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Title: WI PrimR: Public Policy Polling: Romney Leads by 7%; Very Strong Among Early Voters Post by: Queen Mum Inks.LWC on April 01, 2012, 10:41:56 PM New Poll: Wisconsin President by Public Policy Polling on 2012-04-01 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012R/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=5520120401108)
Summary:
Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WIMD_401.pdf) Q2 Have you already cast your ballot for President, or do you plan to vote on election day? Already voted.................................................. 7% Plan to vote on election day............................ 93% Q3 (Early voters:) Did you vote for Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, or Rick Santorum? Newt Gingrich ................................................. 12% Ron Paul ......................................................... 11% Mitt Romney.................................................... 56% Rick Santorum................................................ 21% Q4 (Election day/not sure voters:) The Republican candidates for President are Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum. If the election was today, who would you vote for? Newt Gingrich ................................................. 7% Ron Paul ......................................................... 11% Mitt Romney.................................................... 42% Rick Santorum................................................ 37% Someone else/Not sure .................................. 2% Q5 (Combined Horse Race, Q3 and Q4) Newt Gingrich ................................................. 8% Ron Paul ......................................................... 11% Mitt Romney.................................................... 43% Rick Santorum................................................ 36% Someone else/Not sure .................................. 2% Title: Re: WI PrimR: Public Policy Polling: Romney Leads by 7%; Very Strong Among Early Voters Post by: Queen Mum Inks.LWC on April 01, 2012, 10:46:15 PM If Romney does end up pulling through with a win here, that'll pretty much guarantee Romney as the nominee.
Title: Re: WI PrimR: Public Policy Polling: Romney Leads by 7%; Very Strong Among Early Voters Post by: SPQR on April 02, 2012, 08:35:39 AM Don't see how Romney can lose this.
Title: Re: WI PrimR: Public Policy Polling: Romney Leads by 7%; Very Strong Among Early Voters Post by: Miles on April 02, 2012, 09:01:00 AM I'm not ruling out Santorum, but if Romney wins here, I think he'll pretty much seal the deal.
Title: Re: WI PrimR: Public Policy Polling: Romney Leads by 7%; Very Strong Among Early Voters Post by: Sbane on April 02, 2012, 11:01:30 AM Agree with those above. Even a 5 point win would indicate Romney sealing the deal. of course we kind of already knew that.
Title: Re: WI PrimR: Public Policy Polling: Romney Leads by 7%; Very Strong Among Early Voters Post by: argentarius on April 02, 2012, 11:05:52 AM I don't read into early voter numbers, if they believe in a candidate enough to vote for them early it's not like they were going to change their mind on election day.
Title: Re: WI PrimR: Public Policy Polling: Romney Leads by 7%; Very Strong Among Early Voters Post by: jmc247 on April 02, 2012, 05:09:33 PM I don't read into early voter numbers, if they believe in a candidate enough to vote for them early it's not like they were going to change their mind on election day. The early vote numbers have been a pretty good sign on who will win any given state. It hasn't been so good at guessing the overall spread though. Title: Re: WI PrimR: Public Policy Polling: Romney Leads by 7%; Very Strong Among Early Voters Post by: You kip if you want to... on April 03, 2012, 06:50:53 AM I reckon Rick could pull even, considering how much pollsters have been understating him.
Title: Re: WI PrimR: Public Policy Polling: Romney Leads by 7%; Very Strong Among Early Voters Post by: jmc247 on April 03, 2012, 07:30:50 AM I reckon Rick could pull even, considering how much pollsters have been understating him. In Southern states it's been true not mid Western states. PPP predicted Romney would lose MI by one point and he won it by 3.2 points. The evangelicals in southern states who many times don't have land line phones throw off polling in that region. Title: Re: WI PrimR: Public Policy Polling: Romney Leads by 7%; Very Strong Among Early Voters Post by: Gustaf on April 03, 2012, 10:58:26 AM Wisconsin amusingly seems to have a bit of a track record of deciding nomination processes. As I recall, it sealed it for Kerry in 2004 and for Obama in 2008.
Title: Re: WI PrimR: Public Policy Polling: Romney Leads by 7%; Very Strong Among Early Voters Post by: Torie on April 03, 2012, 11:08:57 AM Wisconsin amusingly seems to have a bit of a track record of deciding nomination processes. As I recall, it sealed it for Kerry in 2004 and for Obama in 2008. And it forced LBJ to eschew running for re-election. |