Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => U.S. Presidential Election Results => Topic started by: ElectionsGuy on September 20, 2014, 09:54:05 PM



Title: San Francisco Presidential Election History
Post by: ElectionsGuy on September 20, 2014, 09:54:05 PM
2012:

83.5% Obama
13.0% Romney

2008:


84.2% Obama
13.7% McCain

2004:


83.0% Kerry
15.2% Bush

2000:

75.5% Gore
16.1% Bush
7.8% Nader

1996:


72.2% Clinton
15.7% Dole
7.4% Nader

1992:


72.4% Clinton
17.8% Bush
9.0% Perot

1988:

72.8% Dukakis
26.1% Bush

1984:

67.4% Mondale
31.4% Reagan

1980:

52.4% Carter
31.9% Reagan
9.4% Anderson

1976:

52.1% Carter
40.3% Ford

1972:

56.1% McGovern
41.8% Nixon

1968:


59.2% Humphrey
33.7% Nixon
5.8% Wallace

1964:


71.2% Johnson
28.7% Goldwater

1960:

57.8% Kennedy
41.8% Nixon

1956:


51.5% Eisenhower
48.0% Stevenson

1952:

52.9% Eisenhower
46.0% Stevenson

1948:


47.8% Truman
45.7% Dewey
6.1% Wallace

1944:


60.5% Roosevelt
38.9% Dewey

1940:

59.5% Roosevelt
39.3% Willkie

1936:


74.0% Roosevelt
24.7% Landon

1932:

64.6% Roosevelt
31.4% Hoover

1928:


49.4% Smith
49.1% Hoover

1924:

47.7% Coolidge
44.7% LaFollette
6.4% Davis

1920:

65.2% Harding
22.1% Cox
11.6% Debs

1916:


52.4% Wilson
42.3% Hughes

1912:


48.4% Wilson
38.2% Roosevelt
12.2% Debs

1908:

55.2% Taft
35.4% Bryan
7.5% Debs

1904:

60.9% Roosevelt
27.6% Parker
11.1% Debs

1900:

>50% McKinley

1896:


49.2% McKinley
48.6% Bryan

1892:

53.1% Cleveland
41.8% Harrison

1888:

>50% Cleveland

1884:

>50% Blaine

1880:

>50% Hancock

1876:

>50% Hayes

1872:


>50% Grant

1868:


>50% Seymour

1864:

>60% Lincoln

1860:

>30% Lincoln

1856:

>40% Buchanan

1852:

>50% Pierce


Title: Re: San Francisco Presidential Election History
Post by: Podgy the Bear on September 20, 2014, 10:37:00 PM
Interesting that relative to 1976, the Republicans had a substantial percentage drop in 1980--especially because the vote in California went from +2R to +17R and of course, it was a national landslide for Reagan.

What happened in those four years to trigger the eventual domination of Democrats?  Was it a combination of liberals moving in/conservatives moving out?  Any relation to the assassination of George Moscone/Harvey Milk in 1978 and the elevation of Dianne Feinstein as mayor?

How did Reagan perform in San Francisco in the 1966 and 1970 gubernatorial elections?


Title: Re: San Francisco Presidential Election History
Post by: ElectionsGuy on September 20, 2014, 10:52:21 PM
Interesting that relative to 1976, the Republicans had a substantial percentage drop in 1980--especially because the vote in California went from +2R to +17R and of course, it was a national landslide for Reagan.

What happened in those four years to trigger the eventual domination of Democrats?  Was it a combination of liberals moving in/conservatives moving out?  Any relation to the assassination of George Moscone/Harvey Milk in 1978 and the elevation of Dianne Feinstein as mayor?

How did Reagan perform in San Francisco in the 1966 and 1970 gubernatorial elections?

1966:

Brown: 58.9%
Reagan: 41.1%

1970:

Unruh: 55.4%
Reagan: 42.0%

^^ I don't think this really starts a pattern. I think more than anything, there was a strong anti-war movement in the late 60's/early 70's there, and the Baby Boom grew up much differently and with a much different perspective of the world than their parents (obviously this is true everywhere, but emphasized for SF). McGovern campaigned on an immediate withdrawl of US troops from Vietnam, and he won by 15 points despite Nixon winning by 23 (that's D+38!). People were probably not enthusiastic about Carter because he was a southern democrat, but ever since then, its been a hotbed for left wing politics.


Title: Re: San Francisco Presidential Election History
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on September 21, 2014, 03:12:40 AM
That's quite interesting, but didn't you know that all this data is conveniently accessible on Atlas (https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/compare.php?type=county&year=2012&fips=6075&f=0&off=0&elect=0)? :P


Title: Re: San Francisco Presidential Election History
Post by: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on September 21, 2014, 05:17:05 AM
Ford actually won the bay area.


Title: Re: San Francisco Presidential Election History
Post by: CapoteMonster on September 21, 2014, 11:37:22 AM
Interesting that relative to 1976, the Republicans had a substantial percentage drop in 1980--especially because the vote in California went from +2R to +17R and of course, it was a national landslide for Reagan.

What happened in those four years to trigger the eventual domination of Democrats?  Was it a combination of liberals moving in/conservatives moving out?  Any relation to the assassination of George Moscone/Harvey Milk in 1978 and the elevation of Dianne Feinstein as mayor?

How did Reagan perform in San Francisco in the 1966 and 1970 gubernatorial elections?


1966:

Brown: 58.9%
Reagan: 41.1%

1970:

Unruh: 55.4%
Reagan: 42.0%

^^ I don't think this really starts a pattern. I think more than anything, there was a strong anti-war movement in the late 60's/early 70's there, and the Baby Boom grew up much differently and with a much different perspective of the world than their parents (obviously this is true everywhere, but emphasized for SF). McGovern campaigned on an immediate withdrawl of US troops from Vietnam, and he won by 15 points despite Nixon winning by 23 (that's D+38!). People were probably not enthusiastic about Carter because he was a southern democrat, but ever since then, its been a hotbed for left wing politics.

I think the Bay Area was more scared by Carter's religious talk more so than him being from the south. Similar reason why Reagan did worse just 4 years later, his conservative coalition was and still is the minority in the Bay Area. Republicans took winning in CA for granted and neglecting Bay Area interests has come full-circle to completely doom their chances.


Title: Re: San Francisco Presidential Election History
Post by: ElectionsGuy on September 21, 2014, 01:34:16 PM
That's quite interesting, but didn't you know that all this data is conveniently accessible on Atlas (https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/compare.php?type=county&year=2012&fips=6075&f=0&off=0&elect=0)? :P

Quote
Data out of range for non-members

Not everybody has access to it :P


Title: Re: San Francisco Presidential Election History
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on September 21, 2014, 02:02:37 PM
That's quite interesting, but didn't you know that all this data is conveniently accessible on Atlas (https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/compare.php?type=county&year=2012&fips=6075&f=0&off=0&elect=0)? :P

Quote
Data out of range for non-members

Not everybody has access to it :P

Oops sorry. :P I've spent so many years with premium membership that I forgot what it's like not to have it. ;)


Title: Re: San Francisco Presidential Election History
Post by: Mr. Smith on September 21, 2014, 10:39:48 PM
Carter didn't campaign in the West to much, and frankly The South with it's reputation didn't look too good to a place like SF. Not to mention Ford was somewhat moderate and sane, so the choice was stock conservative against conservative-but-un-Watergate-y.


Title: Re: San Francisco Presidential Election History
Post by: SingingAnalyst on April 30, 2015, 10:14:45 PM
Until 1976 it was pretty "normal". But one of the few places where Carter improved 1976-80, even with a large 3rd party vote. and one of the few places where Reagan lost ground 1980-84. I guess we know where to find Ford-Mondale voters.