Talk Elections

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Prologue:
On November 8th the GOP's worst nightmare came true, Hillary Clinton won in an landslide. This time however the landslide win brought down many GOP Senators, and Representatives. The Party was at a true crossroads, some claimed that Trumps policies were winning policies and he lost on his rhetoric alone. While others wanted the GOP to go back to it's Conservative roots. A shrinking faction wanted the party to return to the Pre Goldwater days, feeling the only way to win was with more Centrist policies. While a small but growing faction wanted the party to become more libertarian.

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Here is the 2016 Results
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Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 404 EV 56.8%
Donald Trump/Rick Perry 134EV 41.5%

Senate
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New Senate Standing after 2016 Senate Elections
Democrats 56 (includes 2 Senators Caucusing with Democrats)
GOP 44
House of Representatives
Democrats 223 Seats
GOP 212 Seats

Governors
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GOP 29
Democrats 20

Looks good so far

 Prologue continued  
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115th Congress (Leadership)
Speaker of the House: Nancy Pelosi
House Leader: Steny Hoyer
Majority Whip: Xavier Becerra
Minority House Leader: Kevin McCarthy
 Minority Whip: Steve Scalise
Majority Leader of the Senate Chuck Schumer
Assistant Majority Leader (Majority Whip): Elizabeth Warren
  Minority Leader in the Senate John Cornyn
Assistant Minority Leader (Minority Whip): Mike Crapo
Mitch McConnell announces his plan to retire from Senate Leadership January 2017 and retire from the Senate in December of 2017.

Cabinet (all Confirmed), Clinton chooses to keep many of the Current Cabinet on
Secretary of State: Harry Reid
Secretary of the Treasury: Patty Murray
Secretary of Defense: Ashton Carter
Attorney General: Jim Hood
Secretary of the Interior: Sally Jewell
Secretary of Agriculture: Tom Harkin
Secretary of Commerce Penny Pritzker
Secretary of Labor Thomas Perez
Secretary of Health and Human Services Sylvia Mathews Burwell
Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Julian Castro
Secretary of Transportation Anthony Foxx
Secretary of Energy Barbara Boxer
Secretary of Education Tammy Baldwin
Secretary of Veterans Affairs Kristin Beck
Secretary of Homeland Security Jeh Johnson

Loretta Lynch is appointed and Confirmed by the Senate to the Supreme Court.

2017 Gains and losses
2017 offered an excellent opportunity for the GOP to make major gains by holding on to the New Jersey Governorship, gain the Governorship and Senate seats in Virginia, Wisconsin, and Washington and possibly pull an upset in the NYC Mayoral Race.    

Governor-New Jersey

Primary GOP
Kim Guadagno 40%
Thomas Kean, Jr 38%
Randy Brown 22%

Democratic Primary
Richard Codey 35%
Ray Lesniak 32%
Philip D. Murphy 27%
Robert Russo 6%

General
Richard Codey 55%
Kim Guadagno 43%
Other 2%

Virginia- Governor

Democratic Primary
Ralph Northam 52%
Gerry Connolly 48%

GOP Primary
Ed Gillespie 60%
Corey Stewart 40%

General
Ed Gillespie 52%
Ralph Northam 45%
Other 3%

Virginia Senate  
Democratic Primary
Mark Herring (Incumbent)  acclaimed

GOP Primary
Eric Cantor 37%
Rob Wittman 35%
 Bill Bolling 18%
Pete Snyder 10%

General
Mark Herring 51%
Eric Cantor 48%
Other 1%

NYC Mayoral
Democratic Primary
Bill de Blasio 85%
Assorted minor candidates 15%

GOP Primary
Scott Stringer 55%
 Bo Dietl 30%
Michel Faulkner 10%
Assorted minor Candidates 5%

General
Scott Stringer 50%
Bill de Blasio 47%
Other 3%

Wisconsin Senate
Ron Johnson and  Mary Burke were both Acclaimed in their Primaries
General
Mary Burke R 55%
Ron Johnson D 43%
Other 2%

Washington Senate
Primary
Cathy McMorris Rodgers R 49%
Jim McIntire D 47%
Others 4%

General
Cathy McMorris Rodgers R 51%
Jim McIntire D 49%

(+1 GOP in the Senate, no change in Governorship's)
 

God help us, but gr8 tl!

John Gregg won Indiana in your scenario.  Did the Dems pick up any seats in the statehouse?

Yes, Districts 4, 11, 12,19, and 84,

(I will go through each state in alphabetical order with Senate and Governor elections, showing results) 
Prologue Continued
2018 Midterm Time

Alabama
Governor -Robert J. Bentley is term limited and can not run again

Republican Primary
Kay Ivey 40%
Roy Moore 39.9%
Bradley Byrne 14.1%
Mary Scott Hunter 6%

Democratic Primary
Craig Ford 57%
Pete Johnson 43%

General
Kay Ivey 57%
Craig Ford 40%
Other 3%
R-Hold

Alaska
Governor- Bill Walker runs again

Democratic Primary (Walker wins nomination, chooses to run as an independent) 
Bill Walker 80%
Other  20%

Republican Primary
Dan Sullivan 58% (former Anchorage Mayor)
Russ Millette 42%

General
Bill Walker 51%
Dan Sullivan 45%
Other 4%
I-Hold

Arizona

Senate-Jeff Flake running for Re-Election
Republican Primary
Jeff Flake 55%
Joe Arpaio 45%

Democratic Primary
Phil Gordon 72%
Other 28%

General
Jeff Flake 50%
Phil Gordon 47%
Other 3%
R-Hold

Governor-Doug Ducey running for Re-Election

Republican Primary
Doug Ducey 88%
Other 12%

Democratic Primary
 Richard Carmona 90%
Other  10%

General
Doug Ducey 49%
Richard Carmona 48%
Other 3%
R-Hold 

Arkansas

Governor-Asa Hutchinson running for Re-Election
Republican Primary
Asa Hutchinson 82%
Other  18%

 Democratic Primary
Darrin Williams 53%
Pat Hays 44%
Other  3%

General
Asa Hutchinson 55%
Darrin Williams 43%
Other 2%
R-Hold

California

Senate-Dianne Feinstein Running For Re-Election
Primary
Dianne Feinstein 55%
Kevin McCarthy 25%
Duf Sundheim 15%
Other 5%

General
Kevin McCarthy 51%
Dianne Feinstein 49%
R-Gain

Governor-Jerry Brown Term limited
Primary
Kevin Faulconer R 25%
Carly Fiorina R 18%
 John Chiang D 15%
Gavin Newsom D 15%
Eric Garcetti D 13%
Alex Padilla D 10%
Other 4%

General
Kevin Faulconer 55%
Carly Fiorina 45%
R-Gain

More States are coming

Hey, listen. I like the idea of your timeline, but you kind of need an editor. For example, Fiorina won 42% against Feinstein. How would Faulconer not swamp her with like 65%+ of the vote?

Midterm Results Continued
Colorado
Governor- John Hickenlooper Term limited

Democratic Primary
Joseph García 60%
Michael Hancock 40%

Republican Primary
Cory Gardner 50%
Tom Tancredo 30%
Scott Gessler 20%

General
Cory Gardner50%
Joseph García 45%
Other 5%
R-Gain

Connecticut- Dannel Malloy Declines to run for Re-Election

Democratic Primary
  George Jepsen 55%
Nancy Wyman 43%
Other 2%

Republican Primary
Joe Scarborough 35%
Themis Klarides, 33%
Thomas C. Foley 32%

General
George Jepsen 53%
Joe Scarborough 45%
Other 2%
D-Hold

Senate- Chris Murphy Runs for Re-Election

Democratic Primary
Chris Murphy 89%
Other 11%

Republican Primary
 Linda McMahon  83%
Other 17%

General
Chris Murphy 60%
Linda McMahon   38%
Other 2%
D-Hold

Delaware
Senate-Tom Carper Running for Re-Election

Democratic Primary
Tom Carper Acclaimed

Republican Primary
Jeff Cragg 88%
Other 12%

General
Tom Carper 68%
Jeff Cragg 30%
Other 2%
D-Hold

Florida
Senate-Bill Nelson Runs For Re-Election

Democratic Primary
Bill Nelson 65%
Alan Grayson 35%

Republican Primary
Allen West 35%
Allan Bense 30%
Vern Buchanan 28%
Other 7%

General
Bill Nelson 54%
Allen West 44%
Other 2%
D-Hold

Governor-Rick Scott Term Limited

Republican Primary
 Marco Rubio 57%
Will Weatherford 41%
Other 2%

Democratic Primary
Bob Buckhorn 58%
Gwen Graham 39%
Other 3%

General
Bob Buckhorn 51%
Marco Rubio 48%
Other 1%
D-Gain

Georgia
Governor- Nathan Deal Term Limited

Republican Primary
Casey Cagle 47%
Austin Scott 45%
Other 7%

Runoff
Casey Cagle 52%
Austin Scott 48%
Democratic Primary
Kasim Reed 82%
Other 18%

General
Casey Cagle 49%
Kasim Reed 47%
Other 4%

Runoff
Casey Cagle 51%
Kasim Reed 49%
R-Hold

Very interesting races so far. I see Arizona is trending Democratic in this timeline, and a Republicans, for once, did well in California. I agree, in a Fiorina-Falconer runoff, Falconer would easily win. Nearly all Democrats would certainly view him as the lesser of two evils. He's popular in his home city of San Diego, where he runs and rules as a moderate Republican, and even appears at LGBT pride events. Fiorina, who is way more conservative, would easily get crushed (especially after being chosen as Cruz's running mate). Also, how did McCarthy win? Did the R vs. R governor runoff drop Democratic turnout? Did Feinstein make a gaffe or have her popularity nosedive? I also wonder what will become of California's top-two system later on in this TL. Also, no way Putnam is not elected governor in Florida. I also think Bill Nelson retires for health reasons. But, it's not my timeline, and I guess some distance from reality is good. Great job, by the way!

lol wut Senator Kevin McCarthy.

For the record I like the timeline, I just kind of had a brain hiccup over that pick.

I know, that made no sense, I can't see him running for a multitude of reasons. But it's not my timeline, he can write whatever he wants.

Yeah, a few results seem... Interesting, as does about half of the Cabinet, IMO.

As for the Califirnia Senate race, McCarthy got assisted by low turnout from Democrats, as well as a great campaign versus a poor campaign  from Feinstein (where she commits some gaffes). As for the Govrenors race I agree I should have gone with the original margin I had in mind which was 60-40 Falconer.  Thanks for enjoying it so far.

Absolutely. I've written ridiculous scenarios before as well.

To be quite honest, I figured this was going to be somewhat odd when I saw the Democrats taking SC.

Midterm Results Continued

Hawaii
Senate-Mazie Hirono running for Re-Election

Democratic Primary
Mazie Hirono Acclaimed

Republican Primary
 Charles Djou  89%
Other 11%

General
Mazie Hirono 68%
Charles Djou  32%
D-Hold

Governor- David Ige running for Re-Election

Democratic Primary
David Ige 93%
Other 7%

Republican Primary
David Chang 79%
Other 21%

General
David Ige 60%
David Chang 35%
Other 5%
D-Hold

Idaho
Governor- Butch Otter Retiring

Republican Primary
Lawrence Wasden 55%
Brad Little 43%
Other 2%

Democratic Primary
David H. Bieter 80%
Other 20%

General
Lawrence Wasden 55%
David H. Bieter 43%
Other 3%
R-Hold

Illinois
Governor- Bruce Rauner Running for Re-Election

Republican Primary
Bruce Rauner 88%
Other 12%

Democratic Primary
Dick Durbin 92%
Other 8%

General
Dick Durbin 53%
Bruce Rauner 45%
Other 2%
D-Gain

Iowa
Governor- Terry Branstad Retiring

Republican Primary
Kim Reynolds Acclaimed

Democratic Primary
Michael Fitzgerald 50%
Jeff Danielson 43%
Other 7%

General
Kim Reynolds 56%
Michael Fitzgerald 41%
Other 3%
R-Hold

Indiana
Senate-Joe Donnelly running for Re-Election

Democratic Primary
Joe Donnelly Acclaimed

Republican Primary
Greg Ballard 58%
Mike Delph 42%

General
 Greg Ballard 53%
Joe Donnelly 46%
Other 1%
R-Gain

Grassley will kind of be 85 at that point. His grandson, Pat, would be more likely.

I see Grassley finishing his term, then retiring from politics altogether. Kim Reynolds will probably succeed Branstad as governor. Maybe Pat Grassley goes for Lieutenant Governor?

I will change Grassley with Kim Reynolds. Thanks for the feedback.

Would their be someone that would be interested in helping make some county maps for some of the close races?

Midterm Results Continued
Kansas
Governor- Sam Brownback Term Limited
Republican Primary
 Steve Morris 55%
 Kris Kobach 45%

Democratic Primary
Joshua Svaty 60% (Dropped out on September 1st endorsed Greg Orman)
Jill Docking 40%

General
Greg Orman 51%
Steve Morris 48%
Other 1%
I-Gain

Main
Senate- Angus King running for Re-Election as a Democrat

Democrat
Angus King 62%
Matthew Dunlap 38%

Republican
Paul LePage 64%
Steve Abbott 36%

General
Angus King 50%
Paul LePage 44%
Other 6%
D-Nominal Gain

Governor-Paul LePage term limited

Republican Primary
 Bruce Poliquin 51%
Michael Thibodeau 49%

Democratic Primary
Mark Eves 54%
Chellie Pingree 46%

General
Mark Eves 52%
Bruce Poliquin 45%
Other 3%

Maryland
Senate-Ben Cardin Retiring

Democratic Primary
Elijah Cummings  57%
 Martin O'Malley 43%

Republican Primary
Michael Steele 55%
Barry Glassman 45%

General
Elijah Cummings 58%
Michael Steele 40%
Other 2%
D-Hold

Governor-Larry Hogan running for Re-Election

Republican Primary  
Larry Hogan Acclaimed

Democratic Primary
Tom Perez 89%
Other 11%

General
Larry Hogan 52%
Tom Perez 47%
Other 1%
R-Hold

Massachusetts
Senate-Elizabeth Warren running for Re-Election

Democratic Primary
Elizabeth Warren Acclaimed

Republican Primary
Gabriel E. Gomez 88%
Other 12%

General
Elizabeth Warren 55%
Gabriel E. Gomez 42%
Other 3%
D-Hold

Governor- Charlie Baker Running for re-election
Republican Primary
Charlie Baker 91%
Other 9%

Democratic Primary
 Maura Healey 51%
Marty Walsh 49%

General
Charlie Baker 53%
Maura Healey 44%
Other 3%
R-Hold

Michigan
Senate-Debbie Stabenow running for re-election

Democratic Primary
Debbie Stabenow Acclaimed

Republican Primary
Saul Anuzis 54%
Candice Miller 46%

General
Debbie Stabenow 55%
Saul Anuzis 43%
Other 2%
D-Hold

Governor- Rick Snyder Term limited
Republican Primary
Justin Amash 53%
Brian Calley 47%

Democratic Primary
Debbie Dingell 45%
Gretchen Whitmer 40%
Mark Hackel 15%

General
Justin Amash 51%
Debbie Dingell 47%
Other 1%
R-Hold

As the midterms are just part of the prologue to save time I will just finish the Midterms with a map, and below  I will list the winners for both the senate and Governor races.

Senate
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Minnesota Amy Klobuchar over Julie Rosen 55-43
Mississippi Roger Wicker over Brandon Presley 53-45
Missouri Peter Kinder over Claire McCaskill 52-47
Montana Jon Tester over Denny Rehberg 49-47
Nebraska Deb Fischer over Steve Lathrop 57-40
Nevada (Dean Heller retiring) Brian Sandoval over Dina Titus 51-46
New Jersey (Bob Menendez retiring) Ray Lesniak over Chris Christie 55-43
New Mexico Susana Martinez over  Martin Heinrich 50-48
New York Kirsten Gillibrand over George Maragos 67-30
North Dakota Wayne Stenehjem over Heidi Heitkamp 52-47
Ohio Sherrod Brown over Rob Portman 50-48
Pennsylvania Bob Casey, Jr. over Mike Turzai 51-49
Rhode Island Sheldon Whitehouse ran unopposed
Tennessee Bob Corker over Park Overall 59-39
Texas Ted Cruz over Julian Castro 57-40
Utah (Orrin Hatch retiring) Jon Huntsman, Jr. over Scott Howell 64-33
Vermont (Bernie Sanders retiring) Peter Shumlin over Phil Scott 57-40
Virginia Ed Gillespie over Mark Herring 51-48
Washington Maria Cantwell over Bill Bryant 56-44
West Virginia Joe Manchin over Bill Cole 52-45
Wisconsin Mary Burke over Mark Andrew Green 54-44
Wyoming John Barrasso over William Bryk 69-31


Senate Standings
GOP 51 (+6)
Democrats 49 (-6)

House Standings
GOP 237 Seats (+25)
Democrats 198 Seats(-25)

Governors
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Minnesota Mark Dayton over Steve Sviggum 54-40
Nebraska Pete Ricketts over Chris Beutler 57-41
Nevada Joe Heck over Ross Miller 50-48
New Hampshire Colin Van Ostern over Chuck Morse 51-47
New Mexico Gary King over John Sanchez 52-46
New York Andrew Cuomo over Carl Paladino 55-40
Ohio Mike DeWine over Tim Ryan 51-47
Oklahoma Mary Fallin over M. Susan Savage 54-45
Oregon Kate Brown over Dennis Richardson 52-46
Pennsylvania (Tom Wolf Retiring) Mike Stack over Jim Cawley 53-46
Rhode Island Gina Raimondo over John Robitaille 40-35
South Carolina Henry McMaster over Gerald Malloy 56-43
South Dakota Matt Michels over Mike Huether 58-40
Tennessee Beth Harwell over Andy Berke 57-42
Texas Greg Abbott over Mike Villarreal 56-42
Vermont Sue Minter over Randy Brock 50-41
Wisconsin Chris Larson over Scott Walker 51-48
Wyoming Ed Murray over Pete Gosar 57-40

Governor Standings
Republicans 25 Governorship's
Democrats 23 Governorship's
Independent 2 Governorship's  

Congressional Leadership January 2018
Speaker of the House: Paul Ryan
House Leader:Steve Scalise
Majority Whip: Patrick McHenry
Minority House Leader: Steny Hoyer
 Minority Whip: Xavier Becerra


Majority Leader of the Senate John Cornyn
Assistant Majority Leader (Majority Whip): Mike Crapo
  Minority Leader in the Senate Chuck Schumer
Assistant Minority Leader (Minority Whip): Elizabeth Warren



Special Senate Elections and Initial Betting Markets

Here are Special Election Results or Who is appointed to these seats, for seats that became vacant from 2016-2018

Kentucky-Mitch McConnell resigns his Senate seat officially on December 31st 2017, Thomas Massie appointed to USA Senate on January 3rd 2018.

Special Election November 6th 2018:
Thomas Massie defeats Greg Fischer 55-43
R-Hold

Colorado-Cory Gardner leaves the seat vacant upon election to Governor of Colorado, Cynthia Coffman appointed to USA Senate. Special Election scheduled for November of 2019.


Illinois-Dick Durbin leaves the seat vacant upon election to Governor of Illinois, Lisa Madigan appointed to USA Senate. Special Election scheduled for November of 2019.

Betting Markets

Democratic nomination
Hillary Clinton 85
Elizabeth Warren 7
Other 8

GOP nomination
Tom Cotton 32
Ben Sasse 22
Rand Paul 17
Tim Scott 10
Nikki Haley 8
other 11

Winning Individual
Hillary Clinton 55
Republican Nominee 44
Other 1

I will post some background info on major legislation next as well as  Candidate Campaign Kickoff speeches . Any questions or  comments are welcome.

Major Legislation Passed and Court Cases from 2016-2019
-On February 20th 2017 Clinton signed into law a bill mandating universal background checks on all gun purchases as well as a ban on purchasing guns for anyone on the terror watch list. 
-A revised version of the Dream Act was signed into law by Clinton on March 30th 2017
-On September 17th 2017 the Federal Budget was signed by Clinton, it had a slight tax increases for those making more then $250,000 a year, lowered income tax by 1% for those making less then $50,000 a year. The Budget also increased the Federal minimum wage to $12.50  by December 31st 2018 and $15 by December 31st 2019.
-On March 3rd 2018 The fourth Circuit Court struck down South Carolina's 20 week Abortion Ban.
-June 10th-The 8th Circuit upholds Arkansas 20 week Abortion Ban. 
-June 15th The 7th Circuit upholds Wisconsin's right to work law.
-On August 5th the USA Supreme Court agrees to here an appeal to the fourth Circuit courts decision regarding the 20 week abortion ban.
-On September 25th Clinton signs the federal budget into law, the budget institutes $1,000 for every student that attends University and families household income is below $50,000.
-November 19th 2018, the 4th Circuit Court strikes down Virginia's right to work law.
 
   

Tom Smith as the Republican nominee for Pennsylvania Governor? If it's this guy (from the 2012 Senate race), he's dead. Unless he lives until at least November 2018 in this timeline, you should change it to Jim Cawley (Corbett's LG) or someone. It wouldn't matter too much, since Republicans lost that race.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tom_Smith_(Pennsylvania_politician)
Also, interesting that Tester survives, as does Sherrod Brown, who wins even as DeWine wins the governorship. Also, in Illinois and Colorado, wouldn't the incoming governors appoint their replacements, and not the old governors?

I will fix those, it was my understanding that the outgoing Governor appointed the new Senator in that case, regardless I will leave the senators who were appointed as is, it wouldn't affect the senate standings either way. Thanks for the feedback.

I enjoy reading (and writing) timelines. I know that the two appointees basically cancel each other out, but why would Gardner and Durbin appoint people of the opposite party? Also, the special elections would be in 2019, not 2017.

I will change those.

Chapter 1: The Campaign begins 2019

January 30th 2019, New York NY
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Today Hillary Clinton officially kicked off her Re-Election Campaign, focusing on the governments strong handling of the economy, tougher gun control initiatives as well as comprehensive immigration reform. Clinton has a slight favorably rating and looks like an early favorite for Re-Election.

February 15th 2019, Houston Texas
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Ted Cruz officially launched is second run to the White House. Cruz  focused on the large national debt and the 2 straight deficit budgets proposed by Hillary Clinton, promising to balance the budget by 2024. Cruz also promised to get an Constitutional Amendment passed allowing states to decide abortion policy, as well as amending the Dream Act.  

March 3rd 2019,Louisville Kentucky
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Rand Paul Kicked off his campaign in Louisville. Paul focused on the need to focus on more diplomatic foreign policy, the institution of a flat tax, as well as the repeal some of the Patriot Act. Paul wants to end the ban on gun sales for those on the terror watch list.

March 15th 2019 Boston Massachusetts
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Charlie Baker kicked off his campaign representing the
moderate wing of the GOP. Baker by far ran the most Pro Business and status quo campaign when it came to the issues. Baker proposed reforming the terror watch list, lower taxes on small businesses, instituting a small carbon tax to help fund infrastructure projects, as well as Balance the Budget by 2024.

March 28th 2019,Charleston South Carolina
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Scott pledged to push for amendments to both the Dream Act and Affordable Care Act. Scott also proposed passing a 20 week abortion act, however stated he would respect the Supreme courts decision on South Carolina 20 week Abortion Ban, and would not push for a Constitutional Amendment on abortion.

April 3rd 2019, Santa Fe New Mexico
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New Mexico Senator Susana Martinez kicked off her campaign on the promise to focus on balancing the budget, commit to solving the national debt crisis. Martinez called the immigration reforms of the Clinton campaign as settled law, as well as the issue of Abortion.    

April 15th 2019, Madison Wisconsin
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Hillary Clinton will face a major primary challenger after all. Feingold pledged to run a true  progressive campaign. Feingold pledged that if elected he would introduce universal health care , pass legislation that would break up the big banks. Feingold pledged to expand the university tuition credit. While viewed as a major underdog, most pundits refuse to entirely rule out Feingold  winning the Democratic primary.

I will post primary polls and schedule next post.  

Nice. I love this timeline.

Chapter 2: Preview of the Primary

May 1st-primary polls (Average)

Democratic Primary National
Hillary Clinton 50%
Russ Feingold 35%
Undecided 15%

Democratic Primary Iowa
Hillary Clinton 45%
Russ Feingold  42%
Undecided 13%

Democratic Primary NH
Hillary Clinton 47%
Russ Feingold 40%
Undecided 13%

Democratic Primary Nevada
Hillary Clinton 52%
Russ Feingold 37%
Undecided 11%

Democratic Primary South Carolina
Hillary Clinton 58%
Russ Feingold 30%
Undecided 12%

Republican Primary National
Tim Scott 25%
Rand Paul 23%
Ted Cruz 17%
Susana Martinez 15%
Charlie Baker 9%
Undecided 11%

Republican Primary Iowa
Ted Cruz 25%
Rand Paul 20%
Tim Scott 18%
Susana Martinez 12%
Charlie Baker 7%
Undecided 18%

Republican Primary NH
Tim Scott 22%
Rand Paul 20%
Susana Martinez 19%
Charlie Baker 13%
Ted Cruz 10%
Undecided 16%

Republican Primary Nevada
Susana Martinez 23%
Tim Scott 21%
Rand Paul 20%
Ted Cruz 15%
Charlie Baker 10%
Undecided 11%

Republican Primary South Carolina
Tim Scott 39%
Ted Cruz 19%
Rand Paul 13%
Susana Martinez 11%
Charlie Baker 10%
Undecided 8%

Schedule (Unless otherwise noted, all primaries are for both parties, the only Caucus is Iowa)
February 3rd Iowa Caucus
February 11th NH
February 18th Nevada
February 22end South Carolina  
March 3rd Super Tuesday Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Florida, Virginia, Tennessee, Minnesota
March 7th Kansas,Louisiana, Maine
March 10th Mississippi, Idaho, Hawaii
March 17th Ohio, Missouri, Illinois, Arizona, Wisconsin
March 31st Wyoming,Utah, North Dakota
April 7th New York
April 14th Connecticut, Rhode Island, Vermont, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Massachusetts, Delaware and Washington DC
April 21st Washington,Oregon, Colorado and Alaska
April 28th Indiana
May 5th West Virginia and Nebraska
May 12th Kentucky
May 19th Oklahoma and Texas  
June 2end Montana, South Dakota, New Mexico, New Jersey and California

Rules:The Democrats will be using similar rules as 2016 except requiring super delegates to vote for the winner of their state on the first ballot. Super delegates are free to vote for whoever they want on the second ballot.

The GOP voted to switch their delegate rules to be similar to the Democratic rules, with a 10% viability threshold required to win delegates.

Both Parties have abolished Caucuses except for Iowa.

Thanks!

Kentucky Governor Primary Elections

Republican
Matt Bevin 85%
Other 15%

Democrat
Alison Lundergan Grimes 53%
Greg Fischer 44%
Other 3%

Polling Average June 1st
Matt Bevin 43%
Alison Lundergan Grimes 40%
Undecided/Other 17%

Illinois Senate Primary

Democrat
Lisa Madigan Acclaimed

Republican
Mark Kirk Acclaimed

Polling Average June 1st
Lisa Madigan  45%
Mark Kirk 42%
Undecided 12%

Why didn't James Comer run in Kentucky?

June Update

June 10th-USA Supreme Court agrees to hear an appeal from the State of Virginia over the states right to work law that had previously been struck down by the  4th Circuit Court.

June 15th- Just 9 years after most campaign finance regulations are struck down by the Supreme Court  Oregon Governor Kate Brown signs a law that ban's corporate and union donations for political campaigns. Conservative groups announce they will challenge what they call a blatantly unconstitutional law in federal court.

June 23rd-Ruth Bader Ginsburg announces her impending retirement from the court upon a successor being chosen.  

June 25th-Colorado held a Senate Primary today with the following results:
Republican
Cynthia Coffman 88%
Other 12%

Democrat
 John Hickenlooper 91%
Other 9%


June 27th- In a 6-3 decision the USA Supreme Court strikes down South Carolina's 20 week Abortion Ban, effectively ending any restrictions on abortion.  In response Cruz  announces the need for a constitutional amendment restricting Abortion. Meanwhile the remaining candidates suggest that it is time to move on to other issues.  In the aftermath of the decision Ted Cruz surged to nearly 40% in Iowa and 30% nationally, however this did not last.  President Hillary Clinton calls the ruling a major victory, while VP Tim Kaine added he felt the issue of abortion was settled law.

James Comer like other considered a primary Challenge, however largely declined due to Bevin s large Fundraising advantage and his strong approval ratings with Republicans. 

(Do you want me to publish updates on the day to day camping events or just Debate recaps and results nights)

July Update
July 7th-Vermont passes a bill restoring much of the Campaign Finance restrictions that were struck down by the Supreme Court in 2010. Conservative groups pledge to fight this bill in court.

July 12th-California Bans the Death Penalty today the previous attempt to do so failed by just 15,000 votes in 2016.

July 17th-Tammy Baldwin unexpectedly resigns from Cabinet, a few days later she would endorse Feingold  a few days later. Clinton selected Former Senator Bernie Sanders as Education Secretary, he was confirmed by the senate a few days later.

July 23rd-  In a debate watched by millions Russ Feingold  was seen as the big winner in the Democratic Primary poll, Feingold  bashed Clinton on reversing on her pledge to pass campaign finance reform, Obama Care reform. Feingold  touted his progressive agenda, gaining praise by many across the country.

July 30th-In the first GOP debate, Susan Martinez was seen as the winner, however most  pundits noted Cruz had a good night along with Rand Paul.

Polling Update next  

Polling Averages-August 1

August 1st-primary polls (Average)

Democratic Primary National
Hillary Clinton 45%(-5)
Russ Feingold 40% (+5)
Undecided 15% (-)

Democratic Primary Iowa
Russ Feingold  49%(+7)
Hillary Clinton 40%(-5)
Undecided 11%(-2)

Democratic Primary NH
Russ Feingold 42% (+2)
Hillary Clinton 41% (-6)
Undecided 17% (+4)

Democratic Primary Nevada
Hillary Clinton 45% (-7)
Russ Feingold 41% (+4)
Undecided 14% (+3)

Democratic Primary South Carolina
Hillary Clinton 55% (-3)
Russ Feingold 33%(+3)
Undecided 12%(-)

Republican Primary National
Ted Cruz 24% (+7)
Susana Martinez 21%(+6)
Tim Scott 20% (-5)
Rand Paul 20%(-3)
Charlie Baker 7% (-2)
Undecided 8%(-3)

Republican Primary Iowa
Ted Cruz 31% (+6)
Rand Paul 22% (+2)
Tim Scott 15% (-3)
Susana Martinez 14%(+2)
Charlie Baker 6%(-1)
Undecided 12%(-6)

Republican Primary NH
Susana Martinez 25%(+6)
Tim Scott 20% (-2)
Rand Paul 17% (-3)
Ted Cruz 12%(+2)
Charlie Baker 11% (-2)
Undecided 15%(-1)

Republican Primary Nevada
Susana Martinez 30%(+7)
Ted Cruz 20% (+5)
Rand Paul 20%(-)
Tim Scott 18% (-3)
Charlie Baker 7% (-3)
Undecided 5%(-6)

Republican Primary South Carolina
Tim Scott 35% (-4)
Ted Cruz 23%(+4)
Susana Martinez 13% (+2)
Rand Paul 10% (-3)
Charlie Baker 10% (-)
Undecided 9% (+1)

Other Races
Polling Average August 1st-Kentucky Governor
Matt Bevin 40% (-3)
Alison Lundergan Grimes 40% (-)
Undecided/Other 17% (+3)

Polling Average August 1st-Illinois Governor
Lisa Madigan  43% (-2)
Mark Kirk 43% (+1)
Undecided 13% (+1)

Polling Average August 1st-Colorado Governor
 Cynthia Coffman 42%
 John Hickenlooper  40%
Undecided 18%

August Update

USA Senators not Seeking Re-Election
Jeff Sessions-Alabama
Jim Risch-Idaho
Pat Roberts-Kansas
Thad Cochran-Mississippi

August 5th-Western Leaders announce an agreement on a new Western Free Trade Deal, that will largely replace NAFTA, the agreement is between USA, Canada, Mexico, UK, Scotland (who becomes an Independent nation in 2018), Norway, Germany, France, Ireland, Netherlands and Belgium.  

August 20-Mississippi Primary Results Governor:
Republican Primary
Chris McDaniel 35%
Stacey E. Pickering 33%
Tate Reeves 32%

Runoff
Chris McDaniel 50.8%
Stacey E. Pickering 49.2%

Democratic Primary
Jim Hood 88%
Other 12%

August 27th
Hillary Clinton announces Sri Srinivasan as her Supreme Court nominee. Despite calls by some Republicans to block the nomination, the senate confirms the pick.

I think the GOP will be hitting a downturn in it's fortunes in Congress and will lose the Senate by 2018 and the House of Representatives by 2018 or at the very latest 2020. I think Donald Trump narrowly wins reelection in 2020 over the ticket of Cory Booker-Julian Castro

Paul 2016!!!!! Wish Christie ran as a TRUMP loyalist tbh. Oh, also go Feingold!!!

September Update
Sept. 3-Jim Hood resigns as Attorney General to spend more time focusing on the Mississippi Governors race.  Hillary Clinton appoints Nevada Senator Catherine Cortez Masto (she is later confirmed by the Senate) to replace Hood. Nevada Governor Joe Heck appoints Mark Amodei as Senator from Nevada. Amodei will face a special election in 2020.

Sept.10-Hillary Clinton confirms plans to hold a referendum alongside the 2020 Presidential Election on ratifying the WFTD. Hillary Clinton and Mitt Romney are announced as Co-Chairs of the Yes Campaign. Donald Trump along with Jeff Sessions are appointed Co-Chairs of the No campaign

Sept 16-Hillary Clinton signs into law a bill legalizing medical marijuana nationally, however the bill does nothing to deal with Recreational use.

Sept 21-The federal government and various state governments come to an agreement on holding a 50 state referendum next November on whether to hold a constitutional convention. The referendum is officially non binding but each state has pledged to support a convention if their state supports it. It would require 34 states voting in favor of a convention to trigger one.
   

October Update

Oct 5-Donald Trump announces that he plans on running as an Independent in the 2020 Presidential Election. Trump hires Chris Christie and Ben Carson as campaign advisors. Trump names Jim Webb as his running mate shortly after his announcement.

Oct 15-In the Second Democratic debate both  Hillary Clinton and Russ Feingold are regarded as having a good debate, with no clear winner. The press however largely focuses on what they see as a bounce back performance by Clinton from the first debate

Oct 22-Susan Martinez is seen as the big winner in the Second Republican primary debate, Martinez struck a more moderate tone focusing on balancing the budget and controlling government spending.       

 

Polling Average November 1st and Louisiana Governor Primary Results

November 1st

Democratic Primary National
Hillary Clinton 43%(-2)
Russ Feingold 43% (+3)
Undecided 14% (-1)

Democratic Primary Iowa
Russ Feingold  51%(+2)
Hillary Clinton 40%(-)
Undecided 9%(-2)

Democratic Primary NH
Russ Feingold 47% (+5)
Hillary Clinton 40% (-1)
Undecided 15% (-2)

Democratic Primary Nevada
Russ Feingold 46% (+5)
Hillary Clinton 40% (-5)
Undecided 14% (-)

Democratic Primary South Carolina
Hillary Clinton 52% (-3)
Russ Feingold 34%(+1)
Undecided 14%(+2)

Republican Primary National
Susana Martinez 27%(+6)
Ted Cruz 24% (-)
Rand Paul 18%(-2)
Tim Scott 15% (-5)
Charlie Baker 9% (+2)
Undecided 7%(-1)

Republican Primary Iowa
Ted Cruz 31% (-)
Rand Paul 22% (-)
Susana Martinez 21%(+7)
Tim Scott 11% (-4)
Charlie Baker 6%(-)
Undecided 12%(+3)

Republican Primary NH
Susana Martinez 30%(+5)
Rand Paul 17% (-)
Tim Scott 17% (-3)
Ted Cruz 13%(+1)
Charlie Baker 13% (+2)
Undecided 10%(-5)

Republican Primary Nevada
Susana Martinez 33%(+3)
Ted Cruz 18% (-2)
Rand Paul 18%(-2)
Tim Scott 15% (-3)
Charlie Baker 10% (+3)
Undecided 6%(+1)

Republican Primary South Carolina
Tim Scott 31% (-4)
Ted Cruz 25%(+2)
Susana Martinez 15% (+2)
Rand Paul 10% (-)
Charlie Baker 10% (-)
Undecided 9% (-)

Other Races
Polling Average August 1st-Kentucky Governor
Matt Bevin 44% (+4)
Alison Lundergan Grimes 42% (+2)
Undecided/Other 11% (-6)

Polling Average August 1st-Illinois Governor
Mark Kirk 48% (+5)
Lisa Madigan  45% (+2)
Undecided 6% (-7)

Polling Average August 1st-Colorado Governor
 Cynthia Coffman 46% (+4)
 John Hickenlooper  42% (+2)
Undecided 12% (-6)

Polling Average August 1st-Mississipi Governor
Chris McDaniel 45%  
Jim Hood 45%
Undecided/Other 10%

Louisiana Governor Primary
John Bel Edwards (D) 40%
John Neely Kennedy (R) 25%
Buddy Caldwell (R) 22%
Burl Cain (R) 10%
Other 3%

Keep it up!

Thanks!

I will have another update later today, is their anyone that would be interested in making state county maps for Kentucky, Mississippi, and Louisiana Senate elections; plus Illinois and Colorado Senate elections. 

November 2019 Election Results

Kentucky
()
In an Election night surprise Kentucky SOS Alison Lundergan Grimes defeats Incumbent Governor Matt Bevin 50-48 in an close race. Bevin had previously been seen as a clear favorite for Re-Election  through much of his term, however Grimes was credited on running a strong campaign receiving the support of   Independents  and some moderate Republicans.

Alison Lundergan Grimes D 50%
Matt Bevin R (I) 48%
Other 2%
Democratic gain from Republicans

Mississippi
()
In what was expected to be a close election, Jim Hood defeated Tea party aligned candidate Chris McDaniel in what was an open seat. Hood's win caused many pundits to start discussing how Mississippi would become a future target for Democrats.
Jim Hood D 51%
Chris McDaniel R 48%
Other 1%
Democratic gain from Republicans

Illinois
()
Despite the partisan lean of the state Former Senator Mark Kirk defeated appointed senator Lisa Madigan in what proved to be a close election campaign. Some pundits would go on to speculate Mark Kirk as a future VP nominee.
Mark Kirk 52%
Lisa Madigan  48%
Republican gain from Democrats

Colorado
()
In one of the closest races on election night, appointed Senator Cynthia Coffman would go on to defeat former Governor John Hickenlooper. Many Republicans saw this as a big victory, after many previous electoral frustrations in Colorado.
Cynthia Coffman 50.5%
John Hickenlooper 49.5%
Republican Hold.

November and Louisiana Governors Runoff

November 12th-In a debate seen around the country, Russ Feingold is called  the big winner over Hillary Clinton. Feingold chooses to focus on the sluggish economy, and what he calls a lack of significant progress on racial relations. After the debate many begin to see Feingold  as a serious threat for the nomination, with many calling the Democratic primary a tossup.

November 19th-For the third straight debate Susana Martinez delivers a strong debate performance. Rand Paul also emerges as Martinez's biggest challenger. Many in the media proclaim Martinez the overwhelming favorite for the GOP nomination.  

November 26th-Louisiana Governor Runoff election results.
()
In what proved to be one of the closest Gubernatorial election results in state history, Governor John Bel Edwards won re-election by the narrowest of margins.

John Bel Edwards (I) D 50% + 2507 votes  
John Neely Kennedy R 50%-2507 votes
 Democratic Hold

Polling Average November 1st and Louisiana Governor Primary Results

November 1st

Democratic Primary National
Russ Feingold 47% (+4)
Hillary Clinton 41%(-2)
Undecided 12% (-2)

Democratic Primary Iowa
Russ Feingold  53%(+2)
Hillary Clinton 40%(-)
Undecided 7%(-2)

Democratic Primary NH
Russ Feingold 48% (+1)
Hillary Clinton 40% (-)
Undecided 14% (-1)

Democratic Primary Nevada
Russ Feingold 49% (+3)
Hillary Clinton 42% (+2)
Undecided 9% (-5)

Democratic Primary South Carolina
Hillary Clinton 51% (-1)
Russ Feingold 36%(+2)
Undecided 13%(-1)

Republican Primary National
Susana Martinez 33%(+6)
Rand Paul 23%(+5)
Ted Cruz 21% (-3)
Tim Scott 12% (-3)
Charlie Baker 7% (-2)
Undecided 4%(-3)

Republican Primary Iowa
Ted Cruz 26% (-5)
Rand Paul 25% (+3)
Susana Martinez 24%(+3)
Tim Scott 10% (-1)
Charlie Baker 5%(-1)
Undecided 10%(-2)

Republican Primary NH
Susana Martinez 31%(+1)
Rand Paul 23% (+6)
Charlie Baker 14% (+1)
Tim Scott 13% (-4)
Ted Cruz 11%(-2)
Undecided 8%(-2)

Republican Primary Nevada
Susana Martinez 37%(+4)
Rand Paul 23%(+5)
Ted Cruz 14% (-4)
Tim Scott 13% (-2)
Charlie Baker 9% (-1)
Undecided 4%(-2)

Republican Primary South Carolina
Tim Scott 30% (-1)
Ted Cruz 23%(-2)
Susana Martinez 18% (+3)
Rand Paul 11% (+1)
Charlie Baker 11% (+1)
Undecided 7% (-2)

Feingold 2020!

This is a really interesting read so far. Feingold ftw!

Baker should be dropping out by now.

Chair Elections
Who are the Party Chairs (Please note that these are the most recent chair elections, though they did not necessarily take place in 2019) :

RNC Chair Election:
First Round
John Kasich 45%
Reince Priebus (I) 40%
Carly Fiorina 15%

Final Round
John Kasich 55%
Reince Priebus (I) 45%

DNC Chair Election
Andrew Cuomo 57%
Tulsi Gabbard 43%

The DNC doesn't elect its Chair.

Maybe after the DWS debacle in our timeline, butterflies cause the DNC to change their rules before the 2020 election? :)

Homestretch to Iowa and the January stock market crash

December 17th-A new jobs report gives grim news for many, declining job growth, and an unemployment rate that has risen by 1.2% in the last 10 months. 

January 14th. In a day economists called "Black Tuesday", stock prices plummeted leading to a recession. Many economists credit the recession to a decision to raise interest rates, widespread layoffs caused by the continuation of several manufacturing companies moving overseas.   

January 15th-Rand Paul is seen as a major winner in the last GOP debate before Iowa. Paul emphasizes a non interventionist approach to fixing the economy, blasting Hillary Clinton as what he calls government over reach causing the recent stock market crash.

January 19th-In the last Democratic debate before Iowa, neither Hillary Clinton and Russ Feingold   
are seen as out performing the other. Feingold advocates for more stimulus spending and blasts Hillary for raising interest rates. However  Hillary  counters calling for strong leadership to lead the USA out of economic downturn. 

February 1 polling update

Democratic Primary National
Russ Feingold 48% (+1)
Hillary Clinton 44%(+3)
Undecided 8% (-4)

Democratic Primary Iowa
Russ Feingold  55%(+2)
Hillary Clinton 42%(+2)
Undecided 3%(-4)

Democratic Primary NH
Russ Feingold 50% (+2)
Hillary Clinton 44% (+4)
Undecided 6% (-6)

Democratic Primary Nevada
Russ Feingold 49% (-)
Hillary Clinton 43% (+1)
Undecided 8% (-1)

Democratic Primary South Carolina
Hillary Clinton 51% (-)
Russ Feingold 40%(+4)
Undecided 9%(-4)

Republican Primary National
Susana Martinez 31%(-2)
Rand Paul 27%(+4)
Ted Cruz 19% (-2)
Tim Scott 12% (-)
Charlie Baker 7% (-)
Undecided 4%(-)

Republican Primary Iowa
Rand Paul 30% (+5)
 Ted Cruz 24% (-2)
Susana Martinez 21%(-3)
Tim Scott 11% (+1)
Charlie Baker 7%(+2)
Undecided 7%(-)

Republican Primary NH
Susana Martinez 27%(-4)
Rand Paul 25% (+2)
Charlie Baker 14% (-)
Tim Scott 13% (-)
Ted Cruz 10%(-1)
Undecided11%(+3)

Republican Primary Nevada
Susana Martinez 35%(-2)
Rand Paul 25%(+2)
Ted Cruz 13% (-1)
Tim Scott 13% (-)
Charlie Baker 10% (+1)
Undecided 4%(-)

Republican Primary South Carolina
Tim Scott 31% (+1)
Ted Cruz 21%(-2)
Susana Martinez 17% (-1)
Rand Paul 13% (+2)
Charlie Baker 10% (-1)
Undecided 8% (+1)

Senate/Gubernatorial race ratings

Senate
The Democrats were hoping to take the Senate back however it appeared that the road would be very narrow going through Iowa, Illinois, Colorado, Georgia, and North Carolina while holding New Hampshire and Virginia.

90% Safe
60% Likley
30% Lean
Green Tossup

()

Governors races
Holding all but 2 of the Governors seats up this cycle, Democrats are expected to play defense, with tough challenges in West Virginia, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Indiana, Missouri Montana and possibly Washington depending on how the night goes for down ballot Democrats.

90% Safe
60% Likley
30% Lean
Green Tossup

()   

February 3rd Iowa Caucus


()

Democratic Caucus (51 Delegates)
Russ Feingold 54.7% 28 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 45.3% 23 Delegates

While not unexpected Russ Feingold victory in Iowa was a major boost to his campaign. Many procrastinators considered the race as a true tossup and with Feingold  leading in NH and Nevada many speculated how long President Clinton could go without a win and still win the nomination.

()
Republican Caucus (30 Delegates)  
Rand Paul 30% 10 Delegates
Susan Martinez 27% 9 Delegates
Ted Cruz 25% 8 Delegates
Tim Scott 10% 3 Delegates
Charlie Baker 8% 0 Delegates

The Rand Paul surge proved to be real, as Paul won the Iowa Caucus by 3 points. To most commentators surprise Ted Cruz finished in 3rd, with most procrastinators generally feeling he is done. Many pundits entertain the possibility of Paul winning the nomination, however most still consider Martinez  the front runner.

Post Iowa

February 6th Democratic Debate-Debate winner Hillary Clinton 45%, Russ Feingold 40% Tie 15%

February 8th Republican Debate-Debate winner Rand Paul 33% Charlie Baker 25% Susan Martinez 15% Tim Scott 10% Ted Cruz 10% Tie 7%


February 9 polling update

Democratic Primary National
Russ Feingold 49% (+1)
Hillary Clinton 45%(+1)
Undecided 6% (-2)

Democratic Primary NH
Russ Feingold 51% (+1)
Hillary Clinton 46% (+2)
Undecided 3% (-3)

Democratic Primary Nevada
Russ Feingold 50% (+1)
Hillary Clinton 43% (+2)
Undecided 5% (-3)

Democratic Primary South Carolina
Hillary Clinton 53% (+2)
Russ Feingold 41%(+1)
Undecided 6%(-3)

Republican Primary National
Rand Paul 32%(+5)
Susana Martinez 31%(-)
Ted Cruz 16% (-3)
Tim Scott 11% (-1)
Charlie Baker 6% (-1)
Undecided 4%(-)

Republican Primary NH
Susana Martinez 29%(+2)
Rand Paul 29% (+4)
Charlie Baker 15% (+1)
Tim Scott 12% (-1)
Ted Cruz 8%(-2)
Undecided 7%(-4)

Republican Primary Nevada
Susana Martinez 33%(-2)
Rand Paul 28%(+3)
Ted Cruz 13% (-)
Tim Scott 12% (-1)
Charlie Baker 9% (-1)
Undecided 5%(+1)

Republican Primary South Carolina
Tim Scott 30% (-1)
Ted Cruz 19%(-2)
Susana Martinez 17% (-)
Rand Paul 16% (+3)
Charlie Baker 10% (-)
Undecided 8% (-)

New Hampshire Primary February 11th

()

Democratic Primary 32 Delegates
Russ Feingold 52% 17 Delegates
Hillary Clinton (I) 48% 15 Delegates

Russ Feingold again defeated President Hillary Clinton in a primary state, this time by a much narrow margin then his Iowa margin. While many pundits considered Feingold in good shape to get the nomination, many held off on calling him the favorite, citing the need to see a more diverse demographic.

()

Republican Primary 23 Delegates

Rand Paul 31% 8 Delegates(+50 votes)
Susan Martinez 31% 8 Delegates
Charlie Baker 15% 4 Delegates
Tim Scott 14% 3 Delegates
Ted Cruz 9% 0 Delegates

Rand Paul won the NH primary this time by a narrow 50 vote margin. Most pundits still consider the race a tossup but stress the importance of Susan Martinez defeating Rand Paul in the upcoming Nevada primary. Charlie Baker suspends his campaign and endorses Susan Martinez for President.  

Post NH

February 13th Democratic Debate-Debate winner Hillary Clinton 35%, Russ Feingold 40% Tie 25%

February 15th Republican Debate-Debate winner Rand Paul 20%  Susan Martinez 30% Tim Scott 20% Ted Cruz 11% Tie 19%

February 16th polling update

Democratic Primary National
Russ Feingold 49% (-)
Hillary Clinton 46%(+1)
Undecided 5% (-1)


Democratic Primary Nevada
Russ Feingold 51% (+1)
Hillary Clinton 45% (+2)
Undecided 2% (-3)

Democratic Primary South Carolina
Hillary Clinton 54% (+1)
Russ Feingold 41%(-)
Undecided 5%(-1)

Republican Primary National
Rand Paul 34%(+2)
Susana Martinez 33%(+2)
Ted Cruz 15% (-1)
Tim Scott 12% (+1)
Undecided 6%(+2)

Republican Primary Nevada
Susana Martinez 35%(+2)
Rand Paul 31%(+3)
Ted Cruz 13% (-)
Tim Scott 13% (+1)
Undecided 8%(+3)

Republican Primary South Carolina
Tim Scott 33% (+3)
Susana Martinez 20% (+3)
Rand Paul 19% (+3)
Ted Cruz 18%(-1)
Undecided 10% (+2)


Nevada Primary February 18th

()

Democratic Primary-43 Delegates
Russ Feingold 51% 22 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 49% 21 Delegates

Many Pundits were impressed with Russ Feingold's narrow victory in Nevada, with many now considering him a slight favorite for the nomination. However many noted the close margins in all three races as a sign that the nomination was far from over.  


()

Republican Primary-30 Delegates
Susan Martinez 37% 11 Delegates
Rand Paul 35% 11 Delegates
Ted Cruz 15% 4 Delegates
Tim Scott 13% 4 Delegates


Susan Martinez historic victory had many pundits regard the nomination as a two way race between her and Rand Paul. Many still regard Martinez as a slight favorite for the nomination, however regard Paul as a true contender.  

Post Nevada

February 19th Democratic Debate-Debate winner Hillary Clinton 35%, Russ Feingold 30% Tie 35%

February 20th Republican Debate-Debate winner Rand Paul 35%  Susan Martinez 30% Tim Scott 20% Ted Cruz 10% Tie 6%

February 21 Polling
Democratic Primary National
Russ Feingold 50% (+1)
Hillary Clinton 46%(-)
Undecided 4% (-1)

Democratic Primary South Carolina
Hillary Clinton 55% (+1)
Russ Feingold 42%(+1)
Undecided 3%(-2)

Republican Primary National
Rand Paul 36%(+2)
Susana Martinez 35%(+2)
Ted Cruz 14% (-1)
Tim Scott 11% (-1)
Undecided 4%(-2)

Republican Primary South Carolina
Tim Scott 30% (-3)
Susana Martinez 26% (+6)
Rand Paul 23% (+4)
Ted Cruz 15%(-3)
Undecided 6% (-4)



South Carolina Primary February 22

()

South Carolina Democratic Primary 59 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 57% 34 Delegates
Russ Feingold 43% 25 Delegates

President Hillary Clinton got a much needed victory in the state of South Carolina. However many still regarded Russ Feingolds 43% showing as strong enough to win the nomination, but cautioned that if Clinton can improve her margins even slightly in the South that she will be positioned to win.    

()

South Carolina Republican Primary 50 Delegates
Susan Martinez 30% 15 Delegates
Tim Scott 29% 15 Delegates
Rand Paul 25% 12 Delegates
Ted Cruz 16% 8 Delegates

Susan Martinez pulled off what many regarded as a major upset winning in Tim Scott's home state despite trailing in the polls all the way to the start of the primary. Tim Scott suspended his campaign stating that he could not see a realistic path to the nomination going forward. Ted Cruz stated that he plans on staying in until the end.

After SC

Delegate Counts (First 4 Contests)

Democrats (2,382 needed to win)
Hillary Clinton 93 Delegates
Russ Feingold 92 Delegates

Republicans (1237 needed to win)
Susan Martinez 43 Delegates
Rand Paul 41 Delegates
Tim Scott* 25 Delegates
Ted Cruz 20 Delegates
Charlie Baker* 4 Delegates

*(Suspended Campaign)

February 25th Democratic Debate:Debate winner Hillary Clinton 30%, Russ Feingold 45% Tie 25%
February 27th GOP Primary Debate:Debate winner Rand Paul 40%  Susan Martinez 38%  Ted Cruz 12% Tie 10%

Polling Averages February 28th

Democratic Primary National
Russ Feingold 50% (-)
Hillary Clinton 47%(+1)
Undecided 3% (-1)


Republican Primary National
Susana Martinez 41%(+6)
Rand Paul 40%(+4)
Ted Cruz 16% (+2)
Undecided 3%(-1)

Next: Super Tuesday Results

Super Tuesday-March 3rd

()


Democratic Party Super Tuesday
Hillary Clinton  507 Delegates
Russ Feingold  496 Delegates


Alabama
Democratic Party (Presidential)-60 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 60% 36 Delegates
Russ Feingold 40% 24 Delegates

Senate Democratic Party
Bobby Bright 72%
Other Assorted Candidates 28%

Arkansas
Democratic Party (Presidential)-37 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 59% 22 Delegates
Russ Feingold 41% 15Delegates

Senate Democratic Party
Conner Eldridge acclaimed

Georgia
Democratic Party (Presidential)-117Delegates
Hillary Clinton 55% 64 Delegates
Russ Feingold 45% 53 Delegates

Florida
Democratic Party (Presidential)-246 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 54% 133 Delegates
Russ Feingold 46% 113 Delegates

Michigan
Democratic Party (Presidential)-147Delegates
Russ Feingold 55% 81 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 45% 66 Delegates

Minnesota
Democratic Party (Presidential)-93Delegates
Russ Feingold 61% 57 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 39% 36 Delegates

North Carolina
Democratic Party (Presidential)-120 Delegates
Russ Feingold 53% 64 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 47% 56 Delegates

Senate Democratic Party
Kay Hagan 92%
Assorted other candidates

Governor Democratic Party
Anthony Foxx 57%
Janet Cowell 43%
(Roy Cooper retiring)


Tennessee
Democratic Party (Presidential)-75 Delegates
Russ Feingold 50.5% 38 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 49.5% 37 Delegates

Virginia
Democratic Party (Presidential)-108 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 53% 57 Delegates
Russ Feingold 47% 51 Delegates

Super Tuesday-March 3rd Continued
()

Republican Party Super Tuesday
Susan Martinez 220 Delegates
Rand Paul  215 Delegates  
Ted Cruz  132 Delegates  


Alabama
Republican Party (Presidential)-50 Delegates
Rand Paul 37% 19 Delegates  
Ted Cruz 33% 17 Delegates  
Susan Martinez 30% 15 Delegates


Senate Democratic Party
Martha Roby 51%
Luther Strange 43%
Other 5%

Arkansas
Republican Party (Presidential)-40 Delegates
Rand Paul 35% 14 Delegates  
Susan Martinez 33% 13 Delegates
Ted Cruz 32% 13 Delegates  

Senate Republican Party
Tom Cotton acclaimed

Georgia
Republican Party (Presidential)-76Delegates
Susan Martinez 40% 31 Delegates
Rand Paul 35% 27 Delegates  
Ted Cruz 25% 19 Delegates  

Florida
Republican Party (Presidential)-99 Delegates
Susan Martinez 45% 45 Delegates
Rand Paul 38% 38 Delegates  
Ted Cruz 17% 16 Delegates  

Michigan
Republican Party (Presidential)-59 Delegates
Rand Paul 40% 24 Delegates  
Susan Martinez 35% 21 Delegates
Ted Cruz 25% 15 Delegates  

Minnesota
Republican Party (Presidential)-38 Delegates
Rand Paul 45% 17 Delegates  
Susan Martinez 37% 14 Delegates
Ted Cruz 18% 7 Delegates  


North Carolina
Republican Party (Presidential)-72Delegates
Susan Martinez 42% 30 Delegates
Rand Paul 37% 27 Delegates  
Ted Cruz 21% 15 Delegates  

Senate Republican Party
Thom Tillis 88%
Other Assorted Candidates 12%

Governor Republican Party
Dan Forest 54%
Philip E. Berger 40%
Other 6%

Tennessee
Republican Party (Presidential)-58Delegates
Rand Paul 35% 20 Delegates  
Susan Martinez 33% 19 Delegates
Ted Cruz 32% 19 Delegates  


Virginia
Republican Party (Presidential)-72Delegates
Susan Martinez 45% 32 Delegates
Rand Paul 40% 29 Delegates  
Ted Cruz 15% 11 Delegates  

After being shutout on Super Tuesday, Ted Cruz suspends his campaign endorsing Rand Paul.

Post Super Tuesday

Delegate Counts (First 4 Contests)

Democrats (2,382 needed to win)
Hillary Clinton 600 Delegates
Russ Feingold 588 Delegates

Republicans (1237 needed to win)
Susan Martinez  263 Delegates
Rand Paul 256 Delegates
Ted Cruz* 152 Delegates
Tim Scott* 25 Delegates
Charlie Baker* 4 Delegates

*(Suspended Campaign)

Democratic Primary National
Russ Feingold 51% (+1)
Hillary Clinton 46%(-1)
Undecided 3% (-)


Republican Primary National
Susana Martinez 48%(+7)
Rand Paul 45%(+5)
Undecided 7%(+4)

If after all those southern states Clinton isn't with a decent lead, she has a huge problem. Rooting for Paul vs Feingold!

March 7 + 10 Primary Days


()

March 7 Democratic Primary
Russ Feingold 65 Delegates
Hillary Clinton  61 Delegates

Kansas Democratic Presidential Primary 37 Delegates
Russ Feingold 60% 22 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 40% 15 Delegates

Louisiana Democratic Presidential Primary 59 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 58% 34 Delegates
Russ Feingold 42% 25 Delegates

Maine Democratic Presidential Primary 30 Delegates
Russ Feingold 61% 18 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 39% 12 Delegates


()

March 10 Democratic Primaries
Russ Feingold 56 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 46 Delegates


Hawaii Democratic Presidential Primary 34 Delegates
Russ Feingold 63% 21 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 37% 13 Delegates

Idaho Democratic Presidential Primary 27 Delegates
Russ Feingold 69% 19 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 31% 8 Delegates

Mississippi Democratic Presidential Primary 41 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 61% 25 Delegates
Russ Feingold 39% 16 Delegates

Mississippi Democratic Senate Primary
Brandon Presley 84%
Other Assorted Candidates 16%

March 7 + 10 Primary Days Continued

()

March 7 Republican Primary
Rand Paul 63 Delegates
Susan Martinez  45 Delegates


Kansas Republican Presidential Primary 40 Delegates
Rand Paul 57% 23 Delegates
Susan Martinez 43% 16 Delegates

Louisiana Republican Presidential Primary 46 Delegates
Rand Paul 54% 25 Delegates
Susan Martinez 46% 21 Delegates

Maine Republican Presidential Primary 23 Delegates
Rand Paul 65% 15 Delegates
Susan Martinez 35% 8 Delegates

()

March 10 Republican Primary
Rand Paul 49 Delegates
Susan Martinez  42 Delegates

Hawaii Republican Presidential Primary 19 Delegates
Susan Martinez 54% 10 Delegates
Rand Paul 46% 9 Delegates


Idaho Republican Presidential Primary 32 Delegates
Rand Paul 60% 19 Delegates
Susan Martinez 40% 13 Delegates

Mississippi Republican Presidential Primary 40 Delegates
Rand Paul 53% 21 Delegates
Susan Martinez 47% 19 Delegates

Mississippi Republican Senate Primary
Phil Bryant 45%
Mary Hawkins Butler 30%
Mike Chaney 25%
Other 5%

Runoff
Phil Bryant 52%
Mary Hawkins Butler 48%

Post Super Tuesday

Delegate Counts (Up to and including March 10th)

Democrats (2,382 needed to win)
Russ Feingold 709 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 707 Delegates

Republicans (1237 needed to win)
Rand Paul 368 Delegates
Susan Martinez  350 Delegates
Ted Cruz* 152 Delegates
Tim Scott* 25 Delegates
Charlie Baker* 4 Delegates

*(Suspended Campaign)

Democratic Primary National
Russ Feingold 52% (+1)
Hillary Clinton 45%(-1)
Undecided 3% (-)


Republican Primary National
Susan Martinez 48%(-)
Rand Paul 47%(+2)
Undecided 5%(-2)

Super Tuesday 2 Democratic Side

()

Super Tuesday 2 Democratic Primary
Russ Feingold 337 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 271 Delegates

Arizona Democratic Presidential Primary 85 Delegates
 Hillary Clinton 54% 46 Delegates
 Russ Feingold 46% 39 Delegates

Illinois Democratic Presidential Primary 183 Delegates
Russ Feingold 53% 97 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 47% 86 Delegates

Illinois Democratic Senate Primary
Daniel Biss 41%
Pat Quinn 40%
Richard Boykin 19%
In a surprise upset 41 year old Illinois State Senator Daniel Biss defeated former Governor Patt Quinn for the right to take on Incumbent Senator Mark Kirk.

Missouri Democratic Presidential Primary 84 Delegates
Russ Feingold 61% 51Delegates
Hillary Clinton 39% 33 Delegates


Ohio Democratic Presidential Primary 160 Delegates
Russ Feingold 55% 88 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 45%  72 Delegates

Wisconsin Democratic Presidential Primary 96 Delegates
Russ Feingold 65% 62 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 35% 34 Delegates

Super Tuesday 2 Republican Side

()

Super Tuesday 2 Republican Primary
Susan Martinez 149  Delegates
Rand Paul 138 Delegates


Arizona Republican Presidential Primary 58 Delegates
Susan Martinez 57% 33 Delegates
Rand Paul 43% 25 Delegates

Illinois Republican Presidential Primary 69 Delegates
Susan Martinez 55% 38 Delegates
Rand Paul 45% 31 Delegates

Illinois Republican Senate Primary
Mark Kirk 57%
Joe Walsh 43%

Missouri Republican Presidential Primary 52 Delegates
Rand Paul 53% 28 Delegates
Susan Martinez 47% 24 Delegates

Ohio Republican Presidential Primary 66 Delegates
Susan Martinez 52% 34 Delegates
Rand Paul 48% 32 Delegates

Wisconsin Republican Presidential Primary 42 Delegates
Rand Paul 53% 22 Delegates
Susan Martinez 47% 20 Delegates

Post Super Tuesday

Delegate Counts (Up to and including March 17th)

Democrats (2,382 needed to win)
Russ Feingold 1046 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 978 Delegates

Republicans (1237 needed to win)
Rand Paul 506 Delegates
Susan Martinez  499 Delegates
Ted Cruz* 152 Delegates
Tim Scott* 25 Delegates
Charlie Baker* 4 Delegates

*(Suspended Campaign)

Democratic Primary National
Russ Feingold 54% (+2)
Hillary Clinton 44%(-1)
Undecided 2% (-1)


Republican Primary National
Susan Martinez 49%(+1)
Rand Paul 47%(-)
Undecided 4%(-1)

Territory Tuesday Democrats (please note that this has been added to the schedule on March 24th)

()

Territory Tuesday Democratic Primary
Hillary Clinton 69 Delegates
Russ Feingold 61 Delegates

America Samoa Democratic Presidential Primary 11 Delegates
 Hillary Clinton 60% 7 Delegates
 Russ Feingold 40% 4 Delegates

Democrats Abroad Democratic Presidential Primary 17 Delegates
Russ Feingold 66% 11 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 34% 6 Delegates

Guam Democratic Presidential Primary 12 Delegates
Russ Feingold 51% 6 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 49% 6 Delegates

Northern Mariana Islands Democratic Presidential Primary 11 Delegates
Russ Feingold 53% 6 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 47%  5 Delegates

Puerto Rico Democratic Presidential Primary 67 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 54% 36 Delegates
Russ Feingold 46% 31 Delegates


US Virgin Island Democratic Presidential Primary 12 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 71% 9 Delegates
Russ Feingold 29% 3 Delegates

Territory Tuesday Republicans (please note that this has been added to the schedule on March 24th)

()

Territory Tuesday Primary
Susan Martinez 38 Delegates
Rand Paul 21 Delegates


America Samoa Republican Presidential Primary 9 Delegates
Susan Martinez 63% 6 Delegates
Rand Paul 37% 3 Delegates

Guam Republican Presidential Primary 9 Delegates
Susan Martinez 57% 5 Delegates
Rand Paul 43%  4 Delegates

Northern Mariana Islands Republican Presidential Primary 9 Delegates
Susan Martinez 62% 6 Delegates
Rand Paul 38% 3 Delegates

Puerto Rico Republican Presidential Primary 23 Delegates
Susan Martinez 74% 17 Delegates
Rand Paul 26%  6 Delegates

US Virgin Islands Republican Presidential Primary 9 Delegates
Rand Paul 55% 5 Delegates
Susan Martinez 45% 4 Delegates

Post Territory Tuesday

Delegate Counts (Up to and including March 24th)

Democrats (2,382 needed to win)
Russ Feingold 1107 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 1047 Delegates

Republicans (1237 needed to win)
Susan Martinez  537 Delegates
Rand Paul 527 Delegates
Ted Cruz* 152 Delegates
Tim Scott* 25 Delegates
Charlie Baker* 4 Delegates

*(Suspended Campaign)

Democratic Primary National
Russ Feingold 54% (-)
Hillary Clinton 44%(-)
Undecided 2% (-)


Republican Primary National
Susan Martinez 49%(-)
Rand Paul 47%(-)
Undecided 4%(-)

Rand is doing what Obama did in 08, I notice.

()

March 31st Democratic Primaries
Russ Feingold 49 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 29 Delegates



North Dakota-23 Delegates
Russ Feingold 64% 15 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 36% 8 Delegates


Utah-37 Delegates
Russ Feingold 66% 24 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 34% 13 Delegates


Wyoming-18 Delegates
Russ Feingold 58% 10 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 42% 8 Delegates

March 31st GOP Primaries

()

March 31 Republican Primary
Rand Paul 59 Delegates
Susan Martinez  32 Delegates


North Dakota Republican Presidential Primary 28 Delegates
Rand Paul 61% 17 Delegates
Susan Martinez 39% 9 Delegates

Utah Republican Presidential Primary 40 Delegates
Rand Paul 63% 25 Delegates
Susan Martinez 37% 15 Delegates

Wyoming Republican Presidential Primary 29 Delegates
Rand Paul 59% 17 Delegates
Susan Martinez 41% 8 Delegates

Post March 31st

Delegate Counts (Up to and including March 31st)

Democrats (2,382 needed to win)
Russ Feingold 1156 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 1076 Delegates

Republicans (1237 needed to win)
Rand Paul 586 Delegates
Susan Martinez  569 Delegates
Ted Cruz* 152 Delegates
Tim Scott* 25 Delegates
Charlie Baker* 4 Delegates

*(Suspended Campaign)

Democratic Primary National
Russ Feingold 55% (+1)
Hillary Clinton 44%(-)
Undecided 1% (-1)


Republican Primary National
Susan Martinez 49%(-)
Rand Paul 48%(+1)
Undecided 4%(-)

New York Primary April 7th


()
New York Democratic Primary-291Delegates
Hillary Clinton 53% 154 Delegates
Russ Feingold 47% 137 Delegates

()
New York Republican Primary-95 Delegates
Susan Martinez 54% 51 Delegates
Rand Paul 46% 44 Delegates

Super Tuesday 3
()

Democratic Party Super Tuesday 3
Russ Feingold  343 Delegates
Hillary Clinton  306 Delegates


Connecticut
Democratic Party (Presidential)-71 Delegates
Russ Feingold 59% 42 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 41% 29 Delegates

Delaware
Democratic Party (Presidential)-32 Delegates
Russ Feingold 53% 16 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 47% 16 Delegates


District of Columbia
Democratic Party (Presidential)-44 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 64% 28 Delegates
Russ Feingold 36% 16 Delegates


Maryland
Democratic Party (Presidential)-120 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 54% 65 Delegates
Russ Feingold 46% 55 Delegates

Massachusetts
Democratic Party (Presidential)-115 Delegates
Russ Feingold 55% 63 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 45% 52 Delegates


Pennsylvania
Democratic Party (Presidential)-208 Delegates
Russ Feingold 53% 110 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 47% 98 Delegates


Rhode Island
Democratic Party (Presidential)-33 Delegates
Russ Feingold 61% 20 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 39% 13 Delegates


Vermont
Democratic Party (Presidential)-26 Delegates
Russ Feingold 82% 21 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 18% 5 Delegates

Super Tuesday Three Republicans

()

Super Tuesday Three
Susan Martinez 139  Delegates
Rand Paul 108 Delegates


Connecticut  Republican Presidential Primary 28 Delegates
Susan Martinez 57% 16 Delegates
Rand Paul 43% 12 Delegates

Delaware Republican Presidential Primary 16 Delegates
Susan Martinez 52% 8 Delegates
Rand Paul 48%  8 Delegates

District of Columbia Republican Presidential Primary 19 Delegates
Susan Martinez 63% 12 Delegates
Rand Paul 37% 7 Delegates

Maryland Republican Presidential Primary 38 Delegates
Susan Martinez 59% 22 Delegates
Rand Paul 41%  14 Delegates

Massachusetts Republican Presidential Primary 42 Delegates
Susan Martinez 58% 24 Delegates
Rand Paul 42%  18 Delegates

Pennsylvania Republican Presidential Primary 71 Delegates
Susan Martinez 51% 36 Delegates
Rand Paul 49%  35 Delegates

Rhode Island Republican Presidential Primary 19 Delegates
Susan Martinez 56% 11 Delegates
Rand Paul 44%  8 Delegates

Vermont Republican Presidential Primary 16 Delegates
Susan Martinez 62% 10 Delegates
Rand Paul 38%  6 Delegates

Post Super Tuesday Three

Delegate Counts (Up to and including April 14th)

Democrats (2,382 needed to win)
Russ Feingold 1630 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 1536 Delegates

Republicans (1237 needed to win)
Susan Martinez  759 Delegates
Rand Paul 738 Delegates
Ted Cruz* 152 Delegates
Tim Scott* 25 Delegates
Charlie Baker* 4 Delegates

*(Suspended Campaign)

Democratic Primary National
Russ Feingold 55% (-)
Hillary Clinton 44%(-)
Undecided 1% (-)


Republican Primary National
Susan Martinez 50%(+1)
Rand Paul 49%(+1)
Undecided 1%(-3)

April 21st Democratic Primaries
()

April 21st Primaries
Russ Feingold  176 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 109 Delegates


Alaska
Democratic Party (Presidential)-20 Delegates
Russ Feingold 71% 14 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 29% 6 Delegates

Colorado
Democratic Party (Presidential)-78 Delegates
Russ Feingold 62% 48 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 38% 30 Delegates

Oregon
Democratic Party (Presidential)-74 Delegates
Russ Feingold 63% 47 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 37% 27 Delegates

Oregon Democratic Senate Primary
Jeff Merkley 89%
Assorted other Candidates 11%

Washington
Democratic Party (Presidential)-118 Delegates
Russ Feingold 61% 72 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 39% 46 Delegates

April 21st Republican Primary
()

April 21 Republican Primary
Rand Paul 79 Delegates
Susan Martinez  58 Delegates


Alaska Republican Presidential Primary 28 Delegates
Rand Paul 66% 18 Delegates
Susan Martinez 34% 10 Delegates

Colorado Republican Presidential Primary 37 Delegates
Rand Paul 59% 22 Delegates
Susan Martinez 41% 15 Delegates

Oregon Republican Presidential Primary 28 Delegates
Rand Paul 57% 16 Delegates
Susan Martinez 43% 12 Delegates

Oregon Republican Party Senate Election
Greg Walden 56%
Dennis Richardson 40%
Other assorted candidates 4%

Washington Republican Presidential Primary 44 Delegates
Rand Paul 53% 23 Delegates
Susan Martinez 47% 21 Delegates

Post April 21st

Delegate Counts (Up to and including April 21st)

Democrats (2,382 needed to win)
Russ Feingold 1811 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 1645 Delegates

Republicans (1237 needed to win)
Susan Martinez  817 Delegates
Rand Paul 817 Delegates
Ted Cruz* 152 Delegates
Tim Scott* 25 Delegates
Charlie Baker* 4 Delegates

*(Suspended Campaign)

Democratic Primary National
Russ Feingold 56% (-1)
Hillary Clinton 43%(-1)
Undecided 1% (-)


Republican Primary National
Susan Martinez 50%(-)
Rand Paul 49%(-)
Undecided 1%(-)

(As their are few primaries in the next few weeks I will post all 5 in this thread)

April 28th-May 19th Democratic Primaries
()

April 28th-May 19th Primaries
Russ Feingold 281  Delegates
Hillary Clinton 246 Delegates


Indiana April 28th
Democratic Party (Presidential)-92 Delegates
Russ Feingold 56% 52 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 44% 40 Delegates

Indiana Democratic Governors Primary
John R. Gregg Acclaimed

Nebraska May 5th
Democratic Party (Presidential)-30 Delegates
Russ Feingold 59% 18 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 41% 12 Delegates

Nebraska Democratic Senate Primary
Steve Lathrop 53%
Annette Dubas 47%

West Virginia May 5th
Democratic Party (Presidential)- 37 Delegates
Russ Feingold 60% 22 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 40% 15 Delegates

West Virginia Democratic Governors Primary
Jim Justice 93%
Other Assorted Candidates 7%

West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary
Jeff Kessler 57%
Erik Wells 43%

Kentucky May 12th
Democratic Party (Presidential)- 60 Delegates
Russ Feingold 54% 32 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 46% 28 Delegates

Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary
Andy Beshear Acclaimed

Oklahoma May 19th
Democratic Party (Presidential)- 42 Delegates
Russ Feingold 57% 24 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 43% 18 Delegates

Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary
Dan Boren 88%
Other assorted candidates 12%

Texas May 19th
Democratic Party (Presidential)- 251 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 53% 133 Delegates
Russ Feingold 47% 118 Delegates

Texas Democratic Senate Primary
Ivy Taylor 91%
Other assorted candidates 9%

April 28th-May 19th Republican Primary
()

April 28th-May 19th Republican Primary
Rand Paul 201 Delegates
Susan Martinez 170 Delegates


Indiana Republican Presidential Primary April 28th 57 Delegates
Rand Paul 58% 33 Delegates
Susan Martinez 42% 24 Delegates

Indiana Republican Governors Primary
Susan Brooks 54%
Todd Young 46%

Nebraska  Republican Presidential Primary May 5th 36 Delegates
Rand Paul 62% 22 Delegates
Susan Martinez 38% 14 Delegates

Nebraska Republican Senate Primary
Ben Sasse 86%
other assorted candidates 14%

West Virginia Republican Presidential Primary May 5th 34 Delegates
Rand Paul 61% 21 Delegates
Susan Martinez 39% 13 Delegates

West Virginia Republican Governors Primary
David McKinley 52%
Alex Mooney 48%

West Virginia Republican Senate Primary
Shelley Moore Capito Acclaimed

Kentucky  Republican Presidential Primary May 12th 46 Delegates
Rand Paul 63% 29 Delegates
Susan Martinez 37% 17 Delegates

Kentucky Republican Senate Primary
Thomas Massie 93%
Other assorted candidates 7%

Oklahoma Republican Presidential Primary May 19th 43 Delegates
Rand Paul 57% 25 Delegates
Susan Martinez 43% 18 Delegates

Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary
Jim Inhofe 91%
Other assorted candidates 9%


Texas Republican Presidential Primary May 19th 155 Delegates
Susan Martinez 54% 84 Delegates
Rand Paul 46% 71 Delegates


Texas Republican Senate Primary
John Cornyn 47%
Katrina Pierson 42%
other assorted candidates 11%

Katrina Pierson 52%
John Cornyn 48%

Post May 19th


Delegate Counts (Up to and including May 19th)

Democrats (2,382 needed to win)
Russ Feingold 2092 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 1876 Delegates

Republicans (1237 needed to win)
Rand Paul 1018 Delegates
Susan Martinez  987 Delegates
Ted Cruz* 152 Delegates
Tim Scott* 25 Delegates
Charlie Baker* 4 Delegates

*(Suspended Campaign)

Democratic Primary National
Russ Feingold 57% (+1)
Hillary Clinton 42%(-1)
Undecided 1% (-)


Republican Primary National
Susan Martinez 50%(-)
Rand Paul 49%(-)
Undecided 1%(-)

-John Cornyn resigns as Senate majority leader the day after losing his primary runoff race, he is replaced by Mike Crapo as Majority leader with Tim Scott becoming Majority Whip.  

Super Tuesday four Democratic Primaries
()

Super Tuesday four Primaries
Russ Feingold 407 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 377 Delegates


California
Democratic Party (Presidential)-551 Delegates
Russ Feingold 52% 287 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 48% 264 Delegates


Montana
Democratic Party (Presidential)-27 Delegates
Russ Feingold 59% 16 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 41% 11 Delegates

Montana Democratic Governors Primary
Linda McCulloch 55%
Denise Juneau 45%

Montana Democratic Senate Primary
Steve Bullock Acclaimed


New Jersey
Democratic Party (Presidential)- 142 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 52% 74 Delegates
Russ Feingold 48% 68 Delegates

New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary
Cory Booker 92%
other assorted candidates 8%


New Mexico
Democratic Party (Presidential)- 43 Delegates
Russ Feingold 53% 23 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 47% 20 Delegates

New Mexico Democratic Senate Primary
Tom Udall Acclaimed

South Dakota
Democratic Party (Presidential)- 25 Delegates
Russ Feingold 53% 13 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 47% 8 Delegates

South Dakota Democratic Senate Primary
Jason Frerichs 88%
other assorted candidates 12%

Super Tuesday four  Republican Primary
()

Super Tuesday four Republican Primary
Susan Martinez 153 Delegates
Rand Paul 141 Delegates


California Republican Presidential Primary 172 Delegates
Susan Martinez 51% 88 Delegates
Rand Paul 49% 84 Delegates

Montana Republican Presidential Primary April 28th 27 Delegates
Rand Paul 61% 16 Delegates
Susan Martinez 39% 9 Delegates

Montana Republican Governors Primary
Ryan Zinke 53%
Tim Fox 47%

Montana Republican Senate Primary
Steve Daines Acclaimed

New Jersey Republican Presidential Primary 51 Delegates
Susan Martinez 56% 29 Delegates
Rand Paul 44% 22 Delegates


New Jersey Republican Senate Primary
Thomas Kean Jr. Acclaimed

New Mexico Republican Presidential Primary 24 Delegates
Susan Martinez 62% 15 Delegates
Rand Paul 38% 9 Delegates

New Mexico Republican Senate Primary
Richard Berry 91%
other assorted candidates 9%


South Dakota Republican Presidential Primary 29 Delegates
Rand Paul 58% 17 Delegates
Susan Martinez 42% 12 Delegates

South Dakota Republican Senate Primary
Mike Rounds 90%
Other assorted candidates 10%

Delegate Counts (Up to and including May 19th)

Democrats (2,382 needed to win)
Russ Feingold 2499 Delegates (Presumptive Nominee)
Hillary Clinton 2253 Delegates*

Republicans (1237 needed to win)
Rand Paul 1153 Delegates
Susan Martinez  1137 Delegates
Ted Cruz* 152 Delegates  
Tim Scott* 25 Delegates
Charlie Baker* 4 Delegates
(I was off 6 delegates so I deducted 3 from both Martinez and Paul)
*(Suspended Campaign)


Republican Primary National
Susan Martinez 50%(-)
Rand Paul 49%(-)
Undecided 1%(-)

-President Hillary Clinton suspends her campaign endorsing Presumptive Democratic nominee Russ Feingold for President.

Final Maps

Democratic Primary
()


Republican Primary
()

Next up conventions, remainder of primary's and VP picks.

Prediction: Cruz releases his delegates to vote for Rand

Loving the timeline. Rooting for Paul to take it all the way.

The morning after

With Russ Feingold the presumptive Democratic nominee and the GOP nomination set to go to a historic brokered convention. Pundits begin to release their first forecast maps, while the campaigns themselves are scrambling to choose their running mates.

Russ Feingold rumored running mate short list  (listed by betting market %)
Senator Cory Booker 31
Senator Katie McGinty 24
Senator Kamala Harris 17
Vice President Tim Kaine 9
Treasury Secretary Patty Murray 6


Rand Paul rumored running mate short list  (listed by betting market %)
Senator Shelley Moore Capito 35
Senator Cathy McMorris Rodgers 31
Former Governor  Nikki Haley 13
Senator Brian Sandoval 9

Susan Martinez rumored running mate short list  (listed by betting market %)
Senator John Thune 31
Governor Cory Gardner 25
Former Senator Rob Portman 16
Governor Charlie Baker 11

Polling Average June 5th
Russ Feingold 40%
Susan Martinez 37%
Donald Trump/Jim Webb 11%
Undecided/other 12%

Russ Feingold 40%
Rand Paul 35%
Donald Trump/Jim Webb 8%
Undecided/other 17%

(I will have maps up soon)

90% Strong
60% Likley
30% Lean
Green Tossup


Russ Feingold vs Susan Martinez

()

Democratic 231 EV
Republican 206 EV
Tossup 101 EV

Russ Feingold vs Rand Paul
()

Democratic 265 EV
Republican 164 EV
Tossup 109 EV

Senate Match-ups and ratings

Edit.Forgot to add the Nevada special election.

Alabama
 Martha Roby (R) vs Bobby Bright (D) (Jeff Sessions retiring) (Safe R)

Alaska
Dan Sullivan (I) (R) vs Byron Mallott (D) (Lean R)

Arkansas
Tom Cotton (I) (R) vs Conner Eldridge (D) (Safe R)

Colorado
 Cynthia Coffman (I) (R) vs Ed Perlmutter (D) (Tossup)

Delaware
 Chris Coons (I) (D) vs Tom Kovach (R) (Safe D)

Georgia
David Perdue (I) (R) vs Jason Carter (D) (Tossup)

Idaho
Raúl Labrador (R) vs Jerry Brady (D)  (Jim Risch Retiring) (Safe R)

Illinois
 Mark Kirk (I) (R) vs Daniel Biss (D) (Tossup)

Iowa
Joni Ernst (I) (R) vs Kevin McCarthy (D) (Lean R)

Kansas
Mike Pompeo (R) vs Chad Taylor (D) (Safe R) (Pat Roberts Retiring)

Kentucky
 Thomas Massie (I) (R) vs Andy Beshear (D) (Lean R)

Louisiana
Top two primary results: Bill Cassidy (I) (R) 45% John Bel Edwards (D) 42% other 13% (Runoff Tossup)

Maine
Susan Collins (I) (R) vs Emily Cain (D) (Likley R)

Massachusetts
Ed Markey (I) (D) vs Gabriel Gomez (R) (Likley D)

Michigan
Gary Peters (I) (D) vs Bill Schuette (R) (lean D)

Minnesota
Al Franken (I) (D) vs Erik Paulsen (R) (lean D)

Mississippi
Phil Bryant (R) vs Brandon Presley (D) (Likley R) (Thad Cochran retiring)

Montana
Steve Daines (I) (R) vs Steve Bullock (D) (Tossup)

Nebraska
Ben Sasse (I) (R) vs Steve Lathrop (D) (Safe R)

Nevada (special)
Mark Amodie (I) (R) vs Ruben Kithuen (D) (Tossup)

New Hampshire
Jeanne Shaheen (I) (D) vs Chris Sununu (R) (Tossup)

New Jersey
Cory Booker (I) (D) vs Tom Kean (D) (likely D)

New Mexico
Tom Udall (I) (D)  vs Richard Berry (R) (likely D)

Continued on next post

North Carolina
Thom Tillis (I) (R) vs Kay Hagan (D) (Tossup)

Oklahoma
Jim Inhofe (I) (R) vs Dan Boren (D) (likely R)

Oregon
Jeff Merkley (I) (D) vs Greg Walden (R) (lean D)

Rhode Island
Jack Reed (I) (D) vs Scott Avedisian (R) (Safe D)

South Carolina
Lindsey Graham (I) (R) vs Vincent Sheheen (D) (likely R)

South Dakota
Mike Rounds (I) (R) vs Jason Frerichs (D) (Safe R)

Tennessee
Lamar Alexander (I) (R) vs Roy Herron (D) (Safe R)

Texas
Katrina Pierson (R) vs Ivy Taylor (D) (Tossup) (John Cornyn defeated in primary)

Virginia
Mark Warner (I) (D) vs Barbara Comstock (R) (Tossup)

West Virginia
Shelley Moore Capito (I) (R) vs Jeff Kessler (D) (Safe R)

Wyoming
Mike Enzi (I) (R) vs Mike Massie (D) (Safe R)

Governor Match-ups and ratings

Delaware
John Carney (I) (D) vs Daniel Short (R) (Safe D)

Indiana
John R. Gregg (I) (D) vs Susan Brooks (R) (Tossup)

Missouri
Chris Koster (I) (D) vs Ann Wagner (R) (Tossup)

Montana
Linda McCulloch (D) vs Ryan Zinke (R) (lean R)

New Hampshire
Colin Van Ostern (I) (D) vs Frank Edelblut (likely D)

North Carolina
Anthony Foxx (D) vs Dan Forest (R) (Tossup) (Roy Cooper Retiring)

North Dakota
Doug Burgum (I) (R) vs Marvin Nelson (D) (Safe R)

Utah
Spencer Cox (R) vs Ben McAdams (D) (likely R)

Vermont
Sue Minter (I) (D) vs Phil Scott (R) (Tossup)

Washington
Dave Reichert (R) 25%
Steve Litzow (R) 23%
Bob Ferguson (D) 20%
Dow Constantine (D) 18%
Aaron Reardon (D) 11%
Other 2%

Dave Reichert (R) vs Steve Litzow (R) Safe R-lean Reichert

Another disaster for Democrats in a top two primary. With the combined effect of the similar disaster in 2018 in California and the 2016 Washington Treasure race, a renewed push is made to abolish the top two primary system.    

West Virginia
Jim Justice (I) (D) vs David McKinley (R) (Tossup)

Cooper retiring? Could this mean Feingold/Cooper 2020?

It's possible however the pundits and betting markets  seem to view it as unlikely based on the leaked short list.

Of course, in OTL, betting markets didn't think Pence would be the VP pick just two weeks before he was, and look where he is now.

Republican National Convention 2020
Pittsburgh Pennsylvania August 17-20 2020

()

all times eastern (prime time speaking slots)
Day 1 August 17: Opening Night
8 PM:  Michigan Governor Justin Amash (endorsing Rand Paul)
8:33 PM: Nevada Senator Brian Sandoval (endorsing Susan Martinez)
9:06 PM: Utah Senator Mike Lee (endorsing Rand Paul)
9:39 PM: House Speaker Paul Ryan (endorsing Susan Martinez)
10:12 PM: Kelley Paul (Rand Paul's spouse and perspective First Person)
10:45 PM: Chuck Franco (Susan Martinez spouse and perspective First Person)
10:48: Convention adjourned (roll call the next day)

Day 2
1 PM: Rand Paul announces Cathy McMorris Rodgers as his running mate, minutes later Susan Martinez announces Rob Portman as her running mate.

1:33 PM: Ted Cruz formally nominates Rand Paul.

1:55 PM: Charlie Baker formally nominates Susan Martinez.

2:17 PM: Tim Scott formally nominates Rob Portman as Vice President

2:41 PM: Joni Ernst formally nominates Cathy McMorris Rodgers for Vice President

3:31 PM: Roll call ends with the following results
Rand Paul  1289 Delegates
Susan Martinez 1167 Delegates
Abstain/Other 12 Delegates  

Rand Paul is nominated as the Republican Presidential Nominee

4:45 PM VP Roll call
Cathy McMorris Rodgers 1499
Rob Portman 950 Delegates
Abstain/Other 19 Delegates

Cathy McMorris Rodgers is nominated as the Republican Vice Presidential Nominee


------------
Prime-time Speaking slot
8 PM: South Carolina Senator Tim Scott
8:33 PM: Massachusetts Governor Charlie Baker
9:06 PM: Texas Senator Ted Cruz
9:39 PM: Idaho Senator and Senate Majority leader  Mike Crapo
10:12 PM: Former Ohio Senator Rob Portman
10:45 PM: New Mexico Senator Susan Martinez (concession speech, call the party to rally behind Paul/Rodgers)
10:48: Convention adjourned


Day three
Prime-time Speaking slot
8 PM: West Virginia Senator Shelley Moore Capito
8:33 PM: Illinois Senator Mark Kirk
9:06 PM: Colorado Governor Cory Gardner  
9:39 PM: Kentucky Senator Thomas Massie
10:12 PM:    Brian Rodgers (Cathy McMorris Rodgers spouse, introduces Cathy McMorris Rodgers )  
10:45 PM: Cathy McMorris Rodgers (Republican Vice Presidential nominee)
10:48: Convention adjourned

Day four
7:50 PM: Maryland Governor Larry Hogan  
8:23 PM:Georgia Senator David Perdue
8:54 PM:Maine Senator Susan Collins
9:29 PM: North Carolina Senator Thom Tillis
10:02 PM: Former Rep. Ron Paul (Introducing son Rand Paul)
10:32 PM: Rand Paul (Republican Presidential nominee
11:12 PM: Convention adjourned

Democratic National Convention 2020
Phoenix Arizona  August 24-27 2020

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Russ Feingold announces Pennsylvania Senator Katie McGinty as his running mate 3 days before the start of the convention.
all times eastern (prime time speaking slots)
Day 1 August 17: Opening Night
8 PM: Ohio Senator Sherrod Brown
8:33 PM: Secretary of Transportation and North Carolina Governor nominee Anthony Foxx
9:06 PM: Former Senator and Cabinet Secretary Tammy Baldwin
9:39 PM: Minority House leader Steny Hoyer
10:12 PM: Former Vice President Al Gore
10:45 PM: Christine Ferdinand (Russ Feingold's  spouse and perspective First Person)
11:48: Convention adjourned (roll call the next day)

Day 2
2 PM: Elizabeth Warren formally nominates Russ Feingold for President
2:25 PM: Joe Manchin formally nominates Katie McGinty for President
3:45 PM:Roll Call ends,
Russ Feingold 2092 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 1876 Delegates
Russ Feingold nominated as Presidential nominee

4:05 PM: Katie McGinty nominated as Vice Presidential nominee by voice vote.

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8 PM: Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren
8:33 PM: Former Vice President Joe Biden
9:06 PM: Former Senator Bernie Sanders
9:39 PM: New York Senator and Senate Minority leader Chuck Schumer
10:12 PM: Former President Bill Clinton
10:45 PM: President Hillary Clinton
11:48: Convention adjourned

Day Three (prime time speaking slots)
8 PM: Minnesota Governor Mark Dayton  
8:33 PM: DNC chair and New York Governor Andrew Cuomo    
9:06 PM: Vice President Tim Kaine
9:39 PM: Arizona Senator Ann Kirkpatrick
10:12 PM: Karl Hausker (Katie McGinty spouse, introduces Katie McGinty)
10:45 PM: Katie McGinty (Vice Presidential nominee)
11:48: Convention adjourned (roll call the next day)

Day Four (prime time speaking slots)
7:50 PM:Former North Carolina Senator Kay Hagen
8:23 PM:Former Georgia State Senator Jason Carter (running for senate)
8:54 PM:Missouri Senator Jason Kander
9:29 PM: Former President Barack Obama
10:02 PM: Dena Feingold (Russ Feingold's sister, introducing Russ Feingold)
10:32 PM: (Russ Feingold Democratic Presidential nominee)
11:14 PM: Convention adjourned

Voted option 5 upon finding out Good Boy Roy was not Veep.

September 9th Polling Update

Russ Feingold 43% (+3)
Rand Paul 41% (+6)
Donald Trump/Jim Webb 7% (-1)
Undecided/other 9% (-8)

90% Strong
60% Likley
30% Lean
Green Tossup

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Russ Feingold 224EV
Rand Paul 207 EV
Tossup 107 EV

Support or oppose Western Free Trade Deal (WFTD)?
Support 43%
Oppose 40%
Undecided 17%

Support or oppose a Constitutional Convention?
Support 55%
Oppose 30%
Undecided 15%

The Debates

Presidential Debate #1-September 22end

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Donald Trump is not include in the first Presidential Debate for failing to reach the 15% polling thresh hold.

The debate is largely seen as a draw, with neither candidate having any significant stand out moments positively or negatively.  

Debate winner
Tie 40%
Russ Feingold 33%
Rand Paul 27%

Vice Presidential Debate October 6th
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 Katie McGinty delivers a solid performance in the VP debate, giving the Feingold/McGinty ticket a minor boost in the polls.

Debate winner
Katie McGinty 55%
Cathy McMorris Rodgers 38%
Tie 7%

Second Presidential Debate October 10th
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In the Second Presidential debate, Rand Paul is seen as edging out Russ Feingold. While many of Feingolds answers are seen as good, Paul is better able to articulate them to a mass audience.
Debate winner
Rand Paul 45%
Russ Feingold 31%
Tie 14%

Third Presidential Debate October 20th
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The third Presidential debate proved to be the break through that many Paul supporters had hoped for. Paul came across as incredibly knowledgeable and articulate on foreign policy, outshining Russ Feingold much of the night.
Debate winner poll
Rand Paul 59%
Russ Feingold 30%
Tie 11%
 

November 2end Polling Averages

Rand Paul 47% (+6)
Russ Feingold 45% (+2)
Donald Trump/Jim Webb 5% (-2)
Undecided/other 3% (-6)

90% Strong
60% Likley
30% Lean
Green Tossup

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Rand Paul 217 EV
Russ Feingold 214 EV
Tossup  107 EV


Support or oppose Western Free Trade Deal (WFTD)?
Support 48% (+5)
Oppose 44% (+3)
Undecided 8% (-9)

Support or oppose a Constitutional Convention?
Support 62% (+7)
Oppose 34% (+4)
Undecided 4% (-11)

Senate
90% Strong
60% Likley
30% Lean
Green Tossup
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Republicans 53 Seats (8 Tossup seats held)
Democrats 47 Seats   (4 Tossup seats held)

Governor
90% Strong
60% Likley
30% Lean
Green Tossup
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Washington is likely Reichert

Next up: A very late and hopefully entertaining election night.

Shame you edited it. I was looking forward to dictator for life Roy Cooper.

*Crosses fingers* please don't let this be a last second Feingold wank

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Good evening and welcome to election night 2020, tonight we have both a competitive Presidential race and a tight battle for Senate control. We will also be following two important non binding referendums tonight on trade and a constitutional convention.  With it being 7 PM on the East coast we have polls closing in 6 states (Indiana, Kentucky, South Carolina, Vermont, Georgia and the critical battle ground of Virginia). Lets head over for some live projections.

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First up we can project Indiana, Kentucky and South Carolina for Rand Paul, meanwhile Vermont goes for Wisconsin Senator Russ Feingold. Georgia is too early to call with Virginia too close to call. Going down ballot we can project Lindsey Graham is Re-elected Senator from South Carolina. In Kentucky the Senate race is too early to call, and in Virginia and Georgia the race is too close to call. Both Indiana's and Vermont Governors races are too close to call.

Lets look at some live results

Indiana President 100%
Rand Paul 51%
Russ Feingold 40%
Donald Trump 7%
Other 2%

Indiana Governor 11%
Susan Brooks 52%
John R. Gregg (I) 45%
Other 3%

Kentucky President 100%
Rand Paul 53%
Russ Feingold 37%
Donald Trump 8%
Other 2%

Kentucky Senate 16%
Andy Beshear 52%
Thomas Massie (I) 48%

South Carolina President 100%
Rand Paul 52%
Russ Feingold 40%
Donald Trump 8%
Other 1%

South Carolina Senate 100%
Lindsey Graham (I) 56%
Vincent Sheheen 44%

Vermont President 100%
Russ Feingold 59%
Rand Paul 35%
Donald Trump 4%
Other 2%

Vermont Governor 1%
Phil Scott  50%
Sue Minter (I) 44%
Other 6%

Georgia President 1%
Rand Paul 70%
Russ Feingold 23%
Donald Trump 6%
Other 1%

Georgia Senate 1%
David Perdue (I) 68%
Jason Carter 28%
Other 3%

Virginia President 2%
Rand Paul 51%
Russ Feingold 37%
Donald Trump 10%
Other 2%

Virginia Senate 2%
Barbara Comstock 58%
Mark Warner (I) 40%
Other 2%

( I will do a new up to date map every hour of coverage and then from (9 PM EST after every projection)
---------------------------
It is now 7:30 PM EST and polls have closed in three more states including the crucial battle ground of Ohio, as well as West Virginia and North Carolina.

Lets get to some projections now.
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First up we can project that Senator Rand Paul will win the state of West Virginia. North Carolina and Ohio are too close to call. Down ballot we can project that Shelley Moore Capito will be re-elected Senator from West Virginia. The Senate race in North Carolina is too close to call along with the Governor race in both North Carolina and West Virginia. 

Let's get to some live results now:

West Virginia President 100%
Rand Paul 59%
Russ Feingold 29%
Donald Trump 11%
Other 1%

West Virginia Senate 100%
Shelley Moore Capito 64%
Jeff Kessler 33%
Other 3%


West Virginia Governor 1%
Jim Justice (I) 52%
David McKinley 46%
Other 2%

Ohio President 1%
Russ Feingold 53%
Rand Paul 42%
Donald Trump 4%
Other 1%

North Carolina President 1%
Rand Paul 53%
Russ Feingold 38%
Donald Trump 7%
Other 2%


North Carolina Senate 1%
Thom Tillis (I) 54%
Kay Hagan 44%
Other 2%

North Carolina Governor 1%
Dan Forest 55%
Anthony Foxx  43%
Other 2%

Green are states yet to be called.

President
()
Rand Paul 33 EV
Russ Feingold 3 EV


Senate
()
Democrats 36 Seats
Republicans 31 seats


Governors
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Lose to see this get resumed

It is 8 PM Est with polls closing in 17 states (Connecticut, Delaware, Washington DC, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey,Tennessee, Alabama, Illinois, Mississippi, Missouri, Oklahoma; and the crucial battle grounds of Florida, Maine, New Hampshire, and Pennsylvania.

()
Lets head over to some live projections now. We can project Alabama, Mississippi, Tennessee, Oklahoma, and Missouri for Senator Rand Paul.  Meanwhile we can project Connecticut, Delaware, Washington DC, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey, Illinois and ME-1 Congressional District for Senator Russ Feingold. ME-2 Congressional District is too early to call, while Maine, New Hampshire, Florida and Pennsylvania are too close to call.

Down ballot we go, we can make the following senate projections: Rep. Martha Roby is elected in Alabama,  Senator Chris Coons is re-elected in Delaware, Senator Susan Collins  is re-elected in Maine, Senator Ed Markey is re-elected in Massachusetts, Former Governor Phil Bryant is elected in Mississippi, Senator Cory Booker is re-elected in New Jersey, Senator Jim Inhofe is re-elected in Oklahoma, Senator Jack Reed is re-elected in Rhode Island and Lamar Alexander is re-elected in Tennessee. Illinois is too close to call.

In the Governors races, we can projected incumbent Governor John Carney  is re-elected in Delaware, New Hampshire is too early to call, and Missouri is too close to call. 

I simply don't have time to go through everything in this timeline hour by hour, but still wanted to give a proper conclusion to something I have been working on for almost a year so I will post the final results below and an epilogue afterwards

President
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Rand Paul 337 EV 49%
Russ Feingold 207 EV 45%
Donald Trump 0 EV 5%

Senate
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Republicans 51 Seats  (-2)
Democrats 49 Seats (+2)

Governor
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Reichert wins in Washington State.