Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2016 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: MT Treasurer on October 31, 2016, 12:10:58 PM



Title: IN-Monmouth: Gregg +6
Post by: MT Treasurer on October 31, 2016, 12:10:58 PM
48% John Gregg (D)
42% Eric Holcomb (R)
4% Rex Bell (L)

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_IN_103116/


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Gregg +6
Post by: KingSweden on October 31, 2016, 12:13:42 PM
In a poll with Trump up 11 (reasonable) and Bayh in dead heat...

Congrats, Governor Moustache


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Gregg +6
Post by: Maxwell on October 31, 2016, 12:22:59 PM
fantastic!


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Gregg +6
Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on October 31, 2016, 12:25:29 PM


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Gregg +6
Post by: Xing on October 31, 2016, 12:32:23 PM
If a poll with Trump up by 11 has Gregg this far ahead, he's probably got this.


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Gregg +6
Post by: Bismarck on October 31, 2016, 12:34:19 PM
Moving from tilt D to lean D.


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Gregg +6
Post by: Cashew on October 31, 2016, 01:07:58 PM


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Gregg +6
Post by: libertpaulian on October 31, 2016, 01:16:38 PM
Looks like Dems pick up IN and NC.


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Gregg +6
Post by: Figueira on October 31, 2016, 03:04:09 PM
At least this poll isn't all bad. Awesome Mustache will defeat Discount Jeb!


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Gregg +6
Post by: MT Treasurer on December 31, 2016, 04:34:32 AM
Does anyone know what happened here?


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Gregg +6
Post by: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on December 31, 2016, 04:41:27 AM
If a poll with Trump up by 11 has Gregg this far ahead, he's probably got this.

Or maybe Trump will win by 19, and Gregg is toast.


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Gregg +6
Post by: Tender Branson on December 31, 2016, 04:44:28 AM

Pence homestate effect happened.


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Gregg +6
Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on December 31, 2016, 07:42:10 AM

Trump won by 19 instead of 11.


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Gregg +6
Post by: DavidB. on December 31, 2016, 08:56:39 AM
This exactly. Trump's coattails were much longer. The same thing happened with Eric Greitens in MO. Hillary was just toxic in states like IN and MO that rapidly trend R.


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Gregg +6
Post by: MT Treasurer on December 31, 2016, 10:46:34 AM
Yeah, but Gregg seems like the type of Democrat who would get many Trump voters. Also, coattails weren't really a big factor in most gubernatorial races (heck, look at WV and VT, for example).


Even if you assume a uniform swing, that would give Holcomb a lead of 2 points. But he won by 6 points on election day.