Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => U.S. Presidential Election Results => Topic started by: freepcrusher on September 11, 2012, 05:40:55 PM



Title: John Kerry - candidate with least broad coalition?
Post by: freepcrusher on September 11, 2012, 05:40:55 PM
Kerry won 583 counties in 2004 and in a tied election, would have won probably about 700. Even George McGovern, in a tied election, would have won about 845 counties. Discuss.

Edited to fix an obvious typo in the year.


Title: Re: John Kerry - candidate with least broad coalition?
Post by: old timey villain on September 18, 2012, 06:14:21 PM
Republicans win more counties but Democrats win the more populous counties.

For instance, Democrats can win the entire state of Illinois just by running up their margins in Cook County. The Republicans can win every other county.


Title: Re: John Kerry - candidate with least broad coalition?
Post by: SingingAnalyst on May 16, 2015, 01:08:02 PM
I thought Kerry's support base was pretty diverse. It's just that he was the only Dem since 1988 to lose the PV. Does "if the election were tied" presuppose uniform swing?


Title: Re: John Kerry - candidate with least broad coalition?
Post by: Mr. Illini on May 23, 2015, 09:26:53 PM
For instance, Democrats can win the entire state of Illinois just by running up their margins in Cook County.

[citation needed]


Title: Re: John Kerry - candidate with least broad coalition?
Post by: ElectionsGuy on May 23, 2015, 09:32:55 PM
For instance, Democrats can win the entire state of Illinois just by running up their margins in Cook County.

[citation needed]


Its unlikely since Cook County is usually only 64-65% Democrat if a Republican wins, but theoretically if a Democrat got 70% in Cook and lost every other county they would still win.