louisiana?
Post by: Queen Mum Inks.LWC on March 22, 2012, 11:20:24 AM
etch n skecth comment will give louisanna to santorum.

Etch a Sketch... not "n".


Title: Re: Who breaks 25% in Louisiana?
Post by: Is Totally Not Feeblepizza. on March 22, 2012, 12:23:19 PM
My prediction:

Santorum: 43%
Romney: 33%

Gingrich: 19%
Paul: 5%


Title: Re: Who breaks 25% in Louisiana?
Post by: TheGlobalizer on March 23, 2012, 03:28:45 PM
My prediction:

Santorum: 43%
Romney: 33%

Gingrich: 19%
Paul: 5%

Looks about right.


Title: Re: Who breaks 25% in Louisiana?
Post by: California8429 on March 23, 2012, 08:46:08 PM
Romney and Santorum