Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => Election What-ifs? => Topic started by: Joe Biden 2020 on May 29, 2007, 09:41:32 AM



Title: Would FDR have won a fifth term?
Post by: Joe Biden 2020 on May 29, 2007, 09:41:32 AM
FDR died just a month and a half into his fourth term, but if he had still been living, would he have won in 1948?  Would he have even run?


Title: Re: Would FDR have won a fifth term?
Post by: Wakie on May 29, 2007, 11:02:27 AM
He wouldn't have run.  But if he had run he would have won.


Title: Re: Would FDR have won a fifth term?
Post by: Jaggerjack on May 29, 2007, 06:29:30 PM
He wouldn't have run.  But if he had run he would have won.
Who knows. Maybe he'd have lost a couple more states, but he'd still be insanely popular.


Title: Re: Would FDR have won a fifth term?
Post by: CPT MikeyMike on May 29, 2007, 07:07:17 PM
It would be closer but FDR probably would have won like this.

(
)

FDR: 378
Standard GOP (Dewey, Warren, Taft, etc):153


Title: Re: Would FDR have won a fifth term?
Post by: Speed of Sound on May 29, 2007, 09:29:57 PM
The victory in WWII wouldve given FDR moe than enough room to score a fifth term, and by that point, he wouldve been iconic enough to pretty much run it out Julius Caesar style.


Title: Re: Would FDR have won a fifth term?
Post by: MaC on May 30, 2007, 01:22:56 AM
Everything would depend on how many political enemies he made on his last term.


Title: Re: Would FDR have won a fifth term?
Post by: Robespierre's Jaw on May 30, 2007, 11:40:13 PM
FDR wouldn't have won a fifth term, had he have ran. If he wouldn't have ran, the Republicans would have taken back the White House.


Title: Re: Would FDR have won a fifth term?
Post by: Dr. Cynic on May 31, 2007, 12:13:51 AM
He wouldn't have won... He expressed a want to see the end of WWII, and he explicitly stated he wouldn't run again...

He would've won if he wanted it though... No one from that era could be the master politician. Not Dewey, not Taft, not Warren, not any of them.


Title: Re: Would FDR have won a fifth term?
Post by: 12th Doctor on May 31, 2007, 01:45:42 AM
I'm going to break the trend and say no.  All things considered, Dewey did pretty well in 1944, in fact, the war is probably the only reason he didn't defeat FDR.  That's a big reason, but I don't think a post-war America would like FDR anymore just because the war was over.  Also, people in post-war America would not have thought too much of FDR's "let's just do it now and worry about the results later" style.  People would have wanted spending reigned in, and they would not have taken well to any grand expiriments in any other areas.  The reason people liked Truman was because he brought the economy under control and calmed the country down while providing a model for stability.  Even if FDR were in good health, people would have been ready for someone else.  I think FDR goes down in a narrow, but still clear defeat to Taft, Warren (who would have won by the widest margin) or Dewey.


Title: Re: Would FDR have won a fifth term?
Post by: Lincoln Republican on June 03, 2007, 08:06:35 PM
FDR would have lost to Dewey or Taft.

America would absolutely not accept any President for a fifth consecutive term.

By that time, it would appear to be more of a monarchy than a republic.


Title: Re: Would FDR have won a fifth term?
Post by: True Democrat on June 03, 2007, 08:10:25 PM
I'm leaning towards saying he's winning but I can definitely see him losing in Churchillian style.