Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on July 18, 2012, 11:20:57 AM



Title: VA: Ramsussen got Obama ahead of Romney
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on July 18, 2012, 11:20:57 AM
O 47 R 46

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/


Title: Re: VA: Ramsussen got Obama ahead of Romney
Post by: Miles on July 18, 2012, 11:28:03 AM
Entered. (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=5102012717016)


Title: Re: VA: Ramsussen got Obama ahead of Romney
Post by: HagridOfTheDeep on July 18, 2012, 12:04:58 PM
interesting.


Title: Re: VA: Ramsussen got Obama ahead of Romney
Post by: Lief 🗽 on July 18, 2012, 12:05:44 PM
Basically no change from June, when Rassy had the race at a tie.


Title: Re: VA: Ramsussen got Obama ahead of Romney
Post by: krazen1211 on July 18, 2012, 12:13:35 PM

Must be those bain attacks. Romney has tons of money and should be able to heavily advertise in the 11th district that Obama wants to slam those people with tax increases.


Title: Re: VA: Ramsussen got Obama ahead of Romney
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on July 18, 2012, 01:51:12 PM
This poll surprises me, I thought he would have both Allen and Romney ahead in VA, cause he has Romney ahead in Iowa. But I do expect Romney/Portman to narrowly win VA.


Title: Re: VA: Ramsussen got Obama ahead of Romney
Post by: World politics is up Schmitt creek on July 18, 2012, 03:29:10 PM
I really don't understand why you think that Portman would have any effect whatsoever outside Ohio. Even in Ohio it's not like he's a white-hot superstar or something. Depending on how the campaign goes he might very well help in some way or another, but the phenomenon of simply being Rob Portman is incredibly boring and safe.


Title: Re: VA: Ramsussen got Obama ahead of Romney
Post by: pepper11 on July 18, 2012, 04:06:54 PM
This poll surprises me, I thought he would have both Allen and Romney ahead in VA, cause he has Romney ahead in Iowa. But I do expect Romney/Portman to narrowly win VA.

Rasmussen had Obama up 9 in March. Not sure why a 1 point race in one of the two most likely tipping point state is a surprise.


Title: Re: VA: Ramsussen got Obama ahead of Romney
Post by: World politics is up Schmitt creek on July 18, 2012, 04:08:29 PM
This poll surprises me, I thought he would have both Allen and Romney ahead in VA, cause he has Romney ahead in Iowa. But I do expect Romney/Portman to narrowly win VA.

Rasmussen had Obama up 9 in March. Not sure why a 1 point race in one of the two most likely tipping point state is a surprise.

Because Rasmussen's exhibited a slight-to-moderate Republican bias the past couple of cycles.


Title: Re: VA: Ramsussen got Obama ahead of Romney
Post by: pepper11 on July 18, 2012, 04:14:15 PM
Bias or no bias, its all relative when you compare only Rasmussen polls. The margin has been 0, 1, and -1 in the last three VA-Rasmussen polls and Obama +9 and + 6 in the previous two. That would suggest a tightening (and stable) race.


Title: Re: VA: Ramsussen got Obama ahead of Romney
Post by: World politics is up Schmitt creek on July 18, 2012, 04:22:03 PM
Bias or no bias, its all relative when you compare only Rasmussen polls. The margin has been 0, 1, and -1 in the last three VA-Rasmussen polls and Obama +9 and + 6 in the previous two. That would suggest a tightening (and stable) race.

Definitely, and I think a couple points more Democratic than that is about where we are and where we'll stay absent a major shakeup of the campaign.


Title: Re: VA: Ramsussen got Obama ahead of Romney
Post by: Supersonic on July 18, 2012, 05:30:29 PM
Virginia will come down to the wire.

Neither Obama nor Romney will get over 50% here in my view.