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Title: If only people under 30 voted Post by: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on January 12, 2005, 09:24:30 PM This would have been the result.
That's supposed to be >=90% for DC () Title: Re: If only people under 30 voted Post by: A18 on January 12, 2005, 09:27:57 PM And if only people under 30 voted in 1980, Carter would have won by half a point. The fact that people vote for stupid candidates when they're young is not news to anyone.
Title: Re: If only people under 30 voted Post by: Alcon on January 12, 2005, 09:28:38 PM Mind giving a source? MS is a really interesting result.
Title: Re: If only people under 30 voted Post by: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on January 12, 2005, 09:28:45 PM And if only people under 30 voted in 1980, Carter would have won by half a point. The fact that people vote for stupid candidates when they're young is not news to anyone. As opposed to voting for stupid candidates when they're old? Title: Re: If only people under 30 voted Post by: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on January 12, 2005, 09:29:41 PM Mind giving a source? MS is a really interesting result. Kerry won 63-37 there. http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/MS/P/00/epolls.0.html Title: Re: If only people under 30 voted Post by: A18 on January 12, 2005, 09:30:01 PM Old people voted for a stupid candidate in 2000, but they did pretty well this year.
Title: Re: If only people under 30 voted Post by: Alcon on January 12, 2005, 09:33:44 PM I don't 100% trust these results. Why Mississippian youths would vote for Kerry by such a massive margin but Washingtonians by only 3 is confusing to me.
Title: Re: If only people under 30 voted Post by: Sam Spade on January 12, 2005, 09:38:57 PM I don't 100% trust these results. Why Mississippian youths would vote for Kerry by such a massive margin but Washingtonians by only 3 is confusing to me. I would wonder what the sampling size is for each individual state and what the subsample is. There might be couple of outliers in there. Maine is odd too. Title: Re: If only people under 30 voted Post by: A18 on January 12, 2005, 09:39:33 PM The youth vote is always heavily skewed towards the Democrats. Reagan won 1980 in a ten point landslide, and lost youth by a point.
Title: Re: If only people under 30 voted Post by: Alcon on January 12, 2005, 09:42:48 PM I don't 100% trust these results. Why Mississippian youths would vote for Kerry by such a massive margin but Washingtonians by only 3 is confusing to me. I would wonder what the sampling size is for each individual state and what the subsample is. There might be couple of outliers in there. Maine is odd too. Actually, I believe in MTV's Rock the Vote, more Republicans registered in Maine than Democrats. Mississippi was Democratic, though, I believe. It's quite weird. Title: Re: If only people under 30 voted Post by: agcatter on January 12, 2005, 10:25:35 PM ...and if only blacks were allowed to vote Kerry has a 50 state sweep.
If ifs and buts were candy and nuts we'd all have a merry Christmas. Title: Re: If only people under 30 voted Post by: Gabu on January 12, 2005, 10:28:59 PM ...and if only blacks were allowed to vote Kerry has a 50 state sweep. If ifs and buts were candy and nuts we'd all have a merry Christmas. Except Republicans, obviously. :) Title: Re: If only people under 30 voted Post by: ?????????? on January 13, 2005, 01:03:54 AM If ifs and buts were candy and nuts we'd all have a merry Christmas. Title: Re: If only people under 30 voted Post by: opebo on January 13, 2005, 04:41:41 AM ...and if only blacks were allowed to vote Kerry has a 50 state sweep. Not so farfetched - why just a few decades back only whites were allowed to vote! The GOP really should push for the good old days, twould improve their electoral fortunes immensely. Title: Re: If only people under 30 voted Post by: skybridge on January 13, 2005, 07:06:34 AM This would have been the result. That's supposed to be >=90% for DC () Title: Re: If only people under 30 voted Post by: Platypus on January 13, 2005, 09:37:21 AM only four states strike me as odd; AZ, NM, ME and MS. WV and MO are also a little odd, I had heard that MO youth was very strong GOP.
Title: Re: If only people under 30 voted Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on January 13, 2005, 01:55:48 PM WV and MO are also a little odd, I had heard that MO youth was very strong GOP. WV isn't strange, but I'd heard the same about MO so... Title: Re: If only people under 30 voted Post by: Math on January 13, 2005, 03:26:06 PM And if only people under 30 voted in 1980, Carter would have won by half a point. The fact that people vote for stupid candidates when they're young is not news to anyone. Title: Re: If only people under 30 voted Post by: A18 on January 13, 2005, 03:32:27 PM You are...agree...for...1984. Um, okay.
I have absolutely no clue what that means, but I'll pretend I do. Reagan did very well among 18-24 year olds, but he did worse than his national percentage with 25-29 year olds. It just depends, but Republicans generally do worse with younger people. Title: Re: If only people under 30 voted Post by: skybridge on January 13, 2005, 04:02:38 PM This would have been the result. That's supposed to be >=90% for DC () Sure Colorado and not New Mexico would have gone to the Dems? Title: Re: If only people under 30 voted Post by: Math on January 13, 2005, 04:22:49 PM You are...agree...for...1984. Um, okay. I have absolutely no clue what that means, but I'll pretend I do. Reagan did very well among 18-24 year olds, but he did worse than his national percentage with 25-29 year olds. It just depends, but Republicans generally do worse with younger people. Title: Re: If only people under 30 voted Post by: zachman on January 13, 2005, 05:02:39 PM What were the youth vote results in Maine? I can't believe my eyes?
Title: Re: If only people under 30 voted Post by: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on January 13, 2005, 05:06:29 PM What were the youth vote results in Maine? I can't believe my eyes? Kerry might have been able to win an elector. Title: Re: If only people under 30 voted Post by: nclib on January 18, 2005, 06:59:38 PM This would have been the result. That's supposed to be >=90% for DC () How are you making these maps--the prediction pages appear to be closed. Title: Re: If only people under 30 voted Post by: A18 on January 18, 2005, 07:12:54 PM He's not using the prediction pages.
http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/evcalc5.php?year=2004&pop_per=1 |