Talk Elections

You know what to do.

Yet I can't, but the next person will be able to.

Scott would win.

Austria - maybe Goldwater
I usually take Colorado for such things, so there - Goldwater as well, I think

Goldwater wins South Dakota.

My Atlasia state (MD): TheCranberry
My RL Australian state (WA): TDAS04

It'd be close no doubt, and I could see a centrist third party candidate gaining some traction, I'd say Anton would probably be the winner.

Considering during these things I''m from Wisconsin, the choice of two Conservatives proves a lot of low turnout Statewide.

Madmanmotley:49.79%
Anton Kreitzer:48.77%

Guntaker would get about 5% of the PV max.  PA likes its guns.

3 Options:

Austria as a whole: most likely Guntaker, but that's because Grumpy Gramps is too socially liberal
My Austrian "state" - Tirol: Guntaker is too economical liberal, Grumpy Gramps too socially liberal - if he's a Catholic though he'll make it
Colorado, the state I usually take at such things: narrowly Grumpy Gramps, I'd think

The Cranberry wins Wisconsin 50.7-48.9% over Mr. Grumps.

TheCranberry wins NY in a landslide

SomebodyWhoExists blows ElectionsGuy out of the California water.

After a series of racial slurs and gaffes, SWE, who was seen as too liberal to win in Florida has won the state in the biggest landslide victory in Floridian history.

Flo wins in Washington.

Oklahoma Senate Race:
Senator Goldwater (R) - 62.9%
State House Rep. Flo (D) - 32.7%
Conservative Independent - 3.9%
Others - 0.5%

Senator Goldwater had fell into some hot water over his views on farm subsidies, and that left him vulernable. Congressman Dan Boren lead him in the polls, and decided to run. However, little known liberal Flo, a one term state house rep, stole the nom from Boren, and proved to be far too liberal for the state. Goldwater won by a 30 point margin, with a conservative 3rd party challenge getting 4%.

Who said I'm a Republican?

Also, if Maxwell made it through the top two he could probably beat Goldwater by high single digits.

Max would lead the Ontario Liberals to a majority government. Joshgreen would be a disaster leading the Tories to a distant third place finish with the NDP forming opposition.

SWE is a very liberal person.

-skip-

Hatman wins NY

SWE wins NY due to a home state bonus.

()

Joshgreen - 51%
SWE - 47%

2017 Presidential Election

The elimination of the UMP candidate in the first round leads to an extremely polarized runoff between socialist candidate Scott and the far-rightist Joshgreen. Although Joshgreen does well in the economically distressed northeast and in the FN strongholds of the southeast, Scott eventually wins handily.

()

Scott (PS): 57.8%
Joshgreen (FN): 42.2%

Scott would probably win the SD Democratic primary.

District 2 Democratic Primary:
Congressman TDAS04 (D) - 76%
Fmr. State Senator Antonio V (D) - 24%

One of the last Oklahoma Democrats, TDAS04, is having a rough time in the general election, enough so that he is now facing a Democratic primary challenge from the left. Former State Senator Antonio V, a fierce liberal who lost his re-election attempt, ran ads criticisizing TDAS04 for voting with Republicans. However, the district is culturally conservative, and his attempts to pain his opponent as too conservative failed, and TDAS04 won by a solid margin.

2006 scenario (without Five Star Movement)

Maxwell (Centre-right with Forza Italia, New Centre Right, Lega Nord, Union of the Centre, Populars for Italy, Brothers of Italy - National Alliance, Others) 53,4%
TDAS04 (Centre-left with Democratic Party, Left Ecology Freedom, Democratic Centre, Civic Choice, Radicals, Italy of Values, Greens, Italian Socialist Party, Communist Refoundation - Party of Italian Communists, Others) 45,9%
Indipendents 0,7%

Regions map:

()

Maxwell (Centre-right) wins in the regions of Piedmont, Lombardy, Veneto, Friuli Venezia Giulia, Liguria, Lazio, Abruzzo, Molise, Campania, Apulia, Calabria, Sicily and Sardinia.
TDAS04 (Centre-left) wins in the regions of Emilia Romagna, Tuscany, Umbria, Marche and Basilicata.
Indipendents wins in the regions of Aosta Valley and South Tyrol Trentino.

2000 Presidential Republican Primary - Connecticut

()

Maxwell - 49%
Cris - 46%

Cris wins South Dakota, 57-42.

2008 Kentucky Senate Primary:
Business Tony "Ofaur" Davis (D) - 52.3%
Kentucky Speaker Jeffrey Scott (D) - 42.8%
Others - 4.9%

With a narrow Democratic majority, Democrats celebrated by running one of their shining stars, Jeffrey Scott. Of religious upbringing, Scott connected well with Kentucky voters, and many pundits saw him as a credible challenge to Senator Mitch McConnell. However, the grassroots establishment usurped him by putting in Tony "Ofaur" Davis, a business man from South Dakota, to run against him. In terms of ideologies, they were not too far apart at all, but Davis ran harder against McConnell and against Republicans, making his election in the general a bit harder, but made Democratic base fall in love with him. He managed a stronger than expected defeat of the speaker, and went on to lose to McConnell narrowly.

Tony beats Max, because it's New Jersey.

2008 Presidential Republican Primary - North Carolina

()

Representative Maxwell of Louisiana - 56.14%
Governor rpryor03 of New Jersey - 41.61%

2010 Senate - Wisconsin

()

Mayor Scott: 53.5%
Senator rpryor: 45.10%

2014 Ohio Democratic Presidential Primary

Governor Scott "Sunday" Abott (D-AR) - 56%

Senator Gerald "gun taker" Potatoe (D-CT) - 44%

X wins the Democratic primary, only to be obliterated in the general election.

TDAS04 would win the Democratic primary and the general election.

()

Incumbent Senator Goldwater (Republican) - 56.77%
State Senator TDAS04 (Democratic) - 43.23%

() (https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2010&fips=13&f=0&off=5&elect=0)
Fmr. US Senator Goldwater (Republican) - 53.02%
Congressman Scott (Democrat) - 46.98%
 

2016 Missouri Democratic Gubernatorial Primary

Attorney General Scott - 51.0%
Congressman Clinton - 44.6%
Others - 4.4%

Clinton beats Spiral in Washington.

Goldwater wins South Dakota, but Spiral makes it close.

Goldwater defeats TDAS04, though it isn't an entire defeat. Goldwater secures enough Libertarian support to prevent a runoff.

()

TDAS04 - 57%
GOPLibertarian - 42%

wormyguy - 52%
Bigby - 47%

Assuming after runoff....

GaussLaw: 55%
wormyguy: 45%

This is like a throwback to the 1990's. The suburbs would break hard for the fiscal conservative and social liberal. Little Egypt would shift back toward the Dems for the conservative Democrat. A Green Party candidate would do well in Carbondale and Champaign. GaussLaw would win because he's a Democrat. It's basically Blago vs. Topinka in 2006.

()

Alternative Oklahoma Gubernatorial Race

Former Congressman George Bigby is a republican, but is also a noted maverick among the delegation who lost his congressional primary for his pro-choice votes. In spite of that, he continued on to run for Governor, won a run-off in spite of his moderate views on a lot of issues (mostly because he faced State Senator Chris Cassius, someone who trailed all of the Democrats by double digits due to his far out views on most issues), and faces State Superintendent Ray Illini, a pro-life Democrat running on education reform. Illini has done a very good job of hiding his more liberal economic views, so the election, on the outset, looked competitive, with Bigby maintaining low single digit margins. However, conservatives come home to the uninspiring Bigby, and he wins by a solid double digit margin.

Former Congressman George Bigby (R) - 54.2%
State Superintendent Ray Illini (D) - 42.6%
Others - 3.2%

Illini would get Blanche'd.

()

Maxwell (R) - 58.0%
Illini (D) - 42.0%

Maxwell wins in Massachusetts in one of the strangest Massachusetts elections in recent memory.

Maxwell (I) : 59%
Dixie (R): 41%

Branden Cordeiro beats Dixie in the Washington Republican Gubernatorial Primary.

Georgia Republican Senate Primary, 2016:

Congressman Branden Cordeiro: 36%
Atlanta Mayor Goldwater: 29%
Lieutenant Governor Casey Cagle:28%
Other: 7%

Cagle gains support from both moderates and social conservatives to send the primary into a runoff.

Runoff Results:

Congressman Branden Cordeiro: 58%
Atlanta Mayor Goldwater: 42%

Bigby defeats Goldwater in the South Dakota GOP Primary by 12 votes. 

TDAS04 defeats Bigby in the Massachusetts gubernatorial election, in a landslide.

Senator TDAS04 (D): 48%
Bigby (R): 37%
Independent: 15%

Branden Cordeiro wins the Senate Race in South Carolina due to being a Republican, though TDAS04 does surprising well because Branden isn't the type of Republican people in SC are used to.

Cordeiro (R): 54%
TDAS04 (D): 43%

Former Congressman Frank Celtic Pire won a crowded primary for Oklahoma Governor. His views conflicted with most of the Republicans in the state, who are more values voters, and Democrats saw an opening. State Senator David Clark, a former Republican, ran as a moderate, tacking hard on education and pro-gun rights, and managed to win a narrow election thanks to the endorsement of 100 Former and current Republican officers.

Oklahoma Gubernatorial Election
49.8% State Senator David Clark (D)
47.6% Former Congressman Frank C. Pire (R)

I just make up names for these :P

SKIP

Clarko ekes out a narrow victory by bagging the all deciding Trinity county, but truly this was a nail-biter and no one could've imagined the Weed Triangle deciding all.

Wisconsin Attorney General:

Morm: 53.3%
Clarko: 45.9%

ElectionsGuy would win over MormDem, but a generic Republican would defeat both of them in South Dakota. 

California Senate

TDAS04: 58.6%
ElectionsGuy: 39.3%
Other: 2.1%

Close race, but MormDem wins the Democratic Primary narrowly.

MormDem (D): 51%
TDAS04 (D): 49%

For senate

Mormdem 53.4%
Branden.  45.7%

Snowguy: 55%
Brandon: 44%

Georgia 2016 Democratic Primary:

HockeyDude: 53%
Snowguy716: 47%

2016 Indiana Senate Election:

While Bigby's social "liberalism" turns off some of the GOP base, the fact that the Indiana Democratic party nominated what many consider in the state to be an extreme liberal, that motivates them and moderates to vote for Bigby.

State Rep. Bigby 56.4%
Mayor. HockeyDude 42.6%
Others: 1%

GOP Republican Primary

Motley: 36.2%
Bigby: 32.4%
Someone more conservative: 20.6%
Someone less conservative: 11.6%

Missouri Senate:

Motley:  55%
MormDem:  45%

Fairly typical Missouri federalized election. 

For Senate
Governor Henry Gauss (R) - 69.8%
Former State Rep. Rick "MormDem" Rolling (D) - 27.3%

Maxwell would win in a very unusual election.

Goldwater wins the exact same way his namesake did against Nelson Rockefeller

Goldwater easily wins South Dakota, but underperforms somewhat due to lack of religion. 

MormDem wins fairly easy due to the Evangelical vote and union support in the Democratic primary.

TDAS04 would easily win in Washington. Gauss Law is probably the worst kind of Republican for the state.

Wisconsin Governor: Republican Primary (made up first names)

Bruce Goldwater - 78.6% ✔
Randy Gauss - 21.4%

CA Presidential Primary, GOP

ElectionsGuy: 36%
Goldwater: 32%
Others: 32%

Illinois Gubernatorial Election, 2018

MormDem: 55%
ElectionsGuy: 44%
Others: 1%

Georgia Democratic Primary for Senate, 2016:

Congressman Hank Johnson: 51%
Activist MormDem: 28%
Former Governor Zell Miller: 14%
State Senator TNF: 7%

After a gaffe relating to affirmative action, Former Governor Zell Miller faces a massive decline with minorities and white liberals. Activist MormDem and State Senator TNF join the race two weeks before the deadline as protest votes. MormDem, despite some hostilities to his Mormon faith, does particulary well with white liberals and some Hispanics while TNF gets a shocking 7% of the vote despite his far-left views. However, Congressman Hank Johnson wins the nomination and barely avoids a runoff thanks to a coalition of black voters, Hispanics who did not support MormDem, and a small percentage of white voters.

New Jersey General Senate Election, 2018
State Senator Thomas Kean: 48.5%
Senator Bob Menendez: 47.5%
Activist TNF: 1.5%
State Representative Bigby: 1.5%

After their tries to primary the eventual nominees, Activist TNF and State Rep. Bigby get the Green and Libertarian nominations. However, Menendez and Kean were the main vote getters.

Generic Rural CA District Primary, GOP

Bigby: 55%
rpryor 45%:

Very strange election in Missouri.  Rural areas swing hard for MormDem compared to past elections due to the Evangelical vote, outside of SW Missouri.  Rpryor squeaks it out due to the Ozarks + St. Louis/KC Republican dominance.
Rpryor = 50.01%
MormDem = 49.99%

MormDem would win, although the social conservatism of both candidates would cause really low turnout.

A GaussLaw vs Goldwater battle for the Mayoralty of Greater London would be an intriguing mess. Neither GaussLAw's socially conservative economically populist message nor Goldwater's admiration of such figures as is namesake would set the Labour-leaning city alight. I think GaussLaw could pull it off narrowly by playing it safe - less focus on religious issues per se, more of an appeal to stability, law and order and possibly a safe deal on trains.

I think Goldwater would be seen as too risky for a city that is largely confident of its place in the world and sceptical of a "foreign" idealogy like libertarianism. He might win somewhere like Kensington or areas of cosmopolitan commuters like Finchley. Ethnic minority areas - Tower Hamlets, Tottenham, Edmonton - etc. would rocket downwards in turnout, as would the hipster boroughs like Islington.

Georgia Gubernatorial Election, 2016
Goldwater: 57%
CrabCake: 43%

Including three posters to get the whole trio of major Ontarian parties:
Ontario election 2018
()
(blatant paint edit)

Goldwater (PC) 31 seats
Only major change to the PC coalition is stronger support among white exurbaners, and his losses in less libertarian rural southwest and midwestern Ontario are staunched by the fact that his opponents are not particularly appealing there either. Ultimately Goldwater loses as he is painted as too radical but still does better than Hudak since he puts together a more compelling platform and campaign.

Yelnoc (Lib) 55 seats
Yelnoc is able to hold the liberal's urban support and even expand it in areas where populism helped the NDP gain under Horwath. Liberal support stays strong in the crucial suburban seats and the few rural seats where liberals can win. Toronto stays solidly red - the ridings in the city where Goldwater would most outperform Hudak are ironically among the most solidly liberal provincially.

CrabCake (NDP) 21 seats
CrabCake breaks even from the NDP's 2014 total by replacing Windsor West and Sudbury with Davenport and Beaches-East York as he gains the support among downtown progressives Horwath didn't get but loses support outside of downtown because he is perceived as too radical.

Popular vote
Liberal 39%
PC 33% (still extremely inefficient vote)
NDP 21% (NDP vote declines in Lib-PC battlegrounds where they aren't seen as serious)
Green 5%
Other 2% (perhaps Family Coalition could rebound with three social liberal candidates?)

Edit: Realized seat count was 1 off

Yelnoc wins in Kentucky, New Canadaland wins in Illinois.

New Canadaland wins by a Voinovichian margin.

X would win easily. Home state advantage as well as views that better fit in with the state.

I feel like both would do considerably well in Minnesota.

I think Brewer would win in both Oregon and Washington.

I made something for X and Fitzy so y'all are going to have to skip me.

()

Representative Jose B. 'X' Diaz (Florida Democratic Party-Kissimmee): 63.27%
Representative LeBron A. FitzGerald (Prohibition Party-Lake City): 33.71%
Fmr. Governor Charlie Crist (Justice Party-Clearwater): 3.02%

Goldwater wins narrowly

MormDem beats Flo in South Dakota, but a generic Republican could defeat both of them in a cakewalk.

MormDem beats TDAS04 in NM.

Tuerkisblau narrowly secures more delegates over TDAS04 by bagging LA as well as the other conservative counties, while the whole coast [sand Orange and LA] goes for TDAS04.

If Turkisblau is conservative on immigration like iSideWith says, non-white votes in the GTA would let MormDem win narrowly in Ontario.

Oklahoma Gubernatorial Democratic Primary

62% State Senator Norman Drerry (D) [Mormdem]
34% Businessman Cameron Newberry (D) [New Canadaland]

Norman Drerry, in a shocking even, won a State Senate seat in the panhandle of Oklahoma after narrowly defeating a State Senator in a sex scandal. Drerry was actually more liberal than most of the Democrats in the State Senate on fiscal issues, but on social issues, Drerry voted with Republicans 100% of the time, putting him at odds with some in the party. Still, Drerry was seen as the future of the party, and he ran for Governor in the primary. In a controversial vote requiring an ultrasound for abortions, Businessman and liberal Cameron Newberry rose in the polls, espousing support for Obamacare and support for abortion on demand. Newberry lost, however, when in the debates Drerry proved himself a candidate for the ages, attacking Newberry's business practices and outsourcing.

Maxwell beats New Canadaland by 55%.

I think Maxwell would actually beat MormDem in Washington.

Goldwater narrowly beats me (49.8%-48.9%), but the map looks more like that of Jimmy Carter vs Gerald Ford than the last Senate Election

Goldwater - 54%
MormDem - 44%

MormDem - 52%
Del Tachi - 48%

Del Tachi: 55%
IceSpear: 44%

IceSpear: 58.09%
MormDem: 41.17%

New York is a socially liberal state, so MormDem's positive social score hurts him.

MormDem: 57.62%
Libertas: 42.07%

Libertas' social liberalism and very radical economics cost him dearly against someone more populist and more sympathy towards the evangelical vote. In the end "MormDem" pulls out pretty much everywhere other than the DC suburbs.

Umm...MormDem I guess, I have no idea the margin.  The county map would be all kinds of bizarre.

MormDem would narrowly win the South Dakota Democratic Primary.

TDAS04 wins the Democratic primary narrowly by taking the whole of Appalchia and sneaking up into Loudon County and other DC suburbs.

The other guy takes the other urban areas and Independent cities though.

Once again MormDem's social conservatism proves lethal in New York State, although TDAS is a bit too economically right to motivate liberal turnout. TDAS wins NYC and the suburbs while MormDem does better upstate.

TDAS04: 54.57%
MormDem: 44.09%

MormDem - 70% (R)
Libertas - 25% (D)
Random Tea Party Candidate - 5%

RFayette would win South Dakota I suppose. 

With a moderate GOP platform Mormdem beats TDAS 60-37-3

I have to think that MormDem would beat JCL pretty easily in a neutral environment, as Ohio likes Republicans establishment-flavored, though JCL would do really well in rural western Ohio, especially the border with Indiana.

MormDem 56%
JCL 40%

It would look similar to the Blackwell v. Strickland map, except JCL would do way worse in the Cincinnati area and a tad better everywhere else, including significantly along the border with WV, where MormDem wouldn't have Strickland's home-effect and the area's generally become more right-wing over the past decade.

Vosem wins in  Washington.

GOP Primary:

Goldwater: 62%
Vosem: 37.1%


And why does my name come up as GOP? The Dem part is not a decoration

MormDem  - 60%
sssuperflash - 40%

Making MormDem the R here......would be 1 strange election

Stop that, if you're at a loss call it a primary or caucus...but don't ever call me GOP! What's next, Rockefeller GOP the Democrat? Cathcon the NY Liberal Candidate? C'mon now.




Anyway,

Polls_PuffPass wins because of the party label

MormDem seems to be a very good fit for NM generally.

Smith wins.

Turskiblau wins D primary 80-20, mostly due to his ability to spell correctly.

RFayette wins South Dakota.

RFayette wins the Democratic primary.

LD Smith.

Mormon Dem-  57%
Beaver- 43%

I couldn't really tell... Hmm... Beaver by a hair.

Enderman curbstomps Intell

Mormon Dem- 53%
Enderman- 47%

Democratic Primary:
MormDem - 60%
Intell - 40%

Intell - 53%
RFayette - 45%

RFayette: 56%
Brewer: 43.2%

Oklahoma Senatorial Primary
65% Congressman Lance D. Smith (D-Muskogee)
35% State Rep. Paul Brewer (D-OKC)

Oklahoma Democrats expected a sacrificial lamb, and instead got two solid candidates. In a rather liberal districts, Paul Brewer, a very strong fundraiser announces his candidacy first, expecting the only Democratic Congressman of the state. He was proved wrong when Lance D. Smith, a two termer from the Dixieland aka east Oklahoma, entered the race. Brewer proved a formidable challenger, but Smith's conservative tendencies proved too much for the more generic Democrat to overcome.

MormDem runs as a populist New Democrat, Maxwell runs as a slash and burn Tory. Both alienate the electorate, and the Liberals cruise to a landslide majority.

Maxwell wins by 60%

MormDem by about 53 to 47

Enderman wins 58-42.

TDAS04 wins 55-44.

TDAS04 (D): 61%
Thomas from NJ (R): 28%
Moderate Republican Somedude (I): 10%

TDAS04: 48%
Thomas from NJ: 39%
Moderate Third-Wayer: 11%
Other: 2%

Brewer beats MormDem around 55-45 in a NJ Dem primary.

rpryor (R) - 51%
MormDem (D) - 47%

RFayette: 60.7%
Spiral: 35.2%

MormDem would probably carry New Jersey.

MattRose carries the state due to homer status.

rpryor carries South Dakota, but it's close than expected due to MATTROSE's moderate views.  54-45 win for rpryor.

rPryor3: 51%
TDAS04: 47%

Kentucky Democratic Gubernatorial primary:

MormDem: 61%
TDAS04: 35%
Others: 4%

TDAS04 does manage to win several counties including Jefferson, Oldham, and Franklin.

Carpetbagger - 51%
MormDem - 49%

RFayette: 56%
CELTICEMPIRE: 43%

RFayette: 54%
IBL: 43%

Ohio 2026 Governor: Democratic Primary
Lake County Commissioner Lance D. Smith - 62%
Dayton Mayor Rick Fayette - 38%

With two Democrats in the race that have countering platforms and views, each candidate finds themselves locked in a fight. Smith obtains the edge as the party-backed candidate and labor and the white working class back him heavily. Fayette wins some major endorsements such as from Ohio NARAL and the Sierra Club.

However, Fayette's lack of infrastructure/not as much money to spend and a minority base that fails to turnout for Fayette in the primary results in a comfortable victory for Smith.

Including the three previous posters to simulate Ontario's 2.5 party system:
Ontario general election 2022

()

Red - Lance D. Smith (Liberal, Huron-Bruce MPP)
48 Seats, 35% of the vote

Blue - Rick Fayette (PC, Halton MPP)
36 Seats, 35% of the vote
(Ontario's seat distribution really favours the Liberals provincially)

Orange - LeBron Fitzgerald (NDP, Welland MPP)
23 Seats, 25% of the vote

Others - 5%

The biggest shake-up comes from the Liberals nominating a pro-life leader. This costs the Liberals severely in upper-class suburban and urban areas, with the PCs picking up suburban seats and the NDP urban seats. The PCs nominate a socially liberal leader, who appeals to the centre but loses many pro-lifers to the Liberals. Liberal support remains strong among immigrants who largely don't focus on social issues and they pick up rural southwestern Ontario which is the province's most socially conservative area, allowing the Liberals to form a minority government. With NDP support, Smith's Liberals are able to implement the large expansions to the social safety net he campaigned on.

New Canadaland 57%
Lebron FitzGerald 43%

X wins 75% in the Democratic primary against New Canadaland,...who struggles practically everywhere beyond the Washington 'burbs.

Democratic Party Gubernatorial Primary, 2018
Former Senator John B. Davidson: 56.11%
Louis D. Smith: 44.89%

Former Illinois Senator John B. Davidson (often called 'Senator X' because of his past career as an FBI Agent with that codename) defeats former Marine Louis D. Smith in a contest that more or less mirrors the rural-urban divide in Illinois, with Davidson taking Chicago and college towns across the state while Smith wins in Southern Illinois and rural farming communities in the northern part of the state.

RFayette: 62%
TNF: 36%

RFayette crushes TNF with the support of the financial establishment.

RFayette, probably

2022 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary

Congressman Lawrence David "L.D." Smith D-FL-9 53%
Mayor Sean Wyatt "SWE" Escher D-Ft Lauderdale 47%

After a very rough primary, Congressman Smith has won the nomination against Progressive powerhouse Mayor Escher of Ft Lauderdale. Smith formed a wide coalition of the North and Central Florida. Although Escher clearly overfunded Smith, but the Daytona-Orlando-Tampa campaigning strategy clearly worked. Smith is most likely going to win the Governorship, after Governor Putnam's very unaccomplished term. Although the prevalent Liberal wave has rocketed candidates like Mayor Escher, it appears it wasn't just enough. Smith goes on to be the first Mormon Gubernatorial Nominee in Florida history, and if his cards are right, the first Mormon Governor of Florida and first Democrat in the mansion since 1999.

Enderman gets at least 70% in South Dakota.

Enderman wins 51-49

TDAS: 55%
RFayette: 44%

Illuminati Blood Drinker - 53%
RFayette - 46%

Mr. Illini wins by 70% as IBL is just too far left.

MormDem wins Democratic primary 61-39.

Dem primary

TDAS04 - 60%
MormDem - 40%

Oklahoma Senate Seat 2020
OKC Mayor Robert F. Ayette (R) - 55.3%
Former Governor Thadeus Arnolds (D) - 41.8%
Some Random Indie - 2.9%

In a land where the religious right dominates, Robert Ayette was a rare politician. A fiscal moderate and a social liberal, he remained in the Republican party because he viewed it as a better vehicle for fiscal reform. Indeed, he made Oklahomca City a prosperous and growing place to be. Ayette's personal popularity allowed him to take a strong lead for the Republican nomination even with his unorthodox views, and won 49% on the first go round. However, facing second place winner (at 22%) and conservative activist Charles Cassius, Cassius rose conservative anguish over Ayette's record, and what was originally a walkaway became a tough challenge. Still, with establishment support, Ayette rose to defeat Cassius by a 53-46 margin.

Thadeus Arnolds, the Former Governor, approached the open Senate seat with glee in the case of a conservative knocking out Ayette. Arnolds was popular and moderate, but knew the circumstances of Oklahoma. Arnolds saw the defeat of Cassius as the defeat of his own campaign, but still he marched on, attacking Ayette's views on gun rights and education. By the end of the campaign, conservative anguish over Ayette allowed for a tied race, but when the Republican establishment showed up for Ayette, it was over for Arnolds. Ayette became Oklahoma's next Senator after the retirement of Jim Inhofe.

rfayette wins the Libertarian primary 72-28

MormDem: 53%
Maxwell: 45%

Brewer - 60%
MormDem - 40%
(D primary)

MormDem's socon views kill him in Johnson County, giving Brewer the win.

2018 Senate Election:

()

RFayette (R): 1,224,015 (49.4%)
Brewer (D): 1,189,607 (48.0%)

Total: 2,479,974

Tammy Baldwin runs for Governor. In response, independent minded RFayette steps in the ring against generic D Brewer. Most pundits had Brewer as the advantaged candidate, though not by much. His loss can be attributed to lack of enthusiasm to Hillary Clinton's presidency after two years and a poor national environment all around, with the GOP picking up six Senate seats across the country. Also, there is the fact that RFayette narrowly beat out Sean Duffy in the primary (another surprising result) that in effect gave RFayette more support from indies and moderate Dems.

RFayette wins 54-46.

Governor TDAS wins.

beaver wins in a landslide.

L.D. Smith runs unopposed.

A Mormon. In Texas. Running Unopposed. When beaver's practically the same. Without the "scandals" of religion.

....Not buying it

LDSmith wins 58-40

Easy win for MormDem

IndyRep (I): 54.9%
RFayette (R): 44.0%

IndyRep

SomebodyWhoExists in a hotly contested race.

tara gilesbie wins in a landslide.

MormDem: 57.3%
IndyRep: 42.7%

SunriseAroundTheWorld wins. 

TDAS by a significant margin. He gets in the upper 50's or so.

TDAS04 60%
Brewer 40%

RFayette: 51.4%
Brewer: 48.6%

Sunrise would probably win since he does have the home field advantage.

Dr. Cynic wins but it is very close.

NOrtheast 53-47

Beaver wins it, 61-37.

Computer09 wins South Dakota 55-42.

TDAS04 wins 55-45

TimTurner (R-TX) - 41.2%
L.D. Smith (D-TX) - 37.9%
Greg Abbott (I-TX) - 20.9%

TimTurner wins the moderate Republican suburb vote (ex. North Dallas County-ish), independents, and swing voters. L.D. Smith wins the Democratic base but nothing else. Greg Abbott (I couldn't think of anyone else) wins the more Republican suburbs (McKinney/Conroe/Round Rock) and comes very close in many of the West Texas counties, and also barely wins Tarrant by a margin of 0.08%.

Wxransit wins.

Wxtransit wins 52-46.

Ninja Clause wins, 54–42

New York 2020 General Election

MB (D-OR) - 58.96%
ThatConservativeGuy (R-GA) - 38.75%

MB wins primary 55-45

Oh, whoops...I thought it meant the previous posters from your state :)

~skip~

RFayette probably wins the primary 55-45

Wxtransit wins primary 55 45

Mormdem wins 65-35

I don't see religious Conservatism going down particularly well in Britain.

MormDem wins fairly easily. maybe 55-45 or a little better.

Thumb would barely edge out TexArkana to win Texas' 38 electoral votes, however, both recieve under 30% of the vote. The rest is spoiled.

texarkana gets blown the f**k back by wxtransit in a landslide.

Yeah, I'd be lucky to get 25% in Oklahoma, which is a shame because I've visited Oklahoma City and thought it was lovely.

- SKIP -

Wxtransit and Skunk are both pretty moderate, so it wouldn't be a blowout, but Wxtransit would still clench victory.

Wxtransit (R-TX) - 52.43%
Skunk (D-OK) - 45.91%

Skunk: 68.3%
ThatConservativeGuy: 29.6%

Conservative Guy: 55

Sam: 42

Bagel23 58%
SamTilden2020 42%

1184AZ wins 60-40

RFayette wins with 59% of the vote.

Illinois Republican Primary:

Wxtransit:  54%
RFayette:  44%
Other:  2%

Not_Madigan (I): 49%
Wxtransit (R): 43%
Unknown (G): 5%
Other: 2%

Not Madigan - 57%
MB 31%
Other 12%

Heatcharger, narrowly.

UK

Heatcharger (CON) - 47%
Chris Murphy 2020 (LAB) - 35%

New York

Chris Murphy - 55.01%

Thumb21 - 44.92%

UK

43% Jake (LAB) 305 seats
40% wxtransit (CON) 279 seats

Hung Parliament

How many seats would the Lib Dems have?

~skip~

Thumb21 56%
WXtransit 44%

17 seats with around 11% of the vote

skip

1184AZ:  48.94%
Thumb21:  48.81%

After multiple recounts 1184AZ manages to win IL as a Republican :P

GOP Primary:

thumb21: 60%
NotMadigan: 30%

NotMadigan does well in the urban areas and most suburbs, except for the Dallas ones, and he gets utterly slaughtered in rural areas.

L.D Smith wins 53-45.

Mormdem - 52.1%
Americas Sweetheart - 47.0%

America's Sweetheart - 55%
The Govanah Jake - 43%

D Primary

Jake: 49.3%
West Midlander: 48.5%

Westy has the home field advantage.

Peebs: 50.1%
MB: 49.9%

Peebs- 51%
America's Sweetheart- 46%

Texarkana: 62%
YE: 32%
other: 6%

YE - 59%
L.D. Smith - 40%

Most of the Maryland Democratic Party electorate is just not all that palatable to socially conservative Mormonism, though I think that some of the religious African-Americans would push LDS to barely cracking 40%.

I think the suburban liberals in the DC/Baltimore metro areas would generally vote for YE, but with very depressed turnout due to his pro-gun stance.

Dem Primary

Angry Socdem – 56%
L.D. Smith – 42%

Socdem easily carries the Portland area and Eugene, and most of the Willamette Valley. L.D. Smith wins all counties east of the Cascades (with the exception of Hood River and Deschutes) plus some of the coast and Southern Oregon.

Razze - 52-54%
MB - 46-48%

IL Dem Primary

Razze:  51%
Govanah Jake:  49%

For me vs West_Midlander do me as an R please.

55-45 in a Dem primary, with Not_Madigan winning.
52-48 N_M winning, perhaps, in a race D v I with N_M endorsed by Republicans when no candidate filed to run for their party.

West_Midlander 47%
Not Madigan 46%

Both would be more socially liberal than usual for my state and Madigan does well in the suurubs that went for Obama twice and Clinton once. But the WWC saves Midlander narrowly.

OR Dem Primary

YE: 53%
West_Midlander: 45%

MB - 49%
YE - 48%

Give or take Miami-Dade.

Razze wins the Democratic Primary 65-35.

Texarkana wins the D Primary 53-47

Me as an R

Not-Madigan scrapes by 48-46. He is a decent fit for Texas suburbia and would win back some of the vote there, not too much though because of the current resistance environment there, would not see much change in the big cities, but would do pretty much worse everywhere else in the state. America's Sweetheart would get somewhat higher percentages nearly everywhere else in the state, and also the libertarian would get like in excess of 5% of the vote. This is mostly because America's Sweetheart is actually a mediocre to ok fit for the rest of Texas, and I don't think the rest of very socially conservative Texas would be thrilled about an LGBT nominee for the presidency. This is just strategic analysis on my part guys, as much as you may point fingers and yell at me, this is pretty accurate.

Ps. just a sample, I think Not-Madigan would carry King County 70-20-10.

49-48.8 Joanna.

I'd assume this would be a democratic primary and i would double that assumption by saying the electorate is largely split between New Democratic centrism offered by Bagel and more populist toned progressivism offered by Peb. The South and the southern black vote would be the main battleground probably divided on a age boundary. In New York, Pebs Northeastern connections along with a probable high youth turnout would flip the state decisively.

Comrade Peb - 53.83%
Bagel23 - 43.19%

That's a much better result for me than I would expect

(skip me).

D Primary - 60% Peebs

Very close. I would vote for either of you fwiw. In terms of statewide performance, I expect Cook to be fairly split. I think the north and northwest precincts generally trend Jake, while MB performs better on the south and west sides of Chicago. Both would have very low turnout in the collars, but lean Jake there. Ultimately, MB wins something like a 53-47 slog on the strength of downstate performance.

England:

Party - % Vote - Seats

Labour (MB) - 46.73% (+4.80%) - 288 (+61)
Conservative - 37.94% (-7.50%) - 229 (-67)
Lib Dem (Loyola) - 11.06% (+3.25%) - 14 (+6)
Green - 3.12% (+1.25%) - 1 (0)
UKIP - 0.25% (-1.80%) - 0 (0)

Total seats: 533

Lab majority (gain)