Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2012 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Miles on July 11, 2012, 11:11:55 AM



Title: FL: Rasmussen: Mack ahead 9
Post by: Miles on July 11, 2012, 11:11:55 AM
New Poll: Florida Senator by Rasmussen on 2012-07-09 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=12100201279016)

Summary: D: 37%, R: 46%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_senate_elections/florida/election_2012_florida_senate)



Title: Re: FL: Rasmussen: Mack ahead 9
Post by: Miles on July 11, 2012, 11:15:52 AM
This poll was taken over a single day, which seems to be standard practice with Rasmussen now.


Title: Re: FL: Rasmussen: Mack ahead 9
Post by: krazen1211 on July 11, 2012, 11:38:50 AM
Junk poll!


Title: Re: FL: Rasmussen: Mack ahead 9
Post by: Niemeyerite on July 11, 2012, 11:40:49 AM

I'm being serious. This poll is worse than the one showing Inouye leading by 10.


Title: Re: FL: Rasmussen: Mack ahead 9
Post by: Miles on July 11, 2012, 11:41:56 AM


Title: Re: FL: Rasmussen: Mack ahead 9
Post by: Tender Branson on July 11, 2012, 12:45:02 PM
Hahahaha.


Title: Re: FL: Rasmussen: Mack ahead 9
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on July 11, 2012, 03:09:38 PM
According to Rasmussen Romney is ahead of Obama and should be at 270 and Obama at 268.
According to PPP Obama should be comfortably ahead in VA,OH,CO,NH,and NV for a total of 303 electoral votes.

And according to Rasmussen King should be the tie breaking vote
According to PPP Dems should have the 51 votes needed to win the senate.

Junk PPP.


Title: Re: FL: Rasmussen: Mack ahead 9
Post by: Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian. on July 11, 2012, 04:03:53 PM
According to Rasmussen Romney is ahead of Obama and should be at 270 and Obama at 268.
According to PPP Obama should be comfortably ahead in VA,OH,CO,NH,and NV for a total of 303 electoral votes.

And according to Rasmussen King should be the tie breaking vote
According to PPP Dems should have the 51 votes needed to win the senate.

Junk PPP.

Why exactly is 'Junk PPP' an inherently sounder conclusion than 'Junk Rasmussen'? Nate Silver's interpretation of things so far (for example) has been closer to PPP's, and he's assigning PPP a bigger structural bias.


Title: Re: FL: Rasmussen: Mack ahead 9
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on July 11, 2012, 04:06:40 PM
And according to Rasmussen King should be the tie breaking vote
According to PPP Dems should have the 51 votes needed to win the senate.

Junk PPP.
[/quote]

Why exactly is 'Junk PPP' an inherently sounder conclusion than 'Junk Rasmussen'? Nate Silver's interpretation of things so far (for example) has been closer to PPP's, and he's assigning PPP a bigger structural bias.
[/quote]

I was referring to the marginal job growth we have had, I am predicting an Obama victory but it will be close and a very contested campaign and will go down to the bitter end.


Title: Re: FL: Rasmussen: Mack ahead 9
Post by: morgieb on July 12, 2012, 02:25:45 AM
Oh Scott.


Title: Re: FL: Rasmussen: Mack ahead 9
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on July 13, 2012, 01:53:40 PM
I find that poll hard to believe. I think Mack will win, call me crazy, but it won't be by nine.

In defense of Rasmussen QU also had this race deadlock, Nelson is the favorite but it is gonna be close.


Title: Re: FL: Rasmussen: Mack ahead 9
Post by: Landslide Lyndon on July 14, 2012, 05:39:20 AM
So we had an 18-point swing in a two-months period where nothing significant happened in that race.
Sounds legit.