Talk Elections

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Ohio finds Obama leads Mitt Romney 48% to 40%.

If Santorum is his Republican opponent, the president posts a 47% to 41% lead.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/ohio/election_2012_ohio_presidential_election

:)

Yeah, might want to hold your smiley:

April 8,2008
Mccain 47%
Obama 40%

July 21,2008
Mccain 52%
Obama 42%

What exactly is that ?

???

Rasmussen polls from the previous election. Y'all keep acting like this one's over.

Ah, my fault. I was looking up the 2008 Pennsylvania polls, not Ohio ... :P

Wasn't this the time back in 2008 when the Wright-stuff came up to haunt Obama and McCain pulled ahead ?

The July poll looks like an outlier.

Database entry: https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=3920120326016

Same question from the VA poll with a comfortable Obama lead. What is the GOP plan without Ohio?

It doesn't matter what the plan is.  We're gonna lose the Presidency.  We need to focus on still getting the vote out though, and making sure that our downballot races don't suffer.

Good thing Romney keeps winning the "Can beat Obama" voters in these primaries. ::)

So, you concede Obama's re-election. Which means the GOP can't get the things they want.  Even if the Dems retake the House, you guys are gonna filibuster every single proposal they put up, so the Dems can't get what they want. Why bother?

The real battle Is going to be for congress.2012 Is shaping up to be 1996 all over again.Obama
Is going to win.Romney Is Dole 2012(except Dole had actual Convictions.You may disagree with
Dole as I did on most but he stuck to his views unlike Romney) and the battle will be for the
House and senate.

Poll numbers like this are because of the ongoing GOP primary.  After Santorum and Gingrich drop out, and the Republicans rally around their man (who will be Romney), his poll numbers will shoot up.

Increased exposure to Mitt Romney doesn't tend to make people like him more.

I expect Romney to go up to Mccain's numbers when he actully wins this thing.That doesn't change the fact people don't like him.The last front runner with these numbers were Clinton.
And Romney Is No Clinton.

Looks likePA is more winnable for Romney as OH

it`s not possible that in the Senate race both candidates are tied and for the presidential level it`s a blowout. But OH is defenetily in play and now doubt Obama leads there at the moment. The R`s of the state are hurting there and OH is a twin of the national level so it`s 50/50 today I think!

If Rasmussen shows this numbers in Sept after the conventions I would be worry but not now

I see nothing but good news in these polls. Before the R`s even united behind a candidate and started full force into Obama he’s already in the 40`s in these states.

Romney's problem is not with Republicans. It's with Indys.

There you go.

Why do you think that?  Independents who lean one way or the other are pretty damn predictable voters -- not so much as partisan self-identifiers.  There aren't many Dem-leaning independents who voted Republican in 2008...so why do you think that's Romney's problem?

Romney is trying to appeal to most Indies but it's not working for some people.

True, this is basically what he needs to get to 270. If he loses Ohio, he needs to make up those 18 EV elsewhere. Romney would need something like CO+NV+IA.

()

Fixed.

I'm sure it's working for some Indies.

Mitt Romney is the new Nixon. He needs a left leaning third party candidate in or to win the general election. Hillary running as a 3rd party candidate (which obviously will not happen) is his only chance.

Of course Senator Obama is one of the slickest, shrewdest campaigners in American history.

The problem isn't among Republicans, its Independents jumping ship.

If this is their plan they're in deep sh!t if not ed

Winning Wisconsin,NH,1 electoral vote from Maine,NC,and Florida Is a pipe dream for Republicans.
Nevada and Colorado are looking good for Obama.Thinking Virginia a tossup but Flirda and NC safe for Romney?Tossup In Michigan?Yes I can buy Ohio and PA as Tossups.Missouri,Arizona and one Electoral vote In Neb may be battlegrounds.

And those people are thus "Dem-leaning Indies"?  You realize that's the same as saying "Romney has a problem with independent voters who are not intending to vote for him"...?

I await O+15 in OH.

The Senators need to be worried about keeping their seats now.

Rocky Anderson could work, if he can convince his donors to give to Rocky's PAC's instead of Mitts.

Election's not over unless Romney still looks unelectable after his convention bounce. It's very much competitive.

This election is O-VAH.

The republicans go first this year,and Obama will get a convention bounce In September.This time the VP pick won't overshadow the day after Democratic Convention.

I set up a poll to see how prevalent this view is.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=152075.0

I think Romney's got a tough road to win, but it's not completely unreasonable he could.

Romney winning NH is a pipe dream?

The general election now two days old and Romney has won both days big... momentum building?

Sure, he might lose in Ohio by 7! Amazing.

In Summer - early Fall 2008, McCain won every news cycle for months, until the financial crisis, his  completely botched reaction to it, and Sarah Palin's epic flameout conspired to doom his campaign in the space of two weeks.

You are a bad person.

I know he's been called on it, but I never thought I'd see a Republican bragging that his candidate was only down 8 in Ohio in a Rasmussen poll.

Exactly!

Obama doesn't have to win OH, but NH is critical Romney, if he loses NH he would probably lose the election because of Obamas leads in CO, NM and NV.

Maybe the 2016 election will be interesting. This one sure isn't.

I love Scott, Mitt is leading by two nationally.....yet BO is winning OH by 8.

He truly is a successfully troll.