Talk Elections

Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion => Gubernatorial/State Elections => Topic started by: nclib on August 12, 2017, 06:58:09 PM



Title: Gubernatorial streaks of electing opposing party Governor of the president
Post by: nclib on August 12, 2017, 06:58:09 PM
Virginia did this from 1977-2009 with 2013 being the first exception since 1973 albeit with a poor Republican candidate.

The states with the longest streaks of doing this are: NM, OK, KS, WY, TN, NJ, all of which have done so since at least 1990 (as far back as Atlas goes). How long will they continue? NJ and NM likely will next election; the others likely not.

Hawaii has the longest streak of voting for a Governor the same party as the President, from 1994-2014 but will likely be broken in 2018. Hawaii is a pro-incumbent state in presidential elections, though it could be a coincidence of Lingle being a strong candidate who happened to have run in 2002 and 2006 (though she lost handily for Senate in 2012, albeit with native son Obama at the top of the ticket).


Title: Re: Gubernatorial streaks of electing opposing party Governor of the president
Post by: Pragmatic Conservative on August 12, 2017, 07:18:59 PM
NM-goes back to 1990
OK-goes back to 1990
KS-goes back to 1990
WY-goes back to 1982
TN-goes back to 1986
NJ-goes back to 1985
HI-goes back to 1990

If I would have to guess NJ, NM continue their streak.


Title: Re: Gubernatorial streaks of electing opposing party Governor of the president
Post by: Xing on August 12, 2017, 07:52:36 PM
In addition to NJ and NM, I think there's a decent chance KS continues its streak.


Title: Re: Gubernatorial streaks of electing opposing party Governor of the president
Post by: MAINEiac4434 on August 12, 2017, 11:21:29 PM
Maine elected a Republican with a Democratic president in 2010 and 2014, a Democrat with a Republican president in 2002 and 2006, and is poised to elect a Democratic governor with a Republican president in 2018.


Title: Re: Gubernatorial streaks of electing opposing party Governor of the president
Post by: SWE on August 16, 2017, 01:15:10 PM
NJ and NM are basically guaranteed to continue their streak. Kansas probably will too. There's also a decent chance Oklahoma will.


Title: Re: Gubernatorial streaks of electing opposing party Governor of the president
Post by: Anzeigenhauptmeister on August 16, 2017, 04:42:16 PM
There's also a decent chance Oklahoma will.

Maybe if Joe Dorman ran, but Oklahoma will never vote for a black woman.