Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2008 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls => Topic started by: Angel of Death on June 05, 2008, 09:14:19 PM



Title: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Angel of Death on June 05, 2008, 09:14:19 PM
Since the use of this forum is defunct anyway, it seems to be the perfect place for the following:

Apparently, Dick Bennett of American Research Group, of all people, had the chutzpah (Hi Harold!) to call out (http://americanresearchgroup.com/archives/?p=21) the person behind FiveThirtyEight.com for his predictions. Here (http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/06/call-for-pollster-poblano-unity.html)'s the reply.


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Meeker on June 06, 2008, 01:31:33 AM
Here's a thought.

One of us, who's good at web designing, should make a site that looks like it's one of a legit polling outfit. Then, we should start making up numbers. Completely out of the blue. Just something that looks plausible. Then we write up fancy press releases and send them out to blogs and media outlets, wait for some lazy story writer to pick it up, and then it begins to spread. We'd probably get found out after a few weeks, but we'd get a kick out of it for a while.

We could also then see if we get our made up numbers more accurate than actual polling outfits (looking at you PPP, ARG and Zogby).


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Alcon on June 06, 2008, 01:33:10 AM
American Research Strategy Experts (ARSE)? :P


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Meeker on June 06, 2008, 01:38:26 AM
American Research Strategy Experts (ARSE)? :P

Brilliant!

If Hardball and the Situation Room put ARG polls out there as legitimate polls, I don't see why they shouldn't put us.


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Хahar 🤔 on June 09, 2008, 12:33:01 AM
Here's a thought.

One of us, who's good at web designing, should make a site that looks like it's one of a legit polling outfit. Then, we should start making up numbers. Completely out of the blue. Just something that looks plausible. Then we write up fancy press releases and send them out to blogs and media outlets, wait for some lazy story writer to pick it up, and then it begins to spread. We'd probably get found out after a few weeks, but we'd get a kick out of it for a while.

We could also then see if we get our made up numbers more accurate than actual polling outfits (looking at you PPP, ARG and Zogby).

This actually makes sense.

Alcon, it's your job to register the domain.


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: ilikeverin on June 09, 2008, 04:28:12 PM
I'm in :)


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Kaine for Senate '18 on June 09, 2008, 04:29:33 PM
So am I :)


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Sensei on June 09, 2008, 04:31:41 PM
I'd definitely do it.


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Verily on June 09, 2008, 04:53:23 PM
Count me in. ARSE is too obvious, though; the media loves acronyms and would pick up on it right away. Something generic would work better; say, the >deleted<

We don't even have to make up numbers that look implausible; being more accurate than ARG would be fun :)

Domain time, guys.


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Alcon on June 09, 2008, 04:54:42 PM
I'm working on it :)


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Hash on June 09, 2008, 04:59:32 PM
I'm in for sure.


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: ilikeverin on June 09, 2008, 07:45:25 PM
I suggest AlcHitlre PM all the conspirators once a domain is acquired, so that news media types who Google the name of our erstwhile polling institute will not so the Atlas Forum as the first hit.

Also, I move that the numbers we come up with be based on the average of recent polls, with standard deviation factored in; I know it as the function RandNorm on my calculator, which apparently generates a "normal-distributed random number".


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Alcon on June 09, 2008, 07:57:00 PM
I suggest AlcHitlre PM all the conspirators once a domain is acquired, so that news media types who Google the name of our erstwhile polling institute will not so the Atlas Forum as the first hit

That's what I did.  Didn't you get it? :P


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Kaine for Senate '18 on June 09, 2008, 08:11:39 PM
I suggest AlcHitlre PM all the conspirators once a domain is acquired, so that news media types who Google the name of our erstwhile polling institute will not so the Atlas Forum as the first hit

That's what I did.  Didn't you get it? :P

I didn't.


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Mr. Morden on June 09, 2008, 08:54:23 PM
I would like to join this conspiracy as well, provided that it doesn't actually require me to do any work.  ;)


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: ilikeverin on June 09, 2008, 09:10:16 PM
I suggest AlcHitlre PM all the conspirators once a domain is acquired, so that news media types who Google the name of our erstwhile polling institute will not so the Atlas Forum as the first hit

That's what I did.  Didn't you get it? :P

Oh my, I never notice when I get new PM's :P

I did at an unrelated time see that I had a new PM, and now you have one :)  Note I may have too much fun with the "assuming a new identity" portion of this ;)


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Хahar 🤔 on June 09, 2008, 10:49:30 PM
How come I didn't get one? :'(


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Hash on June 10, 2008, 07:20:02 AM
I didn't get one either, in fact.


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: classical liberal on June 11, 2008, 11:05:06 PM
I want in


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Beet on June 11, 2008, 11:15:12 PM
Dick Bennett's clients must be getting antsy.

You have to give ARG credit for polling SD though. They completely reversed the conventional wisdom on that state in about 48 hours.


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Lunar on June 13, 2008, 03:47:53 AM
I want in too.  I wonder if we could just post some threads about how wink-wink-nudge amazing this poll firm is without having kids ruin it with all of their wtfs.  Alas


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Kaine for Senate '18 on June 13, 2008, 03:40:22 PM
When will we be able to start this?


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Хahar 🤔 on June 16, 2008, 01:52:37 AM

Soon.


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Kaine for Senate '18 on June 16, 2008, 07:38:56 PM

Good; I call Virginia.


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Хahar 🤔 on June 17, 2008, 01:19:02 AM

There already is a test one for Washington. It looks really professional.


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Hash on June 17, 2008, 07:15:49 AM
And where be that test one, sir?


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Хahar 🤔 on June 17, 2008, 03:39:22 PM

I'm not going to post it in public, but I sent it to you and Ben. Anyone else interested should contact Alcon.


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Gustaf on June 17, 2008, 04:15:54 PM
I want in. PM please?


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Gustaf on June 17, 2008, 04:37:46 PM

There's not much else to PM, other than the URL (which is YOU WILL NEVER KNOW, PERSON WHO TRIES AND GOOGLE THIS, HAHAHA) :P

Lol, ok. Loved the Washington draft, by the way. Great stuff.


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Franzl on June 17, 2008, 04:40:15 PM
Very well done!


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: War on Want on June 17, 2008, 04:43:40 PM
Hopefully people will pick up on this, we should officially post it here just to gain more attention.


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Хahar 🤔 on June 17, 2008, 04:51:12 PM
What was the redirect problem?


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Meeker on June 17, 2008, 06:08:18 PM
This thread should be deleted to cover our tracks.


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Хahar 🤔 on June 17, 2008, 06:09:36 PM

Before I was having trouble getting the domain to point to a subfolder; the DNC was just defaulting to goldengiven.net instead of goldengiven.net/poll/

I assume it's fixed now. When do you plan to have the thing released?

This thread should be deleted to cover our tracks.

First we need to plan.


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Kaine for Senate '18 on June 25, 2008, 12:08:57 PM
It's been 8 days; what happened?


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: Hash on June 25, 2008, 03:07:50 PM

Calm down, it's obviously not Alcon's top priority, understandably.


Title: Re: ARG outdoes itself in a new way
Post by: minionofmidas on August 13, 2008, 08:27:30 AM
I want to be included in the Premium Advantage service.