Title: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor Post by: Figueira on March 20, 2017, 08:43:44 PM Who runs, and do Democrats have a shot here?
Title: Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor Post by: BuckeyeNut on March 20, 2017, 08:46:04 PM If things go absolutely sideways, Sutton could try to make a comeback here. Similarly, Mary Taylor could also run if her Gubernatorial run doesn't pan out.
Title: Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor Post by: Rjjr77 on March 20, 2017, 10:42:39 PM If things go absolutely sideways, Sutton could try to make a comeback here. Similarly, Mary Taylor could also run if her Gubernatorial run doesn't pan out. Names on the R side: Sen Obhof Rep Hagan Rep Patton Gop Chair Frost Possibly Taylor or LaRose but doubtful since they've been raising state money. Names on D side: Mayor DiPiero Mayor Donegan? Perhaps former rep Boccieri but so little of that district is his old district Title: Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor Post by: Chancellor Tanterterg on March 21, 2017, 05:31:43 PM If things go absolutely sideways, Sutton could try to make a comeback here. Similarly, Mary Taylor could also run if her Gubernatorial run doesn't pan out. Names on the R side: Sen Obhof Rep Hagan Rep Patton Gop Chair Frost Possibly Taylor or LaRose but doubtful since they've been raising state money. Names on D side: Mayor DiPiero Mayor Donegan? Perhaps former rep Boccieri but so little of that district is his old district Hagan, Frost, and Donegan (who was charged with domestic violence) would be awful candidates. State Representative Tom Patton would definitely be a strong recruit for the Republicans though; I'm not convinced he'll run. State Representative Nicholas Celebrezze would probably be the strongest potential Democratic candidate. Title: Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor Post by: BuckeyeNut on March 21, 2017, 05:57:59 PM Celebrezze!? Parma's in the 16th district? I hate our gerrymander so much.
Title: Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor Post by: Rjjr77 on March 22, 2017, 01:34:45 AM If things go absolutely sideways, Sutton could try to make a comeback here. Similarly, Mary Taylor could also run if her Gubernatorial run doesn't pan out. Names on the R side: Sen Obhof Rep Hagan Rep Patton Gop Chair Frost Possibly Taylor or LaRose but doubtful since they've been raising state money. Names on D side: Mayor DiPiero Mayor Donegan? Perhaps former rep Boccieri but so little of that district is his old district Hagan, Frost, and Donegan (who was charged with domestic violence) would be awful candidates. State Representative Tom Patton would definitely be a strong recruit for the Republicans though; I'm not convinced he'll run. State Representative Nicholas Celebrezze would probably be the strongest potential Democratic candidate. You think Celebrezze would give up the seat? I'm thinking he doesn't and DiPiero runs. Title: Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor Post by: Rjjr77 on March 27, 2017, 05:17:17 PM GOP State rep Tom Patton is in. He should be the front runner
Title: Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor Post by: Chancellor Tanterterg on March 27, 2017, 06:32:18 PM GOP State rep Tom Patton is in. He should be the front runner Well sh!t :( I still think Celebrezze could win if 2018 is a Democratic wave, but this race just got a lot tougher. Title: Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor Post by: Heisenberg on March 27, 2017, 06:44:06 PM GOP State rep Tom Patton is in. He should be the front runner Well sh!t :( I still think Celebrezze could win if 2018 is a Democratic wave, but this race just got a lot tougher. Title: Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor Post by: Rjjr77 on March 27, 2017, 07:59:01 PM GOP State rep Tom Patton is in. He should be the front runner Well sh!t :( I still think Celebrezze could win if 2018 is a Democratic wave, but this race just got a lot tougher. Yeah, he's a prolific fundraiser and very popular across both sides in the district. Title: Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor Post by: Chancellor Tanterterg on March 27, 2017, 09:40:40 PM GOP State rep Tom Patton is in. He should be the front runner Well sh!t :( I still think Celebrezze could win if 2018 is a Democratic wave, but this race just got a lot tougher. Unbeatable is a bit of a stretch, but Patton is an extremely strong candidate. Title: Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor Post by: Vosem on March 27, 2017, 10:16:33 PM Patton is still well-known for basically that his opponent in a state House election couldn't serve because she was a mother with young children. He is well-regarded and a strong candidate, but he's gaffe-prone and I doubt he'll get a free shot in the primary.
Title: Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor Post by: Rjjr77 on March 27, 2017, 11:13:16 PM Patton is still well-known for basically that his opponent in a state House election couldn't serve because she was a mother with young children. He is well-regarded and a strong candidate, but he's gaffe-prone and I doubt he'll get a free shot in the primary. There will be a primary but he's easily the front runner in it, most likely his name keeps out any substantial democrat challenger, as Patton will get Union endorsements Title: Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor Post by: BuckeyeNut on March 27, 2017, 11:18:48 PM It's also Patton's reputation out of the district, but that's neither here nor there.
I assume Celebrezze is probably the only Dem that could take on Patton? It seems doubtful he abandons his role as Asst. Minority Leader unless it looks like we're headed for a giant wave. Though it seems to me Democrats would be gravely mistaken to let this go uncontested. Title: Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor Post by: Rjjr77 on March 27, 2017, 11:25:22 PM It's also Patton's reputation out of the district, but that's neither here nor there. I assume Celebrezze is probably the only Dem that could take on Patton? It seems doubtful he abandons his role as Asst. Minority Leader unless it looks like we're headed for a giant wave. Though it seems to me Democrats would be gravely mistaken to let this go uncontested. Title: Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor Post by: Chancellor Tanterterg on March 28, 2017, 06:07:39 AM It's also Patton's reputation out of the district, but that's neither here nor there. I assume Celebrezze is probably the only Dem that could take on Patton? It seems doubtful he abandons his role as Asst. Minority Leader unless it looks like we're headed for a giant wave. Though it seems to me Democrats would be gravely mistaken to let this go uncontested. Part of why I suggested Celebrezze is that unions would enthusiastically back him over Patton. Title: Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor Post by: BuckeyeNut on March 28, 2017, 08:05:25 AM This isn't my neck of the woods, so I'm not really familiar with DiPiero, but I'd imagine Celebrezze's last name would help him fundraise?
Title: Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor Post by: Rjjr77 on March 28, 2017, 10:42:09 AM It's also Patton's reputation out of the district, but that's neither here nor there. I assume Celebrezze is probably the only Dem that could take on Patton? It seems doubtful he abandons his role as Asst. Minority Leader unless it looks like we're headed for a giant wave. Though it seems to me Democrats would be gravely mistaken to let this go uncontested. Part of why I suggested Celebrezze is that unions would enthusiastically back him over Patton. Title: Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor Post by: Rjjr77 on March 28, 2017, 10:45:15 AM This isn't my neck of the woods, so I'm not really familiar with DiPiero, but I'd imagine Celebrezze's last name would help him fundraise? Title: Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor Post by: Chancellor Tanterterg on March 28, 2017, 02:56:01 PM It's also Patton's reputation out of the district, but that's neither here nor there. I assume Celebrezze is probably the only Dem that could take on Patton? It seems doubtful he abandons his role as Asst. Minority Leader unless it looks like we're headed for a giant wave. Though it seems to me Democrats would be gravely mistaken to let this go uncontested. Part of why I suggested Celebrezze is that unions would enthusiastically back him over Patton. No one is talking about the FOP when they say the unions ::) Honestly I'm not convinced any unions will actually back Patton unless the Democrats don't bother making a serious play for this seat and I say that as someone who considers Patton an A-list recruit. I know you really want this to be safe R, but it simply isn't, especially not the way the national mood is right now. That could change and yes Celebrezze might not run (although I think this will look a lot like the race for Regula's open seat if 2018 is a Democratic wave and Celebrezze runs). I could see Celebrezze jumping in later on if 2018 is still looking like a Democratic wave. Plus, Patton does admittedly have a tendency to say stupid sh!t from time to time. You guys have an A-list recruit, but hardly an unbeatable one. Patton is definitely the frontrunner, but I think you're getting a bit ahead of yourself. Title: Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor Post by: Rjjr77 on March 28, 2017, 09:15:07 PM It's also Patton's reputation out of the district, but that's neither here nor there. I assume Celebrezze is probably the only Dem that could take on Patton? It seems doubtful he abandons his role as Asst. Minority Leader unless it looks like we're headed for a giant wave. Though it seems to me Democrats would be gravely mistaken to let this go uncontested. Part of why I suggested Celebrezze is that unions would enthusiastically back him over Patton. No one is talking about the FOP when they say the unions ::) Honestly I'm not convinced any unions will actually back Patton unless the Democrats don't bother making a serious play for this seat and I say that as someone who considers Patton an A-list recruit. I know you really want this to be safe R, but it simply isn't, especially not the way the national mood is right now. That could change and yes Celebrezze might not run (although I think this will look a lot like the race for Regula's open seat if 2018 is a Democratic wave and Celebrezze runs). I could see Celebrezze jumping in later on if 2018 is still looking like a Democratic wave. Plus, Patton does admittedly have a tendency to say stupid sh!t from time to time. You guys have an A-list recruit, but hardly an unbeatable one. Patton is definitely the frontrunner, but I think you're getting a bit ahead of yourself. I think it will be a tough sell for union members to dump someone like Patton who they genuinely like, and the FOP is not what you think of, but it's rare a candidate just gets that blind like Patton would. Celebrezze would have a tough time getting in late, you can't bring state money with you and he's not termed, I don't think the 16th is the safest seat, but it's not a coin flip either, it soft leans R and with Patton it's a harder lean. I don't think Celebrezze runs. Title: Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor Post by: Rjjr77 on April 03, 2017, 03:58:15 PM Rep. Christina Hagan (R) is in.
Title: Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor Post by: Chancellor Tanterterg on April 03, 2017, 05:18:24 PM Rep. Christina Hagan (R) is in. Glorious news, she's a very, very weak candidate who could really blow the general even against a B-list Democrat. Title: Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor Post by: BuckeyeNut on April 03, 2017, 05:22:39 PM Rep. Christina Hagan (R) is in. Title: Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor Post by: Rjjr77 on April 03, 2017, 05:27:55 PM Rep. Christina Hagan (R) is in. Correct, although she stepped down when people claimed it may violate law. It'll be an interesting R primary with Patton, Hagan, and other rumored to be throwing their name in. Still no A list names for that seat from the D side. Title: Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor Post by: Rjjr77 on May 25, 2017, 11:35:19 AM Rumors swirling of Mary Taylor shifting down to this congressional seat.
Also hearing Rep. Wigwam is running as well. R. Field currently: Rep. Hagan Rep. Patton Rep Wiggam Edit-Hagan only formal announcement but all signs point to Patton and Wiggam announcing sometime over summer |