Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2012 Elections => Topic started by: rockhound on October 05, 2012, 10:39:12 AM



Title: Horrible job numbers, but watch for the Obama spin
Post by: rockhound on October 05, 2012, 10:39:12 AM
Obama media reporting the raw %, but here's the real truth:

for every new job this month, 2 people stopped looking!!

The employment numbers keep plummeting.


Title: Re: Horrible job numbers, but watch for the Obama spin
Post by: Oakvale on October 05, 2012, 10:51:04 AM
That's not actually true at all, but whatever works for you.


Title: Re: Horrible job numbers, but watch for the Obama spin
Post by: 5280 on October 05, 2012, 10:52:39 AM
Obama media reporting the raw %, but here's the real truth:

for every new job this month, 2 people stopped looking!!

The employment numbers keep plummeting.
How does the unemployment rate drop that far, and it happens on the same month right before election?  Seems like manipulating numbers to me.


Title: Re: Horrible job numbers, but watch for the Obama spin
Post by: technical support on October 05, 2012, 10:54:04 AM
Obama media reporting the raw %, but here's the real truth:

for every new job this month, 2 people stopped looking!!

The employment numbers keep plummeting.

why do we need another jobs post on here we already have one.


Title: Re: Horrible job numbers, but watch for the Obama spin
Post by: Yank2133 on October 05, 2012, 10:55:23 AM
Obama media reporting the raw %, but here's the real truth:

for every new job this month, 2 people stopped looking!!

The employment numbers keep plummeting.
How does the unemployment rate drop that far, and it happens on the same month right before election?  Seems like manipulating numbers to me.

Revisions are up for the last two months that is why.

God, Republicans are stupid.........


Title: Re: Horrible job numbers, but watch for the Obama spin
Post by: Oakvale on October 05, 2012, 10:55:31 AM
Obama media reporting the raw %, but here's the real truth:

for every new job this month, 2 people stopped looking!!

The employment numbers keep plummeting.
How does the unemployment rate drop that far, and it happens on the same month right before election?  Seems like manipulating numbers to me.

Don't do this. The moment anyone starts accusing the BLS of manipulating their numbers that person should be ignored and dismissed as a crackpot.


Title: Re: Horrible job numbers, but watch for the Obama spin
Post by: Averroës Nix on October 05, 2012, 10:57:46 AM
If the Obama administration had the capability and the will to throw the jobs report, I suspect that it would look a bit different.



Title: Re: Horrible job numbers, but watch for the Obama spin
Post by: Yank2133 on October 05, 2012, 10:58:41 AM
If the Obama administration had the capability and the will to throw the jobs report, I suspect that it would look a bit different.



Hell, they would have started 2 years ago.


Title: Re: Horrible job numbers, but watch for the Obama spin
Post by: DrScholl on October 05, 2012, 10:59:12 AM
How does the unemployment rate drop that far, and it happens on the same month right before election?  Seems like manipulating numbers to me.

The number didn't go up, get over it.


Title: Re: Horrible job numbers, but watch for the Obama spin
Post by: Torie on October 05, 2012, 10:59:21 AM
Yes, this sally is a fail. Let's move on. Thanks.


Title: Re: Horrible job numbers, but watch for the Obama spin
Post by: J. J. on October 05, 2012, 11:00:11 AM
I think the numbers are legitimate, and that this was the best news Obama could expect in the circumstances.  Ideally, they would be better than January 2009, but it has been clear that wouldn't happen and nobody expected it to be better.


Title: Re: Horrible job numbers, but watch for the Obama spin
Post by: technical support on October 05, 2012, 11:04:02 AM
REPUBLICANS WERE EXPECTING BAD NEWS TODAY AND THERE UPSET THEY COULDN'T FAIL AMERICA.


Title: Re: Horrible job numbers, but watch for the Obama spin
Post by: GMantis on October 05, 2012, 11:06:47 AM
I think we should rename the other threat "Great job numbers, but watch for the Romney spin" just for symmetry ;)


Title: Re: Horrible job numbers, but watch for the Obama spin
Post by: J. J. on October 05, 2012, 11:13:26 AM
REPUBLICANS WERE EXPECTING BAD NEWS TODAY AND THERE UPSET THEY COULDN'T FAIL AMERICA.

Which Republicans?  I've been talking about this since after the debate and indicating that they could be good numbers.


Title: Re: Horrible job numbers, but watch for the Obama spin
Post by: Lief 🗽 on October 05, 2012, 11:19:35 AM
Birth certificate? Fake. Polls? Fake. Job reports? Fake. Do Republicans believe anything is real?


Title: Re: Horrible job numbers, but watch for the Obama spin
Post by: 5280 on October 05, 2012, 11:39:33 AM
The guys on MSNBC don't believe the numbers either.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=yL1TeI2x2H0 (http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=yL1TeI2x2H0)

Honestly, it's slightly good news for Obama, but not enough to hand him the election.  It's a still a slow recovery.


Title: Re: Horrible job numbers, but watch for the Obama spin
Post by: Yank2133 on October 05, 2012, 11:49:55 AM
The guys on MSNBC don't believe the numbers either.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=yL1TeI2x2H0 (http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=yL1TeI2x2H0)

Honestly, it's slightly good news for Obama, but not enough to hand him the election.  It's a still a slow recovery.

Joe Scarborough is an idiot.

Honestly, why would lifetime bureaucrats manipulate numbers? There is absolute no reason for them to do so, they are in no danger of losing their jobs.


Title: Re: Horrible job numbers, but watch for the Obama spin
Post by: Northeast Rep Snowball on October 05, 2012, 11:56:04 AM
The chances of them changing numbers, and then not have them below 2009 is quite odd, if they were to maniplulate numbers, they would have made it more constant instead of at the time where it looks the worst.


Title: Re: Horrible job numbers, but watch for the Obama spin
Post by: Grumpier Than Uncle Joe on October 05, 2012, 11:57:38 AM
Birth certificate? Fake. Polls? Fake. Job reports? Fake. Do Republicans believe anything is real?

They believe Obama is a muslim, so yes.


Title: Re: Horrible job numbers, but watch for the Obama spin
Post by: Grumpier Than Uncle Joe on October 05, 2012, 11:59:00 AM
If the Obama administration had the capability and the will to throw the jobs report, I suspect that it would look a bit different.



Indeed.  No President has ever been re-elected with today's numbers, IIRC


Title: Re: Horrible job numbers, but watch for the Obama spin
Post by: Gass3268 on October 05, 2012, 12:03:15 PM
From Nate Silver:

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/05/jobs-news-makes-obamas-case-easier/#more-35589 (http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/05/jobs-news-makes-obamas-case-easier/#more-35589)

"The reported payrolls growth figure for September, 114,000 jobs, was incredibly close to consensus forecasts of about 115,000 jobs added. But everything else about the report considerably beat expectations. Jobs figures were revised upward by 40,000 in July, and by 46,000 in August. Combined with the jobs growth in September, that means the economy added 200,000 more jobs than we thought previously."

That's why we saw the big drop in %.


Title: Re: Horrible job numbers, but watch for the Obama spin
Post by: Landslide Lyndon on October 05, 2012, 12:08:29 PM
Has anyone checked the IP of this rockhound character?


Title: Re: Horrible job numbers, but watch for the Obama spin
Post by: Northeast Rep Snowball on October 05, 2012, 12:09:50 PM
Why, do you think he's a sock?


Title: Re: Horrible job numbers, but watch for the Obama spin
Post by: Likely Voter on October 05, 2012, 12:39:06 PM
I was just as confused as the Morning Joe people when the numbers came out because we have been taught that numbers around 120K dont translate into 0.2 drops. The drop was really due to the revisions of past months, something which was better discussed on the following MSNBC show by the guy from Moody's who had previously said he thought the previous months were being under reported
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21134540/vp/49301199#49301199

Its not a conspiracy, its just a readjustment.


Title: Re: Horrible job numbers, but watch for the Obama spin
Post by: Yank2133 on October 05, 2012, 12:48:43 PM
So ADP is more accurate then BLS......go figure.


Title: Re: Horrible job numbers, but watch for the Obama spin
Post by: King on October 05, 2012, 01:01:26 PM
It's one of those horrible jobs numbers that OP would touting if Obama had an R next to his name.


Title: Re: Horrible job numbers, but watch for the Obama spin
Post by: Politico on October 05, 2012, 10:09:08 PM
Obama media reporting the raw %, but here's the real truth:

for every new job this month, 2 people stopped looking!!

The employment numbers keep plummeting.
How does the unemployment rate drop that far, and it happens on the same month right before election?  Seems like manipulating numbers to me.

Chicago politicos will say and do anything, and I mean anything.

That said, over 200,000 jobs were created in September 2011. Things are getting worse, not better, but if listening to liberal spin makes you feel better about watching America burn while Nero reads his teleprompter, well...