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Title: NJ: Rasmussen: Obama +15 Post by: Verily on November 03, 2008, 12:03:41 PM New Poll: New Jersey President by Rasmussen on 2008-11-02 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/pollsa.php?action=indpoll&id=3420081102016)
Summary: D: 57%, R: 42%, I: 1%, U: 1% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/state_toplines/new_jersey/toplines_new_jersey_presidential_election_november_2_2008) Title: Re: NJ: Rasmussen: Obama +15 Post by: Rowan on November 03, 2008, 12:07:49 PM HUGE gender gap. Not sure I believe it.
Title: Re: NJ: Rasmussen: Obama +15 Post by: The Ex-Factor on November 03, 2008, 12:15:38 PM That's the reaction I had to this New Hampshire poll:
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=7d873f82-2844-46e6-9a04-6b9d983941c9&c=24 Huge gender gap. Whatever, who cares. 57% sounds a bit high but I have no idea why Rasmussen did this poll anyway. Title: Re: NJ: Rasmussen: Obama +15 Post by: Verily on November 03, 2008, 12:16:30 PM HUGE gender gap. Not sure I believe it. Par for the course in New Jersey. In 2004, Kerry won women by 13 while Bush won men by 1. In 2000, Gore won women by 28 points but won men by only 5. The gender gap tends to grow when Democrats do better. Gender gaps are also most severe in states with high Catholic populations. http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/NJ/P/00/epolls.0.html Title: Re: NJ: Rasmussen: Obama +15 Post by: Lief 🗽 on November 03, 2008, 12:59:32 PM Wow, what a critical state to release a poll for the Monday before an election. ::)
+15 sounds right now. Title: Re: NJ: Rasmussen: Obama +15 Post by: ChrisFromNJ on November 03, 2008, 01:39:46 PM Hey RowanBrandon, you hack, looks like my prediction will be closer than yours.
Obama will also win close to 50% of the vote in Ocean County. I predict 47%. I remember fezzy telling me I was a moron for predicting that. Title: Re: NJ: Rasmussen: Obama +15 Post by: Rowan on November 03, 2008, 01:59:02 PM Hey RowanBrandon, you hack, looks like my prediction will be closer than yours. Obama will also win close to 50% of the vote in Ocean County. I predict 47%. I remember fezzy telling me I was a moron for predicting that. What was my prediction? Title: Re: NJ: Rasmussen: Obama +15 Post by: ChrisFromNJ on November 03, 2008, 02:24:04 PM Hey RowanBrandon, you hack, looks like my prediction will be closer than yours. Obama will also win close to 50% of the vote in Ocean County. I predict 47%. I remember fezzy telling me I was a moron for predicting that. What was my prediction? You were saying Obama +8 at most. You even thought McCain had a chance to get within low single digits. Title: Re: NJ: Rasmussen: Obama +15 Post by: Rowan on November 03, 2008, 02:24:50 PM Hey RowanBrandon, you hack, looks like my prediction will be closer than yours. Obama will also win close to 50% of the vote in Ocean County. I predict 47%. I remember fezzy telling me I was a moron for predicting that. What was my prediction? You were saying Obama +8 at most. You even thought McCain had a chance to get within low single digits. I still stand at Obama +8. Title: Re: NJ: Rasmussen: Obama +15 Post by: TheGlobalizer on November 03, 2008, 04:23:58 PM My call: Obama +9
Title: Re: NJ: Rasmussen: Obama +15 Post by: Adlai Stevenson on November 03, 2008, 05:07:43 PM My prediction:
NEW JERSEY PRESIDENT - 56% (D) Obama 41% (R) McCain 2% Others NEW JERSEY SENATE - 52% (D) Lautenberg 43% (R) Whoever? 4% Others Title: Re: NJ: Rasmussen: Obama +15 Post by: Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck on November 03, 2008, 06:24:35 PM Ehhh.... I'm feeling this
Barack Obama 57 John McCain 42 I'd had this at Obama by 11-12 forever but I don't think NJ Republicans/Independents are as enthused with John McCain as I expected. (And my God they SHOULD'VE BEEN! McCain is a wonderful Republican for the GOP to run in New Jersey and not once did Obama even have to THINK about making a stop here..... they really have run an awful campaign) Title: Re: NJ: Rasmussen: Obama +15 Post by: Ronnie on November 04, 2008, 12:32:34 AM In other groundbreaking news, the sky is blue.
Did Rasmussen really have to poll here instead of, say, Nevada? Title: Re: NJ: Rasmussen: Obama +15 Post by: SPQR on November 06, 2008, 04:03:53 PM Hey RowanBrandon, you hack, looks like my prediction will be closer than yours. Obama will also win close to 50% of the vote in Ocean County. I predict 47%. I remember fezzy telling me I was a moron for predicting that. What was my prediction? You were saying Obama +8 at most. You even thought McCain had a chance to get within low single digits. I still stand at Obama +8. Title: Re: NJ: Rasmussen: Obama +15 Post by: Franzl on November 06, 2008, 04:37:49 PM Hey RowanBrandon, you hack, looks like my prediction will be closer than yours. Obama will also win close to 50% of the vote in Ocean County. I predict 47%. I remember fezzy telling me I was a moron for predicting that. What was my prediction? You were saying Obama +8 at most. You even thought McCain had a chance to get within low single digits. I still stand at Obama +8. but the voters don't. Title: Re: NJ: Rasmussen: Obama +15 Post by: Rowan on November 07, 2008, 09:13:53 AM Oh well. I was wrong.
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