Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2006 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on November 03, 2006, 10:36:29 AM



Title: AZ: Arizona Star: Kyl(R) leads by 5 pts against Pederson(D)
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on November 03, 2006, 10:36:29 AM
New Poll: Arizona Senator by Arizona Star on 2006-11-02 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2006/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=4200611020)

Summary: D: 41%, R: 46%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.azstarnet.com/metro/154165.php)



Title: Re: AZ: Arizona Star: Kyl(R) leads by 5 pts against Pederson(D)
Post by: Eraserhead on November 03, 2006, 03:50:51 PM
We have better shot here than in TN now.


Title: Re: AZ: Arizona Star: Kyl(R) leads by 5 pts against Pederson(D)
Post by: Keystone Phil on November 03, 2006, 03:51:53 PM
We have better shot here than in TN now.

Pull out of TN and spend your money in AZ. Please, I am begging you.


Title: Re: AZ: Arizona Star: Kyl(R) leads by 5 pts against Pederson(D)
Post by: Eraserhead on November 03, 2006, 03:53:40 PM
We have better shot here than in TN now.

Pull out of TN and spend your money in AZ. Please, I am begging you.

You don't think its true? How does a black guy 10% behind in TN have a serious shot?


Title: Re: AZ: Arizona Star: Kyl(R) leads by 5 pts against Pederson(D)
Post by: Conan on November 03, 2006, 04:55:10 PM
I think theres going to be some surprises on November 8th.  Maybe not here but theres definitely going to be some.


Title: Re: AZ: Arizona Star: Kyl(R) leads by 5 pts against Pederson(D)
Post by: okstate on November 03, 2006, 04:59:15 PM
The goal here for the Democrats was probably just to make Hayworth's seat more likely to flip.

It's about 50/50 whether they'll succeed in that goal.


Title: Re: AZ: Arizona Star: Kyl(R) leads by 5 pts against Pederson(D)
Post by: Keystone Phil on November 03, 2006, 11:44:09 PM
We have better shot here than in TN now.

Pull out of TN and spend your money in AZ. Please, I am begging you.

You don't think its true? How does a black guy 10% behind in TN have a serious shot?

Unlike Pederson, Ford has proven himself to be a strong candidate and he had (for a brief period of time) actually had a lead. Pederson is an overrated joke running against a popular incumbent so get over it.


Title: Re: AZ: Arizona Star: Kyl(R) leads by 5 pts against Pederson(D)
Post by: Eraserhead on November 04, 2006, 12:40:59 AM
We have better shot here than in TN now.

Pull out of TN and spend your money in AZ. Please, I am begging you.

You don't think its true? How does a black guy 10% behind in TN have a serious shot?

Unlike Pederson, Ford has proven himself to be a strong candidate and he had (for a brief period of time) actually had a lead. Pederson is an overrated joke running against a popular incumbent so get over it.

How is 47% popular? Your response made no sense as usual.


Title: Re: AZ: Arizona Star: Kyl(R) leads by 5 pts against Pederson(D)
Post by: okstate on November 04, 2006, 12:46:58 AM
SUSA has Kyl up 13 points in a poll released today.

Apparently the DSCC's efforts have had no effect, or SUSA got an outlier. I will say that I trust SUSA more than I trust the Arizona Star's polling.


Title: Re: AZ: Arizona Star: Kyl(R) leads by 5 pts against Pederson(D)
Post by: Eraserhead on November 04, 2006, 12:49:43 AM
SUSA has Kyl up 13 points in a poll released today.

Apparently the DSCC's efforts have had no effect, or SUSA got an outlier. I will say that I trust SUSA more than I trust the Arizona Star's polling.

I don't know if I would. SUSA also has the Maryland Senate race tied.


Title: Re: AZ: Arizona Star: Kyl(R) leads by 5 pts against Pederson(D)
Post by: Alcon on November 04, 2006, 01:34:56 AM
Ford led in Tennessee.  Pederson has never led.

It's easier to convince a voter to swing back to a candidate in the last few days than to convince them to support a candidate they never have before.


Title: Re: AZ: Arizona Star: Kyl(R) leads by 5 pts against Pederson(D)
Post by: Eraserhead on November 04, 2006, 01:59:13 AM
Ford led in Tennessee.  Pederson has never led.

It's easier to convince a voter to swing back to a candidate in the last few days than to convince them to support a candidate they never have before.

I still don't think that overrides 10 points down + black guy in the South syndrome but we shall see.


Title: Re: AZ: Arizona Star: Kyl(R) leads by 5 pts against Pederson(D)
Post by: Alcon on November 04, 2006, 02:49:34 AM
Ford led in Tennessee.  Pederson has never led.

It's easier to convince a voter to swing back to a candidate in the last few days than to convince them to support a candidate they never have before.

I still don't think that overrides 10 points down + black guy in the South syndrome but we shall see.

The only poll to show it down that much is Zogby.  I'd tend to say it's more like 3-7.