Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2012 Elections => Topic started by: Skill and Chance on September 11, 2012, 07:56:15 PM



Title: A Post-Convention take on 2008-2012 state trends?
Post by: Skill and Chance on September 11, 2012, 07:56:15 PM
I expect something like this:

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Title: Re: A Post-Convention take on 2008-2012 state trends?
Post by: H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY on September 11, 2012, 08:08:04 PM
NH will go R before MA.


Title: Re: A Post-Convention take on 2008-2012 state trends?
Post by: gotapresent on September 11, 2012, 08:38:55 PM
I'm new to this site so I was extremely confused for a moment. I'm used to the Red/Republican Blue/Democrat color scheme, so at first I thought you were giving CA to Romney and TX to Obama. Then I realized the colors were inverted, and thought you were giving NJ to Romney and GA to Obama. Now I realize this isn't an election day prediction at all...

As for 2008-2012 trends, most of them look plausible, but arguably Romney will do better than McCain did in FL given the current economic situation there.


Title: Re: A Post-Convention take on 2008-2012 state trends?
Post by: Skill and Chance on September 11, 2012, 08:42:57 PM

With the Romney homestate effect, MA is basically assured of moving more toward him than the NPV. 

NH comes down to the Boston suburbs vs. "East Vermont" and I think East Vermont comes out as strong if not stronger than 2008.


Title: Re: A Post-Convention take on 2008-2012 state trends?
Post by: Stranger in a strange land on September 11, 2012, 09:10:46 PM

I think that's supposed to be a trend map.


Title: Re: A Post-Convention take on 2008-2012 state trends?
Post by: LastVoter on September 11, 2012, 09:56:42 PM
Seems right except for WV.


Title: Re: A Post-Convention take on 2008-2012 state trends?
Post by: SPC on September 12, 2012, 12:17:41 AM
My guess:

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Title: Re: A Post-Convention take on 2008-2012 state trends?
Post by: Lief 🗽 on September 13, 2012, 10:22:11 PM
Something like this:

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