Talk Elections

Feingold: 45%
Johnson: 44%

That was Feingold +2 before

Considering that Marquette has been bearish on Feingold, this isn't as bad as it looks. Feingold should win this, though it won't be a blowout.

Why did this particular race end up tightening so much? Or is it not? Last minute ad buys by Democrats make me think they are at least a little worried.

Hmmmmm. This could get sticky.

Well that explains why we've started spending here again

Ugh... I remember 2010 race going from safe Feingold into a R seat. I'd hate to see this repeated.

Wisconsin was never safe Feingold in 2010. Johnson led every poll past July, and even before that Feingold never had a large lead.

A lot of people put it at Safe Feingold for much of 2009

That's what I was refeering to.

Ugh, scary.

It is currently 2016, not 2015.

Anyway, this is concerning, but don't the numbers say Feingold is up 2, not 1?

jesus christ feingold get it together

i guess this is end all be all proof that Johnson runs great campaigns despite generally being a pretty useless Senator.

New Poll: Wisconsin Senator by Marquette Law School on 2016-10-31 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=55320161031181)

Summary: D: 45%, R: 44%, I: 3%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2016/11/02/mlsp41release/)

I don't like this. I don't like this at all.

Called it. Johnson was never going to get Blanched in a polarized swing state like WI, like most people here predicted.

I think Feingold wins by about the same margin he lost by here. Democrats usually beat their polls by a few points in Wisconsin.

It will be funny to see Toomey lose by more than Johnson though.

Can't believe what DSCC abandoned Ad buys when Kochs are pouring huge money in WI, If there's 1 guy Kochs hate after Bernie it is Feingold.

Feingold is being hammered by negative ads for weeks & DSCC is busy supporting a political hack no good Ex-republican & corrupt Pat Murphy who will 100% lost to Rubio everytime he contests in the next few decades!

I'd hardly say they were 'busy supporting' Murphy. They gave in and sent 1 million to help him at the last minute after a lot of uproar over why they completely abandoned Murphy when the polls showed a semi-close race.

The assumption for most of this election was that Wisconsin was in the bag, and when it no longer appeared that way, the DSCC sent money over. Clinton also dropped a 2 million ad buy to bring up her margins (and thus help Feingold).

I called this months ago. *pats self on back* *also High fives TN Volunteer for doing the same*
LET'S GO RON JON!!!

Climbing Ronnie! He's not going to win this, but the necessity for Dems to spend money here may help GOP candidates in other tossup races.

Oh yeah? Watch him get blanched on Tuesday.

I should add that it was probably stupid for me (and many others) to expect Feingold to win here by 10 or so. This is the state that elected Scott Walker not once, not twice, but thrice.

Basically what TNVol says.

So are there a bunch of Johnson/Johnson voters in the WOW counties or something?

They probably also all own the entire Robert Caro collection. :P

I think he's going to lose, not by Blanche levels though.

well Johnson did seem to out-perform Toomey anyways, in a strange turn of events.

Junk Poll!

Feingold was an uninspiring candidate, and way too far left for the center-right state of Wisconsin.  I called it!

And yet he won a third term in 2004 by a double-digit margin.

2004 was a lifetime ago.  That was before Democrats turned on their own voters.

2004 was also an election where the Republicans won a majority of the popular vote at the presidential level, against a Democratic nominee who personified out-of-touch liberal elitism far better than Obama or even Hillary did.

yeah... wasn't his opponent a nobody?

Yeah, Michels was not a serious candidate. He did end up winning many counties in the eastern half of the state, and got 44% of the vote, though.

rofl

Wisconsin is the most polarized state in the country.  Johnson votes like a senator from Texas the same way Baldwin votes like a senator from California.

I called it,
pat on back
high fives to other smart people. 

Wisconsin has really turned to the dark side as of late. Ron Johnson is a vile slimeball who doesn't deserve to represent a pile of dirt.

Cry moar. Loved to see Feingold go down. My absolute favorite upset of the night.

So, you'd have no problem with her getting re-elected as well, then? Great. :)

So... you're okay with Baldwin winning, then? Look, I don't hate Johnson because of which state he's from, I hate him because he goes against pretty much everything I stand for. I'll take a fake moderate over a far right slimeball. Conservatives can do better than him.

That's... interesting. I mean, Tester and McCaskill aren't really moderate per se, but if you prefer Senators who are decidedly liberal to those who aren't quite as left-leaning, that's your call to make.

After seeing missouri vote for Trump by over 19 points, I see McCaskill getting Blanched easily.

You keep saying "slimeball" about a squeaky clean earnest boy scout who just defeated (for the 2nd time) possibly the biggest phony, smug, a-hole in the country. 
Where do you get slimeball from?