Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2008 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls => Topic started by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on February 28, 2007, 09:47:19 AM



Title: Keystone Poll: Republicans outpacing Dems in PA
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on February 28, 2007, 09:47:19 AM
Rudy Giuliani       53%
Hillary Clinton     37%


John McCain       45%
Hillary Clinton     41%

Rudy Giuliani       52%
Barak Obama      32%

John McCain        43%
Barak Obama      37%

http://www.thepittsburghchannel.com/download/2007/0227/11126576.pdf


Title: Re: Keystone Poll: Republicans outpacing Dems in PA
Post by: Keystone Phil on February 28, 2007, 12:24:36 PM
That's some surprisingly good news.  :)


Title: Re: Keystone Poll: Republicans outpacing Dems in PA
Post by: Please Delete my account!! on February 28, 2007, 12:28:51 PM
The poll does look like it is somewhat weighted to favor Republicans.   That being said, this poll can not be good news for the Hillary camp.   Her favorable/unfavorbale ratings are an abysmal 32%/46%, with very little room to grow either way.   


Title: Re: Keystone Poll: Republicans outpacing Dems in PA
Post by: CARLHAYDEN on February 28, 2007, 01:13:23 PM
One thing you must remember is that the Democrats in Pennsylvania have had a very effective get out the vote drive for nearly a decade.

This is what has kept Pennsylvania Democrat for President in the last two elections.


Title: Re: Keystone Poll: Republicans outpacing Dems in PA
Post by: agcatter on February 28, 2007, 01:19:14 PM
Nasty favorability ratings for Hillary.  I'm starting to worry that she might not be nominated.


Title: Re: Keystone Poll: Republicans outpacing Dems in PA
Post by: Tender Branson on February 28, 2007, 01:22:34 PM
From the poll:

RegPARTY. Are you currently registered as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or as something else?

n = 540 (registered respondents)

46% Republican
41% Democrat
11% Independent
1% Something else
1% Do not know

2006 Exit poll

VOTE BY PARTY ID TOTAL

Democrat (43%)
Republican (38%)
Independent (19%)

Forget that poll, itīs crap, Quinnipiac shows a better result for PA, IMHO ! ;)


Title: Re: Keystone Poll: Republicans outpacing Dems in PA
Post by: InsideTheBeltway on February 28, 2007, 01:26:40 PM
From the poll:

RegPARTY. Are you currently registered as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or as something else?

n = 540 (registered respondents)

46% Republican
41% Democrat
11% Independent
1% Something else
1% Do not know

2006 Exit poll

VOTE BY PARTY ID TOTAL

Democrat (43%)
Republican (38%)
Independent (19%)

Forget that poll, itīs crap, Quinnipiac shows a better result for PA, IMHO ! ;)

Yep, this poll has "outlier" written all over it.  In all likelihood, the Q poll which showed Rudy up by 3 over Clinton is much closer to the truth at this point.

It's interesting how much worse McCain does than Giuliani, also.


Title: Re: Keystone Poll: Republicans outpacing Dems in PA
Post by: I spent the winter writing songs about getting better on February 28, 2007, 01:27:09 PM
Keystone Poll sucks.

Look at their track record. It's pretty horrible. Typical uni poll trash.


Title: Re: Keystone Poll: Republicans outpacing Dems in PA
Post by: Gabu on February 28, 2007, 01:30:36 PM
It's interesting how much worse McCain does than Giuliani, also.

This is definitely not good news for McCain if he almost can't lead in a poll that is 8% more Republican than it should be.


Title: Re: Keystone Poll: Republicans outpacing Dems in PA
Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on February 28, 2007, 02:02:58 PM
Their track-record in 2006 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2006/polls.php?type=src&source_id=70)

Non-Q uni poll = burn


Title: Re: Keystone Poll: Republicans outpacing Dems in PA
Post by: Reaganfan on February 28, 2007, 02:04:55 PM
It's interesting how much worse McCain does than Giuliani, also.

This is definitely not good news for McCain if he almost can't lead in a poll that is 8% more Republican than it should be.

McCain's general election polls have been improving over the last week or so.


Title: Re: Keystone Poll: Republicans outpacing Dems in PA
Post by: Eraserhead on February 28, 2007, 11:09:03 PM
It's interesting how much worse McCain does than Giuliani, also.

This is definitely not good news for McCain if he almost can't lead in a poll that is 8% more Republican than it should be.

McCain's general election polls have been improving over the last week or so.

Not really. He went up a couple of points in Rasmussen's polling. I think thats about it.