Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2012 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: RI on July 23, 2012, 06:22:58 PM



Title: WA: Elway Poll: Inslee takes the lead
Post by: RI on July 23, 2012, 06:22:58 PM
New Poll: Washington Governor by Elway Poll on 2012-07-22 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=5320120722142)

Summary: D: 43%, R: 36%, U: 21%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://publicola.com/2012/07/23/afternoon-jolt-whoa-inslee-leaps-out-in-front/)



Title: Re: WA: Elway Poll: Inslee takes the lead
Post by: RI on July 23, 2012, 06:27:08 PM
Probably a crap poll, but encouraging.


Title: Re: WA: Elway Poll: Inslee takes the lead
Post by: CultureKing on July 24, 2012, 11:09:28 PM
Elway always seems to come up with bizarre polling results, especially on initiatives.

Why are they still respected/relevant?


Title: Re: WA: Elway Poll: Inslee takes the lead
Post by: morgieb on July 24, 2012, 11:52:57 PM
What's Elway's track record like? I doubt that Inslee is leading by 7 when every other poll has McKenna up by 1 or 2.....


Title: Re: WA: Elway Poll: Inslee takes the lead
Post by: Miles on July 25, 2012, 12:50:52 AM
What's Elway's track record like? I doubt that Inslee is leading by 7 when every other poll has McKenna up by 1 or 2.....

Its been D-leaning.

It had Obama up 19 over McCain in mid-October 2008, which was pretty realistic. Still, they had Gregoire winning by 16 in their last poll.

In 2010, it skewed noticeably D. In early October, it had Murray leading by 13 when SUSA was showing her up 3.


Title: Re: WA: Elway Poll: Inslee takes the lead
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on July 25, 2012, 09:57:19 AM
Finally, this may be the only gov race Dems might wind up winning.


Title: Re: WA: Elway Poll: Inslee takes the lead
Post by: CatoMinor on July 25, 2012, 10:51:16 AM
Finally, this may be the only gov race Dems might wind up winning.

And Vermont, Missouri, and West Virginia. I doubt this poll is accurate, but I also don't think McKenna will win. As long as it stays close I am sure Inslee will win in the end.


Title: Re: WA: Elway Poll: Inslee takes the lead
Post by: sg0508 on July 29, 2012, 07:49:51 PM
Said it a million times.  In that state, the democrats ALWAYS come home in the end, very similar to OR