Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2006 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: TheresNoMoney on October 31, 2006, 07:20:47 PM



Title: SurveyUSA: McCaskill leads Talent by 3%
Post by: TheresNoMoney on October 31, 2006, 07:20:47 PM
McCaskill:   49%
Talent:       46%
Gilmour:      2%
Undediced:  4%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportPopup.aspx?g=f5a2300c-8c54-4566-ba53-7253b699ab36&q=30179

Also, it looks like the stem cell amendment should pass (though it will be close).

Certain Yes:   50%
Certain  No:   40%
Undecided:     10%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportPopup.aspx?g=f5a2300c-8c54-4566-ba53-7253b699ab36&q=31252


Title: Re: SurveyUSA: McCaskill leads Talent by 3%
Post by: Conan on October 31, 2006, 07:22:17 PM
Wasnt the stem cell thing passing overwhelmingly early on?


Title: Re: SurveyUSA: McCaskill leads Talent by 3%
Post by: TheresNoMoney on October 31, 2006, 07:23:08 PM
Wasnt the stem cell thing passing overwhelmingly early on?

I'm not sure, but I'm surprised by the poll results showing it pretty close.


Title: Re: SurveyUSA: McCaskill leads Talent by 3%
Post by: Sam Spade on October 31, 2006, 07:25:15 PM
Amendments and Propositions almost never gain votes as the election gets closer, they lose support.

Looking at the crosstabs on this one, I see a race that is going to come down to turnout.  Nothing has really changed from the last poll, except that this one has 2% more Democrats than Republicans and the last poll had 3% more Republicans than Democrats.


Title: Re: SurveyUSA: McCaskill leads Talent by 3%
Post by: TheresNoMoney on October 31, 2006, 07:26:47 PM
Looking at the crosstabs on this one

Where are the crosstabs?


Title: Re: SurveyUSA: McCaskill leads Talent by 3%
Post by: Sam Spade on October 31, 2006, 07:27:36 PM
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=f5a2300c-8c54-4566-ba53-7253b699ab36


Title: Re: SurveyUSA: McCaskill leads Talent by 3%
Post by: TheresNoMoney on October 31, 2006, 07:29:25 PM
Thanks Sam.

I'm amazed at how close this race has been over the past 6 months, very little movement in either direction.


Title: Re: SurveyUSA: McCaskill leads Talent by 3%
Post by: Gabu on October 31, 2006, 07:48:17 PM
This and Tennessee are both looking to be ridiculously close on Election Day unless something happens soon.

Wouldn't be a good time, I suppose, if you didn't have something to stay up all night for. :P


Title: Re: SurveyUSA: McCaskill leads Talent by 3%
Post by: Sam Spade on October 31, 2006, 07:52:01 PM
Both Republicans and Democrats are strongly behind their candidate and Indys are relatively split.  That guarantees a tight race in a state where the partisan numbers are relatively even.


Title: Re: SurveyUSA: McCaskill leads Talent by 3%
Post by: poughies on October 31, 2006, 07:54:58 PM
The stem cell will pass..... I really have no clue who will win Missouri... it is the unpredictable race.... I had a feeling that if Dems would win this season one of the two other races [tenn or vir] would overtake it as a the best chance for the dem's fifth seat. I was wrong in thinking that it would tenn.... it has turned to be virginia...


Title: Re: SurveyUSA: McCaskill leads Talent by 3%
Post by: Eraserhead on October 31, 2006, 09:18:23 PM
Wasn't McCaskill up 9 in the last SUSA poll?


Title: Re: SurveyUSA: McCaskill leads Talent by 3%
Post by: © tweed on October 31, 2006, 09:20:58 PM
Wasn't McCaskill up 9 in the last SUSA poll?

No, Talent was up 3.


Title: Re: SurveyUSA: McCaskill leads Talent by 3%
Post by: Eraserhead on October 31, 2006, 09:58:07 PM

What was the poll that had her up 9 then?


Title: Re: SurveyUSA: McCaskill leads Talent by 3%
Post by: Deano963 on October 31, 2006, 10:01:57 PM
McCaskill:   49%
Talent:       46%
Gilmour:      2%
Undediced:  4%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportPopup.aspx?g=f5a2300c-8c54-4566-ba53-7253b699ab36&q=30179

Also, it looks like the stem cell amendment should pass (though it will be close).

Certain Yes:   50%
Certain  No:   40%
Undecided:     10%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportPopup.aspx?g=f5a2300c-8c54-4566-ba53-7253b699ab36&q=31252

From Rothenberg:

Stem cell research

Missouri Amendment 2. Allows embryonic stem cell research. Research 2000 for St. Louis Post-Dispatch/KMOV, Oct.-51% yes, 35% no. Previous: Research 2000 for St. Louis Post-Dispatch/KMOV, August-- 58% yes, 37% no.


Title: Re: SurveyUSA: McCaskill leads Talent by 3%
Post by: okstate on October 31, 2006, 10:02:25 PM
McCaskill was up 9 in the SUSA poll before the last one


Title: Re: SurveyUSA: McCaskill leads Talent by 3%
Post by: Deano963 on October 31, 2006, 10:02:39 PM
Wasn't McCaskill up 9 in the last SUSA poll?

No, Talent was up 3.

SUSA did, in the poll before their last one that had Talent up 3.



What was the poll that had her up 9 then?


Title: Re: SurveyUSA: McCaskill leads Talent by 3%
Post by: Downwinder on November 01, 2006, 03:39:40 AM
Well, I certainly hope this poll is true, but at this point, I don't think anyone will be able to forecast this race until it's been completely counted--probably sometime early on November 8.