Talk Elections

http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-flash05a.html?project=elections06-ft&h=495&w=778&hasAd=1&mod=blogs

Rendell only leads Scranton by six. Interesting. Why isn't the frontrunner (Swann) mentioned? Oh wait...it's Zogby.

Interesting....

Senators:

Kyl leads Pederson by 9%

Hackett leads DeWine by 9%

Klobuchar leads Kennedy by 6%

Casey leads Santorum by 9%

Cardin leads Steele by 4%

Kean leads Andrews by 8%

Nelson leads Harris by 4%

Kohl leads Thompson by 1%

Bingaman leads Wilson by 11%


Governors:

Green leads Doyle by 1%

Blackwell leads Strickland by 1%

Reilly leads Romney by 24%

Angelides leads Schwarzenegger by 8%

Hatch leads Pawlenty by 3%

Rauschenberger  leads Blagojevich by 1%

O'Malley leads Ehrlich by 2%

Hackett leads DeWine by eight. That's really funny.

Kohl only beats Thompson by about a point. Seems reasonable but Thompson won't run.

Kloubacher beats Kennedy by seven.

And Nelson leads Harris by only about four. Same with Cardin vs. Steele.

That would actually be a close race. No way there would be an eigth point win either way.

People might think the poll refers to the father at this point.  And no one know Andrews outside of his CD. 

Is there any real evidence Tommy Thompson might actually run for Senate?  Given the recent string of GOP recruiting failures, I would be shocked if this happened.

He won't run.

I simply don't find these believable.

Swann is mentioned if you click on Pennsylvania.  Rendell leads Swann by only 1.6%, and Piccola by 14.4%.

The site is quite nice...even though its primary source for polling is highly suspect, it mentions polls from other sources and factors them in.

Hackett lead DeWine in their August poll by 5%.

Oh, I didn't see that. I believe the Rendell vs. Piccola numbers are accurate. Rendell vs. Scranton are about right. Rendell vs. Swann...eh...too generous to Swann but alright.

That's pretty funny. Zogby sucks anyway.

I wonder why they didn't poll RI,  VT, or MT Senate.  Small states count just as much!

Zogby Interactive = garbage

Oh, and one other thing:

Hutchinson over Kirk by 13% (TX) lol.

Hutchinson will get at least 65%, maybe 70%

Some look accurate while others look way off.  I think Marylands numbers are realistic.

Some of the numbers are wacky. I really can't understand the polls done on Ohio. Blackwell is leading whil DeWine is losing. I think DeWine is clearly in a better position than Blackwell.

Despite what people on this board believe, Hackett will be a strong candidate.

Zogby had Tennessee in the Kerry column for most of the 2004 campaign.  Remember, Zogby's strictly entertainment and is GARBAGE in terms of a polling firm. 

Arnold has around a 65% disapproval rating. I don't know what's so hard to believe about Angelides being up 8 points.

Cann't comment on most of the allegations by Zogby, but his figues on the Senate 'race' in Arizona are ludicrous.

Kyl will win by at least twenty point (probably thirty).

These poll results would be somewhat interesting if Zogby wasn't such a crock of bullsh**t.  I mean come on, is he just making up these numbers?

Bell leads Friedman by 9%.

Hahaha Zogby. I like how they want to be taken seriously with Harris behind by 3% and Pederson down by 9%

South Jersey is proud of Rob Andrews. With the typically Democrat Essex/Union/Hudson votes, he will not lose.

Interestingly enough, the Virginia Gubernatorial analysis shows that Republican Independent candidate Russel Potts is taking away more from would be Kaine (D) voters instead of the Republican Kilgore.  Rural Blue Dogs, perhaps?

Uh....Potts is running as a liberal.

Yeah, more like urban Greens, social libs. I mean he's at what? 5%?

Even though I don't trust a Zogby Interactive poll as far as I can throw it, that is indeed probably a correct analysis, considering what Potts is running on.  MHS2002 knows more on this subject, perhaps he'll enlighten us. 

Expect Potts to take more votes away from Kaine's left than Kilgore's left.

I think we all know the answer to that