Talk Elections

Does anyone know where I can find a map of the gubernatorial race results by municipality?  

You won't be able to until the NJ Board of Elections publishes the data necessary to make such a map.

You might be able to start a map if you wanted to.  Municipality or precinct-level data is already available in some county websites.  PulaskiSkywayDriver posted the Hudson County results by municipality here (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=181812.msg3944076#msg3944076) (no map).

Oh, sure, but I'd rather wait a week or two for the very nice NJ BOE tables than go county-by-county for the municipal-level results.

The counties of Bergen, Camden, Cape May, Hudson, Hunterdon, Middlesex, Morris, Ocean, Passaic, Somerset, and Sussex have released their results. The municipal results for the Senate special election in New Jersey took three weeks for NJelections.org to release. I would expect the same for the gubernatorial election. I have rendered a map for the Senate election, but not the gubernatorial election, to tide you over. ()

That's a great map. I love pointillism.

Holy crap!  How long did it take you to make this?

About 2-3 hours. I was able to do it within the same day. The most time-consuming step was making sure the election data completely joined with the ArcMap data.
Still waiting for the gubernatorial results by municipality to come out.

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Atlas Page for full NJ 2005 Gubernatorial town maps: Link (https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/town.php?year=2005&fips=34&f=0&off=5&elect=0&datatype=town)

(https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2005&fips=34&f=0&off=5&elect=0)

Candidate	Party	Municipalities Won
() Forrester	Republican	304
() Corzine	Democratic	260
Ties	Dem-Rep	2

Full Atlas Results Page: Link (https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2005&fips=34&f=0&off=5&elect=0)

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Atlas Page for full NJ 2009 Gubernatorial town maps: Link (https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/town.php?year=2009&fips=34&f=0&off=5&elect=0&datatype=town)

(https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2009&fips=34&f=0&off=5&elect=0)

Candidate	Party	Municipalities Won
() Christie	Republican	413
() Corzine	Democratic	152
Ties	Dem-Rep	1

Full Atlas Results Page: Link (https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2009&fips=34&f=0&off=5&elect=0)

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the interesting thing is what towns swung Dem in 09. Btw a few Sussex towns were closer in 13 than 09! (Tea Partiers perhaps?)

Corzine lost  alot of towns in 09 he won in Middlesex County in 05.

That's a lot of municipalities to carry

the nj state board of elections has finally posted the municipal data for 2013!! someone please make some maps!!

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Atlas Page for full NJ 2013 Gubernatorial town maps: Link (https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/town.php?year=2013&fips=34&f=0&off=5&elect=0&datatype=town)

(https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2013&fips=34&f=0&off=5&elect=0)

Candidate	Party	Municipalities Won	Percent
() Christie	Republican	503	89%
() Corzine	Democratic	61	11%
Ties	Dem-Rep	1	0%

 
This is a pickup of 90 municipalities relative to Christie's 2009 contest against John Corzine.  Buono carried the largest two municipalities of Newark and Jersey City, but only one other (Patterson) in the top 29 municipalities ranked by total votes cast.  Buono’s strongest municipality with over 1,000 votes cast was in East Orange (Essex County) where she won 87.6% to 11.3% (a margin of 8,201 votes).  Similarly, Christie’s strongest municipality with greater than 1,000 votes cast was in Colts Neck (Monmouth County) ,  where he won 83.4% to 15.1% (a margin of 2,152 votes).  Buono’s strength was limited to the urban centers surrounding Camden, Trenton, and Newark, while Christie was strong everywhere else – especially in Ocean County and the northwestern portions of the state.

Full Atlas Results Page: Link (https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2013&fips=34&f=0&off=5&elect=0)

There's a suspiciously huge swing in Union City from 2009 to 2013: Christie improved from 20.3% to 58.1%, while Buono took only 40.6% of the vote in comparison with Corzine's 77.5%!

Is a swing that large in favor of the Republicans (74.6%) actually correct?

Looks like 61 cities need some traffic problems

This is a pretty dramatic turn - the result in the Statement of Vote at Hudson County (http://www.hudsoncountyclerk.org/SOV_GENERAL%20ELECTION%20DISTRICT%20CANVASS%2011_5_2013.pdf) shows Buono with 4,651 and Christie with 6,653 in Union City.

Enjoy,
Dave

Union City may be New Jersey's most heavily Hispanic-populated municipality, but none of the other heavily-Hispanic cities in the state behaved anything like this.

If one switches the vote totals - to Christie 4651 (40.6%), Buono 6653 (58.1%) - one arrives at a swing to Christie of 39.6%, which is far more reasonable and very much in line with other swings in Hudson County and the state. (The exit poll suggested that the swing amongst Hispanics statewide was indeed very large - but, remarkably, it was actually 39%!)

Could the local officials really have made such a stupid, but very simple, mistake?

Edit: ignore the wild speculation. Krazen cleared this up below.

An urban mayor's endorsement caused a 50-point increase in the swing! Hm... ;)

I LoLed.

Christie still won a majority of municipalities though.

It's interesting. If you look at the total number of votes cast in some Essex County municipalities you can see that Christie's above-average performance is mainly due to the fact that democratic voters didn't turn out. In fact, in places such as Livingston Christie actually won fewer votes than in 2009.

I am pleasantly surprised that my hometown went for Buono.  Yay?

Buono voters are looking better and better everyday.

Here is the 2013 Swing Map for New Jersey by Municipality

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Top Swings for Christie

City/Town Total Vote Margin %Margin Swing% Christie Buono Other Union City City 11,458 2,002 17.47% 74.52% 58.06% 40.59% 1.34% Audubon Park Borough 311 123 39.55% 53.06% 69.45% 29.90% 0.64% Harrison Town 1,686 134 7.95% 52.59% 53.14% 45.20% 1.66% Rockleigh Borough 90 60 66.67% 51.59% 83.33% 16.67% 0.00% West Wildwood Borough 232 121 52.16% 45.47% 75.43% 23.28% 1.29% Only three municipalities swung to Buono - Walpack Township (where there was a total of 9 votes cast - and literally Buono received one more vote than Corzine. Loch Arbour Village (83 total votes and 6% Buono swing), and Branchville Borough with a 1.4% Buono Swing. Enjoy, Dave

Buono only carried 1 county: embarrassing

Two counties.

Yeah Hudson and Essex Counties she carried.

it'd be kind of cool to see the swing between the 2013 Special US Senate Election and last year's gubernatorial results...

??