Talk Elections

Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion => Gubernatorial/State Elections => Topic started by: I Will Not Be Wrong on June 29, 2016, 03:26:34 PM



Title: McCrory VS Trump
Post by: I Will Not Be Wrong on June 29, 2016, 03:26:34 PM
I say McCrory, I think he will win re election, while I think Drumpf may end up losing North Carolina.


Title: Re: McCrory VS Trump
Post by: Heisenberg on June 29, 2016, 03:32:40 PM
Gov. McCrory and Sen. Burr will both narrowly won reelection, I think. Trump will probably end up losing North Carolina.


Title: Re: McCrory VS Trump
Post by: President Johnson on June 29, 2016, 03:48:39 PM
Hard to to tell, roughly equal. Both will win the state.


Title: Re: McCrory VS Trump
Post by: Mike Thick on June 29, 2016, 03:54:28 PM
I imagine it will be McCrory. McCrory/Johnson or even McCrory/Clinton voters aren't exceedingly difficult to imagine (disaffected Republicans), and although the inverse is likely to happen to some extent I imagine there will be more of the former than Cooper/Trump crossovers.

It's very possible, though, that both of them lose.


Title: Re: McCrory VS Trump
Post by: Xing on June 30, 2016, 12:48:28 AM
Unless McCrory's record fades into the background, I can't see him doing significantly better than Trump. I'm not sure there'd be more McCrory/Clinton voters than Cooper/Trump voters. Both races are toss-ups for now.


Title: Re: McCrory VS Trump
Post by: Kingpoleon on June 30, 2016, 11:28:33 PM
I picture quite a few Johnson/Cooper voters and even some NeverTrump neoconservative or independents who vote Clinton/Cooper who otherwise might not.

TL;DR: Hopefully Trump.


Title: Re: McCrory VS Trump
Post by: Coolface Sock #42069 on July 05, 2016, 07:01:34 PM
Why does everyone seem to think McCrory will run ahead of Trump?


Title: Re: McCrory VS Trump
Post by: Heisenberg on July 05, 2016, 07:58:44 PM
Why does everyone seem to think McCrory will run ahead of Trump?
Probably people who think there are more #NeverTrump Republicans in North Carolina than there are? That's the only thing I can come up with.


Title: Re: McCrory VS Trump
Post by: Senator Spark on July 25, 2016, 01:33:25 AM
About equal


Title: Re: McCrory VS Trump
Post by: Tartarus Sauce on July 27, 2016, 10:28:50 AM
Their performance within NC are inextricably linked. If one of them fails, so will the other. Burr is the only one that has the potential to run somewhat ahead of either, but even his fate is dependent on their performance. NC has some of the most competitive topline tickets of the entire 2016 election.


Title: Re: McCrory VS Trump
Post by: windjammer on July 27, 2016, 10:38:50 AM
Their performance within NC are inextricably linked. If one of them fails, so will the other. Burr is the only one that has the potential to run somewhat ahead of either, but even his fate is dependent on their performance. NC has some of the most competitive topline tickets of the entire 2016 election.
This.
I definitely can see some HRC-Mccrory and Trump-Cooper voters, I think in the end they will have the same score (approximately  <0.5%).
Regarding Burr, I think he can survive unless HRC wins this state by more than 2 points.


Title: Re: McCrory VS Trump
Post by: Miles on July 28, 2016, 12:51:13 AM
Their performance within NC are inextricably linked. If one of them fails, so will the other. Burr is the only one that has the potential to run somewhat ahead of either, but even his fate is dependent on their performance. NC has some of the most competitive topline tickets of the entire 2016 election.
This.
I definitely can see some HRC-Mccrory and Trump-Cooper voters, I think in the end they will have the same score (approximately  <0.5%).
Regarding Burr, I think he can survive unless HRC wins this state by more than 2 points.

Yes, anecdotally I can say these types exist, mostly in suburban Charlotte, though probably fewer elsewhere. And yes, there are still some in eastern NC and the sandhills who will vote for Trump but then the rest of the Democrats downballot.


Title: Re: McCrory VS Trump
Post by: Fuzzy Bear on July 30, 2016, 04:28:23 PM
I say McCrory, I think he will win re election, while I think Drumpf may end up losing North Carolina.

McCrory will do worse; he'll be seen as a guy that cost North Carolina money by pushing an issue that didn't need pushing.



Title: Re: McCrory VS Trump
Post by: Intell on July 30, 2016, 09:07:56 PM
TRUMP will easily do better.