Talk Elections

This will be the new thread for the upcoming New York City mayoral election, 2017. The primaries will be held in September 2017 and the general election in November 2017. Already, 1 Republican has announced that he would run against Mayor Bill de Blasio, who was seen as a progressive hero next to Elizabeth Warren:

Real estate developer Paul Massey. He could be formidable. Handsome, rich, centrist Republican. He could play well in the outerboroughs (Queens, Brooklyn).

http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/08/developer-paul-massey-will-run-for-mayor-in-2017.html

Another "Republican" that could run and make inroads with African Americans and Latinos is legendary Harlem, Manhattan reverend Calvin Butts. Butts could do well with business Republicans.

http://nypost.com/2016/07/19/harlem-pastor-considering-run-for-mayor/

For the Democrats, former HUD Secretary and current Budget Director Shaun Donovan may be challenging De Blasio in the Democratic primary:

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/shaun-donovan-new-york-mayor-226778

Other Democrats that could run include former City Council Speaker Christine Quinn, City Comptroller Scott Stringer, and Congressman Hakeem Jeffries, along with Bronx Borough President Ruben Diaz and Public Advocate Letitia James.

http://observer.com/2016/06/anti-de-blasio-poll-stringer-could-beat-mayor-in-democratic-primary-matchup/

Is Massey similar to Lindsay?

Massey sees himself like Mike Bloomberg. Socially liberal, fiscally conservative. He's a centrist, I suppose. However, Staten Island conservatives are socially conservative. I don't know if he'll do well. He's just like Joe Lhota, the 2013 GOP nominee that lost to De Blasio. He may be more appealing than Lhota, however.

Isn't she too busy being Bloomberg's butler these days? Its because of her he got a third term in 2009 which he didn't deserve. She ain't going nowhere this time either.


Uh, if he's the best we've got, I'm sticking with di Blasio. I'm still mad he defeated Eliot Spitzer last time.

Come on Dov Hikind, this is your chance!

Dov Hikind is the worst the Jewish-American community has to offer.  The man is an absolute disgrace.

Explain. To me, he's tough, bold.

Dov Hikind would literally be the greatest choice for Mayor.

Somehow I doubt that.

I was being semi-sarcastic when I said he should run but calling him the Jewish Al Sharpton is harsh.

I mean ignoring his general bigotry, endorsement of Trump, support for people who commit hate crimes against Muslims, the fact that he dressed up in blackface for a party, has said gay marriage will lead to "incest and beastality," his corruption (pretty sure he was actually indicted at one point), and his support for racial profiling, there's also the fact that hid evidence of over 1,000 cases of sexual abuse at orthodox Yeshivas in NYC.

Wow. That is shocking to say the least.

He must be the only Democrat in the country to have endorsed Trump.

Not everyone has to agree with gay marriage.

Don't worry, we got Lieberman coming too.

rofl lmao terrific!

Good, you can keep him.

Lol, Bo Dietl is running.

It appears Darren Dione Aquino is running as well. (both Republicans). Anyone know who that is?

Bo Dietl is a gross D list celebrity. Di Blasio will win again if this is the best the opposition can do. And he should, cause I think he's a great Mayor. Not as great as Guiliani, but still great enough.

No I've never heard of Aquino. Oddly enough I just learned what Lumpia was this week, and with the events in Davao City tonight, the Philippines has never been more relevant.

Unless there's a strong primary challenge, De Blasio should win.

If you want to win election in a major Northeastern city in the present day you do.

+100. Bloomberg did win elections in NYC as Republican, but as very moderate (in fact - liberal) pro-choice, pro-SSM Republican. No socially conservative Republican needs to apply... Just as pro-choice and pro-SSM Democrat can't win gubernatorial election in Louisiana or Mississippi.

JBE is anti-choice, but he isn't exactly anti-SSM.

But not especially pro-SSM either. He accepts Supreme Court decision on it, but wouldn't vote for it as legislator, for example...

No, not everyone has to agree, but saying gay marriage will lead to "incest and bestiality" is pretty bad. Interesting that you focus on that while ignoring the rest of Hikind's awfulness.

Also, everyone has to agree with gay marriage if they want to be Mayor of New York.

This is also true. And if you want to win in Utah, you can't fundraise off of mocking Mormons (something that actually happened recently).

Mayor De Blasio could face a tough primary challenge from Brooklyn Congressman Hakeem Jeffries, who's a pretty good congressman and is seen as the "Barack Obama/Cory Booker" of New York.

The NYPD still has Eric Garner's killer, the police officer Daniel Pantaleo of Staten Island on the payroll. De Blasio could lose some black and Latino support for that if Pantaleo is not off the police force by September 2017. The primary is a year from now.

If Jeffries runs, this could be a significant problem that De Blasio faces. That cop should be in jail, for choking Garner like that. However, Staten Island is pro-cop, so it can hurt De Blasio or Jeffries in Staten Island.

http://www.amny.com/news/nypd-cop-in-eric-garner-s-death-earns-overtime-pay-hakeem-jeffries-calls-for-probe-1.12315714

However, who would Staten Island Democrats vote for in a primary between De Blasio and Jeffries? De Blasio barely won Staten Island in the 2013 primary against Bill Thompson and Christine Quinn.

Eh..she'd be okay I guess, but her campaign could cause racial unrest in NYC. He'd take a lot of black and Latino votes away from him. I don't think NYC can afford that. Both the police and the Black Lives Matter protesters needs to get their act together.

Lieberman has endorsed Hillary Clinton, as befitting a neocon of his stripe.

Hikind's only a Democrat because (A) of the registration of his district, and (B) because of the permanent majority NY's Democrats enjoy in the NY State Assembly.  Why they don't strip him of his seniority and committee assignments is beyond me, and they may do that next year. 

There's no way Hikind could get the Democratic nomination for Mayor, absent a widely split Democratic Primary.  He'd be the Jewish Mario Procaccino if he were the Democratic nominee.  If he were a candidate of, say, New York's Independence Party and were well funded, he might win in a crowded field, but that's not likely, either.  The real issue is how long the Democratic Party will put up with Hikind.

That's not going to happen.

You severely misunderstand both Joe Lieberman and neoconservatism in general. Anyway, while I don't think he's explicitly endorsed Trump, I do know Jim Justice has come out as #NeverHillary, so there's a decent second example.

I'm very excited for people like Tom Allon.

I kinda hope Calvin Butts will win because of his unfortunate name.

Lieberman's endorsement, I believe, had more to do with Trump's behavior towards McCain than anything else.

I'm an Independent. I like Hikind. I don't always agree with him, but he's tough on some issues. If Hikind ran for mayor as a Democrat to challenge De Blasio, he'd probably get 20% + of the Jewish vote in the outer-boroughs. He'd carry his area, though.

Dov Hikind would get my support for Mayor over almost any candidate. Ray Kelly, David Greenfield and Christine Quinn would be the only candidates I'd consider over him.

My only priority at this point is getting the vile, anti-Democratic De Blasio out of office, so I'm hoping for someone like Stringer or Jeffries to jump in. Not ideal candidates for me, but strong chance of unseating Billy Boy.

Eh..I like that he's tough. He fights for his constituents in Boro Park, Midwood.

The only candidates that could beat De Blasio in a primary is Christine Quinn or Scott Stringer. They can appeal to the outerborough voters in Queens, Staten Island. Queens assemblyman Andrew Hevesi, the son of former corrupt Comptroller Alan Hevesi, could win a primary as well.

If De Blasio wins reelection, he may want to run for Governor in 2018 or 2022. He won't do a Bloomberg and force a third term. He may want to be president as well, down the line.

Agreed. I love De Blaz more than anything, but I'd encourage my family to give Hikind a very strong look.

Right now I'm watching CNN. Christine Quinn is a good Democratic Party attack dog. She could make it a competitive race against De Blasio if she ran again. She could win Queens, Staten Island, and maybe even Brooklyn from De Blasio.

After the disaster De Blasio has been they may be willing to reconsider.  Joe Lhota could have done much better if he had come out against Stop N Frisk.  What an idiot.

John Catsimatidis is likely to run for Mayor against Bill de Blasio in 2017, but as a Republican. If things go awry, Cats could be a contender. He has a lot of charm.

http://www.nydailynews.com/new-york/catsimatidis-run-mayor-de-blasio-2017-article-1.2872287

lololololololol

A new poll shows that De Blasio would beat Christine Quinn, Scott Stringer, and Bronx Borough President Ruben Diaz, Jr. in a hypothetical Democratic primary. I think Quinn may run again. She could give him a challenge. Quinn leads with white voters with 27%. She would beat him in Staten Island and Queens.

Scott Stringer would win Staten Island 42%-27% over De Blasio in Staten Island. De Blasio is really unpopular on the Island. It went for President-elect Trump 57%-40%.

https://poll.qu.edu/new-york-city/release-detail?ReleaseID=2402

Taking out BdB likely requires bleeding his black/hispanic support in the primary. Quinn and Stringer aren't going to do that. Run up the margins in Staten Island all you want.

Quinnipiac polled this race and found that NYC voters did not think De Blasio deserved re-election by a 49-39% margin, they found that De Blasio is the favorite in a dem. primary but De Blasio leads Quinn 41-35 in a hypothetical GE matchup

De Blasio's "I don't care about 5th Avenue retailers" moment is yet another nail in the coffin of the worst Mayor in NYC history. Communists may make for appealing representatives where they can push fringe policies with little impact, but they make horrible executives.

I don't know why De Blasio would be bad or unpopular, but I'm on the Dov train for sure!

Too bad his first name isn't Seymour.

Dov could appeal to some conservative black voters in Brooklyn and Queens. De Blasio should have some primary challengers. The only Republican that could beat De Blasio is Cats or Eric Ulrich, who can appeal to outerborough ethnics.

Sen. Tony Avella is mulling a bid

Gross.

I like him. He's a white outer-borough ethnic. He may win some white moderates. What do you have against him?

http://www.qchron.com/editions/north/avella-considering-run-for-mayor/article_a55e945e-acf6-11e6-a55d-c323ccc5d277.html

Ohio Gov. John Kasich is endorsing and fundraising for Queens City Councilman Eric Ulrich, who seems likely to run for Mayor in NYC. If Ulrich runs, does the NYC Republicans keep his seat red? They are only 3 NYC Republicans in the City Council (Matteo, Borelli, and Ulrich). Borelli is a Trumpite and probably wanted to serve in Trump's administration, Ulrich wants to be mayor, and Matteo probably wants to be mayor as well someday, maybe in 2017.

http://observer.com/2016/12/john-kasich-fundraises-for-queens-councilmans-mayoral-run/

This will be a swing seat in the City Council. There will probably be a contentious Democratic primary. The district is heavily Italian, with a large Jewish, West Indian (mainly Guyanese) and Latino population. Interesting place.

http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/state-sen-tony-avella-takes-de-blasio-mayoral-race-article-1.2910979?cid=bitly

State Sen. Avella will run in a primary

Spike Lee should run for Mayor of New York ;)

Lol congrats Mayor de Blasio on winning your 2nd term.

Well, this just got interesting...

"Grand Juries Said to Hear Testimony on Inquiries Into de Blasio Fund-Raising"


http://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/15/nyregion/bill-de-blasio-investigation.html?_r=0

I like Tony Avella. He's tough, brash, and no nonsense, but appeals to outerborough ethnics, especially the Giuliani Democrats.

Avella, Albanese and Dietl could make things interesting in outerborough ethnic areas like Bay Ridge, Brooklyn, Bensonhurst, Brooklyn, Forest Hills, Queens, and Riverdale, Bronx. Yes, the black and Latino base in Central Brooklyn, Manhattan, and North Shore, Staten Island may help him win reelection, but his fundraising scandal may prove badly for him.

Christine Quinn and Scott Stringer may run against de Blasio. If that happens, then it would be Tossup.



http://nypost.com/2016/11/17/sal-albanese-hopes-to-run-for-mayor-for-the-fourth-time/

http://nypost.com/2016/12/14/bo-dietl-to-de-blasio-im-running-right-against-you-head-to-head/

Avella officially announced today. He's a outerborough white guy.

http://www.wnyc.org/story/avella-announces-mayoral-bid-front-symbolic-queens-site/

http://observer.com/2016/12/angry-white-guy-from-queens-now-running-to-oust-nyc-mayor-bill-de-blasio/

There's a lot of conservative areas in NYC, dude. Throgs Neck, Whitestone, Bay Ridge, Staten Island. Other than that, if Dietl can appeal to black and Latino voters, he could make it competitive.

Why would he be able to do that though? You have yet to offer a coherent argument

What are De Blasio's current approval ratings?

An NY1/Baruch College poll shows De Blasio has a 51 percent approval rating and a 36 percent disapproval rating, but he is very unpopular with white voters. (The Staten Island, Queens, City Island, Bronx white ethnics, and some disillusioned white liberal base voters.)

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/12/bill-de-blasio-trump-new-york-214513

http://www.ny1.com/nyc/all-boroughs/news/2016/12/12/poll-finds-slim-majority-of-new-yorkers-approve-of-mayor-as-he-positions-himself-against-trump-heading-into-election-year.html

City Comptroller Scott Stringer may run for mayor if De Blasio is indicted, the New York Post reports. Stringer could attract conservative Jews in Forest Hills, Queens, Bensonhurst, Brooklyn, etc. He'd have to attract black voters.


http://nypost.com/2016/12/21/stringer-says-hell-run-for-mayor-if-feds-indict-de-blasio/

http://www.newsmax.com/t/newsmax/article/766889?section=John-Gizzi&keywords=New-York-city-mayor-Bill-de-Blasio&year=2017&month=01&date=04&id=766889&aliaspath=%2FManage%2FArticles%2FTemplate-Main&oref=www.google.com

Hillary Clinton for mayor? Apparently she's being urged to consider.

From Presidency to Mayor???

She's never lived in the city and doesn't now. I don't think it would work, at least in the primaries, unless somehow she's already in the race with only de Blasio and Avella (lol) as the other candidates, and de Blasio gets indicted for one of the various nebulous corruption scandals a week before the primaries. Maybe I'm wrong, though. I do think she could clear the field of everyone except de Blasio and Avella.

She'd easily win a general election, but so would a fish (D) against the pathetic candidates like Ulrich the Republicans are putting up.

It's almost like she genuinely cares about serving the public.

If she ran and won it would be impressive, moving from carpetbagging statewide to carpetbagging in the city level. Maybe after that she could run for a State Senate seat in Buffalo.

I don't think Hillary Clinton will run for New York City mayor in 2017. Michael Bloomberg wanted her to run in 2013 after she left as Secretary of State. She may run for governor in 2018 if Cuomo is indicted for something. Her electoral political career is over, but she'll still be influential in the Democratic Party.

Ulrich is a competitive GOP candidate, if he runs. He could win Queens from De Blasio, if De Blasio is in trouble this year. His base, Howard Beach, Breezy Point, etc. did not turn out in 2013 because they were not enthused with Joe Lhota, the former Giuliani protege. Another Republican that could make it competitive is Paul Massey or Ray Kelly, the former NYPD commissioner. He'd win Queens, Staten Island, and even make Brooklyn competitive if De Blasio's poll numbers are declining. However, De Blasio is still favored to win reelection.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P3oN932tl5I
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bik4nlHRN7c
(These are videos I found of Howard Beach, Queens, for some who don't know of the Republican stronghold).

https://www.k2intelligence.com/en/people/professionals/Kelly-W-Raymond

She isn't going to run but if she did she would easily win.  Bill too.  So what if they don't live in NYC?  The Clinton Foundation is there.  That's where they operate.

My first thought on this is "wow, I would feel so bad for her if she lost 😕"

Mayor Hillary Clinton.

I don't know who would be worse. Her or DeBlasio?

Endorsed enthusiastically, if it gets Billy Boy out of there before he can parlay this into a Presidential race and push the Overton Window further.

Endorsement for Clinton from...The New York Post?

Editorial Board: "New York City needs Hillary Clinton to run for mayor"

http://nypost.com/2017/01/06/new-york-city-needs-hillary-clinton-to-run-for-mayor/

this pretty much, #neverdeblasio

Endorsed.

So the NY Post and all the forum Republicans are endorsing her?  That tells you all you need to know about where she stands politically.

Bahahaha

Stop it. She is a liberal. You make it sound like she is a hardcore conservative.

I'd worry about her chances in the primary, but I can't say I wouldn't be excited for a Mayor Clinton.

No, I understand that just fine. She'll get crushed in the 2020 primary if she tries, but she can be useful in the meantime.

yes, which is why her people leaked to the New York City beacons of progressive journalism, like Newsmax and the New York Post.

This is a troll job done by tabloids (seriously, people are gonna quote Newsmax like it's a legit thing??) that respectable publications are giving way too much attention to.

Go DeBlasio!

I will find it hilarious... or should I say "Hillaryous" if Hillary actually runs and wins. I don't see why she'd run, though, unless this is actually the job she wants. It's not like she'd actually get anywhere if she tried to run for president again.

Maybe Gore, Kerry, Dukakis, Romney, Mondale, and Dole can also run?

lol you realize we only want her to win this race because we hate de blasio, right? I dislike Hillary, but she's nowhere near as irritating to me as de blasio.

That's my point.

GOP mayoral candidate Paul Massey looks like he may have the most money out of the GOP field (next to Catsimidatis if he runs for mayor). That could potentially scare off Eric Ulrich from running for mayor in 2017. However, Ulrich has some of the NY GOP establishment behind him (he has 2013 mayoral nominee Joe Lhota's support). However, Lhota couldn't even inspire Republicans to turn out enough to vote for him.

http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/gop-mayoral-hopeful-paul-massey-raises-1-6m-months-article-1.2945921

http://nypost.com/2017/01/05/paul-masseys-mayoral-bid-backed-by-independence-party/

Quinnipiac NYC poll (1/11-1/17)

Clinton (I) vs. de Blasio (D)

Hillary Clinton (I) - 49%
Bill de Blasio (D) - 30%


Against other candidates running as Independents, de Blasio (D) leads:

44% - 34% over Quinn (I)
43% - 32% over Stringer (I)
43% - 28% over Diaz (I)
41% - 27% over Jeffries (I)
48% - 23% over Avella (I)

Hypothetical Democratic Primary (40% required to avoid runoff):

Bill de Blasio - 35%
Christine Quinn - 11%
Scott Stringer - 9%
Hakeem Jeffries - 8%
Ruben Diaz Jr. - 5%
Tony Avella - 1%

https://poll.qu.edu/new-york-city/release-detail?ReleaseID=2418

They didn't include Hillary in the Dem primary poll? I assume she would run as a Democrat

God help us if Hillary wins. But lol at the idea that she would run.

HAHAHA!!!!!

Hillary would actually win? She should totally go for it then.  


I assume that 61% to 29% dem number is probably as close as we're going to get for a match up.

God, please, you've intervened on our behalf once to stop this villain. Please do not let her destroy my hometown.

Its funny that Republicans hate Hillary enough that they would in theory support De Blasio if she ran against him in a two way race.

Hillary lost Staten Island to Trump in the presidential, but she would beat De Blasio on the Island in 2017. De Blasio's management skills probably doesn't fit S.I.

Scott Stringer, Hillary Clinton, Christine Quinn, Ruben Diaz, Jr. would beat him outright in Staten Island.
 
Clinton, Stringer, and Quinn would do well with the white Roman Catholic Italian and Irish voters there.

Diaz, Avella and Jeffries would win S.I. as well.

S.I. is seen as "too white and too conservative", but minorities like Jeffries and Diaz, Jr. would do well there. Interesting.

Staten Island is a borough to watch for this year in 2017.

I like Spike Lee. He'd be good in 2021. He should run for president in my opinion.

If De Blasio is indicted or anything, City Council Speaker Melissa Mark Viverito may run. She is a left-wing radical, born in Puerto Rico. She supported the FALN Oscar Lopez Rivera. That may be a big issue in the general election, however. Whoever the GOP nominates, Massey or Ulrich, may have to bring that up, but most New Yorkers don't remember the event.

http://nypost.com/2016/12/22/mark-viverito-doesnt-rule-out-running-for-mayor-in-2017/

Paul Massey looks like he is the GOP mayoral frontrunner. He has the $$$. He is a Bloombergesque Republican. A moderate Northeastern Republican. However, will he appeal to the law and order voters in Queens, Staten Island, Brooklyn? I don't think Joe Lhota will run again for mayor or office again.

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/30/nyregion/paul-massey-mayor-new-york.html?_r=0

Ulrich looks like he may be running, but he may want to run for reelection in a safe, conservative enclave seat. He can run for mayor in 2021 or 2025.

http://observer.com/2017/01/bill-de-blasios-top-republican-opponent-says-nyc-should-stay-a-sanctuary-city/

Are you kidding me

Hillary is popular in NYC. She'd beat Massey or Ulrich. She would probably even win some GOP enclaves. Massey probably shouldn't waste his money if Hillary is forced to run, or Stringer or Letitia James.

Massey would be a good GOP Senate candidate in 2018 or 2022, since Wendy Long looks like she is finished in NYS politics.

http://www.crainsnewyork.com/article/20160307/BLOGS04/160309912/longs-shot-against-schumer-could-pay-off

The NYT article suggests the Massey campaign will be a huge bailout for some expensive consultants. The amount he's shelling out for has-beens like Doug Schoen doesn't inspire confidence in his ability to run a lean, successful campaign.

Doug helped Bill Clinton win in 1992 and 1996, and Michael Bloomberg's presidential runs. I won't call him has-been.

That is literally the definition of a has-been.

The only way massey has any chance is if de blasio gets indicted

NYC Mayor De Blasio faced tough questions Friday for nearly five hours by prosecutors due to his fundraising corruption scandal. I don't know if he is going to be indicted, but if he is, it would be a big blow to the Democratic Party. His main GOP rival, frontrunner Paul Massey looks to be gaining steam on Staten Island, the most Republican borough in N.Y.C.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/feb/24/new-york-mayor-bill-de-blasio-corruption-federal-prosecutors

http://www.silive.com/news/index.ssf/2017/02/paul_massey_takes_his_message.html

You can't win NYC mayorality with Staten Island votes only, sure? You need Manhattan liberals (who gave Trump about 10% of vote), and a lot of minority vote too....

I know. For some reason, a NYC Republican can't be too conservative, only on S.I. and Queens. NYC should take a chance on new politics once in a while, but Massey is a moderate Republican.

Even Queens Republicans are not especially conservative, IMHO...

I would say both are but S.I. Republicans are more conservative. It'd be good to have a mayor that comes from originally from Staten Island one day.

New Quinnipiac NYC Poll: de Blasio bounces back, tops Dem field, buries GOP challenger

-de Blasio job approval: 50% - 42%
-de Blasio favorability: 51% - 40%
-Deserves reelection? 47% - 44%

Against Republican challenger Paul Massey: de Blasio +34

Bill de Blasio - 59%
Paul Massey - 25%

Hypothetical Democratic Primary:

Bill de Blasio - 43% (Clears the 40% runoff)
Christine Quinn - 14%
Scott Stringer - 10%
Ruben Diaz - 6%
Tony Avella - 2%

If those Democrats ran as Independents, de Blasio would lead:

45% - 34% over Quinn
46% - 31% over Diaz
49% - 32% over Stringer
54% - 25% over Avella

https://poll.qu.edu/new-york-city/release-detail?ReleaseID=2433

NYC Mayor Bill de Blasio on Track for Second Term  in a new NBC 4/Marist Poll (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/nycpolls/c170221_NBC4/NBC_4_NY_Marist%20Poll_NYC_Release_and_Tables_March%202017.pdf)

Hey, if Hillary couldn't be the first woman president, then she could always become New York's first female mayor.

They call it the second toughest job in the country. If she couldn't get the first...

I thought the first was Vice President.

Real New Yorkers love De Blasio. End of story. The white losers who come here from whatever God forsaken part of the country should not have the right to throw him out of power.

Let's see what noted white loser from whatever part of the country Preet Bharara has to say about De Blasio's future in politics before anything else happens.

Apparently there are posters all around. If she runs, then definitely this is only a stop gap arrangement till the Presidency. I mean Senate, SoS & then Mayor (even if it is NYC) ???

Apparently she will be doing a book tour this year promoting her new book & gauging the mood. I think her original idea of doing a Liberal TV Show & wait for 2020 was better than to to run for Mayor!

2020 field "Could" be weird - Clinton, Biden, Kerry, Sanders, Warren, Booker, Gillibrand, Cuomo, Castro, O Malley (None of these have ruled out a run ! )

If anyone would speak about "black losers" (somewhere) - wouldn't it be considered a racist talk?

There is so much wrong with this.

First, the "Clinton TV" story is only from Ed Klein, who will substantiate any BS rumor or apparition of the Clintons that he heard or conjured up in his odd little mind of his.

2nd, Clinton is not going to run in 2020. Any rational person can see her non-existent public profile suggests this, not to mention the fact that she probably/most likely would lose in the primary, now that the veneer of electability/inevitability is long gone

3rd, I would be willing to bet $1000 that neither Clinton nor Biden nor Kerry nor Sanders will run for President. Biden will be fine with his institutes, Kerry will enjoy the comfortable life of ex diplomat and Bernie will probably be in the senate till '24 and pass the flame to whoever he chooses in 2020.

No charges for NYC Mayor Bill de Blasio or his associates in fundraising investigation

()

Congrats on your reelection, Mayor de Blasio.

I guess all those people who boo the crap out of him every time he steps into queens and staten aren't real New Yorkers. I'd argue it's all the outsiders in Brooklyn and Manhattan that like him

RIP Staten Island Chuck

Likely De Blasio. If there is a race riot, or any cop fracas, it's game over for De Blasio. Ulrich or Massey gets the Giuliani voters plus $$$$$ from Jon Voight, Susan Lucci, etc. Poor Hillary Clinton, she may have to go back to private work.

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/16/nyregion/mayor-bill-de-blasio-investigation-no-criminal-charges.html

If he wins a second term, do you see him running for president or being the VP candidate?

Definitely not

He may run, but he won't win. And he won't be VP.

Anyone who thinks De Blasio can be on the 2020 ticket has never seen him campaign. The man drops the ball so often, it's lost its air.

Pre-scandal, maybe. Now, no chance.

In what way? He beat Christine Quinn, Anthony Weiner and Bill Thompson. He beat the mightiest of NYC politicians.

NYC politicians aren't really that talented of politicians... NYC politics has nothing on Chicago or most of the south, I'd argue FL politics are even rougher.

De Blasio still has political problems....he's very unpopular in Staten Island, the child welfare services, Daniel Pantaleo still has his police badge. Scott Stringer could still run.

Anywhere where the GOP might pick up a city council seat? Having 3/51 is pretty abysmal

Yes. Elizabeth Crowley could lose. James Vacca's vacant seat could go Republican.

Fixed it.

What makes you think Crowley could lose? She won by 17 points last time and why Vacca's seat. Granted he's term limited by why that seat?

IT'S ROCKY!!!

Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente is announcing tomorrow that he will run for NYC Mayor...as a Republican.


http://nypost.com/2017/03/22/millionaire-from-california-throwing-hat-into-mayoral-race/

When has New York had a mayor that hasn't been booed mercilessly?

Giuliani

The guy literally ran as a democrat for president...

Big news...Queens Republican City Councilman Eric Ulrich will not run for mayor in 2017. He is a John Kasich protege. He probably decided not to run because of Republican Paul Massey's money advantage. He could have a chance at running for mayor in 2021 or 2025. 

http://www.ny1.com/nyc/all-boroughs/politics/2017/03/20/queens-councilman-eric-ulrich-says-he-will-not-run-for-mayor.html

http://www.timesledger.com/stories/2017/12/web-ulrich_2017_03_24_q.html

Elizabeth Crowley (D-Queens-30) could lose this year in 2017 because of the fact that her area has a homeless shelter problem. The Maspeth-Middle Village area is a blue collar white outerborough part of Queens. Some of her voters, some registered Democrats, voted for Trump. Former Assemblywoman Margaret Markey lost a Democratic Assembly primary last September to Brian Barnwell because of Mayor de Blasio's plan for a homeless shelter in the Maspeth area. It has been revealed that Crowley knew about it. That could cost her job, despite being the cousin of Queens Democratic boss and Rep. Joe Crowley.

http://www.timesledger.com/stories/2016/38/markey_2016_09_16_q.html

http://www.timesledger.com/stories/2016/44/shelterrally_2016_10_28_q.html

N.Y.C. Republicans could pick up Council seats despite running in a anti-Trump/potential anti-Republican election environment because of the political environments in some of these districts. Some of these districts voted for Trump last year for president.

NYC Republicans could pick up:

District 13 (Vacca) **(Open Seat)**
District 30 (Crowley)
District 43 (Gentile) **(Open Seat)**

This is depressing.

Assemblywoman Nicole Malliotakis (R-Staten Island), a white ethnic Republican Greek woman, is considering running for mayor if businessman and fellow Greek, John Catsimidis decides not to run.

http://www.silive.com/news/2017/04/malliotakis_ill_run_for_mayor.html

Yes. The 2017 mayoral election is very sleepy. However, Bo Dietl could do better amongst Staten Islanders and other outerborough voters than Paul Massey, the traditional Republican. Massey is a moneybags wealthy Bloomberg/Romney candidate.

It's going to be a Massey vs. Dietl primary (if Dietl gets permitted to be on the ballot--needs 3/5 of GOP chairs to allow it).

If Dietl gets put on the ballot, here's how it's gonna play out:

1. Massey wins Republican votes in Manhattan (heavy wins in the Upper East Side for instance). Not many Republicans, but will be a big chunk of the GOP vote.

Massey likely wins Republican votes in other upper middle class pockets of the City that have some Republicans present like Forest Hills, Queens or the Northwest Bronx.

2. Dietl probably does well in Staten Island and parts of Queens like Middle Village and Maspeth as well as Howard Beach.

Wild cards:

1. Hasidim/Orthodox Jewish voters
2. Black and Latino Republicans in mostly Black or Latino communities--not many Republicans, but in the aggregate will be a chunk of the electorate
3. South Brooklyn mix of Irish, Italian, Jewish communities like Marine Park.

Dietl and Massey will tie for South Brooklyn votes. Bay Ridgeites will love Dietl. Marine Park folks will like Massey, they remind him of a blue collar boy who grew up and became fairly wealthy.

Massey does not know about some of the issues facing New Yorkers because he has been living in Westchester County. He'd best run for Westchester County Executive after Astorino in 2021 than for mayor.

http://www.nydailynews.com/opinion/call-mayoral-election-article-1.3015471

Black Republicans may go for Massey, Dietl has said some Trumpian things. However, Dietl is more charismatic than Massey. Massey is a Republican in the mold of Charlie Baker, Mitt Romney, and Michael Bloomberg, but centrist.

She'd easily be the best candidate for the GOP. Not that any of them will win but still

I don't doubt she would be the best candidate but i haven't really heard anything about her running other than a few news stories and I she might make it close but i don't think she'd win.

Malliotakis just announced she will be a candidate.

source please? and how likely is it she gets the nomination?

Malliotakis vs. De Blasio is Lean D. Malliotakis could do well with female voters in Queens--the ultimate swing voters in NYC.

Clarification: She has filed papers to run.

http://nypost.com/2017/04/25/nicole-malliotakis-files-papers-to-launch-bid-for-mayor/

Your commentary on this election has been a string of hilariously delusional and/or misinformed statements. I applaud your efforts at humor.

Can anyone explain why Rocky is running as a Republican?  I saw that someone said he apparently had private polls saying he would win the primary, but was that the only reason?

As someone who lives near NYC, I know some women that do not like De Blasio. That is why his approval ratings is mediocre. Female voters-middle class female voters are the swing vote in New York.

Billionaire businessman John Catsimatidis is considering running for mayor, will make a decision either tonight or early Monday morning, via Politico. Assemblywoman Nicole Malliotakis has vowed that she would withdraw from the mayoral election if Cats runs. Cats almost gave 2013 GOP mayoral nominee Joe Lhota a run. 


http://www.politico.com/states/new-york/city-hall/story/2017/04/28/catsimatidis-allies-urge-him-to-enter-mayors-race-see-easy-path-to-republican-nomination-111642

NYC Republicans don't want Bo Dietl around the city Republican Party. They call him toxic after some comments about New York City First Lady Chirlaine McCray De Blasio and other baggage from the past. Dietl may have more baggage than the person he voted for, President Trump.

http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/nyc-gop-leaders-show-no-support-bo-dietl-mayoral-candidacy-article-1.3135051

http://www.nydailynews.com/new-york/bo-dietl-accused-pulling-journalist-private-info-fox-execs-article-1.3096379

He says that Paul Massey is a white bread establishment country club Republican candidate. He is. He is like Charlie Baker and Mitt Romney.

With Dietl vowing to run as an Independent, he could pull away some white ethnic outerborough Italian and Irish voters who think Massey is Romney/Bloomberg 2.0 in the fall.

I wonder if Dietl could get 15% as an independent in New York City.

Massey has not voted in years according to NY records. He recently moved to NYC. I don't think he understands NYC politics.

http://www.ny1.com/nyc/all-boroughs/politics/2017/04/18/mayoral-candidate-massey-missed-chances-to-vote-on-many-past-election-days.html

Well, for one thing he's a Republican in NYC.

Malliotakis and Catsimatidis are the only candidates I would easily support in this race.

Dietl sounds like a loon and Massey is an HP, it seems.

This is relevant I believe (Quinnipiac (https://poll.qu.edu/new-york-city/release-detail?ReleaseID=2458)):

1. If the election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Bill de Blasio the Democrat, and Paul Massey the Republican, for whom would you vote?
             
              Total:    Bronx     Kings      Man       Qns     St.Isl
de Blasio:  63%      68%       62%        72%      59%  44%
Massey:     21%      17%       21%        13%      24%  40%

2. If the election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Bill de Blasio the Democrat, and Nicole Malliotakis the Republican, for whom would you vote?
              Total:      Brnx     Kings     Man     Qns      St.Isl
de Blasio:  64%    71%    61%      74%    58%         43%
Malliotakis: 21%   15%    21%     13%    25%          46%



6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill de Blasio is handling his job as Mayor?

Approve: 60%
Disapprove: 34%

I'm a little surprised that de Blasio's approval rating is that high, to be honest, but he'll win the vote of a lot of people who disapprove. As the poll suggests, the final result should be de Blasio winning somewhere between 65 and 70% of the vote unless something substantial changes (including a new GOP candidate and not a sacrificial lamb like Malliotakis or, even worse, Massey).

Yeah. This is my first time following NYC politics and from what nearly everyone on this site was saying I thought de Blasio would be in more trouble than this. I also find it interesting how he holds up in Staten Island against Massey.

Massey is a carpetbagger who doesn't understand NYC politics. He'll win the wealthy Northern Bronx and Forest Hills, and some wealthy NYC conservative areas, but that's about it.

Well, it's clear now and has been for at least the past three-four months (I live in NYC) that de Blasio is going to win reelection. The opportunity for a significant challenge in the Democratic primary passed around January (the last chance was if Clinton had decided to throw her hat in, but by the time she was being discussed, no one else was a threat to de Blasio and she was only a threat because of her enormous presence), and the Republicans never had much chance of unseating him, even when he was quite unpopular, without at the least a divisive Democratic primary and a much stronger candidate than a random Staten Island Assemblywoman or random rich people. That said, I don't have the impression that he has become popular, more that people don't feel as passionately negatively about him as they used to. And I'm sure the Democrats are experiencing some rally-round-the-flag effects in the Trump era also.

The final result will look about like 2013, maybe slightly narrower.

GOP mayoral candidate Paul Massey drops out of 2017 mayoral election:

http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/republican-paul-massey-drops-mayoral-race-article-1.3285166

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/06/28/nyregion/paul-massey-new-york-mayors-race.html

It looks like Assemblywoman Malliotakis is the clear frontrunner in NYC GOP primary. Massey didn't even live in the city until in 2015, he only worked in the city, and commuted back home to Westchester County.

Turnout may be very, very low in September 12's primary, and on Election Day, November 7.

2021 may be the big year in NYC politics like it was in 2013 after 12 years of Bloomberg.

How have de Blasio's approval ratings got so much better? I thought they were bad and he was possibly facing a primary challenge.

His approval ratings jumped back because some like his economic record and the anti-Trump resistance in NYC.

Maliotakis seems like a great candidate (I do not know much about her though). It seems she will lose this handily, but does any new yorker see her as a potential candidate for higher office in NY in the future?

Perennial mayoral candidate Sal Albanese calls De Blasio a name.

http://nypost.com/2017/07/07/albanese-bill-de-blasio-is-the-biggest-a-hole-in-city-hall/

De Blasio is attacked in NYC for rushing to Hamburg, Germany to attend the G20 summit this week to discuss climate change, while the city has been mourning the death of a New York City police officer, Miosotis Familia, who was murdered by a cop killer.

http://nypost.com/2017/07/07/cop-killer-reportedly-warned-hospital-he-was-homicidal/

I'm not a New Yorker, but I usually travel around Staten Island since S.I. is near N.J., and she could potentially run for NY governor in 2022, 2026. She could run for NYC mayor again in 2021 since De Blasio will be reelected again, despite some mishaps. She will only win Staten Island. Queens, a close second, but very unlikely.

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/07/06/nyregion/de-blasio-makes-sudden-trip-to-trump-protests-at-g-20-summit.html

He's going to protest, not participate. There's a difference. I hope this hurts his chances because it is clearly a political ploy for media attention for national office.

De Blasio will likely be reelected. Malliotakis will keep it competitive, and Bo Dietl could appeal to angry white New Yorkers left in the city. No major New York City Democrat can emerge now like a Spitzer 2013 Comptroller run. Christine Quinn or Scott Stringer can do it, but maybe in 2021.

Petitioning season is over. No one else can access the ballot now. The field is set.

Why is de la Fuente a Republican all of a sudden?

He's looking to have some fun and because he figured it was easier to sneak in a mano a mano against BdB by being the GOP nominee.

He went from Democrat to starting his own party to Reform and now to Republican in the span of 2 years. He ran for president from California, the U.S. Senate in Florida, and now for Mayor of NYC all in the span of 2 years. Wondering why he decided to run as a republican is just the beginning of Fuente's craziness and inconsistency. I honestly have no clue where he really is from and what his actual beliefs are.   

He said that he was fiscally conservative and opposed sanctuary cities to some random Republican voters and I was like wtf. I remember him calling himself a prpressive

Scott Stringer endorsed Bill de Blasio today, shutting down any rumors of a run.

De Blasio and Stringer still have a rivalry, but they can get along since they are both Democrats.

http://nypost.com/2017/07/16/de-blasio-and-stringer-support-each-others-re-election-bids/

Had Stringer ran for mayor against De Blasio, he may have won Staten Island and Queens.

Far too late even if he wanted to. De Blasio seems set to cruise to victory.

Primary is in less than a month. Anyone think Albanese picking up steam?

Yes. I like him. He's not going to be mayor, he ran for mayor in 1997, 2001, and 2013, but Albanese should run for Congress against Dan Donovan, the former S.I. D.A. who allowed Eric Garner's killer walk free in 2014.

He'll do well in Staten Island and some parts of Brooklyn, but turnout will be very, very low on September 12.

DEB getting so much bad press lately, wouldn't be surprised if he does worse than thought

He may win the Democratic renomination by 30 points or less.

For obvious reasons, DeBlaiso never gets positive press coverage.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WzIfDLHon-c (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WzIfDLHon-c)

Here is a link to the final NYC Democratic primary debate if anyone is interested in watching it.

I can assure that Albanese will win parts of Bay Ridge, Bensonhurst, Gravesend, etc.

Albanese will beat De Blasio in the white ethnic Staten Island areas where De Blasio is very unpopular.

I can see Albanese doing well in places like Forest Hills, Kew Gardens (white ethnics and Jewish conservative areas).

Four years ago, September 2013, the Democratic mayoral primary was more intense post-Bloomberg (Quinn, De Blasio, Thompson, Weiner)

However, De Blasio did well with all groups because of the income inequality issue.

http://www.nydailynews.com/news/election/bill-de-blasio-led-women-jewish-black-voters-article-1.1451832

Maybe, but you may not know much about Albanese's campaign. He's largely running to de Blasio's left, especially on housing issues (attacking de Blasio for being "in bed with big developers," etc.). Not as far to de Blasio's left as Gangi or Bashner, but definitely not campaigning against de Blasio from the right in the way that would be needed to run up the score on Staten Island. To the extent there is a candidate to the right of de Blasio, it's Tolkin, but he's not going to do particularly well anywhere and is a much more urbanist candidate than Albanese so would do better in wealthy liberal places like Park Slope or the UWS.

By far the more interesting and competitive race in NYC this primary day is the race for (the Democratic nomination for) Brooklyn DA.

DeBlasio won 74% of the primary vote; that's pretty impressive, even for an incumbent in a primary.  He's pretty much guaranteed re-election.  There is no Democrat of anywhere near equal stature on the ballot, and Assemblywoman Nicole Malliotakis (R-Staten Island) doesn't have the stature to wage a viable campaign against DeBlasio.  What it would take for DeBlasio to lose would be huge chunks of the Democratic Establishment in NYC endorsing Malliotakis and actively campaigning for her.  That's what happened with Rudy Giuliani and Michael Bloomberg, but it's not going to happen for a candidate with such minimal stature as Malliotakis (who may want to run for Governor or Lt. Governor). 

Lets go Bo!

I think Bo will actually win more votes that Nicole Mallikositosis.

Anytime I see him I think of Arby's

Staten Island is the most politically conservative borough in NYC.

Yet, Albanese ran as a left-wing Democrat, but a good government liberal.

Staten Island Democrats love Albanese!

I tell you, Albanese should run for Congress against Donovan or Grimm.

Albanese would win.

http://www.wnyc.org/story/2017-primary-results-who-won-where/

I told you that De Blasio faces trouble in the white ethnic outerborough areas of NYC....keep underestimating them. They still exist.

https://datanews.carto.com/builder/234d10e0-985e-11e7-a79f-0ee462b5436c/embed?state=%7B%22map%22%3A%7B%22ne%22%3A%5B40.70756361447181%2C-73.89640331268312%5D%2C%22sw%22%3A%5B40.718932543395056%2C-73.86739253997804%5D%2C%22center%22%3A%5B40.71324832159253%2C-73.88189792633058%5D%2C%22zoom%22%3A16%7D%7D

Damn, Bill de Blasio is definitely going to lose his reelection race for Mayor of Staten Island.

This election is disappointing. Any questions?

Yeah, why is it remotely disappointing?

In fact, I think he won the Primary on Staten Island rather handedly. Albanese may have picked up more geography, but the areas DeBlasio one have significantly more Democrats and the voters

Marist Poll: De Blasio +47

Bill de Blasio (D) - 65%
Nicole Malliotakis (R) - 18%
Bo Dietl (I) - 8%
Other - 2%
Undecided - 7%

https://twitter.com/forecasterenten/status/910587816169570305

DeBlasio won Staten Island 56%-37% in the primary, which sounds big, but it was his smallest margin. His second smallest was much more impressive - DeBlasio 72%-18% in Queens.

But I should note that he doesn't need Staten Island to win the GE. He lost it by 44-53 in the 2013 GE but still won the overall election by 73-24.

De Blasio corruption unfolds again. The city's economy is fairly decent, but trust in politicians as usual is at a low.

http://www.nydailynews.com/new-york/de-blasio-donor-100g-check-bought-favors-mayor-article-1.3593656

De Blasio will easily win reelection; the Giuliani/Bloomberg coalition of white ethnic outerborough voters can't get him out, but he will be pretty ineffective nationally for a white progressive big city mayor.

I think with the latest bad headlines for the mayor, all campaigns are going to push extra hard to churn out votes.

Will DeBlasio get something close to the 49 point margin he got in 2013, or something much smaller?

Well, this definitely torpedoes any dreams De Blasio had of running for President in 2020...

As for re-election, he's still favored, but since NY doesn't have early voting, Mallotakis now has a non-zero chance of winning.

()

I think it's possible that de Blasio underperforms but I can see, anecdotally, that the Mayor's race is not as sleepy as it is portrayed in the news. There is heavy campaigning from de Blasio, Malliotakis, Dietl etc. camps and there are also key County Executive, etc. races in Nassau, Westchester, etc. Making it more interesting, the Constitutional Convention ballot proposal means that unions, etc. are mobilizing voters as well.

Its still extremely unlikely De Blasio loses. Polls have shown him with 60 percent of the vote. Are there any city council races republicans could gain?

Yes, there's one in South Brooklyn being heavily contested.

Is DeBlasio in danger of losing any borough aside from Staten Island?

No. deBlasio will win every borough but Staten Island - handily. This isn't Rudy Giuliani's New York City any more.

It probably won't be quite that large. He'll still get around 2/3 of the vote though.

The margin could be that large because Deitl and Malliotakis could split the anti-de Blasio vote, though. I expect de Blasio to get around 70% of the vote.

Assuming De Blasio wins, which despite the corruption allegations, he still should, I suspect his total percentage will be reduced, as independents partially defect to either Malliotakis or Dietl.

My guess is something like;

 De Blasio 57.5%
Malliotakis 30%
Dietl 12.5%

That's still a very impressive margin of victory.

What percentages would you guess for the others?

I'm going to guess:
de Blasio 67%
Malliotakis 22%
Dietl 9%
Others 2%

But my predictions are often wildly inaccurate.

Bump, as this is happening today. I would suggest also using this as the thread to discuss races elsewhere in NY.

This seems like a decent prediction to me, although I expect Dietl to do somewhat worse than this (no more than 4-5%) with a percent or two boost to each of de Blasio, Malliotakis and the field.

My polling station was relatively quiet this morning. Also, they have apparently taken down the metal detectors at the high school where I vote some time between this year's primary election and the general election; good news?

Tossup Election in Westchester County, NY:

County Exec. Rob Astorino going up against NY State Sen. George Latimer.
Astorino is a known Trump ally, recently caught in a corruption scandal.
Latimer is a centrist Dem accused of unpaid property taxes.
This is expected to be a close race following an extremely negative campaign season.

Results page: https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/new-york-general-elections

Since Bill De Blasio is most likely going to win this, I'm most interested now in the convention vote.

Will there be a runoff if no candidate reaches a majority?

No, not that there is any risk of that.

What time do the polls close

My man Bo Dietl is 100% going to be NYC's next mayor.

9:00pm.

Early results in.

Bill De Blasio: 64%

Nicole Malliotakis: 27.8%

De Blasio crushing it of course

Bo Dietl is in 6th behind Albanese (Reform), Browder (Green) and Tolkin (Smart Cities). LOL. At least he's ahead of the Libertarian candidate?

64-30% now for De Blasio. Malliotakis leading in Staten Island of course 64-31%. This is over. Meanwhile Bo Dietl is getting crushed and Albanese is underperforming

Meanwhile the ConCon: No leading with 82% with only the five boroughs reporting. No will most likely win here.

Meanwhile Pension Reform: Its closer with Yes at 57-42% to no. Could be closer thogh i think Yes will win this is the end due to it winning the five boroughs including 52-47% in Staten Island

Meanwhile Amendment 3: Its 55-44% for No with it being closer then the others. The five boroughs have started reporting and Manhattan is the only one for yes with 58% yes with 183 precincts in.

WULFRIC PROJECTION: DEBLASIO WINS

New York City Mayor
CANDIDATE   PARTY   VOTES   PCT.   
Bill de Blasio*
Democrat
155,473   61.8%   
Nicole Malliotakis
Republican
81,900   32.6   

The ConCon is finished

Looking good for Donovan in 2018, though.

Elizabeth Crowley might lose her City Council seat in Queens. She's currently down 2 points with 85% reporting.

Also, the Socialist and Green candidate in my own Council district (35) managed a very strong result, getting 30% to Laurie Cumbo's (the incumbent Democrat) 67% thus far with 74% reporting. (The Republican candidate has 3%, ha.)

All of these races can be called for the leading candidate:

Mayor - New York City - General
City
5308 of 5901 Precincts Reporting - 90%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
   de Blasio, Bill (i)   Dem   635,185   66%
Malliotakis, Nicole   GOP   277,768   29%
Albanese, Sal   RP   20,803   2%
Browder, Akeem   Grn   14,000   1%
Tolkin, Michael   Oth   9,655   1%
Dietl, Bo   Oth   9,496   1%
Commey, Aaron   Lib   2,332   0%

Mayor - Albany - General
City
84 of 128 Precincts Reporting - 66%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
   Sheehan, Katherine (i)   Dem   6,766   75%
Commisso, Frank   Inp   1,991   22%
Jimenez, Byran   Grn   233   3%

Mayor - Binghamton - General
City
32 of 32 Precincts Reporting - 100%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
   David, Richard (i)   GOP   5,134   59%
Abdelazim, Tarik   Dem   3,572   41%

Mayor - Buffalo - General
City
238 of 291 Precincts Reporting - 82%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Brown, Byron (i)   Dem   11,214   66%
Schroeder, Mark   RP   4,823   28%
Robinson, Terrance   Grn   552   3%
Howard, Anita   Con   505   3%

Mayor - Syracuse - General
City
46 of 55 Precincts Reporting - 84%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
   Walsh, Ben   Inp   10,395   53%
Perez Williams, Juanita   Dem   7,661   39%
Hawkins, Howie   Grn   786   4%
Levine, Laura   GOP   485   2%
Nicoletti, Joe   WF   191   1%

Mayor - Rochester - General
City
215 of 215 Precincts Reporting - 100%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
   Warren, Lovely (i)   Dem   17,751   60%
Micciche, Tony   GOP   5,504   19%
Sheppard, James   WF   4,140   14%
White, Alex   Grn   1,579   5%
Thomas, Lori   Oth   414   1%

Mayor - White Plains - General
City
7 of 43 Precincts Reporting - 16%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Roach, Thomas (i)   Dem   955   68%
Lecuona, Milagros   GOP   444   32%

Proposal 3 is still too close to call, but 1 & 2 can be called for the leading option:

Proposal - 1 - Constitutional Convention - Ballot Issue
To Authorize
9522 of 15526 Precincts Reporting - 61%
Name   Votes   Vote %
No   1,487,590   82%
Yes   320,604   18%

Proposal - 2 - Cut Felon Public Pensions - Ballot Issue
For Convicted Officials
9522 of 15526 Precincts Reporting - 61%
Name   Votes   Vote %
Yes   1,270,329   71%
No   506,475   29%

Proposal 3 has passed!

Proposal - 3 - Modify Forest Preserve Lands - Ballot Issue
For Health and Safety
13451 of 15526 Precincts Reporting - 87%
Name   Votes   Vote %
Yes   1,397,848   52%
No   1,311,326   48%

lol at Malliotakis cracking 70% in Staten Island. That's nuts.

Landslide for Latimer. Trump affiliation confirmed poison for the GOP.

Not mayoral, but a municipal race. Laura Gillen has won the post of Hempstead Supervisor, the first and only Democrat to hold that post since the 1860s. Hempstead is the largest township in America by population. This is massive.

Her home ground where she is popular, and SI didn't support De Blasio even when he was cracking 70% city-wide 4 years ago.

Funny to think of the number of Richmond County Obama/Malliotakis voters there are.

Partially I am sure it is because turnout among minorities on the North Shore was terrible. There aren't that many places in NYC where bad minority turnout would show up clearly in the results without precinct data, although the result in City Council district 30 where Elizabeth Crowley likely lost re-election also suggests minority turnout was dreadful. Not a big surprise; there were no competitive races in NYC outside of a couple of City Council seats (but it ultimately doesn't matter if the Republicans have 3 or 5 seats on the City Council, either), so the voters are mainly going to be the types of people who turn out to vote no matter what.