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Title: 1956 - last election where republicans were competitive in cities Post by: freepcrusher on May 29, 2012, 05:17:20 PM I found a book at a library called "America Votes" by Congressional Quarterly. Here are certain cities voted in 1956:
Chicago 51.1% Eisenhower Detroit 61.7% Stevenson Minneapolis 51.5% Eisenhower Buffalo 57.7% Eisenhower Cincinnati 62.5% Eisenhower Cleveland 54.6% Stevenson Pittsburgh 52.2% Stevenson Milwaukee 52.3% Eisenhower Ike also got at least 40% in cities coterminous with counties. He won San Francisco, and got around 45% in Manhattan, Philadelphia and Boston. He also won Baltimore. In 1960 however, the cities swung heavily back to the democrats and this time for good Chicago 63.4% Kennedy Detroit 70.7% Kennedy Minneapolis 52.3% Kennedy Buffalo 64.9% Kennedy Cincinnati 50.4% Kennedy Cleveland 70.9% Kennedy Pittsburgh 66.8% Kennedy Milwaukee 61.6% Kennedy Suffolk County (Boston) 74.4% Kennedy New York 65.3% Kennedy Philadelphia 68% Kennedy San Francisco 57.8% Kennedy Baltimore 63.9% Kennedy Title: Re: 1956 - last election where republicans were competitive in cities Post by: Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee on May 29, 2012, 05:36:15 PM Ethnic whites loved Kennedy. White flight continued in the 1960's, moving most of the middle class Republicans to the high growth suburbs, or to other regions of the country like the South and Southwest.
Title: Re: 1956 - last election where republicans were competitive in cities Post by: Fuzzybigfoot on May 29, 2012, 08:55:48 PM Great find. :)
Do you have the Seattle numbers for back then? Title: Re: 1956 - last election where republicans were competitive in cities Post by: freepcrusher on May 29, 2012, 09:17:00 PM Great find. :) Do you have the Seattle numbers for back then? no, the only cities it lists not coterminous with a county are Boston, Pittsburgh, Cleveland, Cincinnati, Detroit, Milwaukee, Chicago and Minneapolis. My guess is that Seattle was easily won by Eisenhower. Remember that King County used to be a somewhat GOP leaning county. LBJ only got 59% of the vote there in 1964. Title: Re: 1956 - last election where republicans were competitive in cities Post by: timothyinMD on June 05, 2012, 05:32:05 PM This isn't shocking information. These cites were vastly different then than now
Title: Re: 1956 - last election where republicans were competitive in cities Post by: rbt48 on June 05, 2012, 06:55:47 PM I think Ike also came within 1,000 votes of carrying New York City in 1956. Of course, he was immensely popular east of the Mississippi River that year and New York seems to favor incumbents more than many other states.
Title: Re: 1956 - last election where republicans were competitive in cities Post by: freepcrusher on June 05, 2012, 07:33:10 PM I think Ike also came within 1,000 votes of carrying New York City in 1956. Of course, he was immensely popular east of the Mississippi River that year and New York seems to favor incumbents more than many other states. I don't consider the outer boroughts part of New York City. When I watched documentaries on New York, they only discussed Manhattan, which Stevenson won 55-44. Ike may have been the last president to win the old silk stocking district with 58%. Of course it was also enlarged over several redistrictings so its possible Nixon or Reagan won the 50s version of it. Title: Re: 1956 - last election where republicans were competitive in cities Post by: Fuzzybigfoot on June 05, 2012, 08:43:48 PM Do you have the percentages for '64, '68, and '72?
Title: Re: 1956 - last election where republicans were competitive in cities Post by: Antonio the Sixth on June 06, 2012, 04:18:21 AM What about 1976 ? I'd imagine Ford to do relatively well among certain urban voters.
Title: Re: 1956 - last election where republicans were competitive in cities Post by: True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자) on June 06, 2012, 10:29:11 PM What about 1976 ? I'd imagine Ford to do relatively well among certain urban voters. After this, which urban voters are you thinking of? () Title: Re: 1956 - last election where republicans were competitive in cities Post by: Liberalrocks on June 06, 2012, 11:13:56 PM What about 1976 ? I'd imagine Ford to do relatively well among certain urban voters. Yes Ford was competitive in several present day democratic area's across the country. Ford won then swing state California. Certain California counties that are now overwhelmingly democratic actually voted for Ford over Carter. This despite Carter winning black and latino voters nationwide. Carter won evangelicals and union households. Ford won a fair number of urban-suburbanite voters who would now be " latte or suv liberals". Ford would have been the last republican I could have voted for due to his social moderate nature. There was also no apparent gender gap in this election. Title: Re: 1956 - last election where republicans were competitive in cities Post by: freepcrusher on June 07, 2012, 12:57:55 AM here are the results by districts for some of the metro area seats in 1976
Phoenix Arizona 1 59-37 Ford Bay Area CA 6 54-40 Carter CA 8 57-39 Carter Los Angeles CA 21 51-47 Carter CA 23 52-46 Carter CA 24 56-44 Carter CA 25 62-36 Carter CA 28 70-29 Carter CA 29 80-19 Carter CA 31 65-34 Carter CA 32 54-44 Carter San Diego CA 41 56-42 Ford CA 42 52-46 Carter Denver CO 1 48-48 Carter Jacksonville FL 3 51-64-35 Carter Tampa FL 7 54-45 Carter Miami FL 13 66-33 Carter FL 14 56-43 Carter FL 15 53-45 Carter Atlanta GA 5 68-32 Carter Chicago IL 1 90-10 Carter IL 2 83-17 Carter IL 5 67-33 Carter IL 7 81-19 Carter IL 8 70-30 Carter IL 9 58-42 Carter IL 11 52-48 Ford Indianapolis IN 11 55-45 Ford IN 6 58-41 Ford New Orleans LA 1 50-47 Carter LA 2 55-43 Carter Baltimore MD 7 82-18 Carter MD 3 52-48 Carter Boston MA 8 65-35 Carter MA 9 56-44 Carter MA 11 59-41 Carter Detroit MI 1 89-10 Carter MI 13 86-13 Carter MI 14 51-48 Ford MI 17 50-49 Ford Twin Cities MN 4 59-38 Carter MN 5 61-35 Carter St Louis MO 1 72-28 Carter MO 3 51-49 Ford Kansas City MO 5 58-41 Carter New York NY 7 73-27 Carter NY 8 67-33 Carter NY 9 54-46 Ford NY 10 57-43 Carter NY 11 70-30 Carter NY 12 82-18 Carter NY 13 72-28 Carter NY 14 78-22 Carter NY 15 50-50 Ford NY 16 71-29 Carter NY 17 55-45 Carter NY 18 63-37 Carter NY 19 87-13 Carter NY 20 77-23 Carter NY 21 91-9 Carter NY 22 77-23 Carter Charlotte NC 9 52-48 Carter Cleveland OH 20 60-36 Carter OH 21 84-14 Carter Cincinnati OH 1 58-40 Ford OH 2 62-36 Ford Philadelphia PA 1 70-29 Carter PA 2 79-19 Carter PA 3 67-31 Carter PA 4 56-42 Carter Pittsburgh PA 14 58-40 Carter Nashville TN 5 63-36 Carter Houston TX 7 73-26 Ford !! TX 8 63-36 Carter TX 18 75-24 Carter TX 22 50-49 Ford DFW Metroplex 24 55-44 Carter 5 53-47 Carter 12 55-44 Carter 3 72-27 Ford !! Seattle WA 1 52-43 Carter WA 7 48-48 Carter Title: Re: 1956 - last election where republicans were competitive in cities Post by: morgieb on June 07, 2012, 07:13:32 AM 1976 is what the map should look like, IMO.
Title: Re: 1956 - last election where republicans were competitive in cities Post by: Seattle on June 07, 2012, 11:11:49 AM Great find. :) Do you have the Seattle numbers for back then? It's possible that Seattle could have voted for Adlei, but more likely for Eisenhower. From my recollection before the early 70s, most of Seattle south of the cut, barring Magnolia voted D and all of north Seattle, barring maybe some ballard areas voted republican. Title: Re: 1956 - last election where republicans were competitive in cities Post by: SingingAnalyst on May 16, 2015, 01:16:50 PM I have posted this elsewhere, but I suspect Jackson, MS and Birmingham, AL voted for Ford in '76.
Outside the deep south, I would say the GOP has not been competitive in cities, with one bizarre exception: In Boston, after the 1974 busing crisis, Wards 6 and 7 (South Boston) voted 42-55 and 47-50 respectively for Ford. South Boston may be the only white ethnic enclave in the country that voted for McGovern in '72 and Ford in '76. |