Title: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: Josh/Devilman88 on August 27, 2008, 12:34:30 PM Which Senate race will be the closest? I say any one of these three, MN, OR or NC wil be.
Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: HardRCafé on August 27, 2008, 12:40:19 PM Other.
Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: Lief 🗽 on August 27, 2008, 04:20:20 PM The safe races will, obviously, be blow-outs, as will VA and NH. NM, CO and AK will be within 10 points probably, but not really super close (kind of like the RI race in 2006). NC will be a couple point Dole win, as will Maine (for Collins). MN and OR will be very close, I think, and I don't think the winning candidate will break 50% in either.
Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: Frodo on August 27, 2008, 04:27:35 PM The Mississippi special election between former Gov. Ronnie Musgrove and Rep. Roger Wicker.
Just a hunch. Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: Associate Justice PiT on August 27, 2008, 04:31:53 PM Oregon probably. Maybe Colorado or New Hampshire if McCain does surprisingly well.
Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: Kaine for Senate '18 on August 27, 2008, 04:45:25 PM Mississippi B.
Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: DownWithTheLeft on August 27, 2008, 06:02:16 PM New Hampshire
Josh please stop spamming with threads about how excited you are that some summer polls suggest your state could be close. May I refer you to the 2006 race between Kean and Menendez? Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: Kaine for Senate '18 on August 27, 2008, 06:13:16 PM Josh please stop spamming with threads about how excited you are that some summer polls suggest your state could be close. May I refer you to the 2006 race between Kean and Menendez? Indeed. North Carolina will not even be in the top 5 closest states. Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: Torie on August 27, 2008, 06:48:54 PM Minnesota or Colorado, but yes, it could be NC. Heck, it could even be NH. I have a bad feeling about Dole. Some of that may be colored by the fact, that when I see her or hear her, I think of a Stepford Wife. No doubt that is unfair, but I can't help it. If I were a swing voter, I would dump her myself.
Right now, none of the races really look all that skin tight to me. The GOP will drop Alaska, Virginia, NH, Colorado and NM, and all will be by more than 3% margins, is my guess as what is most likely. I expect Coleman and Smith to win by more than a 3% margin and Dole too, except if she doesn't. The Mississippi seat is almost certainly going GOP by more than a 3% margin, unless Wicker makes a big mistake. Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: Josh/Devilman88 on August 27, 2008, 07:13:05 PM New Hampshire Josh please stop spamming with threads about how excited you are that some summer polls suggest your state could be close. May I refer you to the 2006 race between Kean and Menendez? VA in 2006?? Can look at them polls. Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: Kaine for Senate '18 on August 27, 2008, 07:19:48 PM New Hampshire Josh please stop spamming with threads about how excited you are that some summer polls suggest your state could be close. May I refer you to the 2006 race between Kean and Menendez? VA in 2006?? Can look at them polls. Big difference. Allen had a number of huge gaffes, which Dole hasn't had. Also, there was no Presidential race, and in August, Allen led by 4; it only got close in October. Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: Josh/Devilman88 on August 27, 2008, 07:24:14 PM New Hampshire Josh please stop spamming with threads about how excited you are that some summer polls suggest your state could be close. May I refer you to the 2006 race between Kean and Menendez? VA in 2006?? Can look at them polls. Big difference. Allen had a number of huge gaffes, which Dole hasn't had. Also, there was no Presidential race, and in August, Allen led by 4; it only got close in October. Ok well maybe it not that close to VA, but the end result will be. The fact is Obama camp will bring out voters for him that will vote for Democratics down the ticket. That spells an Hagan win. Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: Conan on August 27, 2008, 08:33:18 PM New Hampshire Josh please stop spamming with threads about how excited you are that some summer polls suggest your state could be close. May I refer you to the 2006 race between Kean and Menendez? VA in 2006?? Can look at them polls. Big difference. Allen had a number of huge gaffes, which Dole hasn't had. Also, there was no Presidential race, and in August, Allen led by 4; it only got close in October. Ok well maybe it not that close to VA, but the end result will be. The fact is Obama camp will bring out voters for him that will vote for Democratics down the ticket. That spells an Hagan win. Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: Keystone Phil on August 27, 2008, 08:43:01 PM Colorado
Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: Sam Spade on August 27, 2008, 08:45:14 PM Santorum v. Casey, clearly.
Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: Associate Justice PiT on August 27, 2008, 08:50:29 PM Santorum v. Casey, clearly. So close that it will be a tie with 0 votes apiece! :P Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: HardRCafé on August 27, 2008, 08:58:06 PM That spells an Hagan win. V-I-T-O-C-R-Y! Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: DownWithTheLeft on August 27, 2008, 10:17:58 PM New Hampshire Josh please stop spamming with threads about how excited you are that some summer polls suggest your state could be close. May I refer you to the 2006 race between Kean and Menendez? VA in 2006?? Can look at them polls. Big difference. Allen had a number of huge gaffes, which Dole hasn't had. Also, there was no Presidential race, and in August, Allen led by 4; it only got close in October. Ok well maybe it not that close to VA, but the end result will be. The fact is Obama camp will bring out voters for him that will vote for Democratics down the ticket. That spells an Hagan win. Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: Torie on August 27, 2008, 11:40:47 PM Santorum v. Casey, clearly. Ouch! Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: Conan on August 28, 2008, 12:48:02 AM New Hampshire Josh please stop spamming with threads about how excited you are that some summer polls suggest your state could be close. May I refer you to the 2006 race between Kean and Menendez? VA in 2006?? Can look at them polls. Big difference. Allen had a number of huge gaffes, which Dole hasn't had. Also, there was no Presidential race, and in August, Allen led by 4; it only got close in October. Ok well maybe it not that close to VA, but the end result will be. The fact is Obama camp will bring out voters for him that will vote for Democratics down the ticket. That spells an Hagan win. Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: Josh/Devilman88 on August 28, 2008, 06:17:09 AM New Hampshire Josh please stop spamming with threads about how excited you are that some summer polls suggest your state could be close. May I refer you to the 2006 race between Kean and Menendez? VA in 2006?? Can look at them polls. Big difference. Allen had a number of huge gaffes, which Dole hasn't had. Also, there was no Presidential race, and in August, Allen led by 4; it only got close in October. Ok well maybe it not that close to VA, but the end result will be. The fact is Obama camp will bring out voters for him that will vote for Democratics down the ticket. That spells an Hagan win. DWTL please don't talk about NC politics, you have no clue what you are talking about. NC will soon not elect Democrats haha! To bad our US house, State Senate, State house, Governor, LT. Governor almost all the Elected State offices are Democrats..... Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: DownWithTheLeft on August 28, 2008, 07:05:02 AM DWTL please don't talk about NC politics, you have no clue what you are talking about. NC will soon not elect Democrats haha! To bad our US house, State Senate, State house, Governor, LT. Governor almost all the Elected State offices are Democrats..... Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: HappyWarrior on August 28, 2008, 07:25:52 AM Coleman vs. Franken is my guess.
Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: Josh/Devilman88 on August 28, 2008, 07:48:58 AM How is asking what races will be the closest this year spamming?
Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: DownWithTheLeft on August 28, 2008, 08:13:33 AM How is asking what races will be the closest this year spamming? Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: Josh/Devilman88 on August 28, 2008, 09:22:45 AM How is asking what races will be the closest this year spamming? No it did, because you are still on the forum. Also I didn't make this for that reason. The fact is I said the senate race in NC will get closer as the election goes on, every one said I was crazy and didn't know what I was talking about. Now the polls show it is a close race. I guess I was right. Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: DownWithTheLeft on August 28, 2008, 09:29:11 AM How is asking what races will be the closest this year spamming? No it did, because you are still on the forum. Also I didn't make this for that reason. The fact is I said the senate race in NC will get closer as the election goes on, every one said I was crazy and didn't know what I was talking about. Now the polls show it is a close race. I guess I was right. Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: Josh/Devilman88 on August 28, 2008, 10:16:28 AM How is asking what races will be the closest this year spamming? No it did, because you are still on the forum. Also I didn't make this for that reason. The fact is I said the senate race in NC will get closer as the election goes on, every one said I was crazy and didn't know what I was talking about. Now the polls show it is a close race. I guess I was right. So when are the poll relevant? When they show what you want to see? Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: Sam Spade on August 28, 2008, 10:23:02 AM Right now, none of the races really look all that skin tight to me. The GOP will drop Alaska, Virginia, NH, Colorado and NM, and all will be by more than 3% margins, is my guess as what is most likely. I expect Coleman and Smith to win by more than a 3% margin and Dole too, except if she doesn't. The Mississippi seat is almost certainly going GOP by more than a 3% margin, unless Wicker makes a big mistake. In all seriousness, based on what we have right now, I tend to agree with this. Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: DownWithTheLeft on August 28, 2008, 09:57:12 PM So when are the poll relevant? When they show what you want to see? Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: Josh/Devilman88 on August 29, 2008, 06:12:09 AM So when are the poll relevant? When they show what you want to see? Ok, that fair. But if the polls stay it is close then, will you say I was right? Title: Re: What will be the closest senate race this year? Post by: DownWithTheLeft on August 29, 2008, 09:36:59 AM So when are the poll relevant? When they show what you want to see? Ok, that fair. But if the polls stay it is close then, will you say I was right? |