Talk Elections

Survey USA is out with their new Approval Polls

Top 5
1. Obama D-IL 72-22
2.  Dorgan D-ND 72-23
3. Collins R-ME 72-24
4.  Dorgan D-ND 70-25
5. Inoyue D-HI 69-24

Bottom 5
96   Martinez R-FL 42-42
97.  Santorum R-PA 43-50
98.  Daytom D-MN 39-48
99.  Allard R-CO  36-48
100. Burns R-MT 37-57


other noteables
Dewine R-OH 45-45
Menendez D 45-39
Chafee R-RI 48-46
Talent R-MO 49-44
Allen R-VA 51-39

http://surveyusa.com/50State2006/100USSenatorApproval060725Approval.htm

9 Lott 68-28 +40

Harry, if you are right about this race-I will adopt a Southern accent.

1) Holy meatballs Allard, what happened?
2) Santorum jumps up
3) Mel Martinez?

Allard is a very conservative Senator in a not so conservative leftward moving state.  he took a bit of a drop, but his approval have generally been in the mid 40's with disapprovals in the same vicinity, with a few other negative net approval months as well

Martinez's #'s really have never been all that good.  the last four months his net approval has either been even or slightly neg, and hasn't been higher than +6 since last year.

The two Senators from Arkansas' approvals have declined quite significantly; I hope that isn't a sign or a general trend.

Its good to see that some Republicans up in 2008 aren't doing well - Inhofe and Chambliss amongst them, though I don't know if they can be defeated.

Interesting 2006 incumbent races:

Republicans:
Burns is going to get burned with his 37-57 rating.
Santorum may be up to 43-50, but he's still going down.
DeWine is highly vulnerable with a 45-45 rating.
Chafee isn't looking too good at 48-46 (45-51 amoung GOP).
Talent is very vulerable with 49-44.
Kyl is doing better than his 47-40 ratings might suggest.
Allen is at 51-39.

Democrats:
Cantwell is 49-43
Menendez is up to 45-39.
Stabenow should win despite being at 50-39.
Lieberman is at 51-39 (50-46 amoung Dems).

2008 possibilities:

Hillary - little change at 62-36
McCain - takes a plunge to 59-37
Feingold - surges to 55-40
Kerry - plunges to 53-44
Allen - disapprovals up, at 51-39

Inhofe and Coburn;

Thats news to me, I thought they both would have at least mid-50s approval.

Coburn is doing the better the two at 51% while Inhofe is sitting at 45%.

Inhofe has been in since 1994, completing the unexpired term of Democrat David Boren who went on to become the President of the University of Oklahoma.  Oklahomans may are starting getting tired of him and may want a fresh face.  Or, Oklahoma may be starting to drift slightly left again, which is probably more likely the case.

We've never been extremely far to the right, we've been just right of Moderate-Conservative and to the left of Hard-Core, Democrat-Hating Conservative.  Hence, we have a Democrat governor who is expected to be re-elected to a second and final term, plus we have a Democrat State Senate, and a narrowly Republican State House that just went that way in 2004.

I don't know what to make of the polls, yet, honestly, as it is still a little over 27 months from the 2008 General Election.

Democrats approve of Lieberman by only 50-46%.  Republicans approve of him 65-33%.

What exactly do you think Coburn & Inhofe are???  Hint they aren't just to the right of moderate-conservative.

I've gotta admit, the liberals have run an amazing campaign in Connecticut. A month ago, I would've never even dreamed the Lieberman would lose the primary, let alone being contested in the general election (rasmussen has a Lieberman-Lamont at a tie, and if the trend continues, Lamont will be the junior senator from Connecticut in January). Now why can't liberals be this effective against actual Republicans and in Presidential Elections?

Because the US as a whole is a benighted land, quite different from Connecticut.  The same positions and strategy that wins in educated, secular states like Connecticut will normally lose in the overall nation.

Pay more attention, for example Montana.

Tom Coburn and Jim Inhofe are pretty far to the right.  I was talking about the state as a whole being moderate-conservative or slightly to the right.  We do have a few liberals running around in this state, plus a Democrat Senate, a narrowly-Republican House that very easily could turn back Democrat (after all it had been Democrat for 80 years before prior to January 2005), and a Democrat Governor who is very well liked with an approval rating in the high 60s to near 80.