Talk Elections

Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion => Gubernatorial/State Elections => Topic started by: windjammer on November 04, 2015, 01:24:53 PM



Title: Were you predictions accurate?
Post by: windjammer on November 04, 2015, 01:24:53 PM
I'm genuinely curious (just for competitive races):
Let's start with me:
- In KY: I predicted that:
   Bevin would win: accurate
   Beshear would mean: accurate
   Lundergan would win: accurate
   Edelen would win: inaccurate
   the pubs pick up the state treasurer and hold AG commissionner: accurate.

 - In VA, I predicted that the state senate remains 21-19, that Gecker would fail to pick up the open seat and Mcpike would hold the seat: accurate.

  - In MS: I predicted Hood would be reelected: accurate,



So in the end, I m quite happy with my predictions because I was wrong on only 1 race: the KY auditor race. So that's a big improvement compared with 2014 when I predicted would have hold the senate :P


And you?


Title: Re: Were you predictions accurate?
Post by: Skye on November 04, 2015, 01:33:59 PM
I predicted that Bevin would win, but below 50%, so I got it wrong.


Title: Re: Were you predictions accurate?
Post by: Hydera on November 04, 2015, 01:38:27 PM
I predicted that bevin would win by a small margin, didnt expect a high single digit margin.


Title: Re: Were you predictions accurate?
Post by: Miles on November 04, 2015, 01:39:39 PM
Yeah, I predicted Curtis would get 3.7%...


Title: Re: Were you predictions accurate?
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on November 04, 2015, 02:14:26 PM
Of course not, but La will be interesting.


Title: Re: Were you predictions accurate?
Post by: Figueira on November 04, 2015, 07:00:27 PM
Kentucky gov was the only one that I bothered to predict, and I correctly predicted that Bevin would win. Towards the end I thought that Conway had the advantage, but I still decided to be cautious and stick with my Bevin prediction.


Title: Re: Were you predictions accurate?
Post by: 100% pro-life no matter what on November 04, 2015, 07:04:15 PM
I predicted all of the Kentucky races' winners correctly.  I thought Hurst might pull the upset in Mississippi, though.  I was truly unsure about Virginia, and I was right about Ohio (even if I underestimated the margin).  I didn't know enough about the Houston dynamics to have a prediction.