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Title: NY-Siena: Gillibrand by 40+ Over Potential Opponents Post by: cinyc on April 10, 2012, 04:13:09 PM Siena Research Institute Poll (http://www.siena.edu/uploadedfiles/home/parents_and_community/community_page/sri/sny_poll/SNY%20April%202012%20Poll%20Release%20--%20FINAL.pdf)
Q: Looking at the November election for United States Senator from New York, if that election were held today and the candidates were Kirsten Gillibrand on the Democratic line and George Maragos on the Republican line, who would you vote for? (Order of candidates was rotated.) Gillibrand 65% (-3 from Siena March poll) Maragos 21% (+2) Don't Know/No Opinion 14% (+1) April 1-4; 808 Registered Voters; Margin of error +/-3.4%. No numbers, but also: Quote from: SRI Gillibrand Continues to Look Strong; Turner & Long in Race Do Not Change Dynamic “With a two-to-one favorability rating and a majority prepared to re-elect her, Senator Kirsten Gillibrand continues to look strong seven months from her first re-election attempt. She currently leads by at least 40 points against Wendy Long, Nassau Comptroller George Maragos or Congressman Bob Turner,” Greenberg said. “While Turner is marginally better known than Long or Maragos and has a small lead among Republicans in a potential three-way primary, two-thirds of Republicans are so far undecided as to whom they will support.” Edited to add: I found the crosstabs (http://www.scribd.com/doc/88718546/SNY0412-Crosstabs), which include hypothetical matchups against Turner and Long and the primary numbers. Gillibrand-Long: 63-23-14 Gillibrand-Turner: 65-24-11 Republican Primary: Turner 19% Long 10% Maragos 5% Don't Know/No Opinion 66% Title: Re: NY-Siena: Gillibrand by 40+ Over Potential Opponents Post by: Queen Mum Inks.LWC on April 11, 2012, 12:13:33 PM Database entry: https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=36120120404079
Title: Re: NY-Siena: Gillibrand by 40+ Over Potential Opponents Post by: Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian. on April 11, 2012, 01:15:22 PM BUT TURNER=GAME CHANGER!!!!!1
Title: Re: NY-Siena: Gillibrand by 40+ Over Potential Opponents Post by: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on April 13, 2012, 01:49:58 AM I'm guessing that Bloomberg has given up recruiting candidates against her? It was hilariously bad that he even tried to get his girlfriend to run.
But yeah, being up 41 points against a non total joke opponent is amazing. |