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Title: AZ-PPP: Romney ahead by 9 Post by: Niemeyerite on October 03, 2012, 05:49:45 PM Obama advisors may think the stae is winnable, but PPP is showing a likely GOP scenario, with a 40/57 approval for the President and Romney favorability above 50%.
Romney 53% Obama 44% http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/carmona-up-2-romney-by-9-in-arizona.html Title: Re: AZ-PPP: Romney ahead by 9 Post by: J. J. on October 03, 2012, 05:52:11 PM It's not unexpected, and I wouldn't be surprised if it was by 10+ points.
Title: Re: AZ-PPP: Romney ahead by 9 Post by: Lief 🗽 on October 03, 2012, 05:53:57 PM PPP has been showing very Republican numbers lately.
Title: Re: AZ-PPP: Romney ahead by 9 Post by: 5280 on October 03, 2012, 05:54:07 PM I expect Romney to win around 52% of the vote, and Obama about 41%
Title: Re: AZ-PPP: Romney ahead by 9 Post by: knyphausen on October 03, 2012, 06:32:35 PM I expect Romney to win around 52% of the vote, and Obama about 41% You expect that much to go to third parties (7%)!?! :o Why may I ask? Title: Re: AZ-PPP: Romney ahead by 9 Post by: 5280 on October 03, 2012, 07:25:17 PM I expect Romney to win around 52% of the vote, and Obama about 41% You expect that much to go to third parties (7%)!?! :o Why may I ask? Title: Re: AZ-PPP: Romney ahead by 9 Post by: 5280 on October 03, 2012, 07:53:41 PM I expect Romney to win around 52% of the vote, and Obama about 41% You expect that much to go to third parties (7%)!?! :o Why may I ask? I know math isn't your strong suit (or thinking in general, for that matter), but 2% is NOT equal to 7% My numbers are off, no need to point out the obvious stuff. When you have 3 third party candidates that take 2.5%, 2.5% and 2%, it adds up to 7%. Title: Re: AZ-PPP: Romney ahead by 9 Post by: danny on October 04, 2012, 12:45:18 AM I expect Romney to win around 52% of the vote, and Obama about 41% You expect that much to go to third parties (7%)!?! :o Why may I ask? I know math isn't your strong suit (or thinking in general, for that matter), but 2% is NOT equal to 7% My numbers are off, no need to point out the obvious stuff. When you have 3 third party candidates that take 2.5%, 2.5% and 2%, it adds up to 7%. The math is good, but I don't see why you would get 3 parties with at least 2%, when in 2008 none managed even close to 1%. Title: Re: AZ-PPP: Romney ahead by 9 Post by: J. J. on October 04, 2012, 12:47:02 AM PPP has been showing very Republican numbers lately. Maybe they are just good pollsters. The house bias might come into play as well. Title: Re: AZ-PPP: Romney ahead by 9 Post by: 5280 on October 04, 2012, 02:14:25 AM I expect Romney to win around 52% of the vote, and Obama about 41% You expect that much to go to third parties (7%)!?! :o Why may I ask? I know math isn't your strong suit (or thinking in general, for that matter), but 2% is NOT equal to 7% My numbers are off, no need to point out the obvious stuff. When you have 3 third party candidates that take 2.5%, 2.5% and 2%, it adds up to 7%. The math is good, but I don't see why you would get 3 parties with at least 2%, when in 2008 none managed even close to 1%. Title: AZ: Public Policy Polling: Romney with Lead in Arizona Post by: ElectionAtlas on October 04, 2012, 09:54:53 AM New Poll: Arizona President by Public Policy Polling on 2012-10-03 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=420121003108)
Summary: D: 41%, R: 52%, I: 4%, U: 3% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_AZ_1003.pdf) Title: Re: AZ-PPP: Romney ahead by 9 Post by: 5280 on October 04, 2012, 10:08:52 AM And I guessed right on the nose with this one. Go me...
Title: Re: AZ-PPP: Romney ahead by 9 Post by: Umengus on October 04, 2012, 12:49:27 PM PPP has been showing very Republican numbers lately. like Ras but for democrats... Party id: R +16 (R +7 in 2008) So optimist for republicans but the Obama +8 amongst independents (+5 in 2008) is probably overestimated so all in all, global result is fine. Title: Re: AZ-PPP: Romney ahead by 9 Post by: Niemeyerite on October 04, 2012, 02:37:07 PM New Poll: Arizona President by Public Policy Polling on 2012-10-03 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=420121003108) Summary: D: 41%, R: 52%, I: 4%, U: 3% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_AZ_1003.pdf) Hey, boss, you have it wrong ;) Title: Re: AZ-PPP: Romney ahead by 9 Post by: Umengus on October 04, 2012, 04:17:50 PM New Poll: Arizona President by Public Policy Polling on 2012-10-03 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=420121003108) Summary: D: 41%, R: 52%, I: 4%, U: 3% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_AZ_1003.pdf) blasphem ! No, he's right. cfr Q7 in the poll Hey, boss, you have it wrong ;) |