Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => International What-ifs => Topic started by: Talleyrand on July 16, 2012, 11:17:57 PM



Title: Australian Federal Election 2007- Beazley Remains Labor Leader
Post by: Talleyrand on July 16, 2012, 11:17:57 PM
I think Beazley would have won the election by something like 52-48, with a majority smaller than Rudd's. He would have made less gains in Queensland, but received a net gain in WA. Since he doesn't have the personal problems Rudd had, he'd probably have had a quiet first term and expanded his majority in 2010.

Any thoughts on this?


Title: Re: Australian Federal Election 2007- Beazley Remains Labor Leader
Post by: morgieb on July 17, 2012, 08:09:45 AM
Howard was damaged goods by 2007, but Beazles would've done worse as he wasn't as strong of a candidate as Rudd.


Title: Re: Australian Federal Election 2007- Beazley Remains Labor Leader
Post by: Wake Me Up When The Hard Border Ends on August 20, 2012, 11:28:05 PM
I think the Coalition would have won a fifth and final term had Beazley stayed as Labor leader. Howard would have resigned sometime in that term and replaced by Costello, who probably would have lost in 2010 to a new Labor leader (probably Rudd)


Title: Re: Australian Federal Election 2007- Beazley Remains Labor Leader
Post by: Smid on August 21, 2012, 12:03:38 AM
Oh great, another blue Australian avatar, now I'm not going to be able to immediately recognise my posts!

Welcome to the Forum, Anton!


Title: Re: Australian Federal Election 2007- Beazley Remains Labor Leader
Post by: RogueBeaver on August 22, 2012, 11:06:35 PM
Given how narrow it was IRL even with Rudd (9 seats swung by less than 3%- which leaves the Coalition with 78 seats) I'd say Howard has a pretty decent shot at winning. Unless Costello takes over at the end of 2006, dunno if that can also be an OP scenario.