Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2008 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls => Topic started by: Alcon on May 09, 2008, 11:49:25 AM



Title: CA PrimD: SurveyUSA: Big fat Californian liars would re-vote for Obama
Post by: Alcon on May 09, 2008, 11:49:25 AM
New Poll: California President by San Jose State University on 2008-05-08 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008D/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=620080508100)

Summary:
Obama:
49%
Clinton:
43%
Other:
2%
Undecided:
6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://static.cbslocal.com/station/kpix/docs/2008/surveyUSA_poll_May9.pdf)

Original vote:



Original vote:

Clinton 48%
Obama 43%
Liars 3% (at least)
"Other" 5%
Conveniently unable to remember 1%


Title: Re: CA PrimD: SurveyUSA: Big fat Californian liars would re-vote for Obama
Post by: Joe Republic on May 09, 2008, 12:07:40 PM
Why would CBS commission SUSA to conduct this poll?  Why would anybody have commissioned them to do it?


Title: Re: CA PrimD: SurveyUSA: Big fat Californian liars would re-vote for Obama
Post by: Aizen on May 09, 2008, 12:09:53 PM
Haha, what a waste of money


Title: Re: CA PrimD: SurveyUSA: Big fat Californian liars would re-vote for Obama
Post by: Hash on May 09, 2008, 03:47:07 PM
LOL!


Title: Re: CA PrimD: SurveyUSA: Big fat Californian liars would re-vote for Obama
Post by: Eraserhead on May 09, 2008, 04:05:23 PM
who cares?


Title: Re: CA PrimD: SurveyUSA: Big fat Californian liars would re-vote for Obama
Post by: Padfoot on May 09, 2008, 04:21:30 PM
You had your chance Cali and you blew it.  There are no taksies backsies in elections.


Title: Re: CA PrimD: SurveyUSA: Big fat Californian liars would re-vote for Obama
Post by: Sbane on May 09, 2008, 04:52:32 PM
HAHAHA godamn early voting... the only reason Clinton is still alive.


Title: Re: CA PrimD: SurveyUSA: Big fat Californian liars would re-vote for Obama
Post by: Lief 🗽 on May 09, 2008, 05:18:31 PM
I'd be interested in seeing a redo New Hampshire poll, while we're repolling states that voted months ago. :P


Title: Re: CA PrimD: SurveyUSA: Big fat Californian liars would re-vote for Obama
Post by: Joe Republic on May 09, 2008, 05:21:43 PM
I'd be interested in seeing a redo New Hampshire poll, while we're repolling states that voted months ago. :P

What's the point?  Nearly all the polls showed Obama winning by a big margin even at the time.  ;)


Title: Re: CA PrimD: SurveyUSA: Big fat Californian liars would re-vote for Obama
Post by: Nym90 on May 13, 2008, 03:32:43 PM
This poll is interesting, but I think it should be removed from the polling averages for California. It's skewing the numbers there and I think it'd be better to have the rolling averages represent the true pre primary average. Not that it matters a ton but I enjoy looking back at how accurate the rolling average was for each individual state.

For that matter, the polls taken in Michigan and Florida in March about how people would vote in a potential revote should also be taken out of the totals since a revote isn't going to happen.

We aren't going back and modifying the 2004 polls to include polls taken today of how people would've voted on the Kerry-Bush race.


Title: Re: CA PrimD: SurveyUSA: Big fat Californian liars would re-vote for Obama
Post by: Хahar 🤔 on June 09, 2008, 12:33:51 AM
You had your chance Cali and you blew it.  There are no taksies backsies in elections.

Never call California that again.


Title: Re: CA PrimD: SurveyUSA: Big fat Californian liars would re-vote for Obama
Post by: Stranger in a strange land on June 09, 2008, 10:22:05 PM
I'd be interested in seeing a redo New Hampshire poll, while we're repolling states that voted months ago. :P

What's the point?  Nearly all the polls showed Obama winning by a big margin even at the time.  ;)

Clinton won because of early votes cast during the "Hillary is inevitable" phase. Obama probably won votes cast on election day. Same in New Hampshire.


Title: Re: CA PrimD: SurveyUSA: Big fat Californian liars would re-vote for Obama
Post by: Mr. Morden on June 09, 2008, 10:31:30 PM
I'd be interested in seeing a redo New Hampshire poll, while we're repolling states that voted months ago. :P

What's the point?  Nearly all the polls showed Obama winning by a big margin even at the time.  ;)

Clinton won because of early votes cast during the "Hillary is inevitable" phase. Obama probably won votes cast on election day. Same in New Hampshire.

Most early voters are probably fairly sure about their vote, and not that likely to switch if they wait a couple more weeks.  Clinton won California by an 8% margin.  Do you *really* think that her early vote margin was *that* lopsided that Obama could have won solely by getting Clinton early vote converts?