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Title: NH: University of New Hampshire: Obama with solid lead Post by: Rowan on April 23, 2012, 05:17:44 PM NH Poll(UNH)
Obama: 51% Romney: 42% http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/gsp2012_spring_presapp042312.pdf Title: Re: NH: University of New Hampshire: Obama with solid lead Post by: ajb on April 23, 2012, 06:17:46 PM FWIW, they had Romney ahead by 4-8 points all the way through 2011.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nh/new_hampshire_romney_vs_obama-2030.html#polls Title: Re: NH: University of New Hampshire: Obama with solid lead Post by: Kaine for Senate '18 on April 23, 2012, 06:30:10 PM Are they good? Or is it another crappy uni poll?
Title: Re: NH: University of New Hampshire: Obama with solid lead Post by: cavalcade on April 23, 2012, 06:43:31 PM I can definitely see Obama leading post-birth control flap, though 9 points seems like a stretch.
Title: Re: NH: University of New Hampshire: Obama with solid lead Post by: NHI on April 23, 2012, 08:32:10 PM Are they good? Or is it another crappy uni poll? The latter. Title: Re: NH: University of New Hampshire: Obama with solid lead Post by: The world will shine with light in our nightmare on April 23, 2012, 08:34:21 PM I think he probably is leading right now, but still. Uni poll.
Title: Re: NH: University of New Hampshire: Obama with solid lead Post by: nkpatel1279 on April 23, 2012, 10:10:58 PM Obama-D wins all of the states that voted for Dukakis in 1988,Clinton in 1992 and 1996,Gore in 2000,and Kerry in 2004. (DC-3,HI-4,MA-11,MN-10,NY-29,OR-7,RI-4,WA-12,and WI-10)=90ev
States that voted for Clinton in 1992 and 1996,Gore in 2000,and Kerry in 2004.(CA-55,CT-7,DE-3,IL-20,ME-4,MD-10,MI-16,NJ-14,PA-20,and VT-3)=152ev(242ev) States that voted for Clinton in 1992 and 1996 and Gore in 2000 or Kerry in 2004.(IA-6,NH-4,and NM-5)=15ev(257ev) IA-6,NH-4,and PA-20 will be close-narrow to high single digit margin. Obama-D guide to victory is (CO-9 and NV-6)=15ev(272ev) which Obama-D has a significant lead in those states. Winning FL-29,OH-18,and VA-13 hurts Romney's chances of becoming President. 60ev(287ev) or Obama-D wins the new battleground States in the South(VA-13 and NC-15) and the battleground Southwestern States(NM-5,NV-6,CO-9,and AZ-11)=59ev(281ev) Obama-D is forcing AZ-11 and GA-16 into becoming battleground states as well as IN-11 and MO-10. Title: Re: NH: University of New Hampshire: Obama with solid lead Post by: Negusa Nagast 🚀 on April 23, 2012, 10:33:57 PM Obama-D wins all of the states that voted for Dukakis in 1988,Clinton in 1992 and 1996,Gore in 2000,and Kerry in 2004. (DC-3,HI-4,MA-11,MN-10,NY-29,OR-7,RI-4,WA-12,and WI-10)=90ev States that voted for Clinton in 1992 and 1996,Gore in 2000,and Kerry in 2004.(CA-55,CT-7,DE-3,IL-20,ME-4,MD-10,MI-16,NJ-14,PA-20,and VT-3)=152ev(242ev) States that voted for Clinton in 1992 and 1996 and Gore in 2000 or Kerry in 2004.(IA-6,NH-4,and NM-5)=15ev(257ev) IA-6,NH-4,and PA-20 will be close-narrow to high single digit margin. Obama-D guide to victory is (CO-9 and NV-6)=15ev(272ev) which Obama-D has a significant lead in those states. Winning FL-29,OH-18,and VA-13 hurts Romney's chances of becoming President. 60ev(287ev) or Obama-D wins the new battleground States in the South(VA-13 and NC-15) and the battleground Southwestern States(NM-5,NV-6,CO-9,and AZ-11)=59ev(281ev) Obama-D is forcing AZ-11 and GA-16 into becoming battleground states as well as IN-11 and MO-10. Stop. Go away or post coherently. Title: Re: NH: University of New Hampshire: Obama with solid lead Post by: HagridOfTheDeep on April 23, 2012, 11:30:10 PM I do enjoy his break-downs... but it would be nice if they were a bit easier to read.
Title: Re: NH: University of New Hampshire: Obama with solid lead Post by: Chaddyr23 on April 24, 2012, 10:24:11 PM I think it's Obama 50-48 right now.
Title: Re: NH: University of New Hampshire: Obama with solid lead Post by: Queen Mum Inks.LWC on April 25, 2012, 04:13:07 PM Database entry: https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=3320120420065
Title: Re: NH: University of New Hampshire: Obama with solid lead Post by: Queen Mum Inks.LWC on April 25, 2012, 04:14:30 PM Did anybody else notice what their overall sample was? It was 538... just thought that was a bit of fun political coincidence for us nerds. ;)
Title: Re: NH: University of New Hampshire: Obama with solid lead Post by: Miles on April 25, 2012, 04:15:01 PM Hmm... I remember John Sununu saying that NH wouldn't be competitive for Romney.
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