Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2012 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Keystone Phil on October 10, 2012, 10:06:31 AM



Title: PA: Susquehanna (R): Casey clings to 2 point lead.
Post by: Keystone Phil on October 10, 2012, 10:06:31 AM
Casey (D) - 46%
Smith (R) - 44%

http://www.politicspa.com/susquehanna-poll-casey-46-smith-44/42338/ (http://www.politicspa.com/susquehanna-poll-casey-46-smith-44/42338/)

Even for a Republican poll, this is big.


Title: Re: PA: Susquehanna (R): Casey clings to 2 point lead.
Post by: Keystone Phil on October 10, 2012, 10:08:59 AM
This shows him Smith up ten in Allegheny. That just can't be.


Title: Re: PA: Susquehanna (R): Casey clings to 2 point lead.
Post by: Torie on October 10, 2012, 10:33:24 AM
This shows him Smith up ten in Allegheny. That just can't be.

It's too bad they don't reveal a partisan breakdown in the poll. Yes, I know, this partisan breakdown stuff in polls has become its own political football, but it still is something that we all want to know. Putting that aside, it may be the margin of error for Allegheny is huge because of a very small subsample.


Title: Re: PA: Susquehanna (R): Casey clings to 2 point lead.
Post by: tmthforu94 on October 10, 2012, 10:56:32 AM
This is looking better for Republicans than Virginia. Who knew...


Title: Re: PA: Susquehanna (R): Casey clings to 2 point lead.
Post by: Niemeyerite on October 10, 2012, 12:02:15 PM
So, Smith >>>> Santorum.


Title: Re: PA: Susquehanna (R): Casey clings to 2 point lead.
Post by: Miles on October 10, 2012, 12:08:06 PM
I know this is a R poll, but it almost seems like Casey is trying to see how close he can make this.


Title: Re: PA: Susquehanna (R): Casey clings to 2 point lead.
Post by: krazen1211 on October 10, 2012, 12:19:30 PM
Casey is basically not campaigning. Philadelphia TV has as many Bob Menendez ads as Casey ads, and Bob Menendez doesn't even really need South Jersey.


Title: Re: PA: Susquehanna (R): Casey clings to 2 point lead.
Post by: Keystone Phil on October 10, 2012, 12:37:36 PM

It isn't 2006 anymore and Casey has run a lackluster campaign/has been ineffective. Santorum would probably be running as well as Smith (except Smith isn't some well known polarizing figure even though Casey's campaign has tried to make him into that type).

Casey is basically not campaigning. Philadelphia TV has as many Bob Menendez ads as Casey ads, and Bob Menendez doesn't even really need South Jersey.

Even more hilariously, the NJ Republican nominee somehow has a good amount of money and has run several different ads. I've seen him more than anyone else.


Title: Re: PA: Susquehanna (R): Casey clings to 2 point lead.
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on October 10, 2012, 06:26:39 PM
...the hell??


Title: Re: PA: Susquehanna (R): Casey clings to 2 point lead.
Post by: Mr.Phips on October 10, 2012, 06:39:24 PM
Smith almost certainly needs Romney to win the state if he is going to win. 


Title: Re: PA: Susquehanna (R): Casey clings to 2 point lead.
Post by: Zioneer on October 10, 2012, 11:35:02 PM
Why is Casey so terrible at this?


Title: PA: Susquehanna Polling & Research: Casey and Smith Close in Pennsylvania
Post by: ElectionAtlas on October 11, 2012, 06:23:50 AM
New Poll: Pennsylvania Senator by Susquehanna Polling & Research on 2012-10-10 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=42120121006129)

Summary: D: 46%, R: 44%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.scribd.com/doc/109595669/Toplines-Statewide-Omnibus-PA-USSenate-Public-Oct12)