Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2012 Elections => Topic started by: retromike22 on April 20, 2012, 09:53:08 PM



Title: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: retromike22 on April 20, 2012, 09:53:08 PM
I'm have a feeling... that conservatives that don't want to be told that the nomination is over are more likely to vote than your "enthusiastic" Romney supporter. So maybe a slight Gingrich bump.

Connecticut:
Romney 75
Gingrich 10
Paul 10
Santorum 5

Delaware:
Romney 70%
Gingrich 15%
Paul 10%
Santorum 5%

New York:
Romney 60
Gingrich 25
Paul 10
Santorum 5

Pennsylvania:
Romney 50
Gingrich 30
Paul 10
Santorum 10

Rhode Island:
Romney 75
Gingrich 10
Paul 10
Santorum 5


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: Sec. of State Superique on April 21, 2012, 07:25:41 PM
I think that many conservatives will move to Gingrich to pressure Romney and I don't believe that Santorum will get so much votes at all...

Connecticut:
Romney 65%
Gingrich 20%
Paul 12%
Santorum 3%

Delaware:
Romney 51%
Gingrich 38%
Paul 10%
Santorum 1%

New York:
Romney 60%
Gingrich 25%
Paul 14%
Santorum 1%

Pennsylvania:
Romney 50%
Gingrich 34%
Paul 13%
Santorum 3%

Rhode Island:
Romney 70%
Gingrich 16%
Paul 11%
Santorum 3%


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: Blazers93 on April 21, 2012, 07:30:32 PM
Connecticut:
Romney 64
Paul 18
Gingrich 12
Santorum 5

Delaware:
Romney 60
Paul 19
Gingrich 15
Santorum 6

New York:
Romney 65
Gingrich 15
Paul 13
Santorum 7

Pennsylvania:
Romney 43
Santorum 28
Gingrich 15
Paul 14

Rhode Island:
Romney 58
Paul 19
Gingrich 17
Santorum 6

Honestly, Santorum may have raised his odds of winning PA by dropping out, but who knows


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: 🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸 on April 21, 2012, 07:57:03 PM
PA
Romney     38
Santorum   31
Gingrich     16
Paul           14

DE
Romney    54
Gingrich    25
Paul          15
Santorum    4

NY
Romney     58
Gingrich     21     
Paul           19

CT
Romney    63
Gingrich    19
Paul          16

RI
Romney    65
Paul          18
Gingrich    15


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: Lief 🗽 on April 21, 2012, 08:31:35 PM
Honestly, Santorum may have raised his odds of winning PA by dropping out, but who knows

I agree with this.


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: Eraserhead on April 22, 2012, 12:42:39 AM
Romney wins everything in huge landslides. I can't really be bothered with specific predictions anymore but I'll put one down for my home state at least.

New York:

Romney 66%
Paul 16%
Gingrich 15%
Santorum 3%



Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on April 22, 2012, 01:39:39 AM
I don't know why some people are predicting that Santorum won't be in solid double digits in Pennsylvania. I wouldn't be shocked if he won it.


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: JohnnyLongtorso on April 22, 2012, 06:33:58 AM
Romney wins CT, NY, RI with over 60%, PA and DE with over 50%.


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: morgieb on April 22, 2012, 07:32:32 AM
Romney wins all the states bar Pennsylvania with above 60% of the vote.


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: rbt48 on April 22, 2012, 01:15:12 PM
I expect the coronation of Romney as the GOP nominee will occur on Tuesday:

PA
Romney     43
Santorum   28
Paul           16
Gingrich     12


DE
Romney    59
Gingrich    15
Paul          15
Santorum   10

NY
Romney     68
Paul           19
Gingrich     12     


CT
Romney    69
Paul          17
Gingrich    13


RI
Romney    78
Paul          13
Gingrich      9


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on April 22, 2012, 01:21:41 PM
I have a feeling that Santorum will win a Dean-style victory in PA.


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: tpfkaw on April 22, 2012, 01:26:12 PM
I have a feeling that Santorum will win a Dean-style victory in PA.

Dean hadn't dropped out.


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on April 22, 2012, 03:22:22 PM
I have a feeling that Santorum will win a Dean-style victory in PA.

Dean hadn't dropped out.

Nope, Dean dropped out in February after the Wisconsin primary.


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: Lambsbread on April 22, 2012, 03:29:59 PM
Pennsylvania:

Romney
Santorum
Paul
Gingrich


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: Averroës Nix on April 22, 2012, 05:16:56 PM
Connecticut
35% Huntsman
34% Romney
20% Perry
11% Paul


Delaware
35% Romney
30% Huntsman
24% Perry
10% Paul

New York
35% Huntsman
32% Romney
21% Perry
12% Paul


Pennsylvania
34% Romney
27% Perry
25% Huntsman
14% Paul

Rhode Island

40% Romney
31% Huntsman
23% Perry
  7% Paul


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: Lambsbread on April 22, 2012, 05:19:42 PM
lol?


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on April 22, 2012, 07:07:41 PM
Perry/Cain 2012!


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: Keystone Phil on April 22, 2012, 07:13:59 PM
I have a feeling that Santorum will win a Dean-style victory in PA.

If Republicans in this state really wanted to prove their decency...


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: Eraserhead on April 22, 2012, 10:29:22 PM
Santorum won't win PA but he'll certainly make it into double digits and he'll probably come in second.


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: tpfkaw on April 22, 2012, 11:00:11 PM
I have a feeling that Santorum will win a Dean-style victory in PA.

Dean hadn't dropped out.

Nope, Dean dropped out in February after the Wisconsin primary.

Hmm, really?  Because I remember my mom got emails from the Dean campaign about how the huge victory in Vermont was sure to reenergize the campaign and everyone should redouble their efforts etc. etc.


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on April 22, 2012, 11:06:13 PM
Well, Wiki says that Dean put all his last hopes into WI and dropped out when he failed.


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: Eraserhead on April 22, 2012, 11:21:21 PM
Dean was definitely out of the race when he won the Vermont primary. Some of us are actually old enough to remember those heady days of 2004. :P


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: jmc247 on April 23, 2012, 05:20:58 PM
Romney wins PA in the 50% range, NY in the low 70% range and everything else in the 60% range.


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: Mr. Morden on April 24, 2012, 06:35:59 AM
I think these are the poll closing times (all times Eastern):

8pm: CT, DE, PA
9pm: NY, RI

I'd be stunned if the media is still going to bother with exit polls, so I'd assume that we'll have to wait for real votes to be counted.


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: Tender Branson on April 24, 2012, 06:58:09 AM
NY, CT and RI are all high 60s or low 70s for Romney.

DE is lower 60s for Romney.

PA is "I have no fu**ing clue". Depends if people still vote Santorum.

Probably:

50% Romney
21% Santorum
20% Gingrich
  9% Paul


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: Eraserhead on April 24, 2012, 11:44:22 AM
It'll be interesting to see if Gingrich even ends up doing substantially better in Delaware than in the other states, since it's really all his "campaign" has been focused on.


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: California8429 on April 24, 2012, 01:29:38 PM
Gingrich wins Delaware. That is my bold prediction.


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: Eraserhead on April 24, 2012, 01:34:46 PM
Gingrich wins Delaware. That is my bold prediction.

LOL! :P


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: Tender Branson on April 24, 2012, 02:27:49 PM
I'd laugh my ass off if Newt wins Delaware ...


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: Eraserhead on April 24, 2012, 02:44:01 PM
Tender, set up the results thread with all of those fancy AP links and such...


Title: Re: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
Post by: tmthforu94 on April 25, 2012, 04:21:49 PM
Well, I didn't post it on here, but on my prediction, I completely nailed the predictions. Granted, it wasn't too difficult, but still, it was a bit unpredictable with no polling to base it off of.