Talk Elections

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/connecticut/release-detail?ReleaseID=1802

McMahon 48
Murphy 47



McMahon is allegedly putting up a large lead in Murphy's congressional district.

This can't be real.

She was up three in the last Quinnipiac poll, so this actually shows her losing ground.

Why is Murphy doing so badly? This is Connecticut, and McMahon lost badly last time. I don't understand how Murphy's not trouncing her.

New Poll: Connecticut Senator by Quinnipiac University on 2012-10-03 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=9120121002015)

Summary: D: 47%, R: 48%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/connecticut/release-detail?ReleaseID=1802)

$$$$$$$$

Also, Chris Murphy isn't a great candidate.

Linda McMahon is carpet bombing the state. Look at Wisconsin for evidence of what happens when one candidate spends and another doesn't.

I think this was also somewhat a low point for Republicans across the board, as well. As Romney improves, so should she.

Murphy is no Blumenthal.  Blumenthal was a well-respected statewide Attorney General who had been elected numerous times.  He was always on Connecticut TV as AG and otherwise kept a high profile.  Everybody knew who he was.  Murphy is a three-term congressman who represents one-fifth of the state.  He has not kept nearly as high a profile as Blumenthal and because he was a relative unknown prior to this election, McMahon has had the opportunity to define him in a way that she never really did for Blumenthal. 

Oh, this is going to be good.

If Linda McMahon wins and candidates like Tommy Thompson, Scott Brown and Linda Lingle lose the Tea Party is going to be intolerable for the next 4 years or so.

Continued evidence of a bizarre Republican surge in Connecticut. This bodes well downballot in CT-05.

McMahon is a complete moderate, by the by. The only reason she's swept every primary she's been in is her tendency to crush everyone else in funding.

I remember the CT polls in 2010 being far too Republican, as it turned out. Same again, or is this actually happening?

This is closer then i expected but expect Murphy to ride Obama's coattails.

PPP said it best: in Connecticut when you have an unpopular Democrat against an unpopular Republican, the Democrat will win.

McMahon's favorables are at +4 (45/41) and +8 with independents.  Murphy is at -4 (36/40) and under water with independents (-15).  So....

Exactly.  It's an unwritten rule of politics.

I'll make a prediction:
If Romney is elected President, McMahon wins. If Obama is elected President, Shays wins.

:D   
 and maybe Lugar wins too! ;D

This is really becoming embarrassing. Obama needs to send some cash and campaign surrogates to Connecticut pronto.

He has none to spare.

Apparently Republican polling is showing Romney ahead in CT-05.  If that's true, Obama might actually only be ahead by high single digits statewide.

That's at least somewhat consistent with his unusually good poll numbers statewide. Remember, Quinnipiac only has Obama up by 12, with PPP showing Obama's lead at 13. That's about on par with where opinion polls have Michigan, and to some extent, Pennsylvania.

This reminds me of how shocked I was when Ford took CT over Carter in 1976.

Oh Dear God no...