Talk Elections

New Poll: Wisconsin President by Rasmussen on 2012-03-21 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012R/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=5520120321016)

Summary:

Romney:	46%
Santorum:	33%
Paul:	8%
Gingrich:	7%
Other:	1%
Undecided:	5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/wisconsin/2012_wisconsin_republican_primary)

Wow!

Fake poll (as in they made up the numbers). And if he really has surged by that much then there are a ton of swing voters who could go back to Rick in LA.

After sweeping Mississippi's bayous, Mittens is ready to conquer the cheeseheads.

Doing just as well as in Illinois? Ok then i think I will wait for PPP to confirm if that's true or not.

It's most likely true. Same story like in Washington, just with a primary.

It's PPP, not ARG.

Game over, man.

Uh. No.

No, it's Rasmussen.

So it is. I'm an idiot.

Actually he is doing better than Illinois. Rass had Mittens nine points ahead in Illinois.

This shouldn't be surprising.

Yeah, keep telling yourself that.

Wisconsin is a must-win state for Santorum to win the nomination, and it looks like he might not get it. Even if Romney's lead isn't this large, it'll be very difficult for Santorum to catch up considering Romney has more momentum and money right now.

That momentum is going to get you a big win tomorrow, right? No? Ok.

How long are you going to remain in denial and believe Santorum has a real shot at winning the nomination?

Can't wait to see your reaction when Romney officially passes the delegate threshhold.

If Santorum can't win in places like Wisconsin, there's no way he can stop Romney from winning a majority on the first ballot, barring shenanigans.

I never once said it was likely that he'd win the nomination at this point. You, though, are in denial about the party coalescing around Romney when we clearly are now. I can't wait to see your reaction when he gets walloped...again...after being declared the "presumptive nominee."

And either way, you're going to be waiting a long time to see Romney or anyone pass the delegate threshold, genius.

I don't think one Romney supporter here expects him to come in first in Louisiana - not one. The Rick/Newt candidate gets the old slave states (exclusive of Delaware and Maryland, and yes, maybe Texas - the Sean Trende demographic regression analysis figure there is 45% Mittens of the 3 party vote - better than Wisconsin at 43%), plus the plains, and Mittens gets most everything else, other than some of those caucus cf's. That's the deal.  Life is good!

No one said the Romney supporters expect a win tomorrow. That's not the point. The point is that you can't shout about how this is over and the party is coalescing around your candidate while he gets soundly defeated in a primary made up of voters that represent the national GOP base.

::)

Torie and the rest of Mitt's cheerleaders don't understand that the problem isn't only the fact that there is stiff resistance among conservatives but mainly the fact that he is unable to put away such weak challengers.

Like Josh Marshall said watching Romney trying to beat Santorum and Gingrich is like watching a fisherman struggling to land an one pound fish or a bully trying (and failing) to steal candy from a baby.

But was this pre or post Etch a Sketch!

It is over if the demographic model holds (as it has been like a Swiss watch, with Mittens apparently adding a bit of Newt vote as he fades away), but yes, there is no coalescing either, in the sense that Santorum/Newt are holding their demographic as well.

Actually, this demographic divide in the party does not surprise me at all, and I am for one am not bothered in the slightest that it is taking time for this demographic model to play out, nor am I particularly worried that this lengthy exercise will have much impact on the general election. We will just have to wait until after say the first debate in the General election and what the polls say then, to assess whether the Mittbots' current serenity just reflects an inability to perceive reality, or whether all this rather anxious chatter from you guys was well ... just noise. In the meantime all of this back and forth speculating about the future is at once redundant and futile, because none of us are going to agree. As Sam Spade would say - patience!

I also like how everyone loves Rasmussen again...

haha yea, before they were calling for his head!

The coalescing has begun my friend, the coalescing has begun.  Join us in the battle in bringing sanity to America's economy by helping Romney defeat Obama.  And bring Rick along with you.  

http://nbcpolitics.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/03/20/10782766-romney-shows-signs-of-strength-as-republicans-start-to-coalesce

Romney demonstrated Tuesday that he may finally be uniting Republicans behind his candidacy in a way that he has not until now: he won 43 percent of conservatives, who accounted for two out of three voters in Tuesday’s contest. Santorum won 39 percent of conservatives in Illinois.

Romney’s winning the conservative segment of the electorate is an indication that Republican voters are starting to coalesce behind his candidacy.

This. Is. Perfect.

But you obviously want to avoid comment on the actual article because it is so devastating to your man Rick, the article proving that in fact the party is coalescing around Romney.

I'm not sure who is more delusional, you or Rick.

Someone once said watching George Romney running for president was like watching a duck try to f$%k a football.

Genetics?

Romney will lose absent some sort of a crisis, or maybe if gas prices rise another dollar or two before the election. It's humorous that you cannot see how horrible of a candidate Mittens is. And I just hope the country isn't stupid enough to vote for a Republican right now. If they do, we get a war in Iran! Woot, woot! Oh and tax cuts for all and a default soon after that. Life is beautiful, isn't it?

I question the accuracy of this one.  Santorum won't get much out of Louisiana, because it's such a long stretch after it, but I think WI will be closer than this.

Medias are clearly fed up with this primary, eh ?

When will we have just one other poll on Wisconsin, damn it ?!?

I think Santorum should step aside if he loses Wisconsin. He is just trolling at this point. Even the vast majority of his former supporters feel he has wore out this act...