Title: Return of the Kennedys: Rise of the Castros
Post by: The Other Castro on January 18, 2015, 10:16:12 PM
Return of the Kennedys:
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Rise of the Castros
A political story of two brothers who overcame the odds and changed the U.S. forever
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Rise of the Castros
A political story of two brothers who overcame the odds and changed the U.S. forever
Title: Re: Return of the Kennedys: Rise of the Castros
Post by: The Other Castro on January 18, 2015, 10:29:44 PM
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Fmr. Secretary Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Secretary Julian Castro (D-TX)- 52.2%, 347 EV's
Governor Scott Walker (R-WI)/Senator Kelly Ayotte (R-NH)- 46.4%, 191 EV's
Closest States (margin of victory under 5%):
Missouri, 0.24%
North Carolina, 0.46%
Georgia, 1.47%
Wisconsin, 2.29%
Colorado, 3.44%
Arizona, 4.39%
Montana, 4.94%
Up next, the 2016 U.S. Senate and Gubernatorial Elections...
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Fmr. Secretary Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Secretary Julian Castro (D-TX)- 52.2%, 347 EV's
Governor Scott Walker (R-WI)/Senator Kelly Ayotte (R-NH)- 46.4%, 191 EV's
This election was one that many deemed inevitiable throughout the campaign, and now it has finally come to a satisfying (for some) end. Although Clinton won the popular vote by a wide margin, increased polarization among certain states has resulted in North Carolina being the only state to flip parties from the previous election. Hillary Clinton has been elected the 45th President of the United States, and the first female leader of this country. In the process of shattering that glass ceiling, America has also elected its first Hispanic Vice President. History has been made here tonight.
Closest States (margin of victory under 5%):
Missouri, 0.24%
North Carolina, 0.46%
Georgia, 1.47%
Wisconsin, 2.29%
Colorado, 3.44%
Arizona, 4.39%
Montana, 4.94%
Up next, the 2016 U.S. Senate and Gubernatorial Elections...
Title: Re: Return of the Kennedys: Rise of the Castros
Post by: Free Bird on January 19, 2015, 12:03:00 AM
let me just leave this here
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_sxTbfeYdO0
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_sxTbfeYdO0
Title: Re: Return of the Kennedys: Rise of the Castros
Post by: Türkisblau on January 19, 2015, 01:04:29 AM
let me just leave this here
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_sxTbfeYdO0
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_sxTbfeYdO0
plz explain what this has to do with anything
I do appreciate the quality of the music, however. The Soviets sure got nationalistic anthems right.
Title: Re: Return of the Kennedys: Rise of the Castros
Post by: Free Bird on January 19, 2015, 06:29:11 AM
let me just leave this here
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_sxTbfeYdO0
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_sxTbfeYdO0
plz explain what this has to do with anything
I do appreciate the quality of the music, however. The Soviets sure got nationalistic anthems right.
And I quote
"Castro2020 refers to two things. One aspect of it is about how Fidel Castro had a perfect vision (aka 20/20 vision) of how a government is supposed to run and which is why we should all be communists. The other reason (the real reason) is my prediction of a Clinton/Castro ticket in 2016, with Clinton declining a 2nd term and Castro running instead. I will probably change my username to Castro2024 if he doesn't end up running then."
So in essence, I'm playing along 😊
Title: Re: Return of the Kennedys: Rise of the Castros
Post by: The Other Castro on January 19, 2015, 12:06:22 PM
I was hoping to get at least a few posts in before being accused of left-wing bias, but anyway, it's my opinion that Julian Castro is far more qualified to be Vice President than Sarah Palin was given that he was executive of a region roughly double the size in population as Alaska and for more than twice as long (Mayor of San Antonio). Yes, there are many other people that Clinton could pick for VP with more experience and better qualifications, but I was interested in examining the potential parallels the Castros could have with the Kennedys. Thus, although it may not be what actually happens, Clinton picks Castro for VP in this scenario.
Title: Re: Return of the Kennedys: Rise of the Castros
Post by: KingSweden on January 19, 2015, 01:35:30 PM
Here is leftwing bias at its most huberistic.
The Castros are politically UNQUALIFED to be on the ticket and Hillary certainly wouldnt put someone whose style would so greatly overshadow her. All it would do is contrast what an old hag Hillary is and how her time has passed.
Castros havent been elected to anything that seriously qualifies them to be President, given Hil's advanced age.
The left bashed 2 term Indiana Senator Qualye in 1988 when he was picked to be VP. He was drastically more qualified than the Castros. Even Palin was more qualified given her 2 years as a Governor.
The Castros are Geraldine Ferraro with hispanic surnames.
The Castros are politically UNQUALIFED to be on the ticket and Hillary certainly wouldnt put someone whose style would so greatly overshadow her. All it would do is contrast what an old hag Hillary is and how her time has passed.
Castros havent been elected to anything that seriously qualifies them to be President, given Hil's advanced age.
The left bashed 2 term Indiana Senator Qualye in 1988 when he was picked to be VP. He was drastically more qualified than the Castros. Even Palin was more qualified given her 2 years as a Governor.
The Castros are Geraldine Ferraro with hispanic surnames.
Then write your own TL instead of trolling this one (and the one written by Reagan Revolutionary, or the one written by me.) I've never called out somebody on these threads before, but this is a work of fiction, so if you don't like it then stop reading. Some of us enjoy the TLs our peers and in many cases friends are writing on here as such, regardless of their partisan coloring.
Keep it up Castro2020, I'm going to keep reading.
Title: Re: Return of the Kennedys: Rise of the Castros
Post by: The Other Castro on January 19, 2015, 01:52:45 PM
Thanks for the support, and it is decided that "Hymn of the USSR" is the official theme of this TL. Update coming soon.
Title: Re: Return of the Kennedys: Rise of the Castros
Post by: badgate on January 19, 2015, 02:14:58 PM
In my opinion Castro could easily deescalate concerns about his foreign policy credibility by going on a foreign trip during the campaign. There's no need for Clinton to take such a trip, but newsreel of Castro in India, Afghanistan, and Germany would go a long way.
As the author of many timelines on this forum, I also feel it is a breach of unspoken protocol to be so openly hostile and negative toward a fellow poster's work. Post constructively if you have to voice displeasure.
As the author of many timelines on this forum, I also feel it is a breach of unspoken protocol to be so openly hostile and negative toward a fellow poster's work. Post constructively if you have to voice displeasure.
Title: Re: Return of the Kennedys: Rise of the Castros
Post by: The Other Castro on January 19, 2015, 04:23:14 PM
D+7: Democrats retake the Senate 53-47
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Notable Senate Races:
AK - 42% Begich, 39% Murkowski, 17% Joe Miller (D Pickup)
AZ - 50% Sinema, 48% Salmon (D Pickup)
AR - 56% Boozman, 40% Halter (R Hold)
CA - 61% Harris, 39% Kashkari (D Hold)
CO - 52% Bennet, 44% Hill (D Hold)
FL - 52% Rubio, 47% Sink (R Hold)
GA - 49% Barrow, 49% Isakson (General), 53% Isakson, 47% Barrow (Runoff) (R Hold)
IL - 51% Bustos, 45% Kirk (D Pickup)
MO - 53% Blunt, 42% Sanders (R Hold)
NV - 49% Reid, 48% Krolicki (D Hold)
NH - 54% Hassan, 44% Hemingway (D Pickup)
NC - 49% Hagan, 47% Burr (D Pickup)
PA - 51% Sestak, 49% Toomey (D Pickup)
WI - 52% Kind, 46% Johnson (D Pickup)
(
Notable Senate Races:
AK - 42% Begich, 39% Murkowski, 17% Joe Miller (D Pickup)
Senator Lisa Murkowski narrowly survived a rematch with Joe Miller in the primary, but was then defeated by Former Senator Mark Begich in the general after Miller launched a write-in campaign and played the role of spoiler.
AZ - 50% Sinema, 48% Salmon (D Pickup)
Senator John McCain, initially expected to survive a crowded primary, is defeated by Republican Congressman Matt Salmon after other Republicans Christine Jones and John Shadegg drop out to endorse Salmon. Salmon loses to Congresswoman Kyrsten Simena, who ran unopposed in her primary, by a close margin in the general election. In winning, Sinema becomes the first bisexual U.S. Senator.
AR - 56% Boozman, 40% Halter (R Hold)
After some speculation that he may retire, Senator John Boozman decides to run for reelection. Although Hillary Clinton fares better in Arkansas than any Democratic presidential candidate since Al Gore, she is unabale to provide support for Former Lt. Governor Bill Halter, and Boozman wins by a comfortable margin.
CA - 61% Harris, 39% Kashkari (D Hold)
Attorney General Kamala Harris picks up this open seat in a landslide victory against sacrificial lamb Neel Kashkari after defeating fellow Democrat Tom Steyer in the primary.
CO - 52% Bennet, 44% Hill (D Hold)
In what was initially expected to be a competitive race, Senator Michael Bennet easily defeats State Senator Owen Hill and outperforms Hillary Clinton in the state by nearly 5%.
FL - 52% Rubio, 47% Sink (R Hold)
After Senator Marco Rubio decides to run for reeelection instead of the presidency, he faces minor opposition in both the primary and general. With no major Democrats running, Rubio achieves the same margin in the state as Hillary Clinton by defeating Alex Sink, who later announces her retirement from politics.
GA - 49% Barrow, 49% Isakson (General), 53% Isakson, 47% Barrow (Runoff) (R Hold)
In one of the closest senate race of the year, Former Congressman John Barrow leads Senator Johnny Isakson by less than 5000 votes in the general election but wins just under the required 50%. Isakson manages to later defeat Barrow in the lower turnout runoff for a 3rd term.
IL - 51% Bustos, 45% Kirk (D Pickup)
Senator Mark Kirk was labeled one of the most vulnerable senators throughout the campaign, and eventually lived true to that name after falling to Congresswoman Cheri Bustos. Although he greatly outperformed Scott Walker there, it just wasn't enough to overcome the presidential turnout in the heavily Democratic state.
MO - 53% Blunt, 42% Sanders (R Hold)
Although Clinton nearly carries the state, Senator Roy Blunt easily wins reelection against lesser known Democrat Mike Sanders.
NV - 49% Reid, 48% Krolicki (D Hold)
To the dissapointment of many, Governor Sandoval declares that he will not challenge Senator Harry Reid for his seat, leaving Republicans to nominate Former Lt. Governor Brian Kolicki. In one of the nastiest, closest, most expensive, and hardest fought elections in the country, Reid narrowly wins reelection to what he announces will be his final term.
NH - 54% Hassan, 44% Hemingway (D Pickup)
After Senator Kelly Ayotte is picked as Walker's running mate, Tea Party Activist Andrew Hemingway wins a crowded Republican primary. Governor Hassan announces that she will seek the open seat instead of running for reeleection, and easily defeats Hemingway in the general election.
NC - 49% Hagan, 47% Burr (D Pickup)
After some speculation that he may retire, Senator Richard Burr officially announces he will run for reelection. However, Former Senator Kay Hagan also announces her intention to return to the senate. After trailing Burr for much of the campaign, Hagan rides the Democratic wave and comes out on top on election night, winning by a couple points more than Clinton's margin in the state.
PA - 51% Sestak, 49% Toomey (D Pickup)
In one of the most anticipated rematches of the cycle, Former Congressman Joe Sestak defeats Senator Pat Toomey by the same margin that he lost by six years earlier. Much of Sestak's credit goes to Clinton, who drags him across the finish line with her impressive performance in the Keystone State.
WI - 52% Kind, 46% Johnson (D Pickup)
Senator Ron Johnson also competed for the title of most vulnerable senator this year, spending most of the campaign trailing potential Democratic challengers. His momentary relief when Russ Feingold declined a run was quickly dashed by Congressman Ron Kind, who took an early lead in the polls and never gave it up.
Title: Re: Return of the Kennedys: Rise of the Castros
Post by: DKrol on January 19, 2015, 04:41:44 PM
D+7: Democrats retake the Senate 53-47
()
Notable Senate Races:
AK - 42% Begich, 39% Murkowski, 17% Joe Miller (D Pickup)
AZ - 50% Sinema, 48% Salmon (D Pickup)
AR - 56% Boozman, 40% Halter (R Hold)
CA - 61% Harris, 39% Kashkari (D Hold)
CO - 52% Bennet, 44% Hill (D Hold)
FL - 52% Rubio, 47% Sink (R Hold)
GA - 49% Barrow, 49% Isakson (General), 53% Isakson, 47% Barrow (Runoff) (R Hold)
IL - 51% Bustos, 45% Kirk (D Pickup)
MO - 53% Blunt, 42% Sanders (R Hold)
NV - 49% Reid, 48% Krolicki (D Hold)
NH - 54% Hassan, 44% Hemingway (D Pickup)
NC - 49% Hagan, 47% Burr (D Pickup)
PA - 51% Sestak, 49% Toomey (D Pickup)
WI - 52% Kind, 46% Johnson (D Pickup)
(
Notable Senate Races:
AK - 42% Begich, 39% Murkowski, 17% Joe Miller (D Pickup)
Senator Lisa Murkowski narrowly survived a rematch with Joe Miller in the primary, but was then defeated by Former Senator Mark Begich in the general after Miller launched a write-in campaign and played the role of spoiler.
AZ - 50% Sinema, 48% Salmon (D Pickup)
Senator John McCain, initially expected to survive a crowded primary, is defeated by Republican Congressman Matt Salmon after other Republicans Christine Jones and John Shadegg drop out to endorse Salmon. Salmon loses to Congresswoman Kyrsten Simena, who ran unopposed in her primary, by a close margin in the general election. In winning, Sinema becomes the first bisexual U.S. Senator.
AR - 56% Boozman, 40% Halter (R Hold)
After some speculation that he may retire, Senator John Boozman decides to run for reelection. Although Hillary Clinton fares better in Arkansas than any Democratic presidential candidate since Al Gore, she is unabale to provide support for Former Lt. Governor Bill Halter, and Boozman wins by a comfortable margin.
CA - 61% Harris, 39% Kashkari (D Hold)
Attorney General Kamala Harris picks up this open seat in a landslide victory against sacrificial lamb Neel Kashkari after defeating fellow Democrat Tom Steyer in the primary.
CO - 52% Bennet, 44% Hill (D Hold)
In what was initially expected to be a competitive race, Senator Michael Bennet easily defeats State Senator Owen Hill and outperforms Hillary Clinton in the state by nearly 5%.
FL - 52% Rubio, 47% Sink (R Hold)
After Senator Marco Rubio decides to run for reeelection instead of the presidency, he faces minor opposition in both the primary and general. With no major Democrats running, Rubio achieves the same margin in the state as Hillary Clinton by defeating Alex Sink, who later announces her retirement from politics.
GA - 49% Barrow, 49% Isakson (General), 53% Isakson, 47% Barrow (Runoff) (R Hold)
In one of the closest senate race of the year, Former Congressman John Barrow leads Senator Johnny Isakson by less than 5000 votes in the general election but wins just under the required 50%. Isakson manages to later defeat Barrow in the lower turnout runoff for a 3rd term.
IL - 51% Bustos, 45% Kirk (D Pickup)
Senator Mark Kirk was labeled one of the most vulnerable senators throughout the campaign, and eventually lived true to that name after falling to Congresswoman Cheri Bustos. Although he greatly outperformed Scott Walker there, it just wasn't enough to overcome the presidential turnout in the heavily Democratic state.
MO - 53% Blunt, 42% Sanders (R Hold)
Although Clinton nearly carries the state, Senator Roy Blunt easily wins reelection against lesser known Democrat Mike Sanders.
NV - 49% Reid, 48% Krolicki (D Hold)
To the dissapointment of many, Governor Sandoval declares that he will not challenge Senator Harry Reid for his seat, leaving Republicans to nominate Former Lt. Governor Brian Kolicki. In one of the nastiest, closest, most expensive, and hardest fought elections in the country, Reid narrowly wins reelection to what he announces will be his final term.
NH - 54% Hassan, 44% Hemingway (D Pickup)
After Senator Kelly Ayotte is picked as Walker's running mate, Tea Party Activist Andrew Hemingway wins a crowded Republican primary. Governor Hassan announces that she will seek the open seat instead of running for reeleection, and easily defeats Hemingway in the general election.
NC - 49% Hagan, 47% Burr (D Pickup)
After some speculation that he may retire, Senator Richard Burr officially announces he will run for reelection. However, Former Senator Kay Hagan also announces her intention to return to the senate. After trailing Burr for much of the campaign, Hagan rides the Democratic wave and comes out on top on election night, winning by a couple points more than Clinton's margin in the state.
PA - 51% Sestak, 49% Toomey (D Pickup)
In one of the most anticipated rematches of the cycle, Former Congressman Joe Sestak defeats Senator Pat Toomey by the same margin that he lost by six years earlier. Much of Sestak's credit goes to Clinton, who drags him across the finish line with her impressive performance in the Keystone State.
WI - 52% Kind, 46% Johnson (D Pickup)
Senator Ron Johnson also competed for the title of most vulnerable senator this year, spending most of the campaign trailing potential Democratic challengers. His momentary relief when Russ Feingold declined a run was quickly dashed by Congressman Ron Kind, who took an early lead in the polls and never gave it up.
Someone's dreaming. No way AK and AZ go Dem. Miller wont run as a thrid party and Sinema is a Jew hating atheist who wins becasue her district includes ASU.
Go write your own TL if you don't like the way Castro is writing his. If not, sit back, shut up, and enjoy the show.
Title: Re: Return of the Kennedys: Rise of the Castros
Post by: The Other Castro on January 19, 2015, 04:44:17 PM
My mistake bobloblaw, I didn't realize that you knew what the future election outcomes were. If you could please lend me your time machine I'd be happy to confirm the actual future results and correct my TL as neccessary. As a mere 21st century mortal, I don't have access to such technology and am thus only able to rely on what I think could happen (a ridiculous concept, I know). Again, thank you for sharing your omniscience with me.
Title: Re: Return of the Kennedys: Rise of the Castros
Post by: JerryArkansas on January 19, 2015, 05:15:04 PM
Title: Re: Return of the Kennedys: Rise of the Castros
Post by: The Other Castro on January 19, 2015, 05:34:17 PM
If that's Elliott from Mental Floss I love you forever.
Title: Re: Return of the Kennedys: Rise of the Castros
Post by: JerryArkansas on January 19, 2015, 05:38:06 PM
If that's Elliott from Mental Floss I love you forever.
I didn't realize it at the time, but it is. I'm really happy that I accidentally did that.
Title: Re: Return of the Kennedys: Rise of the Castros
Post by: Enderman on January 19, 2015, 05:54:41 PM
I knew I recognized that guy! Anyways, Castro2020, do continue! :)
Title: Re: Return of the Kennedys: Rise of the Castros
Post by: The Other Castro on January 19, 2015, 11:41:36 PM
Full Senate Results:
AL - 66% Shelby, 34% Folsom
AK - 42% Begich, 39% Murkowski, 17% Joe Miller (D Pickup)
AZ - 50% Sinema, 48% Salmon (D Pickup)
AR - 56% Boozman, 40% Halter
CA - 61% Harris, 39% Kashkari
CO - 52% Bennet, 44% Hill
CT - 59% Blumenthal, 39% Walker
FL - 52% Rubio, 47% Sink
GA - 49% Barrow, 49% Isakson (General), 53% Isakson, 47% Barrow (Runoff)
HI - 69% Schatz, 28% Djou
ID - 58% Crapo, 37% Balukoff
IL - 51% Bustos, 45% Kirk (D Pickup)
IN - 54% Coats, 43% Buttigieg
IA - 62% Grassley, 35% Fiegan
KS - 68% Moran, 29% Haley
KY - 53% Paul, 47% Mongiardo
LA - 56% Dardenne, 28% Peterson, 15% Jackson (Vitter resigned after being elected Governor, appointed Dardenne)
MD - 66% Mikulski, 32% Gansler
MO - 53% Blunt, 42% Sanders
NV - 49% Reid, 48% Krolicki
NH - 54% Hassan, 44% Hemingway (D Pickup)
NY - 70% Schumer, 28% Cox
NC - 49% Hagan, 47% Burr (D Pickup)
ND - 74% Hoeven, 24% Potter
OH - 53% Portman, 44% Ryan
OK - 69% Lankford, 28% Johnson
OR - 61% Wyden, 34% Wehby
PA - 51% Sestak, 49% Toomey (D Pickup)
SC - 57% Scott, 42% Wade
SD - 59% Thune, 40% Sandlin
UT - 63% Romney, 35% Owens (Lee Primaried)
VT - 71% Leahy, 27% Brock
WA - 61% Murray, 39% Baumgartner
WI - 52% Kind, 46% Johnson (D Pickup)
AL - 66% Shelby, 34% Folsom
AK - 42% Begich, 39% Murkowski, 17% Joe Miller (D Pickup)
AZ - 50% Sinema, 48% Salmon (D Pickup)
AR - 56% Boozman, 40% Halter
CA - 61% Harris, 39% Kashkari
CO - 52% Bennet, 44% Hill
CT - 59% Blumenthal, 39% Walker
FL - 52% Rubio, 47% Sink
GA - 49% Barrow, 49% Isakson (General), 53% Isakson, 47% Barrow (Runoff)
HI - 69% Schatz, 28% Djou
ID - 58% Crapo, 37% Balukoff
IL - 51% Bustos, 45% Kirk (D Pickup)
IN - 54% Coats, 43% Buttigieg
IA - 62% Grassley, 35% Fiegan
KS - 68% Moran, 29% Haley
KY - 53% Paul, 47% Mongiardo
LA - 56% Dardenne, 28% Peterson, 15% Jackson (Vitter resigned after being elected Governor, appointed Dardenne)
MD - 66% Mikulski, 32% Gansler
MO - 53% Blunt, 42% Sanders
NV - 49% Reid, 48% Krolicki
NH - 54% Hassan, 44% Hemingway (D Pickup)
NY - 70% Schumer, 28% Cox
NC - 49% Hagan, 47% Burr (D Pickup)
ND - 74% Hoeven, 24% Potter
OH - 53% Portman, 44% Ryan
OK - 69% Lankford, 28% Johnson
OR - 61% Wyden, 34% Wehby
PA - 51% Sestak, 49% Toomey (D Pickup)
SC - 57% Scott, 42% Wade
SD - 59% Thune, 40% Sandlin
UT - 63% Romney, 35% Owens (Lee Primaried)
VT - 71% Leahy, 27% Brock
WA - 61% Murray, 39% Baumgartner
WI - 52% Kind, 46% Johnson (D Pickup)
Title: Re: Return of the Kennedys: Rise of the Castros
Post by: The Other Castro on January 20, 2015, 05:13:48 PM
0 Net Change in Governorships: Republicans retain majority of Governorships 31-18-1
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)
Notable Governor Races:
MO - 50% Koster, 48% Hanaway (D Hold)
NH - 54% Shea-Porter, 45% Havenstein (D Hold)
NC - 49% Cooper, 48% McCrory (D Pickup)
WV - 59% Morrisey, 38% Thompson (R Pickup)
(
Notable Governor Races:
MO - 50% Koster, 48% Hanaway (D Hold)
Attorney General Chris Koster narrowly holds the Missouri Governorship by defeating Former Missouri House Speaker Catherine Hanaway. Koster is able to take advantage of the Democratic wave and slightly outperform Clinton in this Midwestern state.
NH - 54% Shea-Porter, 45% Havenstein (D Hold)
After Maggie Hassan declines reelection run for the open senate seat, Former Congresswoman Carol Shea-Porter throws her hat into the ring. In the general election, she comfortably defeats 2014 Republican Gubernatorial Candidate Walt Havenstein.
NC - 49% Cooper, 48% McCrory (D Pickup)
In a major upset, Attorney General Roy Cooper defeats Governor Pat McCrory to coincide with the North Carolina Democratic victories in the senate race and at the presidential level. As with Kay Hagan, Cooper trailed in a majority of the polls leading up to the election but was able to just barely come out ahead as the wave pulled him to victory.
WV - 59% Morrisey, 38% Thompson (R Pickup)
In the only Republican pickup of the night at any level, Attorney General Patrick Morrisey defeats Former West Virginina House Speaker Rick Thompson. Democrats had hoped to recruit Senator Joe Manchin for the race, but he declined a run. Morrisey's victory continues the solidification of West Virginia has a solidly Republican state.
Title: Re: Return of the Kennedys: Rise of the Castros
Post by: Türkisblau on January 21, 2015, 12:59:08 PM
Disappointing with WV, but yeah I could definitely see Tomblin just stepping aside at this point.
Title: Re: Return of the Kennedys: Rise of the Castros
Post by: The Other Castro on January 21, 2015, 01:51:35 PM
Disappointing with WV, but yeah I could definitely see Tomblin just stepping aside at this point.
Well, he is term-limited
Title: Re: Return of the Kennedys: Rise of the Castros
Post by: Türkisblau on January 21, 2015, 04:57:15 PM
Disappointing with WV, but yeah I could definitely see Tomblin just stepping aside at this point.
Well, he is term-limited
Isn't he on his first term?
Title: Re: Return of the Kennedys: Rise of the Castros
Post by: The Other Castro on January 21, 2015, 06:06:17 PM
Disappointing with WV, but yeah I could definitely see Tomblin just stepping aside at this point.
Well, he is term-limited
Isn't he on his first term?
After Manchin resigned, Tomblin acted as Governor until he won the 2011 special election, and then won a full first term in the 2012 regular governor election. Although he didn't serve two full terms, West Virginia law counts it as two terms, and only allows two consecutive terms. He'd be able to theoretically run again in 2020.
Title: Re: Return of the Kennedys: Rise of the Castros
Post by: The Other Castro on January 21, 2015, 08:04:33 PM
Full Governor Results:
DE - 61% Biden, 37% Bonini
IN - 54% Pence, 43% Davis
MO - 50% Koster, 48% Hanaway
MT - 56% Bullock, 40% Gianforte
NH - 54% Shea-Porter, 45% Havenstein
NC - 49% Cooper, 48% McCrory (D Pickup)
ND - 67% Dalyrmple, 31% Mathern
UT - 64% Herbert, 33% McAdams
VT - 69% Shumlin, 27% Feliciano
WA - 58% Inslee, 42% Angel
WV - 59% Morrisey, 38% Thompson (R Pickup)
DE - 61% Biden, 37% Bonini
IN - 54% Pence, 43% Davis
MO - 50% Koster, 48% Hanaway
MT - 56% Bullock, 40% Gianforte
NH - 54% Shea-Porter, 45% Havenstein
NC - 49% Cooper, 48% McCrory (D Pickup)
ND - 67% Dalyrmple, 31% Mathern
UT - 64% Herbert, 33% McAdams
VT - 69% Shumlin, 27% Feliciano
WA - 58% Inslee, 42% Angel
WV - 59% Morrisey, 38% Thompson (R Pickup)
Title: Re: Return of the Kennedys: Rise of the Castros
Post by: Türkisblau on January 21, 2015, 08:18:48 PM
GTFO Loblaw.
Title: Re: Return of the Kennedys: Rise of the Castros
Post by: #CriminalizeSobriety on January 25, 2015, 03:41:17 PM
Quote
It is going to be a very very long time befoire the Dems win anything ever again in MO. Also there is no such thing as a "wave" when a party is going for it third straight Presidential victory. See 1988.
If you want to have a debate about terminology (e.g. "wave") then that is acceptable. However, timelines are a work of fiction and going off-topic/debating is trolling. I've scrubbed the offending posts in question.
Title: Re: Return of the Kennedys: Rise of the Castros
Post by: The Other Castro on January 25, 2015, 04:10:09 PM
A look back at the 2016 campaign...(Part 1)
Initial Republican list of candidates:
Fmr. Governor Jeb Bush
Fmr. Senator Rick Santorum
Dr. Ben Carson
Businesswoman Carly Fiorina
Fmr. Governor Mitt Romney
Fmr. Governor Mike Huckabee
Fmr. Governor Rick Perry
Fmr. Governor George Pataki
Governor Scott Walker
Governor Chris Christie
Senator Rand Paul
Governor Bobby Jindal
Senator Ted Cruz
Senator Marco Rubio
Initial Democratic list of candidates:
Fmr. Secretary Hillary Clinton
Fmr. Senator Jim Webb
Senator Bernie Sanders
Fmr. Governor Martin O'Malley
Initial Republican list of candidates:
Fmr. Governor Jeb Bush
Fmr. Senator Rick Santorum
Dr. Ben Carson
Businesswoman Carly Fiorina
Fmr. Governor Mitt Romney
Fmr. Governor Mike Huckabee
Fmr. Governor Rick Perry
Fmr. Governor George Pataki
Governor Scott Walker
Governor Chris Christie
Senator Rand Paul
Governor Bobby Jindal
Senator Ted Cruz
Senator Marco Rubio
Initial Democratic list of candidates:
Fmr. Secretary Hillary Clinton
Fmr. Senator Jim Webb
Senator Bernie Sanders
Fmr. Governor Martin O'Malley
Some of the biggest early campaign developments were the sudden entrances of Mitt Romney and Marco Rubio, whom many thought would decline runs, as well as the early departures of Bobby Jindal and George Pataki. On the Republican side, the following dropped out before the Iowa Caucus:
Bobby Jindal (endorsed Huckabee)
Carly Fiorina (didn't endorse)
Ben Carson (endorsed Cruz)
George Pataki (endorsed Christie)
Carly Fiorina (didn't endorse)
Ben Carson (endorsed Cruz)
George Pataki (endorsed Christie)
After the early primaries, candidates dropped out one by one until only Scott Walker, Mitt Romney, and Rand Paul remained. Several candidates, such as Jeb Bush and Chris Christie, stepped aside after poor showings in order to avoid splitting the vote in favor of very conservate candidates. Other candidates, like Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, and Mike Huckabee, merely fizzled out until it became mathematically impossible for them to win. It turned out that third time was not the charm for Romney, and he dropped out as the party coalesced behind Walker, who became the presumptive nominee after a few more primaries against Paul. It is important to note that Rubio and Paul both dropped out early enough that they were still able to run for their state's senate primaries.
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Blue = Scott Walker
Dark Red = Rand Paul
Green = Mitt Romney
Pink = Mike Huckabee
Blue = Scott Walker
Dark Red = Rand Paul
Green = Mitt Romney
Pink = Mike Huckabee
On the Democratic side, the primaries were almost as uneventful as the 2000 Democratic primaries between Gore and Bradley. Although Clinton faced spirited campaigns from all three of her competitors, she was able to win by landslide margins in nearly every state. While Webb's, O'Malley's, and Sanders' home states of Vermont, Virginia, and Maryland were decided by much closer margins, Clinton was still able to carry all three comfortably. Webb and O'Malley dropped out relatively early following weak showings, but Sanders stayed in the race up until the convention, eventually joining his fellow Democrats in endorsing Clinton.
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Red = Clinton
Red = Clinton
Title: Re: Return of the Kennedys: Rise of the Castros
Post by: The Other Castro on January 30, 2015, 06:51:31 PM
A look back at the 2016 campaign...(Part 2)
Notable Events:
June
Walker VP shortlist leaked:
Rubio
Portman
Ayotte
Bush
Paul
Fiorina
Martinez
Clinton VP shortlist leaked:
Heinrich
Castro
Kaine
Hickenlooper
Booker
Warner
Schatz
July
October
November
Notable Events:
June
Walker VP shortlist leaked:
Rubio
Portman
Ayotte
Bush
Paul
Fiorina
Martinez
Clinton VP shortlist leaked:
Heinrich
Castro
Kaine
Hickenlooper
Booker
Warner
Schatz
July
The Republican National Convention is held in Cleveland, Ohio to nominate Scott Walker for President and Kelly Ayotte for Vice President. Despite the smoothness of the convention and prominent party unity, the RNC is rated as somewhat boring and not very inspiring. Walker gave what many considered a lackluster acceptance speech, focusing mainly on his opponent's age and attempt at playing the gender card. The highlight of the convention is a passionate speech about the inclusiveness of the Republican Party and the longevity of the American dream by Keynote Speaker Congresswoman Mia Love, which some noted as a parallel to then State Senator Barack Obama's keynote speech at the 2004 DNC.
Later that month, the Democratic Convention is held in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania to nominate Hillary Clinton for President and Julian Castro for Vice President. Surprisingly, Connecticut Senator Chris Murphy was chosen to give the Keynote Speech, in which he layed out a vision for the future of the Democratic Party and how a President Clinton can lead that transition. Clinton's acceptance speech, while not as exciting as Obama's 2008 acceptance speech, was still lauded for its optimism and positive message, specifically its focus on the improving economy. Notably absent from the convention was Former President Bill Clinton, who was recovering from a hernia the week before and instead addressed the convention by a video message.
September()
Later that month, the Democratic Convention is held in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania to nominate Hillary Clinton for President and Julian Castro for Vice President. Surprisingly, Connecticut Senator Chris Murphy was chosen to give the Keynote Speech, in which he layed out a vision for the future of the Democratic Party and how a President Clinton can lead that transition. Clinton's acceptance speech, while not as exciting as Obama's 2008 acceptance speech, was still lauded for its optimism and positive message, specifically its focus on the improving economy. Notably absent from the convention was Former President Bill Clinton, who was recovering from a hernia the week before and instead addressed the convention by a video message.
()
The first presidential debate is held at The George Washington University between Clinton and Walker. This debate focused on economic issues, and Clinton was able to take full advantage of the strong state of the economy and clinch the debate in a resounding victory over Walker.
October
The second presidential debate is held at the University of Michigan. This debate focused on domestic policy, and was considered mostly a draw as Clinton and Walker both got across their fair share of effective zingers and talking points.
The first vice presidential debate is held at Indiana University between Castro and Ayotte. The debate covered a wide range of topics, including the economy, foreign policy, the nationwide legalization of same-sex marriage earlier that year, and the candidate's qualifications for being able to serve as President if need be. While Ayotte was noted for her constant attacking of Clinton for most of the debate, Castro exceded expectations in the foreign policy category and came across as generally presidential throughout the debate.
A massive snowstorm hits in mid October, blanketing much of the Northeast and especially Massachusetts. A third debate focusing on foreign policy had been in the works, but both campaigns decided to forgo it due to the storm. Thankfully, the snow leads to very few casualties and much less property damage than expected, and Governor Charlie Baker is praised for his devoted response to the the storm.
A major October surprise occurs as a tape from Scott Walker's rehearsal for the Al Smith dinner leaks late in the month. In the tape, Walker is heard joking about potential one liners for the dinner, and at one point says "Do we really want a Madam President? I mean, c'mon. We'll be nuking a random country around the same time every month." Walker faces immediate accusations of sexism, and responds to the situation by explaining how it was meant only to be a private joke and apologizes to "anyone who may have been offended by it." Clinton was leading by a comfortable margin at the time, though this gaffe all but assured her of victory on Election Day.
The first vice presidential debate is held at Indiana University between Castro and Ayotte. The debate covered a wide range of topics, including the economy, foreign policy, the nationwide legalization of same-sex marriage earlier that year, and the candidate's qualifications for being able to serve as President if need be. While Ayotte was noted for her constant attacking of Clinton for most of the debate, Castro exceded expectations in the foreign policy category and came across as generally presidential throughout the debate.
A massive snowstorm hits in mid October, blanketing much of the Northeast and especially Massachusetts. A third debate focusing on foreign policy had been in the works, but both campaigns decided to forgo it due to the storm. Thankfully, the snow leads to very few casualties and much less property damage than expected, and Governor Charlie Baker is praised for his devoted response to the the storm.
A major October surprise occurs as a tape from Scott Walker's rehearsal for the Al Smith dinner leaks late in the month. In the tape, Walker is heard joking about potential one liners for the dinner, and at one point says "Do we really want a Madam President? I mean, c'mon. We'll be nuking a random country around the same time every month." Walker faces immediate accusations of sexism, and responds to the situation by explaining how it was meant only to be a private joke and apologizes to "anyone who may have been offended by it." Clinton was leading by a comfortable margin at the time, though this gaffe all but assured her of victory on Election Day.
November
After a relatively boring campaign by some standards, with few gaffes by both sides except for the notable Walker joke, voters backed the status quo and Clinton defeated Walker by nearly a 6 point margin in the popular vote.
In addition to the Presidency, Democrats picked up 7 seats in the Senate to retake control 53-47. Democrats also scored large victories in the House and gained a net of 26 seats, but were unable to take control and stayed in the minority 221-214.
In addition to the Presidency, Democrats picked up 7 seats in the Senate to retake control 53-47. Democrats also scored large victories in the House and gained a net of 26 seats, but were unable to take control and stayed in the minority 221-214.
Title: Re: Return of the Kennedys: Rise of the Castros
Post by: The Other Castro on February 13, 2015, 11:00:55 PM
The Clinton Administration 2017-
(note: I'm mainly focusing on election details, I'm not as interested in writing entire posts about the economy and all that jazz)
After taking office, President Clinton made several surprise appointments to her cabinet, such as former competitor Jim Webb for the position of Secretary of Defense and Anne-Marie Slaughter for Secretary of State. Some holdovers from the Obama administration included Attorney General Loretta Lynch and Secretary of Health and Human Services Sylvia Burwell.
Following the 2016 elections, Speaker John Boehner announces that it would be his last term in Congress and that he will not run for reelection to the speakership. For the first time since 2004, a new Republican would be elected for the position. Though several Republicans initially threw their hats into the ring, support coalesced behind two finalists: Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy and Conference Chair Cathy McMorris Rodgers. Rodgers was able to successfully peel away McCarthy's support until he dropped out of the running, allowing Rodgers to beat Minority Leader Steny Hoyer (Pelosi had stepped down).
In September, Governor Chris Christie is implicated in yet another corruption charge, and this time is indicted for recieving improper gifts (baseball tickets) in exchange for the services of his office. Although he denies involvement or knowledge of any kind, he resigns shortly afterwards when the legislature threatens to bring up impeachment proceedings. Lt. Governor Kim Guadagno ascends to the governorship. Following Christie's resignation, Congressman Rush Holt's lead over Former Mayor Steve Lonegan grows from a moderate lead to a wide one.
Meanwhile, in Virginia, an initially competitive race shapes into a probable Democratic hold as Attorney General Mark Herring develops a slight but consistent lead over State Senator Frank Wagner. Many Republicans had hoped that Ed Gillespie would run after his close loss in 2014, but he declined to the dissapointment of Republicans and Politico-readers everywhere.
Following the 2016 elections, Speaker John Boehner announces that it would be his last term in Congress and that he will not run for reelection to the speakership. For the first time since 2004, a new Republican would be elected for the position. Though several Republicans initially threw their hats into the ring, support coalesced behind two finalists: Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy and Conference Chair Cathy McMorris Rodgers. Rodgers was able to successfully peel away McCarthy's support until he dropped out of the running, allowing Rodgers to beat Minority Leader Steny Hoyer (Pelosi had stepped down).
In September, Governor Chris Christie is implicated in yet another corruption charge, and this time is indicted for recieving improper gifts (baseball tickets) in exchange for the services of his office. Although he denies involvement or knowledge of any kind, he resigns shortly afterwards when the legislature threatens to bring up impeachment proceedings. Lt. Governor Kim Guadagno ascends to the governorship. Following Christie's resignation, Congressman Rush Holt's lead over Former Mayor Steve Lonegan grows from a moderate lead to a wide one.
Meanwhile, in Virginia, an initially competitive race shapes into a probable Democratic hold as Attorney General Mark Herring develops a slight but consistent lead over State Senator Frank Wagner. Many Republicans had hoped that Ed Gillespie would run after his close loss in 2014, but he declined to the dissapointment of Republicans and Politico-readers everywhere.
2017 Gubernatorial Elections: D+1, Republicans retain majority 30-19-1
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NJ - 54% Holt, 44% Lonegan (D Pickup)
VA - 51% Herring, 46% Wagner (D Hold)
VA - 51% Herring, 46% Wagner (D Hold)