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Title: PPP/Kos: Obama by 3 nationally, Republicans want Rubio as VP Post by: Tender Branson on May 08, 2012, 01:38:49 PM Daily Kos/SEIU Weekly State of the Nation Poll
Public Policy Polling, 1000 registered voters, MoE ±3.1%, May 3, 2012 - May 6, 2012. 48-45 Obama/Romney 45-50 Obama Approval 47-48 Obama Favorables 39-48 Romney Favorables Dems: 62% Very excited about voting GOP: 53% Very excited about voting Indies: 43% Very excited about voting VP pick (among Republicans only, n=350): 25% Rubio 19% Christie 16% Bush 8% Ryan 6% Brewer 4% Martinez 3% Portman 0% Ayotte 18% Undecided Sample: 38% D, 35% R, 26% I http://dailykos.com/weeklypolling/2012/5/3 Title: Re: PPP/Kos: Obama by 3 nationally, Republicans want Rubio as VP Post by: NVGonzalez on May 08, 2012, 01:42:51 PM So Obama is up by 7 in IA an OH but only 3 nationally? What is this sorcery?
Title: Re: PPP/Kos: Obama by 3 nationally, Republicans want Rubio as VP Post by: Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home. on May 08, 2012, 01:48:39 PM Republicans want Rubio at the top of the ticket, not playing 2nd fiddle to Romney.
Title: Re: PPP/Kos: Obama by 3 nationally, Republicans want Rubio as VP Post by: krazen1211 on May 08, 2012, 01:57:20 PM So Obama is up by 7 in IA an OH but only 3 nationally? What is this sorcery? Sorcery is not oversampling Democrats. Title: Re: PPP/Kos: Obama by 3 nationally, Republicans want Rubio as VP Post by: greenforest32 on May 08, 2012, 02:13:17 PM Too bad Florida has a gubernatorial appointment for Senate vacancies: http://www.ncsl.org/legislatures-elections/elections/vacancies-in-the-united-states-senate.aspx
Quote In the following 36 states, the governor makes an appointment to fill a U.S. Senate vacancy, and the appointee serves until the next regularly-scheduled, statewide general election. The person elected at that next regularly-held general election serves for the remainder of the unexpired term, if any. If the term was set to expire at that general election, the person elected serves a full six-year term. If I'm reading things right, picking Rubio for VP would trigger an election for his senate seat in November 2012 right? Title: Re: PPP/Kos: Obama by 3 nationally, Republicans want Rubio as VP Post by: Oakvale on May 08, 2012, 02:15:05 PM Too bad Florida has a gubernatorial appointment for Senate vacancies: http://www.ncsl.org/legislatures-elections/elections/vacancies-in-the-united-states-senate.aspx Quote In the following 36 states, the governor makes an appointment to fill a U.S. Senate vacancy, and the appointee serves until the next regularly-scheduled, statewide general election. The person elected at that next regularly-held general election serves for the remainder of the unexpired term, if any. If the term was set to expire at that general election, the person elected serves a full six-year term. If I'm reading things right, picking Rubio for VP would trigger an election for his senate seat in November 2012 right? I don't think Florida has a resign-to-run law, or at least not one that applies to federal offices. Title: Re: PPP/Kos: Obama by 3 nationally, Republicans want Rubio as VP Post by: cavalcade on May 08, 2012, 02:40:51 PM All the pollsters seem to have this election closer nationally than their state-level results imply.
Title: Re: PPP/Kos: Obama by 3 nationally, Republicans want Rubio as VP Post by: Adam Griffin on May 09, 2012, 01:32:50 AM Quote Dems: 62% Very excited about voting GOP: 53% Very excited about voting Yes. Too bad Florida has a gubernatorial appointment for Senate vacancies: http://www.ncsl.org/legislatures-elections/elections/vacancies-in-the-united-states-senate.aspx Quote In the following 36 states, the governor makes an appointment to fill a U.S. Senate vacancy, and the appointee serves until the next regularly-scheduled, statewide general election. The person elected at that next regularly-held general election serves for the remainder of the unexpired term, if any. If the term was set to expire at that general election, the person elected serves a full six-year term. If I'm reading things right, picking Rubio for VP would trigger an election for his senate seat in November 2012 right? I don't think Florida has a resign-to-run law, or at least not one that applies to federal offices. I'm fairly certain that anyone running for federal office - from any state - is exempt from any state's resign-to-run laws. Title: Re: PPP/Kos: Obama by 3 nationally, Republicans want Rubio as VP Post by: King on May 09, 2012, 01:34:21 AM So Obama is up by 7 in IA an OH but only 3 nationally? What is this sorcery? Sorcery is not oversampling Democrats. 63% of Democrats are excited; 53% of Republicans are. The likely voter model should be R+x because... Title: Re: PPP/Kos: Obama by 3 nationally, Republicans want Rubio as VP Post by: Mr. Morden on May 09, 2012, 03:00:55 AM Too bad Florida has a gubernatorial appointment for Senate vacancies: http://www.ncsl.org/legislatures-elections/elections/vacancies-in-the-united-states-senate.aspx Quote In the following 36 states, the governor makes an appointment to fill a U.S. Senate vacancy, and the appointee serves until the next regularly-scheduled, statewide general election. The person elected at that next regularly-held general election serves for the remainder of the unexpired term, if any. If the term was set to expire at that general election, the person elected serves a full six-year term. If I'm reading things right, picking Rubio for VP would trigger an election for his senate seat in November 2012 right? No, because Rubio wouldn't resign his senate seat unless he's actually elected VP. If Romney/Rubio wins, then Rubio resigns his senate seat in December or January before being sworn in as VP on Jan. 20. Scott picks a replacement who serves until Nov. 2014, when the seat is put up for election for someone to serve out the remaining two years of the term for that seat. |