Talk Elections

Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion => 2023 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: RogueBeaver on June 14, 2017, 09:04:51 AM



Title: NJ-Q: Murphy +29
Post by: RogueBeaver on June 14, 2017, 09:04:51 AM
55/26. (https://poll.qu.edu/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=2465) Christie at 81% disapproval.


Title: Re: NJ-Q: Murphy +29
Post by: The world will shine with light in our nightmare on June 14, 2017, 09:09:09 AM
Wow, even Trump is more popular.


Title: Re: NJ-Q: Murphy +29
Post by: Suburbia on June 14, 2017, 09:19:56 AM
Wow. Likely/Safe D. If there is any Wikileaks emails about Murphy as Ambassador to Germany, then Lean/Likely D.

It looks like the NJGOP is looking at a dismal, moribund 2017. Guadagno on the ballot with Christie's baggage could sink legislative Republicans like Jon Bramnick, etc.


Title: Re: NJ-Q: Murphy +29
Post by: Sir Mohamed on June 14, 2017, 09:22:46 AM
D.O.M.I.N.A.T.I.N.G.


Safe D at this point. Governor Bridgegate has really done a great job.


Title: Re: NJ-Q: Murphy +29
Post by: Suburbia on June 14, 2017, 09:47:18 AM
D.O.M.I.N.A.T.I.N.G.


Safe D at this point. Governor Bridgegate has really done a great job.

2021 and 2025 will be a bit more competitive. For some reason, New Jersey has a debt problem and it plagues all the governors since the 1970s.


Title: Re: NJ-Q: Murphy +29
Post by: libertpaulian on June 14, 2017, 10:24:33 AM
Safe D at best, Titanium D at worst.


Title: Re: NJ-Q: Murphy +29
Post by: Bojack Horseman on June 14, 2017, 11:26:24 AM
Excellent. I read an article about the race before the primary and they predicted that this would get closer and not be the wipeout we're all expecting. This news is fantastic.


Title: Re: NJ-Q: Murphy +29
Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on June 14, 2017, 01:24:59 PM
Interesting that only 39% of Dems say Menendez deserves reelection. He is certainly vulnerable to the right challenger.


Title: Re: NJ-Q: Murphy +29
Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on June 14, 2017, 03:15:08 PM

Continuing the Christie legacy is objectively bad.


Title: Re: NJ-Q: Murphy +29
Post by: heatcharger on June 14, 2017, 03:19:31 PM
Great news!


He doesn't care about policy.


Title: Re: NJ-Q: Murphy +29
Post by: Skye on June 14, 2017, 06:55:31 PM
Nothing to see here folks. Guadagno is going to lose big.


Title: Re: NJ-Q: Murphy +29
Post by: libertpaulian on June 14, 2017, 06:58:25 PM
Yeah, the question here isn't whether Guadagno will lose.  It's whether she'll get obliterated or face a graceful loss.


Title: Re: NJ-Q: Murphy +29
Post by: Obama-Biden Democrat on June 14, 2017, 07:06:14 PM

Trump is catching up to Chris Christie in weight gain, will he catch up in disapproval?


Title: Re: NJ-Q: Murphy +29
Post by: Suburbia on June 14, 2017, 07:30:51 PM
Guadagno will lose, but NJ Republicans will probably aim to take back the Assembly in 2019, even under a Democratic-leaning redistricting map.

http://www.nj.com/news/index.ssf/2011/04/redistricting_committee_approv.html


Title: Re: NJ-Q: Murphy +29
Post by: Gass3268 on June 15, 2017, 11:29:48 AM
I imagine Q will release a poll of Virginia next week.


Title: Re: NJ-Q: Murphy +29
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on June 15, 2017, 11:31:19 AM
Murphy 59-39%


Title: Re: NJ-Q: Murphy +29
Post by: Young Conservative on June 15, 2017, 12:19:04 PM
58% of Republicans disapprove. Wow.


Title: NJ: Quinnipiac University: Murphy with Solid Lead in New Jersey
Post by: ElectionAtlas on July 14, 2017, 10:10:58 PM
New Poll: New Jersey Governor by Quinnipiac University on 2017-06-12 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2017/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=3420170612015)

Summary: D: 55%, R: 26%, U: 14%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://poll.qu.edu/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=2465)