Talk Elections

Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion => Gubernatorial/State Elections => Topic started by: The world will shine with light in our nightmare on August 09, 2012, 05:14:48 PM



Title: Which scenario is more likely?
Post by: The world will shine with light in our nightmare on August 09, 2012, 05:14:48 PM
Scenario A: Arkansas electing a pro-choice, pro-marijuana governor who actively fights for LGBT causes in his state

Scenario B: Massachusetts electing a pro-life, staunchly anti-gun control governor who actively fights for a constitutional ban on gay marriage in his state

Lean scenario B.


Title: Re: Which scenario is more likely?
Post by: Niemeyerite on August 09, 2012, 05:54:10 PM
Both of them are more likely than Alabama electing a black... but, still, I think A is more likely. Romney could be elected again there in 2014 or 2018 if he doesn't win this election, but it's higly unlikely.

EDIT: When I said A, I was referring to B...


Title: Re: Which scenario is more likely?
Post by: tmthforu94 on August 09, 2012, 06:26:01 PM
In a battle of two near impossible scenario's, I must go with B.


Title: Re: Which scenario is more likely?
Post by: xavier110 on August 09, 2012, 07:00:57 PM
I would say A, if Democrats continue to have a local/statewide apparatus and run a successful candidate for governor who campaigns as a moderate but governs .... radically for Arkansas.


Title: Re: Which scenario is more likely?
Post by: You kip if you want to... on August 09, 2012, 07:35:28 PM
Scenario B: Massachusetts electing a pro-life, staunchly anti-gun control governor who actively fights for a constitutional ban on gay marriage in his state

Done! :D

()

Oh wait, that's a description of him now.


Title: Re: Which scenario is more likely?
Post by: The world will shine with light in our nightmare on August 09, 2012, 08:21:01 PM
Supposedly, it's all about style and not about substance in politics these days, so maybe someday either of those states could elect people like that if the candidates are better at connecting with the voters than their opponents.  I doubt something like that will happen any time soon, though.


Title: Re: Which scenario is more likely?
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on August 11, 2012, 09:29:05 AM
Probably A. Had you said a different Southern state besides VA, MO, NC, GA, FL, or TX, I'd have said B.